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#1415450 - 25/03/2017 18:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 634
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Very light shower here just now. The smell of rain heavy in the air.


Edited by betsuin (25/03/2017 18:28)

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#1415481 - 25/03/2017 19:13 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1631
Loc: Bridgewater
got some rain here

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#1415506 - 25/03/2017 19:59 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3920
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
seems like the band that went through managed to get pen to
paper for all of about 60 seconds, unfortunately as hard as
it tried it doesn't get to be marked down as a rain day.
tomorrow.......
quite a few places redlining at 40+ further north with
kadina being the closest@41.
riverland misses out on the best of the 850 temps until after
sundown, by then the fat lady's sung and diurnal cooling sets
in. if that pool of 850 heat had been 12 hrs sooner riverland
would have been basking in 42+ easy.

other than kieth@31 the lse can't even crack-a-30 but don't
worry RS, doesn't mean you can't still crack-a-tinnie.
cheers buddy cheers

TH
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#1415517 - 25/03/2017 20:25 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17554
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
tbh I'm wondering how it can possibly get as hot as forecast tomorrow, considering there should still be a fair bit of this cloud cover about.... atm i'd be going a max around 32-33C.

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#1415710 - 26/03/2017 02:18 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3920
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
the steep gradients associated with a combination of the
lagging heat trough, location in regards to water and cloud
cover make for a tricky situation in forecasting temps,
especially for anything east of spencer gulf.
i'm seeing both sides of the discussion here but i'm seeing
the advection of heat being pulled down from north under the
cloud cover to give the temps bom are forecasting.
Tmax is also going to be highly dependant on total cloud octas
and timing and location of any clear slots.
another thing to bear in mind is the higher moisture levels
south of pt wakefield at 35-40mm pwats and 40-45%RH@925hpa
vertical mixing from any ne component off the ranges is going
to make 32-33 feel like 36-37 anyway.
if it does make 37 then any higher moisture levels will make
things damn uncomfortable.
whatever happens at the end of the day it all works out, the
timing is perfect, a couple of fine warm days for an awesome
enjoyable weekend and cooler for work on monday.

TH
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#1415723 - 26/03/2017 06:00 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
puddles Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/01/2007
Posts: 182
Loc: Reynella, SA
woke this morning to the sound of light and unexpected rain. confused smile

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#1415790 - 26/03/2017 09:15 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17554
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
No surprise to see temps downgraded. Just not sure why they didn't do it last night.

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#1415812 - 26/03/2017 09:54 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: puddles]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1631
Loc: Bridgewater
Originally Posted By: puddles
woke this morning to the sound of light and unexpected rain. confused smile


woke up this morning, had the strangest dream....

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#1416059 - 26/03/2017 16:50 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6712
Wowzers 44C at Ceduna!!
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2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1416067 - 26/03/2017 17:01 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
poona Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/11/2005
Posts: 287
Loc: 5km NW COULTA Lower Eyre Penin...
37C here got warm all of a sudden this afternoon after a mild first half of day...

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#1416321 - 26/03/2017 21:50 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 634
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Went down to the Magill Foodland at about 12 noon today (Sunday) and was greeted by the slightest of precipitation.

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#1416324 - 26/03/2017 21:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3920
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
i got 16 spots on my windscreen at hallett on my way back
from the brighton market at 10:30 this morning.
wow things are bad to be reporting bs tripe like this.
got a severe case of fds by the looks.

TH
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#1416330 - 26/03/2017 22:07 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7395
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
wow things are bad to be reporting bs tripe like this.
got a severe case of fds by the looks.

While I can't figure out what "fds" means right now, I understand that [daily] temperatures are likely to be falling in the short- to medium-term, and the 500-1000 mb thickness with them...maybe that will give moisture a chance to build up smile . All in the probability I guess...
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Silence can be beautiful because it is an avenue to peace of mind. Knowing oneself requires autonomy, an ability to laugh, and an acknowledgement one does not have all the answers...

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#1416359 - 26/03/2017 22:44 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1631
Loc: Bridgewater
adel: apparent temp, 38.


cool change about 4am

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#1416452 - 27/03/2017 00:36 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Pooley72 Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 17/01/2017
Posts: 40
Loc: Seacliff Park
Seacliff Park temp at Midnight - 32.5 shocked shocked shocked shocked


Edited by Pooley72 (27/03/2017 00:36)
_________________________
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Feb: 5.3mm
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#1416469 - 27/03/2017 02:42 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
puddles Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/01/2007
Posts: 182
Loc: Reynella, SA
Noarlunga - 33.6 at 2 pm here. crazy Gusty northerly wind.

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#1416476 - 27/03/2017 03:58 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3920
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
puddles what you doing up this late, you should be getting your
bueaty sleep.
yer Siera, just threw that one in as a curvie.
fds = forum deprivation syndrome.

been a tad busy on that mixmaster up north.
were currently at the peak of the heat trough which has narrowed
to a thin strip as the front pushes in, temperature should start
dropping soon and be significantly cooler by sunrise by about
10.
there's also some lightning on the edge of the front so could
get something out of it as it passes over. as usual with these
setups the best is below s.a.
the wind swing is on our doorstep and should be quite sharp as
the surface trough moves over.
a more significant cold front late wednesday with a sub 540
coldpool rearing up and poking its tongue out at us will keep
things cooler for the forecast period and give us a taste of
things to come

TH
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#1416557 - 27/03/2017 09:35 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17554
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Pretty good chance sth burbs (and def sth coasts) could see a rumble soon as these showers move through with the trough. Possibly even further north and east as the day goes on.


EDIT:
In fact BOM just revised forecast....
Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and early afternoon.


Edited by teckert (27/03/2017 09:39)

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#1416574 - 27/03/2017 10:09 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
Pooley72 Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 17/01/2017
Posts: 40
Loc: Seacliff Park
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
puddles what you doing up this late, you should be getting your
bueaty sleep.


I am way beyond beauty sleeps - more like a beauty hibernation needed in my case poke

My PWS went into shock between 0300 and 0400 with a 10 drop in temp, humidity rose from mid 20's to mid 80's and a wind change from the SE to the NW. Just looking at the radar now and there may be even a little bit of precip about to tumble onto us down here - *thumbsup.gif*
_________________________
My PWS: www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=INOARLUN2

Jan: 7.6mm
Feb: 5.3mm
Mar: 4.3mm
Apr:
May:
Jun:
Jul:
Aug:
Sep:
Oct:
Nov:
Dec:
2018: 17.2mm

2017: 491.3mm

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#1416589 - 27/03/2017 10:24 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: teckert]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7395
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
Originally Posted By: teckert
Possibly even further north and east as the day goes on.


EDIT:
In fact BOM just revised forecast....
Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and early afternoon.

Good grief, that was quick [development on radar]!!
_________________________
Silence can be beautiful because it is an avenue to peace of mind. Knowing oneself requires autonomy, an ability to laugh, and an acknowledgement one does not have all the answers...

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