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#1400986 - 07/01/2017 11:50 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Make tankers 15 PIETSCH RD BANGERANG - Air support responding
Make tankers 10 BORUNG HWY CARRON - air support requested.

Fires are about 10-15km apart.


Edited by logansi (07/01/2017 11:50)
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1400992 - 07/01/2017 13:06 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
New start up in the Otways - around BIG HILL TRK/DEANS MARSH-LORNE RD BENWERRIN. Ground crews struggling to find it but airsupport reports they can see large column of smoke building rapidly.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1401016 - 07/01/2017 18:00 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6658
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Had our first local fire this arvo out between Maffra and Briagalong.

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#1401551 - 11/01/2017 17:48 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Wind speeds for Friday not looking to good around the state
For potential fire break outs

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#1401940 - 13/01/2017 17:22 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Tuesday is going to be our biggest spike day of the season. At this stage Severe for Mallee, North Central, Central and West & South Gippsland - Very High elsewhere.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1401966 - 13/01/2017 18:42 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Even after today's 8mm we still going
For severe fire danger?? Lol
Does look nasty logansi

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#1402004 - 13/01/2017 21:28 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
The first 5mm is said to have no effect on Fire Dangers although it may drop the FDI's slightly given some windy conditions over the weekend and a warm Monday most of it will have dried off.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1402040 - 14/01/2017 08:35 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Ah ok thanks logansi that's one of many things
I didn't realise 😀
So really u need to get at least 15-20mm to have any
Real sustained effect on slowing fire conditions down?

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#1402514 - 16/01/2017 09:57 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 637
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
I traveled Bairnsdale/Geelong return over the weekend. Seemed to me that, just from Sat morning to Sunday arvo much of that country saw significant drying/grass curing (but maybe I was just imagining it.) That said, the curing is not too bad for mid-January.

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#1402821 - 18/01/2017 11:45 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Good to see we got through yesterdays with no major fires smile

A large number of our aircraft including both Skycranes and both LATS have been moved to Albury today to be on standby for a large fire near Canberra - CFA strike teams have also been deployed.


Edited by logansi (18/01/2017 11:46)
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1402870 - 18/01/2017 14:23 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah good result yesterday,although
We are probably only just really entering
The serious part of the fire season now??
From now until end of feb?

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#1403770 - 23/01/2017 22:07 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
With this current change being
Pretty much a dry one and with the
Next 7 days up near 30c or above, this fire
Season might just start to go to
Next level!!!😨

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#1403775 - 23/01/2017 22:50 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 637
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Originally Posted By: doogasnow
With this current change being
Pretty much a dry one and with the
Next 7 days up near 30c or above, this fire
Season might just start to go to
Next level!!!😨



Agreed, Doogasnow. And,if you look at the models (7 days out of course) one's able to imagine Mon 30/1 being a fairly extreme day. It's not there completely in the models but looks like severe heat (45C+) in south-western NSW needing only a tightening of the situation to bring it down across Vic taking what (on current modelling) is hot and fairly windy in NW, central, NE and Gipps into dangerous territory.

And, as you say, there's a drying occurring over the week leading up to that

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#1403815 - 24/01/2017 11:36 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2077
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Here in SE South Australia these pesky southerlies adding the lil bit of rain has started greening paddocks up but its still pretty dry around the place i might hold you to your statement dogasnow as we still have February/March to go yet

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#1403900 - 24/01/2017 17:55 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah thunder bob, next Monday looks
Like definitely a little spike day!!
And with the length of warm days leading
Up to the spike day it will just about be
A tender box around Gippsland(and the whole
Of vic for that matter)

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#1403904 - 24/01/2017 18:00 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: rstewart84]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah, I always keep an eye on what's happening
In s.a and u guys have been doing pretty
Well for rainfall 😀, similar to us keep getting
Little top ups,there isn't much green left
Around us now and it's concerning we are
A fair way down on our average rain for
January and can't really see anything
Substantial for the rest of this month.

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#1403933 - 24/01/2017 22:08 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 637
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
The saving grace concerning Mon 30th is, on present forecast, only moderate winds.

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#1404217 - 27/01/2017 16:42 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Looks like our first bad spike day of
The fire season up here!! With temps pushing
40c and wind plus a rating at this stage
Of severe for most of vic, with extreme rating
For Wimmera

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#1404340 - 28/01/2017 17:40 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria


Edited by logansi (28/01/2017 17:40)
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1404342 - 28/01/2017 17:46 Re: 2016/2017 Bushfire season [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 637
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Originally Posted By: logansi


That is unfortunate Logansi. Several cars also, apparently.

FDIs have edged back marginally for Monday: the Extreme rating for the Wimmera down to Severe along with most of the rest of the State (except EG which is rated VH). The lower rating is based, I think, on the wind forecast for the Wimmera (and also for the western Central region) going down a notch or two.

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