Hi all,

Another little sequence to post about. All models have a chance of storms tomorrow arvo, more your chaseable scattered variety than a widespread event and certainly favouring western and central parts and along the ranges at this stage,then early hours of Tuesday morning change push through, another slight chabnce in central parts in early Tuesday before the "chance" spreads eastward through that day.

A trough ahead of next high is trigger, hopefully some cooler uppers can get close enough to lift it properly but not holding breath on that

Wind at home went from SE to NE a couple of hours ago. Currently bluest blue sky and 26/11

Short range ACC has increased precip for parts on the 00z run. Would be nice to see GFS but WZ cant seem to produce that more than two runs in a row lately....

Thanks for the thread ruckle 👍

Yeah as u say if we're lucky we could
Get 5-10mm but I'm more leaning
Towards 1-5mm for my area?

Will take what we can scrape out of it
As there is no rain in sight after this event,
With a string of 26-30c days with possibly
A couple of windy stinkers thrown in!!

Looks a bit grim in the east on Tuesday on and south of the divide - still some chances in the NE though. Having said that, a lot can happen in 48 hours.

Ta Ruckle - here's hoping at least some areas of Vic can get something worthwhile rain-wise from this change!

Looks like will be less rain than last system.
Hope isolated thunderstorms for West as stormcast possibly.
Rest week for South of ranges will feel like early autumn cooler.

The Easterly dip High Pressure pattern been doing almost of 1 month for SE Australia.

Reached a hot top of 34.4°C here in Belgrave this arvo. Tolerable heat, but the cold morning worked to our advantage. We kept the curtains and blinds closed, and kept the inside temperature around 20°C. No need to run the air-can!

Skies were almost cloudfree, and we had light cooling breezes.

Currently around 22°C.

Mmm warm and humid this morning, 21 deg ans 70% humidity at 6:30 in the CBD feels more like Brisbane than Melbourne.

Overnight low of 19.5°C, currently around 32°C and mostly sunny.

27.4/13.0 atm, still seen absolutely no sun but heaps of blue sky to the west so a hot arvo looks on the cards.

Top of 36.7C here today in Tarneit, still 36.5C. Just saw Weatherzone website stating 5-10mm for Melbourne area tonight?

Seriously the only really dry air in SE oz is the corridor from SW NSW to NW VIC and heading SE from that toward central parts. Sigh, looks like a rain band more coverage but less totals than we would all like, not much thunder, wind shift already pushing into western parts but has dry air ahead of it.

Is this the actual change coming through associated with the rain band around Geelong area? Temps are dropping with the SW Wind direction. Much earlier than anticipated.

LOL epic fail on my original post. Weatherviewer the wind change is a trough, the cold front back in the southern bight is still to go by to our south.

Hurry up cool change for Northern Country very hot and dry air.

Wind returning to very humid Northerlies after this band, fingers crossed for something.. just something

Calm 36.9C here today, calm 30.5C now - another hot night to add to this summers tally!

Baro seems to have bottomed at 1001 hPa now.

Partly cloudy top of 36.2c here today!

Sw wind change blew through here about
An hour ago, fairly gusty out there now and
Cooled back off to 20!

Only on and off light rain falling

Lovely cool of 28c at 1.45pm with light winds and clear skies

24c up here today with a disappointing
2mm of rain overnight!!
Really needed a lot more with the outlook
Looking so dry and warm for the next week😨

0.2mm here...

No good at all ruckle!! Made me feel like
Our 2mm is monsoonal!!

How's the area up around u looking
Ruckle?

Still greenish by roadsides etc as water collects there when it does rain but browning on the hills and paddocks but not total - still a hint of green if you look close. Next change is dry it will be pretty brown I suspect. Having said that my back yard is just wild grass etc., is never watered and sloped and yet is pretty green.

Reached a scorching 39.6°C here in Belgrave yesterday. The clouds suppressed the heat somewhat, but at times it was windy. The wind change swept in around 7pm (very windy conditions at the time), with light rain around an hour later.

Managed to collect only 2.1mm of rain in the 24 hours to 9am. No storms unfortunately.

As for today...

Overnight low of 17.2°C, reached a warm, breezy, mostly sunny top of 27.5°C. Currently around 20°C.

Victoria still very Lucky to escape Heatwave pattern as rest next week BIG Heatwave effect SA/NT/QLD/NSW...Thanks to SE/NE winds.

Not wrong there chasers addict. Question though, is there any slight chance the models could change last minute and throw the scorching heat down south, or would you say the models are locked in for the heat to miss us?

Weather_Viwer, well just wait see as the heat will go down to Melbourne by next Monday until SW/SE change.

so there Next new Tread.