Page 1 of 3 1 2 3 >
Topic Options
#1401300 - 09/01/2017 22:04 Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Looking at the current model updates
And there currently showing a 30c day tommoz, with
Things Then cooling off Wednesday before heating back
Up to around the mid 30's or higher by Friday, with then possibly
Some sort of rain/storm event Friday night sat morning?
Hinting at some fairly useful rain as well, hopefully this hold true!!

Then heating right up for early the following week!

Will be interesting to see how the next week or so unfolds??
I

Top
#1401365 - 10/01/2017 13:11 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Thanks doogasnow looks very good for another soaking by Friday and thanks High pressure keep heatwave in NSW most of time.

Had very easy sleep of 17c overnight and now rise to 27c at 1pm.

Heaps of Cumulus from North.

Top
#1401401 - 10/01/2017 17:17 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Hope Friday arvo rain comes off!!
Gfs only hinting at 5-10mm for most parts of
Vic! Was hopping more for closer to an inch lol
( not getting greedy or anything😂😂)

Top
#1401413 - 10/01/2017 18:38 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6660
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Thanks DS - agree, a storm out in our stomping ground on Friday arvo might be possible.

Fingers crossed. Likely outcome is not much rain and the birth of 7 new fires to set off the fire season in Gippsland Ranges proper?????

For my 2 bob's, the general setup for SE Aus over coming 5 weeks should still cater for a "lucky significant rain event". Reckon its more likely to arrive from NE than NW.

Top
#1401419 - 10/01/2017 18:57 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah that's what I'm worried about 'p' 😨😨
(Like u say the fire season kicking off properly if we don't
Get that good rain)

Top
#1401511 - 11/01/2017 12:42 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Tomorrow heat from NW NSW seem same pattern again next Monday.

Hope the Friday change is slow moving not fast otherwise less rain.

Top
#1401548 - 11/01/2017 17:35 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Got to a windy top of 25c up here today.

Looking at about 30c tommoz and again on
Friday ahead of (all fingers and toes crossed)
10-15mm of rain Friday/sat period 😀😀
What's the chances of it coming off though lol??

I'm a little confused about Friday's issued max of 30c for my area
Because gfs shows the red line coming right down
Over southern vic, which usually indicates high 30's
Or 40c??

Top
#1401549 - 11/01/2017 17:36 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
What ever rain we do get dosent look like it will
Make much of an impression with more heat next
Monday/Tuesday 😨😨

Top
#1401585 - 11/01/2017 20:48 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
The surface is hard dry Today, which i had 10mm rain 5 days ago felt like had no rain this month.

Top
#1401660 - 12/01/2017 11:57 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Bit sick of our High pressure sticking in Victoria corner, as i want more tropical low pressure or cyclone in NW of West Australia, to bring rain and stormy to SE Australia.

Top
#1401751 - 12/01/2017 18:38 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6660
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Agree with all comments (as usual).

Lets just hope that someone gets some lucky rain below any storms that form tomorrow!

GFS (and AccR) limit any useful frontal rain to .....basically Portland!!?? ...at least we have an intrepid reporter out that way wink


Top
#1401765 - 12/01/2017 19:15 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
It's amazing the gfs chart, the precip just nearly totally
Disappear by the time it gets to the east side
Of vic??

Top
#1401767 - 12/01/2017 19:18 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
We have had moisture streaming down from Nw western Aus for
Nearly 3 weeks and only received 1 awesome
Rain event?? I'm really worried once and if this
Tropical feed stops!!

Top
#1401854 - 13/01/2017 10:28 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
logansi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 911
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
lovely 6mm here and steady rain continuing - sorry guys - wish I could push it directly east
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1401855 - 13/01/2017 10:43 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
I wait see next few hours if bring any drops for Northern Victoria otherwise until next Saturday 21st.

Top
#1401919 - 13/01/2017 15:40 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
BlueyZarsoff Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/07/2015
Posts: 115
Loc: Fountain Lakes (Sth East Melb)
A very handy 12mm at the moment here in Narre cool

Top
#1401925 - 13/01/2017 16:01 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 638
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
It's trying, trying trying here to rain. The radar looks good but recorded totals in the LV, Sale are not encouraging.

Top
#1401956 - 13/01/2017 18:11 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6660
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Emptied out 2mm 30 mins ago - been raining nicely since. Very warm/humid/calm - perfect grass growing weather - so hope the Royal Maffra fairways get another 2-3mm! (not silly enough to be a slab on that).

Baro has fallen from 1008 to 996 hPa here past 24hrs.

VERY nice to hear rain on the roof! smile

Top
#1401962 - 13/01/2017 18:30 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6178
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
5.6mm today, 0.5mm early morning the rest this arvo. SW wind struggling to get over range atm, partial sun 22/19 with variable winds atm.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

Top
#1401963 - 13/01/2017 18:33 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 638
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Though it's pretended to rain, there's hardly a trace in the dog dinner-bowl rain gauge.

One light shower now as I write - from what the radar shows as a final thin shower band.

Top
#1401964 - 13/01/2017 18:38 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Had 6mm rain for Today.

Victoria rain is doing nothing as moist will be gone by Tuesday heat.

So only helps to stop dust and no bushfires as grass is dump wet.

Top
#1401965 - 13/01/2017 18:39 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
We ended up with a nice 8mm which will dampen things
For a couple of days until Monday/Tuesday heat sucks
It all away 😨

Top
#1401967 - 13/01/2017 18:45 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6178
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
SW wind almost as soon as I whinged- yay. Another bumper fall on the high peaks.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

Top
#1402041 - 14/01/2017 08:37 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Dare I say it but it's almost winter like up here
This morning!! Lol a very fresh wind blowing

Top
#1402059 - 14/01/2017 10:53 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Felt like winter morning feels cold get out bed low of 10.6c and now 19c at 10.45am with low clouds and light winds.

Top
#1402139 - 14/01/2017 18:24 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6660
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
We got another 1mm last evening to take us to 3mm for yesterday, provided a rare cooler night for sleeping out this way.

......then that howling westerly set in during the early hours today, and is still howling away out there now. Very rugged conditions for campers from Inverloch through to Mallacoota today!

.....not to mention trying to play golf at Royal Maffra.

I guess the remaining focus for this thread is the lead-up/execution of a bloody hot day looming for Tuesday?? - our first fire-risk day?


Edited by Petros (14/01/2017 18:25)

Top
#1402144 - 14/01/2017 18:44 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
No more rain for us, but like 'p' has said I reckon
A howling westerly has taken away the whole 8nm
That we had in one day 😨

Top
#1402146 - 14/01/2017 18:46 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah Monday Tuesday shaping as interesting
Days that's for sure!! Should be pretty much all
Cooked around here after this next hot spell.
Be really looking toward some sort of good rain
Later next week??

Top
#1402281 - 15/01/2017 12:33 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Thanks to weather pattern had changed than 2015/2016 Heatwave to give Victoria less Hot Gusty wind NW winds and more SW to SE wind change.
NSW and Queensland turn Heatwave for more days than Victoria.

El Niño–Southern Oscillation Outlook continues at INACTIVE no swing yet.

We get more rain by this Thursday coming and next Monday 23rd Jan.

Top
#1402346 - 15/01/2017 17:07 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Gfs hinting at good rains next Thursday/ Friday 😀
Still a long way out but Gippsland area
Looking at 20-30mm (believe When I see it lol)

Bit of heat to get through though between now
And then

Top
#1402383 - 15/01/2017 18:41 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6660
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
The howling westerly abated to "occasionally annoying" westerly today - sunny all day 28.9C by my gauge. Not a real bad day, but adds to grass land drying.

Like Dooga - we all hope to get some "lucky January rain" before the inevitable 6 weeks of Feb/Mar fire season test us all.

Top
#1402525 - 16/01/2017 11:25 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Alexia Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/12/2002
Posts: 576
Loc: Corryong
We have been lucky over the last month
19-29 Dec 46mm rain.
5TH Jan 5.5mm
9th Jan 9.5mm
13th Jan 16.5mm
Have had 30c - 34c days no bad ones yet. Still have nice green under the dry grass in most areas. Looks to be hot tomorrow though. More rain Friday will be very welcome.

Top
#1402528 - 16/01/2017 11:50 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Thanks Alexia

December 2016 32.5mm just average of 32.4mm
9TH Jan 8.5mm
13TH Jan 6mm
So we need another 18.5mm to make average month 33mm.

Top
#1402574 - 16/01/2017 17:54 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Nice falls alexia 😀
We have had 11mm so far this Jan and we need
A lot more to get to our 47.5mm average for the
Month!!

Get through tommoz stinker then see what
Sort of rain we can muster up for the rest
Of week??

Top
#1402581 - 16/01/2017 19:20 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Jane bun suggesting only about 1mm
Or so with tommoz late change!!!

Looks like we miss out tommoz onto
Thursday/Friday lol

Top
#1402633 - 17/01/2017 12:35 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 638
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Strange, and unexpectedly severe weather here. Wind direction and temp all over the place. Currently 38C 14% RH and wind gusting. If the northerly/NWerly persists I think it'll go to 40C. More bushfire dangerous than forecast or I expected.

Top
#1402647 - 17/01/2017 14:53 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Very Hot of 38c at 2.45pm clam no winds.

Top
#1402650 - 17/01/2017 15:07 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 271
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
Back home in the burbs in Tarneit, my PWS is reporting 39C. Clearly there is a break in the cloud as the UV is reporting full sunlight. Bloody hot!
_________________________
Wunderground

Top
#1402661 - 17/01/2017 15:45 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 271
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
I know predicting temperatures on days like today is tricky, but what doozy for Avalon. BOM forecast a max of 32C and currently sitting around 39C shocked
_________________________
Wunderground

Top
#1402694 - 17/01/2017 18:27 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6660
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Apparently a weak change went over Melbourne midday, but temps returned to as forecast by late arvo??

We hit 40C here by my gauge, hotter than expected. Still calm 38C now - cant believe there's no seabreeze here!!??

....so looking forward to an "earlier than expected" change through here tonight - else a return to the oppressive nights we had during Christmas/New Year!! frown

Top
#1402711 - 17/01/2017 19:54 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6178
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
36.4c for a high, certainly pretty hot here, DP briefly got down to near 0 late arvo so very dry air. Back to 26.7c now with a nice southerly and mid level cloud that will hopefully give us a mm in the morning but may not get that "wet".
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

Top
#1402713 - 17/01/2017 20:01 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1029
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
We saw 36.2c up here today another very
Warm drying out day!!

Top
#1402817 - 18/01/2017 11:07 Re: Mild to hot temps with possible storms and rain from 10/1/17 - 18/1/17 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2322
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
What a confusing temperature for our blood pressure Tuesday 18:40pm was 40c then Wed morning 11am is only 19c..Feels great.


Edited by chasers addict (18/01/2017 11:07)

Top
Page 1 of 3 1 2 3 >


Who's Online
5 registered (DNO, Andrew73, Carmen, Manly, 1 invisible), 280 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Farm Weather, storm surge
Forum Stats
29444 Members
32 Forums
23759 Topics
1472183 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image