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#1413792 - 21/03/2017 06:52 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23527
Loc: Townsville
EC - Cat 3 close to Townsville
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1413795 - 21/03/2017 07:37 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Dawgggg]
Steamy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/03/2004
Posts: 694
Loc: Mackay Qld Australia
Nothing ACCESS and GFS though

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#1413802 - 21/03/2017 08:02 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Brett Guy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 4844
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
Cool. Something to watch at least. Untill the models all drop it at least

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#1413811 - 21/03/2017 08:59 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1037
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Has EC been accurate so far this year?

I'd love to see a big sloppy cat 1 do an east coast tour. The cane is too high to be able to withstand anything higher. However a flood it can handle.
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Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1413882 - 21/03/2017 14:30 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6330
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
ACCESS-G dropped it on this morning's run.

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#1413887 - 21/03/2017 14:48 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Mega]
Steamy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/03/2004
Posts: 694
Loc: Mackay Qld Australia
It has returned on ACCESS R

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#1413897 - 21/03/2017 15:42 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6249
Loc: Central Qld.
The cyclone that hit Yeppoon 2 years ago, was it showing up on the models a week or two previous that it was going to come our way at all ? I guess what I'm saying is was it always predicted to hit north of Yeppoon and not say Mackay/Townsville?


Edited by Vinnie (21/03/2017 15:43)
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#1413928 - 21/03/2017 16:24 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Wrasse42 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2013
Posts: 265
Loc: Gladstone, Queensland
Was forecast to hit Mackay Vinnie before it did a southward turn, not sure but I think earlier it was pegged to hit further north than Mackay.

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#1413936 - 21/03/2017 16:40 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Wrasse42]
Hailin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/12/2010
Posts: 847
Loc: Moranbah/Glenella
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Tuesday 21 March 2017
for the period until midnight EST Friday 24 March 2017.
Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:

A low pressure system southeast of Papua New Guinea is forecast to develop over the next few days while drifting slowly southwest. While conditions are expected to become more favourable for tropical cyclone development later this week, vast disagreement between models is evident, therefore the likelihood is low.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Wednesday: Very Low
Thursday: Very Low
Friday: Low


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#1413957 - 21/03/2017 17:32 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23527
Loc: Townsville
Ukmet 960hpa near ingham
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#1413970 - 21/03/2017 18:06 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7768
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
I would be evacuating now while you have the chance or at least buying the supermarkets out of UHT milk and baked beans. Ensure the Journos get a hold of this to spread the word. wink

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#1413974 - 21/03/2017 18:17 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Popeye]
snowmad Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/06/2005
Posts: 879
Loc: Bowen
That will get some interest anyway. At least the models are having some interest in something happening Access R & G , EC, UKMET and CMC all have cyclone/low in the area bounded btw Cairns - Willis Island - Townsville all around same time frames 26-28 March.

Now sit back and wait to see how conditions play out been a while since the Coral Sea spat something decent towards Qld.

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#1413991 - 21/03/2017 18:51 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Popeye]
KBO Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/01/2015
Posts: 98
Loc: Cairns
LOL..Mr Popeye you crack me up, Besides don't you have some sort of development over there?? It will be all the rage in the news over here WA Cyclone smashes into fence post...... laugh

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#1413993 - 21/03/2017 18:57 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23527
Loc: Townsville
Theres something about the magical date of around the 20th of March.

Bring it...its the only way to fill dams.
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1414027 - 21/03/2017 20:45 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: KBO]
MangroveJack70 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 149
Originally Posted By: KBO
LOL..Mr Popeye you crack me up, Besides don't you have some sort of development over there?? It will be all the rage in the news over here WA Cyclone smashes into fence post...... laugh


Spot on. He's a funny bugger and it's great to see some lightheartedness in the forums. smile

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#1414032 - 21/03/2017 21:00 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Rhubarb Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/01/2011
Posts: 749
Loc: West End, Townsville, QLD
Why do people clear the shelves of baked beans first?
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Rhubarb
Slightly damp!!

Rainfall
2017: May 19th: 46mm
2017: May 18th: 113 mm Whopee ..................
2017: May 17th: 22 mm
2017: To date: 642.5 mm
2016: 1,660 mm
2015: 430.5 mm

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#1414033 - 21/03/2017 21:00 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
MangroveJack70 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 149
Just wondering if Ken Kato may have one or two charts which shows the forecasted tracks of the various Models multiple.

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#1414038 - 21/03/2017 21:07 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: MangroveJack70]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 1740
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
No cyclone please! About time we had a record-free cyclone season in the Coral Sea.

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#1414045 - 21/03/2017 21:22 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Nature's Fury]
Rhubarb Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/01/2011
Posts: 749
Loc: West End, Townsville, QLD
Originally Posted By: Nature's Fury
No cyclone please! About time we had a record-free cyclone season in the Coral Sea.


Good grief, you get enough rain in Brissie for all of QLD put together. We desperately need a cyclone to form and then dissolve into a magnificent tropical rain depression to fill our dams.

Bet you've never experienced a proper cyclone ..............
_________________________
Rhubarb
Slightly damp!!

Rainfall
2017: May 19th: 46mm
2017: May 18th: 113 mm Whopee ..................
2017: May 17th: 22 mm
2017: To date: 642.5 mm
2016: 1,660 mm
2015: 430.5 mm

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#1414048 - 21/03/2017 21:38 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2016/2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
snowmad Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/06/2005
Posts: 879
Loc: Bowen
Not sure how to place in here. But check out the latest EC graphic on the weatherzone charts for EC 7 day outlook at the 168hr mark.

That will get Nth Qld hearts a pounding media will do backflips. Looks like a Yasi or Larry

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