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#1418387 - 28/03/2017 13:18 Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10119
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
A front/trough moving through NSW will bring rain mainly to the coast and ranges. The rain should start developing late tomorrow, persist through the 30th (heavy falls are possible in the afternoon and evening), and then ease to lighter showers sometime during the early hours of the 31st. There is the possibility that the rain may also be accompanied by some thunderstorm activity.


Edited by Seabreeze (29/03/2017 18:25)
Edit Reason: title change
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
August 2017 Rainfall: 1.2mm (Aug Avg. 80.4mm) // August 2017 Raindays: 1 (Aug Avg. 8.1 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 1244.6mm (Jan-Aug Avg. 1097.9mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 104 (Jan-Aug Avg. 93.6 raindays)

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#1418393 - 28/03/2017 13:21 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8303
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
It would appear some (or most depending on where you are) of this activity will be contributed by EX-TC Debbie, as she moves south and the trough absorbs the moisture from the system.

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#1418909 - 29/03/2017 12:39 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9582
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hoping for a drop out here from it - might not be much though. The impact reduces quickly as distance from the coast is greater.

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#1418949 - 29/03/2017 14:41 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 2976
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
I am hesitant about any significant rainfall anywhere south west of a line Newcastle to Walgett.

I think Sydney / Illawarra especially will be sitting on the edge with maybe only 10 to 20mm out of this.

Not that we need any more anyway. The grass here is growing 4-6ins a week.
_________________________
Michael Thompson
http://ozthunder.com

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#1418962 - 29/03/2017 15:08 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
slotmachine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/11/2007
Posts: 198
Loc: Newcastle
Going to get a good blow though.

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#1418967 - 29/03/2017 15:30 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9582
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes Michael - I suspect my area will be line ball, could go either way. Cloud build up today is interesting and gives me hope that it may increase by tomorrow.

Interaction with cooler air from the south might possibly add a bit of a trigger mechanism - depends on timing etc.

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#1419189 - 29/03/2017 22:49 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2151
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
Small cell already creeping into the basin.
Not wrong ozthunder about having enough precip already.
The ground is still pretty damp around here to.

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#1419328 - 30/03/2017 07:51 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6006
Loc: Wollongong, NSW
I feel like this weather event will take off really quickly today.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1419334 - 30/03/2017 08:05 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Wave Rider]
eauetsoleil Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/01/2016
Posts: 194
Loc: Bexley North
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
I feel like this weather event will take off really quickly today.


Looks like the front might hit Sydney Metro before 9am
The front hitting all last nights warm Sydney air is going to be interesting.


Edited by eauetsoleil (30/03/2017 08:06)

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#1419340 - 30/03/2017 08:19 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Wave Rider]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
I feel like this weather event will take off really quickly today.

I thought it would have already.

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#1419373 - 30/03/2017 09:03 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9582
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
A very active line went through to my west and south west last night - plenty of lightning pulses. Nothing here though, looked nice in the night sky.

A very solid tramline of precip staying just north & east of me.

Hoping we get at least 5 to 10mm today, something, would be a nice little follow up. However it may not push down to us.

The approaching SW change looks to be looming.

It certainly feels humid - 97% so it should feel that way smile

Around 8 degrees tomorrow morning - sounds quite pleasant grin

I will be heading to The Entrance tomorrow morning - just in time to miss my first good run of nice cool nights. smile

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#1419374 - 30/03/2017 09:04 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3351
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
I've been getting light rain on and off for the past hour or so. It was a very warm, uncomfortable night. Looks like the fake rain at OH has been supplemented with some of the real stuff too.

It's hard to tell where the chage is. Winds are Southerly from Bellambi Southwards, but places like Bellambi and Kiama are still warm. Best guess is it passed through Point Perpendicular between 7:30 and 8:00 with about a 3 degree drop.

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#1419392 - 30/03/2017 09:22 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1520
Loc: Kingsgrove NSW. Cooks Gap NS...
Morning all, coming down in 10 ton truck loads here at Cooks Gap this morning. The first chance that I can get outside I'll have a look at how much is in the gauge. We're having the occasional rumble as well. All in all a nice morning smile

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#1419399 - 30/03/2017 09:36 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 424
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Looks like a decent rain train headed my way, it started raining about 30 mins ago, with some rolling thunder.

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#1419447 - 30/03/2017 10:51 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Rob G Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/07/2003
Posts: 655
Loc: Porters Retreat NSW
Barely a drop here. It would have been nice to have had some moisture replenishment to compensate for the dry and warmth of the last few days. This system's focus has on each forecast run retreated further to the NE. As we are near the SW edge of the cloud mass, Meteye's forecast of 20mm is looking increasingly like a dream.

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#1419451 - 30/03/2017 10:54 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1350
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
I am watching this long heavy rain area to my SW stretching down from the NW to Sydney,it all looks to be moving very slowly to the NE,it will run into the big rain blob from up north then the action should start.we need it here not like a lot of other places,who have had to much rain.


Edited by Stormy3 (30/03/2017 10:55)

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#1419456 - 30/03/2017 11:01 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3351
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Heavy rain just started here. The Southerly arrived about 20 minutes ago.

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#1419459 - 30/03/2017 11:06 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9582
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Agree with Rob - I suspect we will be zero precip or very low.

Surface winds SW here now so I wouldn't expect much precip from that set up.

It's so close that I can see it but it's not here. smile

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#1419467 - 30/03/2017 11:20 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 424
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Has someone installed a rain shield around Bilpin? The rain train is splitting around there.

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#1419477 - 30/03/2017 11:34 Re: Rain, strong winds & chance of storms accompanying frontal system - 30th March 2017 [Re: Seabreeze]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 652
Loc: Orange, NSW
"Central Tablelands for Thursday Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of rain, becoming less likely this evening. Rain and showers heavy at times during this afternoon and early evening. A thunderstorm likely during the morning and afternoon."

Oops. Northern tabes only.
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

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