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#1404504 - 30/01/2017 10:52 SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1644
Loc: Uleybury
Another potential of good rains are on the way with many maps now pegging a rain band for the first week in February all thanks to a tropical infeed, this feels like the most amount of tropical moisture invasions I've seen as we don't have those big dominating highs to keep them at bay.


EC sitting around 45-55mm
OCF 47mm
CMC goes the highest with 60-80mm, looks like up to 100 in areas as well.
GFS sits on the 25mm area.

I'll sit on 30mm for home for a general average.

With all this additional rain, Downy Mildew will become a massive problem for grape growers as well.

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#1404505 - 30/01/2017 10:55 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Not only downy/powdery mildew, but veraison will be commencing shortly, so we could then see botrytis issues.

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#1404509 - 30/01/2017 11:28 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1598
Loc: Bridgewater
i like rain

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#1404560 - 30/01/2017 15:37 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Definitely got a nice drink of rain down here in the SE around lunch time and it felt really like a tropical climate once the rain stopped it became really humid... it makes you wonder Teck why a downy mildew alert wasn't put out for grape and fruit growers as these muggy conditions will cause some headaches for the vineyards and apple orchards

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#1404608 - 30/01/2017 20:32 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
these models on this are like a terrier with a bone,
instabilty paramaters are starting to kick in already
this is looking really good, pity it wasn't saturday
instead of sunday as the main day, but i am seeing
things sliding forward a bit compared to a couple of
days ago by about 12hrs so fingers crossed for a bit
more.


TH
_________________________



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#1404619 - 30/01/2017 21:46 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: ThD Ht]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
If the models hold together fingers crossed all areas see some activity Thunda

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#1404632 - 31/01/2017 04:38 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
things still not looking the greatest for you down there RS,
at this stage you're still looking at a bit of rain, a few
mils at best, the bottom half of the lower s.e. is right
on the bottom edge of the forecast area of rain, as one
heads north rain totals get higher with the main core of
rain totals still running vertically from victor harbour
to pt. augusta and wnw to ese through lower ep, adelaide
to upper s.e./lower mallee.
at this stage gfs has the rain coming in two lots,
the first lot on sunday is mainly upper ep-lower mid
north/northern suburbs-upper s.e./lower mallee orientated.
the second lot on monday is a narrower, heavier band and
is lower ep-lower yp-adelaide metro-upper s.e./lower mallee
again. the second rainband is associated with a mid
level trough.
so far still holding up nicely.

TH
_________________________



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#1404664 - 31/01/2017 10:29 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Oh well it seems the tap has been turned off for us but never mind it will allow us a few days to dry off after Mondays tropical downpour

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#1404668 - 31/01/2017 10:57 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Matt_30 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2008
Posts: 62
Loc: Adelaide
Bring it on, but I hope it does not come forward any further than it already has, as mentioned seems to have come forward around 12 hours. I have my engagement party on Saturday and it is very much an outdoor thing. But otherwise, bring the rain and humidity; loving it.

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#1404707 - 31/01/2017 15:06 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
If it's a Saturday evening do, think you are in trouble...

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#1404732 - 31/01/2017 18:00 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
don't throw your arms up in dispair yet RS,
models are always in a variable state of flux.
some parameters are hardcore days out, some are variable
right up to analysis, and others lie in between.
the trick is in trying to tease apart the knots.
they have diverged somewhat, one now showing you getting
an inch and another showing you getting nothing.
just stay cool and wait for things to get a couple
more days closer.
the hard core paramater is there's an infeed of moisture
with rain in most likly narrow band(s)
the variable is where.
the fun is you can scratch the surface or dive in
boots and all.
the secret is not to get too anal or upset, the models
follow the weather, not the other way around.
just heard amelia (s/p) on channel ten say our humid
weather is over and in virtually the same breath that
some places will be in for up to 60mm from sat to mon.
that's what happens when people have to blindly read
from a script and know not what they're saying.
never mind, that's pretty much on par for tv.

matt 30 you may have to engage a couple of marquees
for your party.

TH

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#1404734 - 31/01/2017 18:10 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Matt_30 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2008
Posts: 62
Loc: Adelaide
Yes, fortunately we have ordered a marquee and it is looking more likely to be needed. Things appeard to have been brought forward again.

Oh well, I do enjoy this tropical weather so bring it on, disappointed there won't be storms with this lot, but can't have everything.

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#1404735 - 31/01/2017 18:12 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: teckert]
Matt_30 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2008
Posts: 62
Loc: Adelaide
Originally Posted By: teckert
If it's a Saturday evening do, think you are in trouble...

It's afternoon/early evening, so it will be a very close run thing.

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#1404774 - 31/01/2017 22:20 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7099
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
Maybe 30-50 mm, who knows.

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#1404776 - 31/01/2017 22:41 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Matt_30]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 559
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Originally Posted By: Matt_30
Originally Posted By: teckert
If it's a Saturday evening do, think you are in trouble...

It's afternoon/early evening, so it will be a very close run thing.


I expect to be cycling home about that time lest it's pouring in the morning and I get whimpy ;-)



Edited by betsuin (31/01/2017 22:46)

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#1404782 - 01/02/2017 02:32 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Matt_30]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: Matt_30
Yes, fortunately we have ordered a marquee and it is looking more likely to be needed. Things appeard to have been brought forward again.

Oh well, I do enjoy this tropical weather so bring it on, disappointed there won't be storms with this lot, but can't have everything.


yes mate they have come forward, 24hrs from the original
now, not an unusual occurrence by any means. it's a bit
like were heading toward the event and the event is
moving backward toward us at a lesser pace.
the delineation between bugger all and major dumpage is
as about as tight as one can get with broadscale rainbands.
trying to work out who's going to get what is like trying
to shoot a flying duck with a rifle although the trend
seems to have adelaide metro and anything on a wnw/ese
line as bullseye central. lucky us. i love this sort of
stuff and burying myself in these model updates i'm having
as much fun as a farm dog has rolling in fresh cowshit.
the other thing is you don't want storms, believe me,
i'll make a long story short............
one chrissy day many years ago my sister put on a huge
christmas dinner for about 20 family and i got up halfway
through and went stormchasing, when i got back she locked
me up in the doghouse and flushed the key down the toilet.
having storms gatecrash an event is not fun or pretty
for me or anyone else who's crazy about storms.
not only that but events can handle rain somewhat but
storms can ruin them.
btw, i see you don't post very much so if we don't hear
from you much after this before i forget congratulations
on your engagement and all the best for the future.

TH


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#1404803 - 01/02/2017 08:49 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
models still all over the place really. COuld be still quite dry on Saturday night yet...
EC this morning even has Sunday dry and then giving us 35mm on monday.... just wait a few more days yet for some consensus....

edit: GFS now also has majority rain on Monday... & Models going for a bit of a follow up on Wednesday as well..


Edited by teckert (01/02/2017 09:48)

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#1404835 - 01/02/2017 13:04 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
I checked Elders Weather app yesterday and contrary to what you said about me not throwing my arms up in despair rings true Thunda as it has Kalangadoo forecast to get between 10-20mm on Sunday and a further 1-5mm on Monday

Although the absence of any storm activity is a let down however we had a tropical downpour/dumper similar to this in 2010 that pretty much almost drowned Mount Gambier with 60-80mm of rain if my memory serves me correct although Thunda can correct me on that

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#1404837 - 01/02/2017 13:26 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: rstewart84]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14855
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
I checked Elders Weather app yesterday and contrary to what you said about me not throwing my arms up in despair rings true Thunda as it has Kalangadoo forecast to get between 10-20mm on Sunday and a further 1-5mm on Monday

Although the absence of any storm activity is a let down however we had a tropical downpour/dumper similar to this in 2010 that pretty much almost drowned Mount Gambier with 60-80mm of rain if my memory serves me correct although Thunda can correct me on that


Whatever the forecast, I would be deleting the elders app from your phone if I were you.

TS cool

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#1404852 - 01/02/2017 16:54 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Advice noted TS smile but i did cross reference all 3 weather apps i have on my phone and all 3 said 10-20 mm for Sunday and a follow up of 1-5mm Monday

Silver lining is that a lil bit of warmish weather coming up next week with 32 forecast for Wednesday hopefully it sticks around after a wet couple of days coming up

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#1404863 - 01/02/2017 18:02 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
yer things have backed off a bit as far as timing goes,
worse is the dropping down of the core of the rainband
to be running over KI at the moment, if this keeps up
it will be a non event for here, not that it matters
too much.
one thing of note is the small but consistent ramping
up of instability parameters as things approach closer.
other notables is the usual gobs of moisture, the
other not so obvious is the largely divergent mid and
upper level winds. for sunday mid north, eastern
ranges, riverland and mallee are a big 10 - 4 for
possible storms at the moment.
if were not going to get flooded out by rain then
the least the weather can do is wipe us off the map
with a decent storm. actually after what's happened
to s.a.over the last 6 months maybe i shouldn't use
the term "wipe us off the map" so loosely.

TH
_________________________



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#1404890 - 01/02/2017 22:30 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Originally Posted By: Thunderstruck
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
I checked Elders Weather app yesterday and contrary to what you said about me not throwing my arms up in despair rings true Thunda as it has Kalangadoo forecast to get between 10-20mm on Sunday and a further 1-5mm on Monday

Although the absence of any storm activity is a let down however we had a tropical downpour/dumper similar to this in 2010 that pretty much almost drowned Mount Gambier with 60-80mm of rain if my memory serves me correct although Thunda can correct me on that


Whatever the forecast, I would be deleting the elders app from your phone if I were you.

TS cool


Pretty sure Elders just use WZ's feed and data.... while I wouldn't personally use it either as I have WZ's app, I'm not sure of the exact reasons why you would just suggest deletion?

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#1404922 - 02/02/2017 04:57 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
well after yesterdays run having the center of the rainband
seeing down through KI and lower s.e. it has now sawed back up
to the original forecast position. access and ec are largely in
agreeance of timing, position and amounts, gfs somewhat less
but really only in as much as monday goes. the general consensus
is were 'gunna git lacquered' big time.
considering gfs is forecasting the least amount of rain and
taking into account orographic effects some places in the
ranges could get 75-100mm, on the other end of the scale
could be 125ish,mm, even 75mm is man the sand bags stuff.
even though we're,(and i mean we're as in south of and east
of pt. augusta), still out of the ball park as far as storms
go at least we have been penciled into the menu. ep and
especially northern ep is pretty much foregone but
thunderstorm indices and parameters are still slowly moving
south and east on each run.

TH




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#1404971 - 02/02/2017 13:02 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 528
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
Got yhe lawn fertiliser ready to go. Last time I did it we got 82mm and most of it washed down the street

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#1404991 - 02/02/2017 15:25 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Seems to have backed off big time for the LSE only forecast to get 5-10 mm in comparison to yesterday when it said 10-20 mm for Sunday and about 1-5 mm Monday but it may change again before sunday

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#1404992 - 02/02/2017 15:28 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: willitrainagain]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: willitrainagain
Got yhe lawn fertiliser ready to go. Last time I did it we got 82mm and most of it washed down the street


So that's why all the ducks in Mt Barker turned green lol


Edited by Jet entrance (02/02/2017 15:29)
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1404993 - 02/02/2017 15:30 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: rstewart84]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
Seems to have backed off big time for the LSE only forecast to get 5-10 mm in comparison to yesterday when it said 10-20 mm for Sunday and about 1-5 mm Monday but it may change again before sunday


And it will no doubt change 15 more times before the event starts


Edited by Jet entrance (02/02/2017 15:30)
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1404994 - 02/02/2017 15:31 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: teckert]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: teckert
Originally Posted By: Thunderstruck
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
I checked Elders Weather app yesterday and contrary to what you said about me not throwing my arms up in despair rings true Thunda as it has Kalangadoo forecast to get between 10-20mm on Sunday and a further 1-5mm on Monday

Although the absence of any storm activity is a let down however we had a tropical downpour/dumper similar to this in 2010 that pretty much almost drowned Mount Gambier with 60-80mm of rain if my memory serves me correct although Thunda can correct me on that


Whatever the forecast, I would be deleting the elders app from your phone if I were you.

TS cool


Pretty sure Elders just use WZ's feed and data.... while I wouldn't personally use it either as I have WZ's app, I'm not sure of the exact reasons why you would just suggest deletion?


I agree with TS, Elders weather may use some of the WZ info but its an awful accurate guide to upcoming weather.

Don't they sell property anyway?? lol


Edited by Jet entrance (02/02/2017 15:32)
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1404995 - 02/02/2017 15:33 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: ThD Ht]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
well after yesterdays run having the center of the rainband
seeing down through KI and lower s.e. it has now sawed back up
to the original forecast position. access and ec are largely in
agreeance of timing, position and amounts, gfs somewhat less
but really only in as much as monday goes. the general consensus
is were 'gunna git lacquered' big time.
considering gfs is forecasting the least amount of rain and
taking into account orographic effects some places in the
ranges could get 75-100mm, on the other end of the scale
could be 125ish,mm, even 75mm is man the sand bags stuff.
even though we're,(and i mean we're as in south of and east
of pt. augusta), still out of the ball park as far as storms
go at least we have been penciled into the menu. ep and
especially northern ep is pretty much foregone but
thunderstorm indices and parameters are still slowly moving
south and east on each run.

TH





Man the boats me one eyed padres!!!
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405006 - 02/02/2017 16:50 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Jet entrance]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Originally Posted By: teckert
Originally Posted By: Thunderstruck
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
I checked Elders Weather app yesterday and contrary to what you said about me not throwing my arms up in despair rings true Thunda as it has Kalangadoo forecast to get between 10-20mm on Sunday and a further 1-5mm on Monday

Although the absence of any storm activity is a let down however we had a tropical downpour/dumper similar to this in 2010 that pretty much almost drowned Mount Gambier with 60-80mm of rain if my memory serves me correct although Thunda can correct me on that


Whatever the forecast, I would be deleting the elders app from your phone if I were you.

TS cool


Pretty sure Elders just use WZ's feed and data.... while I wouldn't personally use it either as I have WZ's app, I'm not sure of the exact reasons why you would just suggest deletion?


I agree with TS, Elders weather may use some of the WZ info but its an awful accurate guide to upcoming weather.

Don't they sell property anyway?? lol


Sorry guys, but unless you are saying Weatherzone itself is awful you can't comment on Elders. WZ produces all the content on Elders weather based on their data and the BOM. What you see on Elders is exactly what you see on WZ.

Elders have been around for 175 years in the rural sector and have played a long term role in farming weather & business. The property side of it has been an extra service introduced later on.

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#1405007 - 02/02/2017 16:58 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
TranslucidusW Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/11/2003
Posts: 2662
Loc: Southern Adelaide
On Monday we might need to change our town to Floodelaide!!
_________________________
I don't know anything . . .
Sheidow Park Weather




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#1405009 - 02/02/2017 17:07 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: TranslucidusW]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1598
Loc: Bridgewater
Originally Posted By: TranslucidusW
On Monday we might need to change our town to Floodelaide!!


CFS now stands for country flooding service.

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#1405010 - 02/02/2017 17:08 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14855
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Elders are rubbish. Do you not rememember the long term forecasts for most of last year? AV will remind you.

TS cool

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#1405013 - 02/02/2017 17:19 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
yes I agree but did you not realise they come direct from WZ? My point is that they are EXACTLY the same as WZ.

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#1405014 - 02/02/2017 17:22 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Im not sure about flooding yet lol.... just need to look at latest GFS....

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#1405034 - 02/02/2017 19:09 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Latest GFS is terrible as far as other models go, hardly gives us anything. 5-10mm for the 4 days till Tuesday


Edited by Jet entrance (02/02/2017 19:13)
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405035 - 02/02/2017 19:12 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: teckert]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: teckert
yes I agree but did you not realise they come direct from WZ? My point is that they are EXACTLY the same as WZ.


Oops! lol, so we all just bagged the crap out of Weatherzone lol

Sorrry grin
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405039 - 02/02/2017 19:30 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
thats ok, they are a great bunch of guys, they're tough,
they can handle it.
gfs shows bugger all, just looked at access, i spat coffee all
over the keyboard, my eyeballs popped their sockets and
i went into immediate hyperventilation.
seriously....wtf.
one minute the models are agreeing with each other the
next minute they're bashing each other up.
ec appears to be sitting on the fence having a bet each way,
even if the setup does run the middle of the road it's still
going to be quite significant for some.
if it runs as gfs has it it will be a nice drop of rain for
the middle of summer to freshen up the garden and add to the tanks.
if it runs access way it's put yer heads between yer knees
and kiss yer butts goodbye.
i don't care, i'm lovin this, what ever happens better than
predictable, boaring and nothin' to talk about.
bring it on.

TH

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#1405046 - 02/02/2017 19:58 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1644
Loc: Uleybury
Access G Drowns us if it pulled through like that

To 9AM Sunday 10-20mm
To 9AM Monday 30-40mm
To 9AM Tuesday 60-80mm

Access R is similar to G

OCF:
Sat 9.0mm
Sun 30.0mm
Mon 19.0mm

EC 41mm

CMC has 50-80mm
GFS around 10mm

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#1405047 - 02/02/2017 19:59 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1644
Loc: Uleybury
First Downy Mildew warning out as well:


Downy Mildew Advice
IDS21003

Downy Mildew Advice for the Mount Lofty Ranges, Mid North, Riverland, Murraylands, Upper South East and Lower South East forecast districts
Issued at 6:03 pm CDT on Thursday 2 February 2017.

Horticulturalists and viticulturalists in the Mount Lofty Ranges, Mid North, Riverland, Murraylands and Upper South East forecast districts and parts of the Lower South East forecast district are advised that conditions during Sunday and Monday are conducive to an outbreak of downy mildew.

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#1405112 - 03/02/2017 10:36 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Models still vary way too much with this system...
CMC and ACCESS still going for a decent rainband through Sun-Mon with anything between 30-60mm, while GFS a bit hit or miss but still 15-35mm maybe.
EC has completely downgraded barely giving us 5-15mm...

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#1405117 - 03/02/2017 11:13 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1598
Loc: Bridgewater
for adel hills


ADFD 19-60mm
OCF 41mm
GFS 31mm


i call that pretty consistent.

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#1405119 - 03/02/2017 11:33 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14855
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Models have been incredibly inconsistent for this event. Ranging from 5-10mm to 160mm across the board. Dogs breakfast. Trend is more N atm, N burbs and Mid North etc seem to be getting best of the band and monstly on the monday.

TS cool

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#1405139 - 03/02/2017 15:11 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
nothing like everything shifting north to take the wind out
of ones sails, never mind it always was one of those too good
to be true scenarios, looks like anything south of the cbd
gets a little bit of leftover puke from the dogs brekky to
snack on, barely worth getting the rain guage out for.
gawler to pt. wakefield might get a nice bit of flooding again.

TH
_________________________



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#1405144 - 03/02/2017 16:01 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: ThD Ht]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Wise and true words spoken by a wise Jedi Thunda it was pretty much too good to be true tropical set up if it had a bit of a bite to it rather than being indecisive and all over the place we might have seen a good set up that benefited everyone in terms of rainfall

Fingers cross when the next weather event comes it is a lot more of a better setup

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#1405147 - 03/02/2017 16:56 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Yep, all over red rover!! Adelaide lucky to see 5mm now.


Edited by teckert (03/02/2017 19:42)
Edit Reason: language

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#1405152 - 03/02/2017 17:11 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
thanks RS, it's just not worth getting upset about, it was
fun watching it and its still going to be fun watching it
as it unfolds as it happens wherever it happens. remember
the weather drives the models, not the other way around.
and to show how not upset i am i'm just going to find a
nice quiet dark corner, lay down, curl up into the fetal
position and sob uncontrollably. cry cry cry

TH

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#1405158 - 03/02/2017 17:34 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Know that feeling i feel like doing the same thing Thunda as this weather has been one big disappointment after another for my neck of the woods dating back to last years ball tearing weather event one will hope we see more decent weather events happening shortly

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#1405177 - 03/02/2017 19:42 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Looks like about 30mm in total for the city. Sth burbs prob little less. Nth burbs a touch more. I'm expecting around the 35mm mark at my place.

Only light falls from tomorrow arvo through till Sunday night then heavier stuff should set in after dark Sunday, through Monday.

Really this is a very impressive event for February.

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#1405189 - 03/02/2017 21:25 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: ThD Ht]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7099
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
Originally Posted By: teckert
Really this is a very impressive event for February.

I remember there being a saying, something along the lines of "when I see it, I'll believe it!"...there are others, but I think this is fairly true too:

Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
it's just not worth getting upset about, it was fun watching it and its still going to be fun watching it as it unfolds as it happens wherever it happens. remember the weather drives the models, not the other way around.

smile

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#1405214 - 04/02/2017 06:56 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
ok.....
so were absolutely positively defiantly up for maybe a
slight chance of a possible storm.
sunday ain't lookin' too shabby atm.
other than the obvious stuff there appears to be three
paraell lines of convergance. even a dogs berkky is more
organised than this, at least it's in a bowl.
the whole setup looks like it's been cooked up in the mind
of someone who knows nothing about weather.
at least models have swung things back toward the south a
bit with a more usual and realistic starting in the south
and moving northward scenario.
need to keep a close eye on sundays storm potential though.

TH
_________________________



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#1405228 - 04/02/2017 08:20 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
poona Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/11/2005
Posts: 281
Loc: 5km NW COULTA Lower Eyre Penin...
Fairy strong persistent thunder just to our west moving in , quiet black, and not far away, looks like tropical moisture a plenty and embedded thunderstorms, will know soon enough.

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#1405231 - 04/02/2017 08:24 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
that's a bloody good little cell heading toward you, looks like
the bulk of the lightning is on the back edge.
jeeze it went up quick and it's fast moving, got me wondering
if it will make it across the gulfs now.

just had a closer look at direction, it appears to be the
front edge of a pool of moisture, if it makes it across the
gulf it 's going to t-bone adelaide.
this forum needs a weather heads up alert foghorn button.

TH

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#1405232 - 04/02/2017 08:29 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
EC has it quite wet this arvo for Adelaide.... 5-10mm.

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#1405256 - 04/02/2017 10:41 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
it's moving slightly south of east but the bottom edge of
the core is dropping off giving the impression it's moving
east or even slightly north of.
touch and go whether i see anything significant.
thought it might pulse again but looking probably not at this
stage.
can see it on the horizon now, looking beasty.

TH
_________________________



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#1405262 - 04/02/2017 11:41 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6548
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Pretty quiet on this forum given this is approaching???:


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#1405267 - 04/02/2017 11:50 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
yer mate, nobody cares, well......almost nobody. poke
looks like it's starting to thin out now as it approaches,
that really shocks and surprises me.......not.

INCOMING RAINBAND.....ACTIVATE THE FORCEFIELD, RELEASE THE HOUNDS!!!!!!!!!

TH

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#1405274 - 04/02/2017 12:06 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1803
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Nullabor with 20mm, they'd be happy grin
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-18mm to 0900 20th.

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#1405277 - 04/02/2017 12:31 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2076
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Well the forecast has picked up about to 10 mm for the LSE tomorrow with a chance of thunderstorms in the late morning/early arvo no doubt it will only be the odd embedded rumble of thunder with rain followed by muggy conditions although one must not rule out possible lightning although its likely to be only CC stuff

The tropical like conditions will definitely play havoc on grape and fruit growers its a wonder a Downy Mildew Alert hasn't been put out for the LSE as there's one current for the USE

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#1405280 - 04/02/2017 12:53 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 559
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
A little bit of rain here now.

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#1405286 - 04/02/2017 13:40 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
hi RS,
thanks for your report, the reason there is no alert for
LSE is the temperature/humidity index won't be high enough
for long enough for BOM to consider a notifiable threat for
the LSE. the USE is marginal but still falls within
notifiable limits. i don't know the exact paramaters but i
think it's roughly 3 or more days of tropical type weather.
you're looking at 1 or 2 at most.
of course that's according to forecast models and that as you
very well know can change so you may still get one yet.

well the rainband certainly thinned out, nothing more than
a dose of virga, i got 12.62 drops of rain on the concrete
so officially it did rain. BFD.

TH


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#1405290 - 04/02/2017 14:03 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Thunderstorm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/12/2012
Posts: 121
Loc: sw suburbs of Adelaide
This forecast rain could push the summer total to close to highest on record . In the summer of 1924/1925 172.8mm was recorded, but most of that fell in a record breaking thunderstorm on Feb.7th 1925, a 141.5mm downpour !!!

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#1405291 - 04/02/2017 14:13 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 559
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Saturday 4 February 13:42:32 ACDT 2017
SHT15: Temperature = 26.94 C, Humidity = 51.84 %, Dewpoint = 16.20 C
Baro Temperature: 27.51 C | Pressure: 991.89 hPa

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#1405297 - 04/02/2017 14:39 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
poona Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/11/2005
Posts: 281
Loc: 5km NW COULTA Lower Eyre Penin...
Persistent on of showers since thismorning, on now, steady solid drizzle large drops, tropical, no wind 9mm so far, just about to drive to Adelaide, will see what's in the gauge when we get back home Tuesday evening?

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#1405304 - 04/02/2017 15:19 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1598
Loc: Bridgewater
come on rain, dont let down

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#1405308 - 04/02/2017 15:31 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
it won't Eevo,
everything starting to ramp up now,
huge block of cloud in the bight and ep,
good development from and precip. coming across gulfs.
each load will wet the atmosphere and provide moisture
for the next.

TH
_________________________



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#1405318 - 04/02/2017 16:29 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
PHWWWWOOOOOOOOOOR!!!!!!
she's on for tomorrow, gfs has come the pardy for storms.
nice line of storms "likley" from 1.30 on.
gunna be wet suckers, just have to see if any clear slots
eventuate.
soundings for ep are excellent with dryer mid levels and
bugger all low and mid level cloud forecst, surface trough,
good divergent mid and upper level winds and a nice gooey
atmosphere for them to snack on, this is shaping
up with the potential to be as crazy as the last lot.

TH
_________________________



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#1405330 - 04/02/2017 18:08 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1598
Loc: Bridgewater
looks good on radar but not much hitting the ground

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#1405343 - 04/02/2017 19:21 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
yer only got 1.5mm here so far, no biggie, this is only a
primer, main event to start in the wee small hours of
tomorrow morning and ramp up from there.
from what i can tell radar is over tweaked to hyper
sensitive, that's why all the interference crap.

TH
_________________________



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#1405352 - 04/02/2017 20:30 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: ThD Ht]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9642
Loc: Mid North, SA
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
from what i can tell radar is over tweaked to hyper sensitive, that's why all the interference crap.

TH

That's been my grizzle for awhile with the Buckland Park radar. Hopefully when it's updated it'll read more true.

Just 1 paltry millimetre here, though it was bucketing down at Porter Lagoon when I came through there around 4pm. smile
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#1405356 - 04/02/2017 21:38 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Helen]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: Helen

That's been my grizzle for awhile with the Buckland Park radar. Hopefully when it's updated it'll read more true.


hi helen,
yer yours and everyone elses, damn thing.
unfortunately BOM don't have what it takes to dish up
a proper explanation as to why they had it tweaked it up
to so sensative. from what i've been able to gleen in info
it's only a senior technician or engineer gets to play with
these things when they come over for a service.
you can pretty much tweak these things up so they pick up
sparrow farts, with the BOM so cash strapped if it's
screwed up it stays screwed up until the next time they
come over to service. until i'm offered a more logical
and definitive explanation that's the best i've been
able to work out.

Originally Posted By: Helen
Just 1 paltry millimetre here, though it was bucketing down at Porter Lagoon when I came through there around 4pm. smile

1.8mm for me, first wave is gone and this is pretty much
on par with what was predicted on average for today, if
we had got smashed by that system this morning i would
have been very happy but also very surprised.
you can see the second wave freight training over the
border now.
RS....rainguage at the ready, you might get a sprinkle
tonight.


TH
_________________________



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#1405393 - 05/02/2017 08:30 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Ryan Hothersall Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/11/2009
Posts: 771
Loc: Gulfview Heights, South Austra...
2.6 mm fell yesterday here in Gulfview heights.

Looking dark outside.
_________________________
My Stuff on the Web
www.ryanhothersall.net

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#1405417 - 05/02/2017 09:46 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
yer pretty much rain band today as expected. Can't see too many storms about apart from the odd embedded rumble to two..

Should ease overnight then re-intensify tomorrow in a band north of a line about Cleve-Adelaide-Keith...

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#1405433 - 05/02/2017 10:14 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 528
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
This lot looks to be staying north of us

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#1405464 - 05/02/2017 11:50 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 8400
Loc: Blair Athol, SA
Nice weather for a drive grin


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#1405472 - 05/02/2017 12:47 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: teckert]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Someone has it horribly wrong....


Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
PHWWWWOOOOOOOOOOR!!!!!!
she's on for tomorrow, gfs has come the pardy for storms.
nice line of storms "likley" from 1.30 on.
gunna be wet suckers, just have to see if any clear slots
eventuate.
soundings for ep are excellent with dryer mid levels and
bugger all low and mid level cloud forecst, surface trough,
good divergent mid and upper level winds and a nice gooey
atmosphere for them to snack on, this is shaping
up with the potential to be as crazy as the last lot.

TH




Originally Posted By: teckert
yer pretty much rain band today as expected. Can't see too many storms about apart from the odd embedded rumble to two..

Should ease overnight then re-intensify tomorrow in a band north of a line about Cleve-Adelaide-Keith...




I personally see the rain has already shifted north and with that opens the door for storms this arvo if we can get some clear air, thoughts?
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405473 - 05/02/2017 12:47 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Things]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: Things
Nice weather for a drive grin



Beautiful dogs smile
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405478 - 05/02/2017 12:54 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Actually, this pretty much explains what we will get today, as TH mentioned, a nice line of storms this eveing, but isolated stuff anytime from now I'd say...

FRONT NEAR Pt Neill/Mt Gambier AT 4:30pm, Cleve/Bordertown AT 6:30pm. SCATTERED OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT. THUNDERSTORMS CLEARING MORE THAN 60NM S OF FRONT. RAIN TENDING TO ISOLATED SHOWERS MORE THAN 120NM S OF FRONT.


Edited by Jet entrance (05/02/2017 12:55)
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405493 - 05/02/2017 13:59 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1598
Loc: Bridgewater
finally! a decent fall

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#1405495 - 05/02/2017 14:05 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Eevo]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 528
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
You took it all...lol

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#1405498 - 05/02/2017 14:25 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
puddles Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/01/2007
Posts: 179
Loc: Reynella, SA
Rain band to t he north of us and another to the south of us. Southern burbs appear to now be in a rain free corridor.

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#1405501 - 05/02/2017 14:57 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
berga1987 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2010
Posts: 336
Loc: Malvern, Adelaide, Aus
Can confirm, South Plympton DAADDD, However looks to be more on the way.
_________________________
I wish Mt Lofty was more lofty, another 2km or so would suffice.

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#1405505 - 05/02/2017 15:20 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
yep, was always gunna be someone will get it and someone
will miss out, that's the way the cookie crumbles.
see what happens when that clear slot near ceduna slides
over southern EP. would have thought if something was going
to happen it would have started by now. still a few hours
left yet but the window of opportunity is rapidly drawing
to a close. it did have good potential and paramaters were
good to excellent, just didn't get the damn clear slot soon
enough.
massive line of prolonged storms to the south. something
like that could only happen out somewhere where no one
could enjoy it. seems like the forcefield is doing it's job nicely.

TH
_________________________



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#1405518 - 05/02/2017 16:35 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
there's even storms out in bass straight and heading
toward melbourne/geelong, how quaint.
1.2mm here so far, that makes 3mm all up, a veritable
delude of biblical proportions.

TH
_________________________



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#1405522 - 05/02/2017 16:57 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 528
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
Yes TH, just clocked up 1mm here

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#1405551 - 05/02/2017 18:48 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9642
Loc: Mid North, SA
In a good stream up here currently... 9.4mm since 9am. No wind and it's been pretty constant for the last couple of hours. smile
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#1405555 - 05/02/2017 19:04 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 559
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
6mm here so far since this started yesterday.

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#1405558 - 05/02/2017 19:13 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Bottom/back edge is to be watched closely, some nice little cells already popped on the front below Marion Bay
_________________________
"When the storm starts,
The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1405567 - 05/02/2017 20:06 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1901
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Nothing to get excited about down here...

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#1405580 - 05/02/2017 21:37 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
yer not much left for the southerners now.
Should still see good bands moving through nth burbs, Mid North and into Riverland overnight. Still expecting to wake up tomorrow with around 20-25mm from system tbh. Maybe I'm a tad optimistic but considering models still have this band intensifying overnight I'm quietly confident...
Should all be clearing by lunchtime.

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#1405593 - 05/02/2017 23:08 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
parklife Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2013
Posts: 75
Loc: Hazelwood Park
Had a decent downpour around 10:15pm at Hazelwood Park. If that is any indication to go by, this slow moving shower heading towards Adelaide and the southern burbs may be a real soaker.

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#1405618 - 06/02/2017 03:56 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
had a short heavyish increase in rainfall amount around then
but not sustained enough to make a significant difference to
totals for me.

checksum.........WTF

i wrote the above and then went out to check the rainguage.
i went to sleep around 9:15ish and there was 5mm in it then,
now there's 14.2mm in it. the radar did show i was on a narrow
convergence line bit that's ridiculous. i was thinking if i
had 6-7mm in there i'd be laughing. what a fickle setup.
What did you get Je, you're on the same line as me, you should
have got similar.

TH
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#1405634 - 06/02/2017 07:29 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
split_city Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2008
Posts: 1032
Loc: Port Noarlunga, South Australi...
Had the same heavy shower and also smack bang on 14.2mm here as well.

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#1405640 - 06/02/2017 07:59 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
split_city Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2008
Posts: 1032
Loc: Port Noarlunga, South Australi...
More for the northern 'burbs hey TH ;-)

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#1405643 - 06/02/2017 08:34 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
looks like it was pretty much spot on with the set up. Models had that band reforming right on the time it did... lucky for the sth burbs you still copped the edge of it to up your totals a bit more. Nth burbs and hills got smashed & still are.

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#1405647 - 06/02/2017 08:46 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Ryan Hothersall Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/11/2009
Posts: 771
Loc: Gulfview Heights, South Austra...
18 mm so far today here in gulfview heights.

Was wet last night at the airport when a diverted Emirates A380 came in.
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#1405655 - 06/02/2017 09:12 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Ryan Hothersall]
Werner K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 468
Loc: Flinders Park, SA
Originally Posted By: Ryan Hothersall
18 mm so far today here in gulfview heights.

Was wet last night at the airport when a diverted Emirates A380 came in.


Bugger, didn't know that came in. Have yet to see an A380 in Adelaide.

Recorded 26.2mm in the gauge as at 745am this morning. System total 28.2mm.

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#1405661 - 06/02/2017 09:43 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1644
Loc: Uleybury
38.8mm total here

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#1405662 - 06/02/2017 09:54 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
roves Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/02/2005
Posts: 1632
Loc: Paringa-Riverland
Stuff all here with 1mm so far. It looks to be edging north now but not sure what I will get much if any....


Edited by roves (06/02/2017 09:55)
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#1405665 - 06/02/2017 10:04 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
yer pretty unlucky really considering Loxton got 16mm... just been slightly south...
You'll see a bit today but I cant imagine it will be more than 5mm.
TBH though vineyards up there don't want it atm.

Looks like summer with a vengeance up there though this week....

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#1405671 - 06/02/2017 10:29 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
roves Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/02/2005
Posts: 1632
Loc: Paringa-Riverland
Yeah hot weather on the way no doubt and was talking to a mate in loxton just before and he has had 24mm so far.
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#1405702 - 06/02/2017 13:01 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14855
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
South battled again, 6mm to 9am yest 10mm to 9am today. 16mm all up. Nice but damn a 30-40mm whack would be nice!

It is BAKE TIME, coming real quick, 850 temps nudging 28C near Adelaide, translating to 42-43C at the sfc. I think 43C is possible for wed, def more than the 40C atm. Places like Whyalla, Port Augusta, Kyancutta a real shot at 47C. Similar thurs but poss less southern fetch.

TS cool

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#1405714 - 06/02/2017 13:54 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: Ryan Hothersall]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 559
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Originally Posted By: Ryan Hothersall
Was wet last night at the airport when a diverted Emirates A380 came in.


I thought the A380s couldn't land here as the runway was too short - got that wrong I guess!
https://planefinder.net/data/aircraft/A6-EDM

28mm in the gauge - happy with that :-)


Edited by betsuin (06/02/2017 14:03)

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#1405767 - 06/02/2017 18:17 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: teckert]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: teckert
yer not much left for the southerners now.

Tek if weather systems had personalities this one is a
certified fruitcake.
when you made that post there was 5mm in my guage, this
morning when i left for work there was 14.2 and it just
started raining again, when i got home there is now 19mm
exactly in the guage, plus the initial 1.8 takes me to a
total of 20.8mm

TH
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#1405781 - 06/02/2017 18:50 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17498
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
compared to the northerners mate... basically double-triple the sth burbs...

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#1405811 - 06/02/2017 21:40 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Weather Guru Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2008
Posts: 1637
Loc: Munno Para , Northern Suburb o...
Started off painfully slow but overnight the rainfall rate picked up (as we all know).
Ended up with 22.8 mm.... an unusual but nice little drink for february.
_________________________
Adelaide forcefield monitor smile

Jan 44.1 mm
Feb 24.6 mm
Mar 3.6 mm
Apr 44.7 mm
May 39.6 mm
June 14.4 mm
July 73.5 mm
Aug 8.7 mm
Sep 8.4 mm
Oct 8.6 mm
Nov
Dec
2017 YTD 270.2 mm
2016 571
2015 369.5
2014 460.5
2013 504
2012 417
2011 598.5
2010 553

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#1406076 - 08/02/2017 09:44 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 524
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Just to keep the big bad wolf happy...

21mm system total smile
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The drops start dropping.
When the drops stop dropping
Then the storm starts stopping"
... Dr Seuss

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#1406224 - 08/02/2017 19:00 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Ryan Hothersall Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/11/2009
Posts: 771
Loc: Gulfview Heights, South Austra...
What I got from the Feb 3-7 system here in gulfview heights.

Feb 3: 0 mm
Feb 4: 2.6 mm
Feb 5: 8.6 mm
Feb 6: 20.6 mm
Feb 7: 0 mm

Total: 31.8 mm
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#1406228 - 08/02/2017 19:21 Re: SA - Tropical infeed rain band Feb 3-7 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Max Record Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/04/2009
Posts: 1658
Loc: Adelaide
33mm for me; this brings the summer rainfall total to 201.6mm

This is now 17.1mm higher than the highest historically calculated summer total set in 1940/41...these records go back to 1870/71.

I have had 8 full years of personal tallies; this season has been the third highest seasonal tally, only behind the winters of 2013 and 2016 - both 241.6.
_________________________
2017: 124.2mm
2016: 680.0mm
2015: 392.8mm
2014: 450.4mm
2013: 470.6mm
2012: 426.8mm
2011: 518.2mm
2010: 549.4mm
2009: 459.2mm
Yearly Average: 460mm

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