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#1411628 - 10/03/2017 19:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17491
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Rightio.... there's a thread for the weekend's system up btw...
Meanwhile no further personal attacks by anyone will be tolerated. Discuss & debate the weather, not people's opinions please. No fishing or trolling either...

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#1411629 - 10/03/2017 20:00 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 513
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Nice clean up Teck, FWIW, Thundahunta has more knowledge and understanding of weather than everyone excluding TS of course. I'm prepared to stand by him if ever a line gets drawn in the sand smile


Man the boats!!! 8-20mm Sunday, nice!
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

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#1411630 - 10/03/2017 20:01 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: teckert]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 513
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Originally Posted By: teckert
Rightio.... there's a thread for the weekend's system up btw...
Meanwhile no further personal attacks by anyone will be tolerated. Discuss & debate the weather, not people's opinions please. No fishing or trolling either...


Could not agree more grin
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1411632 - 10/03/2017 20:07 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17491
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Thanks JE - and double thanks for the backhanded compliment.

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#1411634 - 10/03/2017 20:16 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 513
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Just my opinion mate based on age mainly, I was raised to respect your elders. I think your local knowledge is exceptional btw and your accuracy in forecasting storms especially is 9 times out of 10 on the money.

It's not a competition, drop the ego and move on!


Edited by Jet entrance (10/03/2017 20:16)
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1411636 - 10/03/2017 20:23 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17491
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
nah all good man.... you dont need to make up for it lol.... I just didnt think the comment was needed full stop. Many would consider that was just fishing in itself? And taking sides is not exactly the right way of approaching this is it?

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#1411638 - 10/03/2017 20:37 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Chris #3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2009
Posts: 1884
Loc: Semaphore SA
Yeah I lost my ego for good in 1967, better for it. I think all the weatherzoners are excellent.

So what do we have here. Some kind of thunderstorms likely? Was just keeping my eye on tomorrow. Pleasant surprise smile
_________________________
GFS Stormcast by BSCH




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#1411642 - 10/03/2017 21:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
thanks for your thoughtful comment JE, but there ain't gunna
be no line need drawn anywhere on this forum buddy.
i refuse to hold any lasting grudge, intolerance, animosity
or judgement against anyone.
i'll just do my best to assimilate and disseminate accurate
information.
i lost my ego years ago too, accidentally flushed it down the
toilet, now all i got's an attitude i call cactus 'cos it's
as prickly as hell.
looks like the f. peninsular is about the best place to stage
tomorrow, on the western side me thinks although as dynamic
as the models have this setup anything could happen.

TH
_________________________



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#1411648 - 10/03/2017 21:44 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2071
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Everyone is entitled to their own opinions and views however there is a very fine line between a valid argument and just plain trolling as a few of us have found out including myself thankfully i've had a wise guru such as Thunda to reign me in before i got my behind handed to me

Anyways shifting the focus back to the weather it looks like your warning to me about watching my butt Thunda may come to fruition as there's a good chance of some lightning down this way tomorrow not sure about timing though it could happen in the morning or arvo

Adding we also have a chance of storms in the morning on sunday as well before it clears over towards Melbourne not much in the way of action but hopefully a smidge to cure my SDS for a lil bit

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#1411677 - 11/03/2017 08:58 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
it's an honor and privilege to know you RS and awesome to
have you on the forum.
i'm going to reply to the rest of your post in the other
thread for this system mate. c u there.

TH
_________________________



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#1411933 - 12/03/2017 23:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17491
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Just keep an eye on the models for a possible NE infeed in about a week or so time.... Both CMC and EC have started progging quite a substantial event.
It will be interesting to see how it plays out.

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#1411935 - 13/03/2017 00:01 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1593
Loc: Bridgewater
i was just about to ask when the next rain will be.

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#1411996 - 13/03/2017 12:51 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1642
Loc: Uleybury
12Z CMC retracts it a fair bit with minimal invasion in SA but GFS still confident for it to push as far west as Ceduna.

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#1412567 - 15/03/2017 15:50 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 513
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Looks like a few pretty clouds approaching, might get a shower and a rumble later on.

And a big welcome to the forums Seira grin
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

Top
#1412627 - 15/03/2017 19:52 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
pretty clouds?! now there's a descriptive term that has never
really come to mind. pity the setup wasn't a bit more advanced,
would have made for a killer sunset coming under the back edge.

bit of rain in the gulf sliding se, looks thundery but don't
think there will be any rumbles but having said that forcing
can do strange things. wait and see if anything delivers from
the nw as the front approaches. only be a sparse dust settler
at best by the looks.

TH
_________________________



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#1412762 - 16/03/2017 16:00 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Jet entrance]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7037
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
Originally Posted By: Jet entrance
And a big welcome to the forums Seira grin

Thanks. It may have been a matter of time smile ... speaking of which it may be [only] a matter of time before the ridge in the Bight falters smile .

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#1412797 - 16/03/2017 18:35 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
i'd put my reputation,*(this is gunna be cheap), on the line
and say absolutely positively definitely only a matter of time
before the ridge in the bight fails.
maybe next week?, month?, year?, the next millenia?
yup, definitely only a matter of time, even if it is only
according to Einsteins theory of special relativity and even
if it is for a few hours before it slams shut tighter than a
fish's backside for another seeming millenia.
speaking of which, yup it rained, i heard it and the evidence
is in the rainguage, 0.2mm, big freakin deal, some dust settler,
had to spend the rest of the night laying awake listening to
all those dust particles cackling and laughing their ass off.
btw Je, bullseye, ya nailed it ya bugger. wink

TH
_________________________



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#1412836 - 16/03/2017 20:52 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7037
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
I await to see what, if any remnants of a tropical low/cyclone reach Adelaide smile .

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#1412880 - 17/03/2017 03:43 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
ahh that's better naz, now i know what your talking about.
yer the emphasis is on "if any"
access wants to swing it down in a bog standard scenario,
it appears the ridge doesn't so much falter as gets taken by
surprise by the strength of the shortwave trough which splits
it in two and leaves the door wide open to rip south and
become a longwave.
the problem with that is it heads south too soon too quick
and misses us.
gfs has it crossing the coast and ripping toward the red
center but then head shoots it before it crosses the NT border.
been a tad quiet for cyclones, they do a job and some people
want them but i think the majority of people up north can quite
happily live without them as long as they still get the rain.
anyway this is all pie in the sky and this far out merely
provides a topic of conversation on possible scenarios even
though most of the time i'm just typing to myself it gives
me a chance to rattle my keyboard and the odd clandestine
chain.
just one more thing to bear in mind is,(in my opinion), this
6-8 week seasonal offset i mentioned in an earlier post a while
back. i still stand by it but to elaborate that when an offset
occurs the larger the offset the bigger the fall when things do
finally collapse. its like the friction of summer is hanging on
and pushing against the slowly winding up clock spring of
winter, and the longer it goes on.....
also,(in my opinion)fwiw, we are not in an indian summer, yet,
my definition of an indian summer is the fine period of weather
that occurs after the first major break of the season. it can
be as short as a week or as long as 4 weeks, it's what has
worked for me over the last 30yrs and what i stand by and will
spiel to anyone who will listen until someone can come up with
something better. listening to weather presenters on the news
talking about indian summer as soon as the 1st of march ticked
over had me ripping outside dry reaching on the back lawn,
that's why i always have tea after the news just in case.


TH
_________________________



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#1412913 - 17/03/2017 10:37 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Jet entrance Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2015
Posts: 513
Loc: North Brighton, SA
Thanks TH, yes I nailed it, one shower lol, but no thunder which was doubtful at best as you mentioned grin

I hope this weather racks off soon, it's got less pitch change than an Elliot Goblet interview!!

I'm at North Brighton now TH so when something comes from the NW I can give you the 'heads up', and seagull flocking direction lol, yes flocking grin
_________________________
I hate it when somebody comes
to your front door and puts their finger
over the peephole . . . so to get around
that I've got eleven peepholes.
Elliot Goblet

Top
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