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#1422347 - 27/04/2017 10:53 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Ken Kato Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 4399
EC currently has a midlevel shortwave trough approaching the Coral Sea from the west around that time so any system out there has to avoid getting captured by it (or the trough would have to relax or contract south) if it wants to keep moving west.

Of course this is all assuming a system does actually form out there in the first place together with that approaching midlevel shortwave.


Edited by Ken Kato (27/04/2017 10:53)
Edit Reason: added stuff

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#1422527 - 30/04/2017 09:41 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
wildopete Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 23
Loc: Forest Creek, Daintree FNQld, ...
Any more information about developing low that might enter Coral Sea?

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#1422628 - 02/05/2017 10:19 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1245
Loc: toowoomba


Edited by petethemoskeet (02/05/2017 10:22)

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#1422646 - 02/05/2017 12:51 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
DDstorm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/05/2010
Posts: 151
Loc: Tallai, QLD
There's a system, now where is that ridge Ken? Followin Windy along for the week, it has it doin the dance around Vanautu and scootin SE between Van and New Cal and gonski.
Any other possibilities??
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#1422761 - 04/05/2017 14:41 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Ken Kato Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 4399
There's a strengthening midlevel ridge to its south which is probably helping to steer it west at the moment but then curves south over/near Vanuatu then possibly southeast. TC Donna currently Cat 2 at time of writing - Locke's created a thread for it.

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#1422765 - 04/05/2017 16:29 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4272
Loc: Brisbane
Actually, it wasn't me who started the thread and it should probably be in the "World" section of the forums as it is looking very unlikely to enter BOM's AOR

Even though the latest GFS track has shifted a little West, it seems the model consensus is in the longer term its headed SE.

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