your right WR, i agree, it has been good here, comparativly
speaking, on a microscale some have got smashed and some
have got bugger all but when one stands back and looks at
the overall big picture for s.a. then things do really
look good, the s.e.s.a. has been it's usual crap garbage
self but i suppose being the southerly most component
seemingly stuck out on the end of a dead branch it's to
yer Tek it's trying, for want of a better word..'systems'
are still coming through at around weekly intervals
although noticable was this last one which did a hop-skip
and took the intervals from thurs-fri to monday. it was
the one system but was split in half and came to be 3-4
days apart, what split it apart? no prizes for first guess.
what i'm seeing is a persistant laid back longwave trough
running from north and nw w.a. through northern s.a. and
n.s.w. which is trying to stand up and come down through
the southern half of s.a. but is being constantly pushed
aside back north. a few sprinkles of rain here and there
maybe but the trough needs to toughen up, everything is
just too zonal atm.
having said all that this latest chunk of 850s is actually
nice and broad and penetrating, the only thing missing is
'long lived', i.e. a few days, not even a couple. the one
good thing is the advance models piss that northern upper
ridge off fairly quick, the last thing we need is one of
them things hanging around like TH on the WZ forum.
i was going to say looking at the latest charts that i
would expect to see monday downgraded somewhat but
upon checking i see that has already happened.
i havnt given up Tek but i sure as hell aint holding
my breath. and i aint complaining either, just telling
what i see for others to read and maybe comment on.
quite frankly even after a short spell of heat people
appreciate a cool change and reset.
The month here has been pretty good and will end up above average, but all we need is some northerly isobars and it'll be something special.
yer your not kidding, preferably northerly isobars
generated by a steroid infused godzilla 1035
blocking tasman high.
i might put my order in for one now complete with
1-2 weeks of plus 35° heat, never know we might get
lucky and get one in our lifetime.