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#1405850 - 07/02/2017 10:05 SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1619
Loc: Uleybury
With BoM and maps forecasting a solid jump in temperature, it'll now feel like summer and plants will get the shock of their lives.

Thursday to be watched - Adelaide has 850 temps at a HUGE 27-28 degrees with some isolated 29 degree pockets so indicating 43-44 degrees.

While GFS does have a surface trough on the west coast Thursday I do not think it will do much due to a lack of moisture but something to potentially watch but not holding my breath on it


This stage I'll go this for Adelaide:

39 Wednesday 8th Feb
43 Thursday 9th
42 Friday
38 Saturday before the change moves in mid afternoon Saturday

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#1405885 - 07/02/2017 12:52 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Galaxyman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2016
Posts: 192
Loc: Renmark
Thursday is looking incredible. ACCESS is off the wall, has the 5840 line right down to Melbourne and has the next line up over SA and NW Vic. It has pockets of 32C 850hpa temps extending down to the Riverland. Cannot wait for this afternoon's BOM update. Cannot wait until Thursday grin



grin grin

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#1405893 - 07/02/2017 13:53 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
JohnC Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2011
Posts: 152
Loc: Adelaide, South Australia
I hear some inland parts of SA, VIC NSW may get temps pushing 47c.
_________________________
http://jcroucher.com/weather/

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#1405894 - 07/02/2017 13:53 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Geez could crack 50 in the Riverland on Thursday!!!
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

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#1405896 - 07/02/2017 13:54 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

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#1405897 - 07/02/2017 13:56 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Galaxyman, I want bacon and eggs on the trailer wheel guard, I like my eggs flipped please grin
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

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#1405925 - 07/02/2017 17:10 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17456
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Adelaide's forecast:
Wed 41
Thurs 41
Fri 39
Sat 37

Pretty sure Thurs will be our hottest day, maybe sneaking a 42.

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#1405928 - 07/02/2017 17:22 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1619
Loc: Uleybury
For the Records:

Access R


GFS:


INSANE

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#1405987 - 07/02/2017 21:29 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Galaxyman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2016
Posts: 192
Loc: Renmark
BOM has added the magic word "Humid" to the forecast during this upcoming epic week.

It's started, my PWS is reading 28.2/21.3C atm. And to think 24 hours ago it was a cold overcast stratus laden Melbourne hangover when the change moved through!!!

Parawa is hilariously cold again compared to Adelaide, only a mere 16C while Adelaide is 10C warmer.


Edited by Galaxyman (07/02/2017 21:30)

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#1406022 - 07/02/2017 22:55 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 500
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Tuesday 7 February 22:24:50 ACDT 2017
SHT15: Temperature = 25.94 C, Humidity = 57.25 %, Dewpoint = 16.83 C
Baro Temperature: 26.50 C | Pressure: 995.7 hPa


Edited by betsuin (07/02/2017 22:55)

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#1406023 - 07/02/2017 22:56 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14825
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Certainly an impressive burst of heat, especially just N of Adelaide's latitude. Prob see 41 to 41.5C tomorrow, then I think thurs is a real shot at 42-43C. Places like Renmark, Port Augusta, Mildura, Kyancutta, Tarcoola, Whyalla probably are the places to watch for a 47C, and of course good potential for consecutive 45C+ for places like Moomba, Marree etc. A real bake!

TS cool

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#1406043 - 08/02/2017 04:27 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Galaxyman]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: Galaxyman
Thursday is looking incredible. ACCESS is off the wall, has the 5840 line right down to Melbourne and has the next line up over SA and NW Vic. It has pockets of 32C 850hpa temps extending down to the Riverland. Cannot wait for this afternoon's BOM update. Cannot wait until Thursday grin


well starve the sufferin' crows look what the cat
dragged in,
mental note to self.....'shoot cat' whistle
i'll do the honors and welcome you back
hopefully things go better this time around. wink
understandable why you're happy, at last you get a
little warmth, hopefully the first of a few for you
before the end of summer which us now rapidly
approaching.
btw which model were you using for 32 850s?
none on WZ or BSCH showed 32
if i had seen 32 on any models i would have spat my
coffee all over the screen.

Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Geez could crack 50 in the Riverland on Thursday!!!

without going into the dramatics of posting a ridiculous picture i'll quote.......
"now that's just crazy talk"

and i'll take the time to qualify my one line quip.......

32 850s does not automatically qualify for a crack at 50.
850 to surface is not an automatic direct correlation just using DALR.
the most reliable models we use none have shown 32 850s
that i have or can see.
here's what models show at the moment.......
ACCESS....28-30
CMC......26-28
EC......26-28
GSF WZ...28-30
GFS BSCH...30-31
BOMs highest forecast for renmark is 45 which doesn't
come within a bulls roar of 50. even if the forecast
was 47 (which it may do) or even 48 it still doesn't
come within a country k of 50, most people don't realise
just how hard circumstances and parameters have to push
to get there. i reckon renmark would have to crack at
least 33 850s before it even got a sniff at 50 on the
ground.
if the unlikely event occurred that somewhere does get
record 50 bom will put it under the microscope and
scrutinize it very carefully before making it official.
who knows, one day in the future maybe, but not in the
foreseeable.

enough already, just bring it on.

TH


Edited by teckert (09/02/2017 10:49)

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#1406052 - 08/02/2017 07:58 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Chris #3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2009
Posts: 1884
Loc: Semaphore SA
Hope you marrow boilers enjoy this, the rest of us will be thoroughly miserable poke

Suppose we sane moderate weather loving people have had a good run. Enjoy the scorch.

If there's records to be beaten I can get on board I guess smile


Edited by Chris #3 (08/02/2017 07:58)
_________________________
GFS Stormcast by BSCH




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#1406061 - 08/02/2017 08:37 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5619
Loc: Wollongong NSW
It's good to see you back G-man. So glad you're finally getting the weather you want. Enjoy every second of it mate, because you moved to Renmark to experience this kind of weather. smile

PS: Yeah 49C is much much easier to reach than 50C, even though they're only a degree apart. 49 is pretty well the limit our landmass can hold, it takes extraordinary circumstances to go higher. And I think 925mb temps are better guideline of what the weather will be like rather 850mb temps. You can generally add 10 or even 11C to those temps and that will be very close to your maximum. So 37C 925mb temps should equal about 47C or even 48C at Renmark.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1406075 - 08/02/2017 09:43 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: ThD Ht]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht


Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
Geez could crack 50 in the Riverland on Thursday!!!

without going into the dramatics of posting a ridiculous picture i'll quote.......
"now that's just crazy talk"

and i'll take the time to qualify my one line quip.......

32 850s does not automatically qualify for a crack at 50.
850 to surface is not an automatic direct correlation just using DALR. bla bla bla
the most reliable models we use none have shown 32 850s
that i have or can see. bla bla bla
here's what models show at the moment.......
ACCESS....28-30
CMC......26-28
EC......26-28 bla bla bla
GSF WZ...28-30
GFS BSCH...30-31
BOMs highest forecast for renmark is 45 which doesn't
come within a bulls roar of 50. even if the forecast
was 47 (which it may do) or even 48 it still doesn't
come within a country k of 50, most people don't realise
just how hard circumstances and parameters have to push
to get there. i reckon renmark would have to crack at
least 33 850s before it even got a sniff at 50 on the
ground. bla bla bla
if the unlikely event occurred that somewhere does get
record 50 bom will put it under the microscope and
scrutinize it very carefully before making it official.
who knows, one day in the future maybe, but not in the
foreseeable. yawn yawn yawn


enough already, just bring it on. fast asleep

TH


Yeah that was a ridiculous comment, fancy a ridiculous comment being posted on here? Unheard of wink

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#1406117 - 08/02/2017 12:57 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Matt_30 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2008
Posts: 62
Loc: Adelaide
Pretty rare in Adelaide and surrounding areas to see temps in the high 30s with due points in the mid-high teens as we currently have. Adelaide (Kent Town) at 12:20pm reports 37.5/17.3 and Adelaide airport 38.1/16.5.

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#1406122 - 08/02/2017 13:28 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1540
Loc: Bridgewater

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#1406141 - 08/02/2017 15:15 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
berga1987 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2010
Posts: 324
Loc: Malvern, Adelaide, Aus
Feels like a heatwave. Plants are not enjoying this.
_________________________
I wish Mt Lofty was more lofty, another 2km or so would suffice.

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#1406163 - 08/02/2017 16:26 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: StormCapture]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Adelaide Airport 0.2mm of rain today?? Now that's just crazy talk wink

Nice 5 degree drop in temp there thanks to the sea breeze, I love living by the ocean haha


Edited by Jet entrance (08/02/2017 16:28)
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1406164 - 08/02/2017 16:27 Re: SA - Hot spell Feb 8-11 2017 [Re: Eevo]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: Eevo


62.7deg, told ya if would crack 50 lol
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

Top
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