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#1413581 - 20/03/2017 14:06 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 641
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
Heaps of Cu on the visible Sat loop... hope it can break the cap. It seriously feels like Darwin outside in the CBD right now, be shame if all this moisture went to waste.

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#1413583 - 20/03/2017 14:08 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1763
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Nice big wet stormy cell heading south from Mt Hotham where it dropped 1/2" after midday.

The W. side of it might get out to the Crooked River fire as it goes S, and just as good, continue on to here.
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Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept22.5mmto0800 17/9.(YTD <200mm)

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#1413586 - 20/03/2017 14:18 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
vjknight Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2012
Posts: 182
Loc: AscotVale, Inner NW Melb
https://www.facebook.com/theaustralianweatherforum/posts/1446088898788076

The Australian Weather Forum added 3 new photos.
19 hrs

**SIGNIFICANT VICTORIAN RAIN EVENT**

Victoria will experience a significant rain event beginning from tonight and tomorrow, and stretching through until Wednesday.

An influx of tropical moisture from the north, coupled with interactions from a low pressure trough will result in widespread areas of rain and even thunderstorms to develop from the north overnight before spreading south across most of Victoria Monday morning and afternoon.

There is the potential for severe thunderstorms to develop and result in large hailstones and flash flooding, however this is more likely if we see clearance in the clouds to allow for maximum convective potential (essentially heat related lift).

The process generally repeats itself on Tuesday, with the best of the falls across southern districts, before it finally begins to move away late in the day and during Wednesday, although showers will remain.

Totals for the period are likely to be quite significant. Highest falls are likely to be around central districts of Victoria, with amounts potentially reaching up to 50mm, which will be locally higher up to 75-100mm with thunderstorms. Elsewhere across the state (away from the far west and northwest), general falls to 25-50mm are anticipated, again locally higher with storms, while the far west and northwest should see around 5-15mm.

Remember to keep an eye on weather warnings via the Bureau of Meteorology and to keep up to date with analysis on our weather forum and of course our Twitter and Facebook pages.

Don't also forget to keep us updated on what's happening by posting on our page and sending through all your photos to be put up!

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#1413599 - 20/03/2017 14:51 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6104
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Starting to get pretty active along border and in the high country. Some magnif congestus around here. 27/17.6 = very impressive latter March obs.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1413627 - 20/03/2017 16:04 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6104
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Thunder to my south, complex around Melton to Ballan actually growing toward the north and my locale. Looks like this a few moments ago, through the junk there is a pretty impressive cu nim.



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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1413641 - 20/03/2017 16:46 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2247
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Good photos and hope no sea breeze tonight to kill storms.

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#1413651 - 20/03/2017 17:12 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6104
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Ripping cooling SE wind here now, lots of thunder from new cell to my SE. Could be good as creates more boundaries but its cooling things down (though DP holding around 19)

Cell to SE was a ripper, so close and yet so far

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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1413654 - 20/03/2017 17:13 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
The Fishman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 1105
Loc: Always in the wrong place.
Great photos! Looking at the radar, just reinforces my idea and gives creedence to it! There are storms to the west travelling south and storms in the east travelling south as well, both are skirting the middle
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26 November, 31 December 2009, 1 January, 11 February, 6 March, 2, 9 December 2010, December 24, 25 2011, October 27, 2014, January 3, 2016 (Kilmore and Lancefield)

Top 11 Storms in chronological order.

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#1413663 - 20/03/2017 17:48 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 641
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
Feels like the humidity has dropped off significantly in the CBD since lunchtime.

Seabreeze could act as the forcefield frown clear skies overhead.

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#1413664 - 20/03/2017 17:50 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
The Fishman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 1105
Loc: Always in the wrong place.
I was around the Woodend Macedon area on Saturday and now they have storms. Radar showing storms to the north of me! I'm wondering when they'll die
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26 November, 31 December 2009, 1 January, 11 February, 6 March, 2, 9 December 2010, December 24, 25 2011, October 27, 2014, January 3, 2016 (Kilmore and Lancefield)

Top 11 Storms in chronological order.

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#1413665 - 20/03/2017 17:55 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2247
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Had very heavy thick drops as slow weakin cell dumped 2mm and dropped to 26c.

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#1413667 - 20/03/2017 18:01 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 259
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
I think the seabreeze will kill most of Melbourne's chances frown
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#1413677 - 20/03/2017 18:23 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
BlueyZarsoff Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/07/2015
Posts: 111
Loc: Fountain Lakes (Sth East Melb)
Forcefield is in effect for S/E burbs :-)

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#1413696 - 20/03/2017 19:05 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6104
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Rumbling away to the north now and pretty dark. Hope to get some rain out of this. Wind still SSE but weakening. 20.3/17.5 at 579m, no moisture issues for this line!
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1413702 - 20/03/2017 19:19 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
The Fishman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 1105
Loc: Always in the wrong place.
The radar 64km is showing a a lot of action around Kinglake. Just waiting for the HAARP to neutralise it!
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26 November, 31 December 2009, 1 January, 11 February, 6 March, 2, 9 December 2010, December 24, 25 2011, October 27, 2014, January 3, 2016 (Kilmore and Lancefield)

Top 11 Storms in chronological order.

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#1413704 - 20/03/2017 19:21 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6511
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Great photo's Ruckle smile ....tells 1,000 words.

Had a lovely 3mm warm/humid/tropical-like rain here this morning to start whatever we might or might not get (refer to Samboz for the full official dental disclaimer). Warm mild calm 24C here at present with an amazing smoke-enhanced sunset, and dark looking cloud up on the mountains.

.....look at what is looming down from the North from so many of us atm!! :0


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#1413706 - 20/03/2017 19:23 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 994
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Great photos ruckle 😀

Finally we opened the rainfall bank
Account for this month today with 2mm!!

I can't hold my excitement and expectation
Back for this event now, surely we are good
For at least an inch????? Lol
Really holding out for this one!! Gutters
Are clean and ready to catch a deluge!!🤔

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#1413714 - 20/03/2017 19:48 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
gleno01 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2010
Posts: 89
Loc: Shepparton
great start the event here got a nice 9mm fairly quick,very isolated though
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#1413715 - 20/03/2017 19:48 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
gleno01 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2010
Posts: 89
Loc: Shepparton
nice strom front heading southbound
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#1413717 - 20/03/2017 19:51 Re: Vic - a potential "Autumn Break" for many regions 21-24 March 2017?? [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6104
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
You would think so except for the gaps in it, one of which is going over my house...
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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