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#1406380 - 09/02/2017 16:21 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
The Fishman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 1099
Loc: Always in the wrong place.
Watch the radar and it gives credibility to a forcefield 👌🏻 The movement starts as a NW flow and when it gets near the Metro border it shifts to flat westerly as thought it is on rails!
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26 November, 31 December 2009, 1 January, 11 February, 6 March, 2, 9 December 2010, December 24, 25 2011, October 27, 2014, January 3, 2016 (Kilmore and Lancefield)

Top 11 Storms in chronological order.

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#1406384 - 09/02/2017 16:29 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 246
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
Can report Big Rain droplets here in Melbourne around Windsor area.
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Wunderground

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#1406392 - 09/02/2017 17:23 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 863
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Saw 37c up here today with strong
North west winds which have now
Subsided. Still 33c and muggy!
Maybe we might see a shower or storm
Like the north central part of Victoria??

Think it will be a dry change here though!!

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#1406399 - 09/02/2017 17:54 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1372
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
A S/E change here 3/4hr ago, dropped to 30C, not to bad a day in the end.

Saw 46.9C at Walpeup X 57KPH wind on the Vic Obs.

Starting to cloud over, cooling down a little more.

Be good to see that rain forecast Sat/Sun stay firm (for a change).

(ACCESS giving chance of est. 10mm all up for Sat/Sun)


Edited by samboz (09/02/2017 18:02)
_________________________
Rain total 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm. F-5mm. M-66mm. A-32.5mm. M-24mm
J-88mm. J-143mm. A-17.5mm. S-89.5mm. O-53.5mm.
Nov-61.5mm. Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm. Feb-23mm. March - 47mm to 0900 28th.

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#1406448 - 09/02/2017 21:26 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6039
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
36.4c with DP in high teens here. The "rain" that was reported earlier was enough to wet a windscreen, 0.0mm in the gauge,

Having said that when I cam home around the Mt Macedon Road exit from the Calder it was wet so given hot roads there must have been a pretty decent shower earlier.

19.7/16.8 now with SSE wind, was a degree cooler an hour ago. Expect low 30's and humid again tomorrow here at home.

Still looks like low to mid teens for a high Sunday and Monday - really looking forward to that.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1406474 - 09/02/2017 22:47 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5526
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Hey guys! Reporting from Belgrave. I'm back home in Melbourne after my epic trip to Canberra, Sydney and Newcastle via Albury/Wodonga! Two whole weeks interstate in NSW/ACT. I arrived back in Victoria on Tuesday night. smile

My report for yesterday...

Dipped to a comfortable low of 15.8C during the morning, followed by a hot, rather humid and mostly sunny top of 38.3C during the afternoon. Too bad I had to go out to Lilydale, Chirnside Park and Montrose during the afternoon, but it was cooler coming back up over Mount Dandenong. smile

Minimum and maximum temperatures for yesterday:

Scoresby - 13.7C / 35.4C
Ferny Creek - 13.4C / 31.1C
Coldstream - 13.1C / 35.6C

As for today...

Overnight low of 26.9C, followed by an afternoon top of 39.3C. Another punishingly hot, moderately humid, mostly sunny day.

It got windy sometime after midnight and stayed blustery for much of the day; not good that we had a TFB in place. I'm just glad we had some much-needed heavy rain a few days ago, but still not good! frown

The change swept in sometime after 4pm. Just before 5pm, we had a surprise shower/thunderstorm pass through! It sprung to life just east of the City, but was very, very fast-moving and weak, dying out as it swept overhead; in fact we had heavy rain with almost-clear skies overhead as the remnants of the main storm cloud raced east and vanished somewhere near Cardinia Reservoir and Emerald! Thus we enjoyed a sun shower! Nature can play some very funny tricks haha. grin

Very pleasant but humid outside, currently around 20C.

Edit: in regards to the heavy rainfall a few days ago: the frontal system that swept through on Sunday night into Monday morning dumped 59.0mm in total, just 3mm more than my rainfall total from the storms that slammed into Melbourne on December 29th last year! The peak rainfall rate my family observed was about 180mm/hr (no thunderstorms though). This should stave off the bushfire risk for the rest of the summer! smile


Edited by aussiestormfreak (09/02/2017 22:56)

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#1406526 - 10/02/2017 09:49 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5526
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 16.9C, currently around 19C and mostly cloudy. Thank goodness for this very welcome break from the heat! smile

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#1406611 - 10/02/2017 15:38 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2140
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Now 41c at 3.30pm

Yesterday was 42c

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#1406645 - 10/02/2017 17:01 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5526
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
My weather station is giving a false reading. Sure it's another hot and mostly sunny day, but the 36.5C high here in Belgrave seems incorrect based on the observations for other nearby spots around Melbourne. poke

Currently around 32C.

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#1406690 - 10/02/2017 20:38 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6039
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
31.9c for a high here today, very humid as well. Fog rolled up around 9am then sunny, bit of cloud including accas and small cu around 5-630pm now just a few accas and full moon coming up over Hanging Rock. I'll say it again - cant wait for Sunday.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1406762 - 11/02/2017 09:19 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6039
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Over the last 45 mins a reasonable looking little shower passed close by to my south. Not a drop here. Sky a little unstable looking, GFS gives encouragement for next couple of hours here. Fingers crossed.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1406783 - 11/02/2017 10:26 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 863
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
A beautiful mild southerly has moved in
Here this morning, still fairly warm but it's
Blown all that humidity away 😀 The air
Is a lot drier now!

Not sure how much rain we will get out of this
Event?? Maybe 5mm over the next few days
All up? Gee in looking forward to that crisp
Cooler air coming through👍🏻

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#1406784 - 11/02/2017 10:29 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 863
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Still looking fairly dry in the outlook no
Significant rain at all on the horizon!!
Another burst of 20mm would snuff this fire
Season for us I reckon.
Just as well there isn't any really hot weather
In the outlook either

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#1406800 - 11/02/2017 11:24 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1372
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
S here also dooga', very nice @ 25C. As usual the BOM weather forecast re rain for the weekend has pretty much halved, although ACCESS still gives us a chance if it doesn't pass to far to the S.

Holding green here much better than expected thanks to the much lower average temps of the last four days, another 20mm would work wonders here also d'.

Any Indian rain dancers available ?
_________________________
Rain total 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm. F-5mm. M-66mm. A-32.5mm. M-24mm
J-88mm. J-143mm. A-17.5mm. S-89.5mm. O-53.5mm.
Nov-61.5mm. Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm. Feb-23mm. March - 47mm to 0900 28th.

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#1406854 - 11/02/2017 13:08 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5526
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Lol none that I know of Samboz! poke

Overnight low of 16.6C, started out overcast this morning but it's now a pleasant, humid and mostly sunny day, currently around 26C. I'm so glad the worst summer heat is over and done with here in Melbourne, for the moment at least! smile

Looking forward to the gloriously warm weather next week, but not before tonight's cold blast, a chilling reminder that Antarctica is just over the horizon and that winter is coming lol. Hope we get a late thunderstorm when the cold front swings in; showers already appearing on radar over Tassie and off the coast of Southwest Victoria and Southeast SA. smile


Edited by aussiestormfreak (11/02/2017 13:10)

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#1406990 - 11/02/2017 16:15 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6039
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Temperature all over the shop here. Got to 27.1 not long after 10 then cooled off for a few hours got to 27.4c a short while ago and is around 27 now. DP continues to be 17 or more. Some pretty crisp developing Cu to my SW atm and looks like showers further away to the north
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1407031 - 11/02/2017 17:37 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1372
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Maybe 28C here, calm, clouding up, some cells rocketed thru' to the E, one lightning strike N of Orbost + another near Stawell just now -

http://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#y=-36.8826;x=144.11;z=7;t=3;m=sat;r=0;s=0;o=0;b=;n=0;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;
_________________________
Rain total 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm. F-5mm. M-66mm. A-32.5mm. M-24mm
J-88mm. J-143mm. A-17.5mm. S-89.5mm. O-53.5mm.
Nov-61.5mm. Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm. Feb-23mm. March - 47mm to 0900 28th.

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#1407046 - 11/02/2017 18:21 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1372
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Heard thunder minutes ago, way to W from here and N of the Latrobe Valley, reckon you might be hearing it dooga'.

Still have cells scooting E, nothing wet here.

Some more audible thunder now @ 1821hrs, heading this way I'd say.


Edited by samboz (11/02/2017 18:22)
_________________________
Rain total 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm. F-5mm. M-66mm. A-32.5mm. M-24mm
J-88mm. J-143mm. A-17.5mm. S-89.5mm. O-53.5mm.
Nov-61.5mm. Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm. Feb-23mm. March - 47mm to 0900 28th.

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#1407061 - 11/02/2017 18:36 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6039
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Pretty heavy shower atm. YAY
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1407063 - 11/02/2017 18:37 Re: Potentially very warm conditions ahead of a cold showery change 7/2 - 13/2 [Re: samboz]
duckweather Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/12/2010
Posts: 2496
Loc: Wantirna, Vic
Gosh, nearly fell off my chair then with lightning overhead - wasn't expecting that. Skies mostly look blue outside with some grey cloud crazy
Cheers, Duck.

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