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#1401300 - 09/01/2017 22:04 Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Looking at the current model updates
And there currently showing a 30c day tommoz, with
Things Then cooling off Wednesday before heating back
Up to around the mid 30's or higher by Friday, with then possibly
Some sort of rain/storm event Friday night sat morning?
Hinting at some fairly useful rain as well, hopefully this hold true!!

Then heating right up for early the following week!

Will be interesting to see how the next week or so unfolds??
I

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#1401365 - 10/01/2017 13:11 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2140
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Thanks doogasnow looks very good for another soaking by Friday and thanks High pressure keep heatwave in NSW most of time.

Had very easy sleep of 17c overnight and now rise to 27c at 1pm.

Heaps of Cumulus from North.

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#1401401 - 10/01/2017 17:17 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Hope Friday arvo rain comes off!!
Gfs only hinting at 5-10mm for most parts of
Vic! Was hopping more for closer to an inch lol
( not getting greedy or anything😂😂)

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#1401413 - 10/01/2017 18:38 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6309
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Thanks DS - agree, a storm out in our stomping ground on Friday arvo might be possible.

Fingers crossed. Likely outcome is not much rain and the birth of 7 new fires to set off the fire season in Gippsland Ranges proper?????

For my 2 bob's, the general setup for SE Aus over coming 5 weeks should still cater for a "lucky significant rain event". Reckon its more likely to arrive from NE than NW.

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#1401419 - 10/01/2017 18:57 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah that's what I'm worried about 'p' 😨😨
(Like u say the fire season kicking off properly if we don't
Get that good rain)

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#1401511 - 11/01/2017 12:42 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2140
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Tomorrow heat from NW NSW seem same pattern again next Monday.

Hope the Friday change is slow moving not fast otherwise less rain.

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#1401548 - 11/01/2017 17:35 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Got to a windy top of 25c up here today.

Looking at about 30c tommoz and again on
Friday ahead of (all fingers and toes crossed)
10-15mm of rain Friday/sat period 😀😀
What's the chances of it coming off though lol??

I'm a little confused about Friday's issued max of 30c for my area
Because gfs shows the red line coming right down
Over southern vic, which usually indicates high 30's
Or 40c??

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#1401549 - 11/01/2017 17:36 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
What ever rain we do get dosent look like it will
Make much of an impression with more heat next
Monday/Tuesday 😨😨

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#1401585 - 11/01/2017 20:48 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2140
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
The surface is hard dry Today, which i had 10mm rain 5 days ago felt like had no rain this month.

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#1401660 - 12/01/2017 11:57 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2140
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Bit sick of our High pressure sticking in Victoria corner, as i want more tropical low pressure or cyclone in NW of West Australia, to bring rain and stormy to SE Australia.

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#1401751 - 12/01/2017 18:38 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6309
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Agree with all comments (as usual).

Lets just hope that someone gets some lucky rain below any storms that form tomorrow!

GFS (and AccR) limit any useful frontal rain to .....basically Portland!!?? ...at least we have an intrepid reporter out that way wink


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#1401765 - 12/01/2017 19:15 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
It's amazing the gfs chart, the precip just nearly totally
Disappear by the time it gets to the east side
Of vic??

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#1401767 - 12/01/2017 19:18 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 867
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
We have had moisture streaming down from Nw western Aus for
Nearly 3 weeks and only received 1 awesome
Rain event?? I'm really worried once and if this
Tropical feed stops!!

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#1401854 - 13/01/2017 10:28 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 830
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
lovely 6mm here and steady rain continuing - sorry guys - wish I could push it directly east
_________________________
Located in South West Victoria
My PWS (in Portland, Vic) http://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IVICTORI427

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#1401855 - 13/01/2017 10:43 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2140
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
I wait see next few hours if bring any drops for Northern Victoria otherwise until next Saturday 21st.

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#1401919 - 13/01/2017 15:40 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
BlueyZarsoff Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/07/2015
Posts: 89
Loc: Fountain Lakes (Sth East Melb)
A very handy 12mm at the moment here in Narre cool

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#1401925 - 13/01/2017 16:01 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 534
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
It's trying, trying trying here to rain. The radar looks good but recorded totals in the LV, Sale are not encouraging.

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#1401956 - 13/01/2017 18:11 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6309
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Emptied out 2mm 30 mins ago - been raining nicely since. Very warm/humid/calm - perfect grass growing weather - so hope the Royal Maffra fairways get another 2-3mm! (not silly enough to be a slab on that).

Baro has fallen from 1008 to 996 hPa here past 24hrs.

VERY nice to hear rain on the roof! smile

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#1401962 - 13/01/2017 18:30 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6039
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
5.6mm today, 0.5mm early morning the rest this arvo. SW wind struggling to get over range atm, partial sun 22/19 with variable winds atm.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1401963 - 13/01/2017 18:33 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 534
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Though it's pretended to rain, there's hardly a trace in the dog dinner-bowl rain gauge.

One light shower now as I write - from what the radar shows as a final thin shower band.

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