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#1381319 - 05/07/2016 11:33 2016 Typhoon Season
Steven Offline
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Registered: 19/04/2006
Posts: 2141
Loc: 中国上૲...

The 2016 typhoon season has officially started

TY 1601 (Nepartak)
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/1601c.html

Still a long way east - expected to move NW towards Taiwan and then curve east towards South Korea.

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#1381398 - 05/07/2016 20:10 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 17713
Loc: Wide Bay..Near the beach
Could be a nasty little midget too .
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#1381441 - 06/07/2016 08:04 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Steven Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/04/2006
Posts: 2141
Loc: 中国上૲...
Typhoon 1601 is now a "monster"
Chinese data says the central pressure is 910HPa
forecasts are showing force 18 winds (65m/s) approaching Taiwan for very late Thursday / early Friday.

JMA has the violent classification
or as we say in Australia this is now Category 5

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#1381444 - 06/07/2016 08:19 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Brett Guy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 4844
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
Pretty impressive start to the season.

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#1381493 - 06/07/2016 14:20 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Steven Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/04/2006
Posts: 2141
Loc: 中国上૲...
Latest update from Chinese website:
2016年第01号超强台风尼伯特(Nepartak) 7月6日11时,风速68米/秒,移速30公里/小时,东经129.30,北纬19.00,气压905百帕,近中心最大风力18级

At 11am Chinese time (1pm Brisbane time)
68m/s
located near 129.3E 19.0S
905 HPa
Beaufort force 18 winds

Interaction with Taiwan will significantly weaken the system before 2nd landfall in China. Depending on the final trajectory there may be a significant impact on Shanghai

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#1381506 - 06/07/2016 16:59 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6457
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Yeah straight into Taiwan. Nasty little bugger.

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#1381521 - 06/07/2016 19:32 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Steven Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/04/2006
Posts: 2141
Loc: 中国上૲...
JMA analysis at 4pm Brisbane time / 2pm Chinese time
Further intensification is possible
Satellite imagery is NOT showing any indication of a weakening trend yet.

TY 1601 (Nepartak)
Issued at 06:40 UTC, 6 July 2016
Analysis at 06 UTC, 6 July
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N1930' (19.5) E12830' (128.5)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35 km/h (18 kt)
Central pressure 900 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 60 m/s (115 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 85 m/s (165 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 170 km (90 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area NE 440 km (240 NM) SW 330 km (180 NM)

JTWC forecast at 0600Z today has max gusts of 180KT

Chinese forecasts are showing 68m/s (Beaufort force 18 winds)

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#1381534 - 06/07/2016 22:35 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7770
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
I hear there are a few chasers over there. Josh from icyclone, James Reynolds from Typhoon Fury and good ole Orebound from Darwin/Wzone. Spoke to Orebound just before and he is on the road currently getting into position on the Central Eastern coast of Taiwan. Should be some crazy footage and pics coming out of there. Possible night crossing again so could be a tad scary CAT 5 roaring down on them. Heard a few comments that this may well be the strongest system in the world this year. Sub 900hpa. Will be hard to beat at that strength but still early days and the Western Pacific pumps out the gnarly super typhoons on a pretty regular basis from now on.
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#1381552 - 07/07/2016 09:35 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
ozone doug Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1614
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
Wow that is a nasty looking storm hope it weakens .
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Cheers Doug. 491 Doug/ uhf ch50 and ch40 When severe weather
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https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IQUEENSL852

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#1381605 - 07/07/2016 21:55 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Popeye]
Orebound Offline
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Registered: 17/12/2009
Posts: 2358
Loc: Port Hedland WA / Darwin NT
Originally Posted By: Popeye
I hear there are a few chasers over there. Josh from icyclone, James Reynolds from Typhoon Fury and good ole Orebound from Darwin/Wzone. Spoke to Orebound just before and he is on the road currently getting into position on the Central Eastern coast of Taiwan. Should be some crazy footage and pics coming out of there. Possible night crossing again so could be a tad scary CAT 5 roaring down on them. Heard a few comments that this may well be the strongest system in the world this year. Sub 900hpa. Will be hard to beat at that strength but still early days and the Western Pacific pumps out the gnarly super typhoons on a pretty regular basis from now on.


Yeah we ran into James earlier today up near our initial location at Chenggong.

Anyway, just a sit and wait game now with after spending the day running up and down the coast doing reconnoissance of different locations within the likely landfall area. As it stands we have tentatively settled on a spot about 20km or so to the north of Taitung City but I'm also mindful of a possible twitch to the right as was the case with the one chased up here last year and also the straight line option straight into Taitung. I'll leave the final decision until as late as is possible tonight but at the moment I'm happy with this location as it has some spectacular ocean views and is extremely safe. Also wanting to keep right front of this one if possible.

Location where blue pin is dropped...

Time to grab a few hours sleep before the show.

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#1381619 - 08/07/2016 00:32 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7770
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Good luck Orebound. Hope you get smashed by 280km/hr winds, big 12metre waves crash on your doorstep, trees get ripped out of the ground and smashed all over the place and that you survive to tell us the story. Weather junky I am. haha. Stay safe Taiwan. No doubt it has seen it all to often in the past.
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Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#1381624 - 08/07/2016 07:29 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Jacci Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/04/2008
Posts: 676
Loc: Top End, Storm Capital of Aus ...
Good luck Jason!
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#1381625 - 08/07/2016 07:55 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
ozone doug Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1614
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
Have a good time Orebound , I have a love hate relationship with storms love them hate the damage to peoples lives .
_________________________
Cheers Doug. 491 Doug/ uhf ch50 and ch40 When severe weather
BOM Stormspotter G0388 Roma S W Queensland Formerly Redcliffe.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IQUEENSL852

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#1381644 - 08/07/2016 09:59 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7770
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
From the Coordinates of the crossing point I think Orebounds Hotel was 1.1kms from that point so fair enough to say he got smack bang in the eye. I guess if Orebound ever wants to come to Broome for a cyclone, especially my house at least i know then we will get hit. Cyclone magnet that bloke. Well done and look forward to seeing some pics and video. With the crossing in the early dawn hours it should be a sight.
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#1381717 - 08/07/2016 21:20 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 17713
Loc: Wide Bay..Near the beach
Yes he has made a habit of nailing them that's for sure. He had some trouble getting out last time and I'd say the eastern coastal route will be closed again.
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#1381720 - 08/07/2016 21:57 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7770
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Yeah that 35 degree 90% humidity, 27 degree dew points, no power, no aircon, no running water, no cold bourbon. Typhoon Orebound will hit CAT 5 soon no doubt. lol. Hope everyone is OK in Taiwan. Nasty system to go through.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#1381721 - 08/07/2016 22:03 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 17713
Loc: Wide Bay..Near the beach
The little bugger certainly bombed quickly.
_________________________
"Don't steal. The government hates competition."

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#1383284 - 25/07/2016 20:52 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
Orebound Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/12/2009
Posts: 2358
Loc: Port Hedland WA / Darwin NT
Yes, Nepartak was absolutely one of the most intense typhoons we have chased in recent years and even this early in the season it is hard to imagine us finding one stronger but that's the thing about the Westpac........it never ceases to throw up one better!

South China Sea is starting to look a little interesting into next week in terms of a system threatening Hong Kong but it's obviously way too early to take too seriously at this stage but we are certainly keeping a close eye on any potential developments from a chase perspective.

Aiming to continue going after any significant Westpac systems atleast until the damned Atlantic basin decides to wake from it's decade long slumber and gives us a reason to get back over to the US........which i'm quietly confident will happen this season! poke

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#1383291 - 25/07/2016 21:39 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 641
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
Sick work Orebound!!! Can't wait to see the footage from that chase mate. Envious of that lifestyle flexibility! haha! I'll just live vicariously through you mate!

Definitely be up your neck of the woods come storm season too grin

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#1383304 - 26/07/2016 08:05 Re: 2016 Typhoon Season [Re: Steven]
ozone doug Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1614
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
Yes i would love to do what Qrebound gets to do. Great for a Holiday defiantly beats laying on a beach lol.
_________________________
Cheers Doug. 491 Doug/ uhf ch50 and ch40 When severe weather
BOM Stormspotter G0388 Roma S W Queensland Formerly Redcliffe.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IQUEENSL852

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