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#1406166 - 08/02/2017 16:31 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Lots of temps in the mid 40's up North, Moomba 46.4!!!
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

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#1406167 - 08/02/2017 16:35 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Jet entrance]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1541
Loc: Bridgewater
Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Adelaide Airport 0.2mm of rain today?? Now that's just crazy talk wink


a bird had to go toilet, haha

Adelaide cracked 42
42.1
03:57pm

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#1406172 - 08/02/2017 16:46 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Given what I'm seeing on latest model runs, tomorrows temp will be bumped up across the board by 2 or 3 deg.

I'd say 43 or 44 for Adelaide
47 or 48 for Renmark (maybe 49 even, crazy stuff!!!)


Edited by Jet entrance (08/02/2017 16:48)
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406173 - 08/02/2017 16:47 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 501
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Yikes! Cycling home from work just now was a bit of an adventure, and yes, all my work mates think I'm crazy :-)

Wednesday 8 February 16:16:37 ACDT 2017
SHT15: Temperature = 38.14 C, Humidity = 31.74 %, Dewpoint = 18.43 C
Baro Temperature: 38.52 C | Pressure: 989.72 hPa

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#1406177 - 08/02/2017 16:51 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406178 - 08/02/2017 16:52 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Chris #3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2009
Posts: 1884
Loc: Semaphore SA
Dragonflies were out in force this morning. Even more than pre-storm for the underhyped trough.

Hope they did ok. Seeing lots of dead ones around the place.

At least Bruce my frontporch orb spider will get a good feed. Not that he really needs it.


Edited by Chris #3 (08/02/2017 16:53)
_________________________
GFS Stormcast by BSCH




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#1406180 - 08/02/2017 16:55 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Jet entrance]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1541
Loc: Bridgewater
Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Given what I'm seeing on latest model runs, tomorrows temp will be bumped up across the board by 2 or 3 deg.

I'd say 43 or 44 for Adelaide
47 or 48 for Renmark (maybe 49 even, crazy stuff!!!)


bom are going for 41 for adel tomorrow.

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#1406191 - 08/02/2017 17:12 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Jet entrance]
Chris #3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2009
Posts: 1884
Loc: Semaphore SA
Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Given what I'm seeing on latest model runs, tomorrows temp will be bumped up across the board by 2 or 3 deg.

I'd say 43 or 44 for Adelaide


I like your anti-establishment gusto and conviction in your own forecasting Jet.

Here's the nice BOM lady to tell us why this is happening (for those of us who don't already know)


I don't think it'll quite make the forecast. Just shy of 41 for me - although it'll feel just like it or worse.
(used meteoearth, the dragonflies and my gutfeel for my prediction- the Chris model is always meteoearth - gutfeel and an animal)


Edited by Chris #3 (08/02/2017 17:19)
_________________________
GFS Stormcast by BSCH




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#1406192 - 08/02/2017 17:13 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Yeah I'm very surprised at that, I guess they only forecast using there models. As I pictured about, GFS tells a different story.

They got it wrong today. Forecast was 41, so far the maximum is 42.2.

Geezer look at Moomba, 46.6!!
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406193 - 08/02/2017 17:20 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Chris #3]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: Chris #3
Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Given what I'm seeing on latest model runs, tomorrows temp will be bumped up across the board by 2 or 3 deg.

I'd say 43 or 44 for Adelaide


I like your anti-establishment gusto and conviction in your own forecasting Jet.

Here's the nice BOM lady to tell us why this is happening (for those of us who don't already know)


I don't think it'll quite make the forecast. Just shy of 41 for me - although it'll feel just like it or worse.


She's a very nice BOM lady indeed smile

It's not my own forecast Chris, its right in front of all of us. Perhaps GFS isn't correct and not accurate one, it's what I've used to pull those temps from.
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406194 - 08/02/2017 17:23 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Chris #3]
BlueyZarsoff Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/07/2015
Posts: 89
Loc: Fountain Lakes (Sth East Melb)
Hi , Q--- whats the significance of the Dragonflies ?? Is it a sign of rain ???
thx cool

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#1406196 - 08/02/2017 17:23 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Good video BTW and thanks for posting, the lesser knowledgeable along with all forum readers will feel somewhat smarter from watching that poke


Edited by Jet entrance (08/02/2017 17:26)
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406198 - 08/02/2017 17:26 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: BlueyZarsoff]
Chris #3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2009
Posts: 1884
Loc: Semaphore SA
Originally Posted By: BlueyZarsoff
Hi , Q--- whats the significance of the Dragonflies ?? Is it a sign of rain ???
thx cool


I'm not entirely sure Bluey. Have narrowed down their activities to -
feeding
and/or mating.

As for what triggers it? I'm going to do some research when I get home. It could be something like an abundance of smaller insects they like to eat.

Usually for me personally - Dragonflies indicate thunderstorms or wet after/during warmness. This time obviously not.


Edited by Chris #3 (08/02/2017 17:27)
_________________________
GFS Stormcast by BSCH




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#1406199 - 08/02/2017 17:28 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: BlueyZarsoff]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: BlueyZarsoff
Hi , Q--- whats the significance of the Dragonflies ?? Is it a sign of rain ???
thx cool


They are just trying to find somewhere cool, they hate it too hot, they die..
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406200 - 08/02/2017 17:29 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1541
Loc: Bridgewater
i got the IR thermometer out; shed wall: 88.6 degrees

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#1406205 - 08/02/2017 17:37 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Eevo]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9634
Loc: Mid North, SA
Originally Posted By: Eevo

Yep, that IS funny. grin

Cracked 44.4ºC here today (yep folks, that's in a BoM issued (albeit, old) screen). Backyard temp according to the Davis wx station hit 47ºC, but that's in a rather enclosed space and highly understandable why it records higher.

Bit of cloud starting to drift down from the north. You can feel the relief every time one little puffy covers the sun. Gimme more of that please, especially tomorrow.

...and finally, Moderator hat on... please play nice fellas. It's too damned hot to have disagreements. wink
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#1406206 - 08/02/2017 17:38 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Jet entrance]
BlueyZarsoff Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/07/2015
Posts: 89
Loc: Fountain Lakes (Sth East Melb)
Thx guys, I seen some here in my backyard this arvo !!! !st time .
p.s enjoy reading all your post smile

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#1406209 - 08/02/2017 17:44 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Tomorrow's forecast by the BOM for Adelaide could well be right. A weak surface trough will give the coastal areas some relief tomorrow and that will just influence the city enough to hold the temp down to 41, yes "down" to 41 lol.



Edited by Jet entrance (08/02/2017 17:44)
_________________________
“I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes”.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406213 - 08/02/2017 18:06 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Chris #3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2009
Posts: 1884
Loc: Semaphore SA
Just on the dragonflies -

I don't think they're simply looking for a cooler spot.



They look like they're hunting to me.
Sorry about the music - put it in when I was leaning towards mating.

Need to full screen HD. Still doesn't do the size of the group justice.

So a swarm on the day of the storm (of the underrated trough Jan.)
And a swarm today.
Maybe I can find some correlations with the weather data.
(Correlate isn't causation I know I know)


Edited by Chris #3 (08/02/2017 18:10)
_________________________
GFS Stormcast by BSCH




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#1406214 - 08/02/2017 18:15 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Wave Rider]
Galaxyman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2016
Posts: 192
Loc: Renmark
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
It's good to see you back G-man. So glad you're finally getting the weather you want. Enjoy every second of it mate, because you moved to Renmark to experience this kind of weather. smile

PS: Yeah 49°C is much much easier to reach than 50°C, even though they're only a degree apart. 49 is pretty well the limit our landmass can hold, it takes extraordinary circumstances to go higher. And I think 925mb temps are better guideline of what the weather will be like rather 850mb temps. You can generally add 10 or even 11°C to those temps and that will be very close to your maximum. So 37°C 925mb temps should equal about 47°C or even 48°C at Renmark.


Thanks dude! Latest GFS update is 100% epic for tomorrow. 4pm 85hpa temps are at 30C and even a patch of 31C just to the NW. 925hpa is at 38C. At 4pm today, these values are 26C and 33 respectively. Today it officially hit 43C so in theory tomorrow could hit at least 47C.

Some of the locations which hit 46C today (i.e. Roxby Downs, Woomera) did it with 36C 925hpa temps and 28-29C 850 temps.

BOM still going for "only" 45C, if GFS comes off it will surely be more. They almost certainly will get the 44C for Mildura wrong, I mean at the latest update it is 43.5C there and the 925/850 temps tomorrow are progged to be 4C warmer.

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