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#1385134 - 23/08/2016 09:55 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2019
Loc: Westbury
That's a bit stalkerish DM...

Another cold one last night, -2.6. 20th night under 0 this year and the 45th under 2. Had 854mm which is more than the annual average, but ~ 1/5 of the rain of the west coast.

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#1385137 - 23/08/2016 10:40 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Mwa ha ha ha ha!!!! smile Actually P gave me a good hint of location ages ago but my dementia has kicked in grin

That's a lot of neg temps. I've had 19 since June 1, might see what we had in May. But I would expect that we should have more than you, so you have had a lot of clear nights!! smile

Ok we are 23 all up (below zero). For us though we've had fewer than normal. Usually we have (average) 52 to end of August. We've had many many many cloudy days and nights!!

Enjoy the frost - they should stop being neg temps pretty soon around your joint. smile

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#1385141 - 23/08/2016 11:50 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2019
Loc: Westbury
We had 1 in April and 5 in May, 14 since May 31. Not sure what normal is, The current and old sites in Cressy average 56 below 0 and 93 below 2. Both site have record lows of -5 or better in all months from April to August.

Looks like Bathurst has similar stats.

Which is interesting as it matches our neighbours observations that the coldest mornings of the year happen most frequently and intensely early in the winter and then tail off as cloudiness and rain increase.


Edited by Snowies (23/08/2016 11:54)

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#1385143 - 23/08/2016 12:06 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes Cressy would certainly be an area with clearer skies in general in the lee of the mountains smile I would imagine that the east coast and the Midlands would have the most cloud free days and nights in general smile

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#1385252 - 24/08/2016 11:31 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 740
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi all, as I posted last Thursday that this Thursday according to the BOM had big hopes of good rain and cold weather. I also mentioned allot can happen in week and as usual as in the previous week nothing will happen. The forecast has backed off now to 30 % of a shower 0 to 1 mm.
Well we have only had 12.2 mm out of an average 54 mm for August here in Hobart . So my gut feeling is here we go again and wouldn't be surprised to see another hot very dry Spring .
Has anyone else seen the massive High forming over and basically covering the whole country ?

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#1385279 - 24/08/2016 15:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes but all the models show it a transient high and not sitting there. Quite normal for a high to come along between low systems. It's a big high but it moves east after only a few days.

As far as I can tell, nothing unusual in that, especially this time of year where it will become more common to have big swings in the weather. smile

Still plenty of variability. ACCESS puts the 520 line quite close to Tassie on the weekend, the other models not quite so BUT it shows that at the moment, lots of flux in the system. We just have to watch and wait to see what we get smile

We currently have finally had plenty of rain, been a few years since I could say that for here!!

I hope you get a good drink soon. smile

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#1385284 - 24/08/2016 15:30 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
It is indeed crazy how Hobart often has these extended times of dry weather. It might drizzle occasionally but to get really heavy rain in Hobart is so rare. The thing I missed about the mainland when I lived in Hobart was big fat rain drops and lightning. Both fairly rare in Hobart.

YTD you are ok but the month has been dry. Hence one of the reasons that it's been fairly frosty in lots of Tassie areas.

Spring is so volatile down there that it could change at any time hopefully. smile

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#1385294 - 24/08/2016 16:09 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
payshense Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2013
Posts: 944
Loc: West Coast, TAS, 310m ASL / Bu...
Nothing new here, cold and wet.

Love winter here, but I have to admit with the rain we have had the last couple of months I am over Winter. Well over the wet at least. Have spent many days inside by the fire. Would love to see one more decent cold snap with low level snow. Bring on the warm Spring days.


Originally Posted By: DaveM
Still plenty of variability. ACCESS puts the 520 line quite close to Tassie on the weekend, the other models not quite so BUT it shows that at the moment, lots of flux in the system. We just have to watch and wait to see what we get smile


Been keeping an eye this potential change Dave. Don't want to get over excited though. Taking a wait and see position too smile

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#1385296 - 24/08/2016 16:21 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes it's a shame there can't be more of a blending of the weather between your location and Hobart. You get so wet over there and sometimes Hobart is dry as a twig!!

As much as H wants rain at the moment, you're over it grin

We've had a dreary winter here too, first in about 6 years, whilst not as wet as you have been, we are also looking for some sunshine.

As I type it's raining again and has been for about 3 hours.

We would be more than double the average this winter. MANY MANY years since I could say that. Also a good chance of another rain event here next week.

I need to shove that ECL further south towards Hobart. smile

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#1385301 - 24/08/2016 16:38 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 421
Loc: Hobart
The ground is still waterlogged in Hobart from a wet May-July, I can't believe anyone wants any more rain for a while ask my Mum who wants to start up some new garden beds.

Hobart's coldest day has been 11.2 this month every August since records began in 1882 has had a colder day. Great to get a couple of snowfall days last month but it's been a mild winter in Hobart ( again ).


Edited by yep (24/08/2016 16:40)

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#1385307 - 24/08/2016 16:55 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes the curse of the warm/mild weather. Same up here as well and pretty much all of SE Oz at least.

I think we'd all be shocked if we had a couple of colder than average months - it would probably feel VERY cold to us now smile We've got too used to above average temps for too long. frown

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#1385327 - 24/08/2016 19:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2181
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Yes we are still wet at home but we are well below average for August.
Only had 25% of our monthly average.

25mm on the ground from a normal 100mm.

Hopefully we don't get to dry to soon.

Some good weather will keeps spring sales up though.

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#1385375 - 25/08/2016 08:29 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2019
Loc: Westbury
Four nights under -2 on the trot, -2.4, -2.6, -2.2 and -2.5 - consistently frosty.

I suspect the forecast of a weak La Nina or at worst neutral conditions will mean that we don't suffer the prolonged dry of last year/early this year - at least not to the same extreme. Most of the climate parameters that assisted in bringing the rain from May-July have eased off in the past few weeks (IOD trending back toward neutral from strongly -ve, strongly positive AAO (contraction of westerly winds toward Antarctica and less frontal activity as a result) , neutral ENSO and a decline in the warm waters off our east coast).

I was at a conference last week where the BOM presented much of the climate drivers info as to why we went from very dry to very wet, but interestingly and not surprisingly, they have an index that tracks the positioning of the sub-tropical highs. The data shows a consistent movement south of the high pressure belt, which has lead to rainfall declines throughout southern Australia over the past 3-4 decades. This is also consistent with the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) becoming increasingly stuck in its positive phase, which as I said above, is a contraction of frontal activity and westerly winds back toward Antarctica. The southern states seem increasingly reliant on moisture moving down from the north rather than coming up from the south.

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#1385387 - 25/08/2016 10:21 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Nice info there Dan grin

I enjoyed that post very much. smile

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#1385421 - 25/08/2016 15:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2019
Loc: Westbury
Should add that I elaborated, the BOM piece ended with the declines in rainfall, the rest was personal observation/reading.

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#1385424 - 25/08/2016 16:16 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
I'm happy to accept your elaboration smile

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#1385433 - 25/08/2016 16:58 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 740
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi all , thanks for the read Snowies .
Hobart today got to around 14.5 c and about 2 drops of rain. Looking ahead some very warm conditions for the end of Winter and the start of Spring. Oh well only another 10 months before we see it start to cool down again.

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#1385439 - 25/08/2016 18:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2019
Loc: Westbury
Just had 3mm in a hurry, heading for another -2 tonight, roads could be interesting in the morning.

DM... poke More for if the BOM were lurking and they didn't agree...


Edited by Snowies (25/08/2016 18:16)

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#1385442 - 25/08/2016 18:41 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
slipperyfish Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 1377
Loc: South Mission Beach QLD
Hi everyone, just popping in to ask a quick question.

As the time is nearing for me to choose between Launceston and Hobart for our big move I am trying to gain as much info as possible. I suffer Hayfever pretty badly and was wondering which location would be better or worse? I see a pollen index pop up regularly on the forecast page here on Weatherzone, so I began to wonder.

FYI we had 34c yesterday up here, and an overnight of 18c. Looking forward to some cooler weather. Should be down in Launceston in a month or so. Then I have to decide where our new home will be.

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#1385452 - 25/08/2016 19:22 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 740
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi slippery , great question of which I have no idea but you can bet the regular Tassie icons will have an answer smile Having said that here in Hobart we have massive amounts of native wattles the green and gold type . They are already been flowering for the past month or so and they make a hell of a mess with that yellow puffy stuff everywhere. It also really spreads when the winds get up and I have had one removed from the yard last season because of the mess. You will also find Hobart as we did , having coming from more humid climate that it's as dusty as all hell in the home. No matter how much you clean , dust , vacuum and wipe down another thick layer of dust settles a few days later. We have well sealed doors and windows but the dry air just is dust laden. I have purchased two electric HEPA air filter units and a humidifier but it makes very little difference.
Wow 34 c that's early and I am travelling to Cairns to see the rell's in October and saw it was 31 c the other day up there.
Lets hope the experience of having sweaty back and crack reminds me of how lucky I am down here and stop me whining about the Hobart heat for a while smile

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