Page 3 of 4 < 1 2 3 4 >
Topic Options
#1410302 - 02/03/2017 10:31 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1569
Loc: Palmerston NT
Originally Posted By: darwindix
While theirs a lot of uncertainty about this system at least we have something to be interested in ,sorry QLD.

Yes poor old QLD indeed.
If this was in QLD waters their thread would be up to 26 pages by now but they have had no luck whatsoever this season.
This is an interesting one and is well positioned to impact the NW Top End including Darwin at this stage.

Top
#1410313 - 02/03/2017 11:53 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3059
Loc: Broome

Yep Queensland in the doldrums alright as far as TC activity goes.
JG have your way with this one if its goes to plan then handball to us so we can have a play as well...thanks.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

Top
#1410319 - 02/03/2017 12:29 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7758
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Yeah I was thinking we should contact admin and put in a special request for a new forum thread especially for QLD called 'Nth Qld Sun season' They could easily hit 100 pages per month.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1410326 - 02/03/2017 13:35 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: JimmyGray]
tropicbreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 125
Loc: Noonamah
Originally Posted By: JimmyGray
Originally Posted By: darwindix
While theirs a lot of uncertainty about this system at least we have something to be interested in ,sorry QLD.

Yes poor old QLD indeed.
If this was in QLD waters their thread would be up to 26 pages by now but they have had no luck whatsoever this season.
This is an interesting one and is well positioned to impact the NW Top End including Darwin at this stage.

They haven't had anything yet and up to 12 pages already, they're in a sorry state ;-)

EC has the low crossing the central north coast and moving inland south west, finally exiting somewhere around North West Cape. Both ACCESS and GFS have it moving into JBG/sort of over Darwin Sunday/Monday but not very strong. At the low's current position VWS is around 10 to 15 kts, in the JBG about 20 to 25 kts. From there the low's expected to go generally over the Kimberley and exit into the ocean around Broome or a bit further south.

Top
#1410329 - 02/03/2017 13:50 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
darwindix Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 12/03/2016
Posts: 42
Loc: Jingili Darwin
Who would you put your money on Tropicbreeze ,access ,gfs or ec?

Top
#1410386 - 02/03/2017 18:10 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Orebound Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/12/2009
Posts: 2347
Loc: Port Hedland WA / Darwin NT
Timing looks fairly similar between the deterministic runs of the American and European models with EC passing a system near/over Darwin on Sunday afternoon while the GFS keeps it a bit further to the west. Both models go on to make landfall in the northern Kimberley at TC strength.



_________________________
US Storm Chasing 2016

Top
#1410395 - 02/03/2017 18:49 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7758
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Balcony chase mate? Easy.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1410408 - 02/03/2017 19:29 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
darwindix Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 12/03/2016
Posts: 42
Loc: Jingili Darwin
EC now showing direct hit on Darwin as low cat 1. GFS as a lows west to Darwin as a cat1 or 2

Top
#1410427 - 02/03/2017 20:26 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
tropicbreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 125
Loc: Noonamah
Originally Posted By: darwindix
Who would you put your money on Tropicbreeze ,access ,gfs or ec?

It's 96S Invest now. Everyone has jumped in now but I was going to say GFS, which is a bit further offshore in the JBG. I'd like it to stay a bit weaker and stall for a while in the Gulf but the models move it through fairly quickly. More monsoon and less build-up/knock'em down!

Top
#1410466 - 03/03/2017 00:23 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: JimmyGray]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23502
Loc: Townsville
Originally Posted By: JimmyGray
Originally Posted By: darwindix
While theirs a lot of uncertainty about this system at least we have something to be interested in ,sorry QLD.

Yes poor old QLD indeed.
If this was in QLD waters their thread would be up to 26 pages by now but they have had no luck whatsoever this season.
This is an interesting one and is well positioned to impact the NW Top End including Darwin at this stage.


Considering how this season has panned out, i wouldnt go counting my TCs before they have formed.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

Top
#1410504 - 03/03/2017 10:07 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: Popeye]
@_Yasified_shak Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2009
Posts: 4034
Loc: El Arish
Originally Posted By: Popeye
Yeah I was thinking we should contact admin and put in a special request for a new forum thread especially for QLD called 'Nth Qld Sun season' They could easily hit 100 pages per month.


I would be happy to partake in that! i seem to have forgotten what that strange glowing orb in the sky looks like.
We have only had 15 rain free days so far this year. smile wink
_________________________
Why is it in the era of "Time saving" devices, that people are more "Time poor" than ever?

Humans think they are the fabric of society,when they are merely part of the thread.


Top
#1410506 - 03/03/2017 10:16 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7758
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Yasi don't be mean to all the other Qlders. I hope the crew from Townsville don't see that post of yours. They might delete it. lol
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1410513 - 03/03/2017 10:30 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23502
Loc: Townsville
Is this discussion about Cyclones or Townsville or Queensland?

There is a dedicated thread to the Coral sea with 20+ pages as pointed out above by a certain member.



Edited by Dawgggg (03/03/2017 10:30)
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

Top
#1410514 - 03/03/2017 10:30 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: Dawgggg]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7758
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Considering how this season has panned out, i wouldnt go counting my TCs before they have formed.

I reckon Trav. You guys must be sitting on a nest of eggs that were nurtured right through to hatching but never did.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1410515 - 03/03/2017 10:35 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: Dawgggg]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7758
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Is this discussion about Cyclones or Townsville or Queensland? There is a dedicated thread to the Coral sea with 20+ pages as pointed out above by a certain member.


Everything is linked up in the broadscale patterns this system could actually influence the weather over that way in the form of hot, dry air. Just trying to include you guys a bit more in some action this year that's all.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1410517 - 03/03/2017 10:37 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: Dawgggg]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1569
Loc: Palmerston NT
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Originally Posted By: JimmyGray
Originally Posted By: darwindix
While theirs a lot of uncertainty about this system at least we have something to be interested in ,sorry QLD.

Yes poor old QLD indeed.
If this was in QLD waters their thread would be up to 26 pages by now but they have had no luck whatsoever this season.
This is an interesting one and is well positioned to impact the NW Top End including Darwin at this stage.


Considering how this season has panned out, i wouldnt go counting my TCs before they have formed.

Very true mate but we all know that if this was in QLD waters you guys would have named it by now as a marginal Cat 2 poke

Top
#1410522 - 03/03/2017 10:50 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Mike Hauber Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2007
Posts: 2479
Loc: Buderim
What a sad season all round when the western crew are rubbing the Qlders face in it because they might get a cat 1 or 2 cyclone.

Top
#1410529 - 03/03/2017 11:22 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7758
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
If this thing forms up 100kms further West or gets a slight nudge for 12 hrs here or there it has the potential to sit just off the Coast skirting down around the Nth and West Kimberley. Possibly being a bit wishful there but nudge GFS that 100kms west and that is the outcome.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1410534 - 03/03/2017 11:37 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: darwindix]
Sepo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/10/2010
Posts: 321
Loc: Broome, WA
Access still seems to be taking that path as well.... but based on GFS and EC both now prefty close to agreement it is probably wishful thinking. Just hope it brings some rain to bring the heat down a bit.

Top
#1410561 - 03/03/2017 15:28 Re: NT and GOC cyclone season 2016-17 [Re: Popeye]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24686
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: Popeye
Yasi don't be mean to all the other Qlders. I hope the crew from Townsville don't see that post of yours. They might delete it. lol


Just those posts that are deliberately put in a thread to troll. Now stop trying to pick arguments and keep it on topic.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
February 2017 total - 67.2mm (283mm)
March 2017 total - 172.2mm (197mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 503.0mm (1107mm)

Top
Page 3 of 4 < 1 2 3 4 >


Who's Online
1 registered (Mad Elf #1.5), 253 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Asti, carlaell, gerryr1, mcjody, rjdsunsets
Forum Stats
29239 Members
32 Forums
23596 Topics
1450111 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image