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#1421431 - 12/04/2017 10:11 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Coxy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 1037
Loc: Jindalee, QLD
Originally Posted By: desieboy


Still got the moisture just got to get into more favorable shear winds so it can get itself together .....



It's a happy looking thing.

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#1421441 - 12/04/2017 12:04 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7768
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
I think she has had it? Oh Well was a little hope there for a while but maybe just wishful in the end. It was fairly obvious from the initial shear that it was going to struggle.
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Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#1421454 - 12/04/2017 14:20 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: Popeye]
tropicbreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 127
Loc: Noonamah
I always thought that dry air and high vertical wind shear was going to be a problem. Never thought that level of wind shear would persist as much as it did though.

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#1421463 - 12/04/2017 16:38 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: Popeye]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3170
Loc: Broome


Yes TB it didn't play the game basically .

Stayed too long in an unfavorable environment for intensification.

Most models saw it moving to South West a lot sooner than it did also wind shear was supposed to ease.

Sometimes only a small window of opportunity for development getting some good circulation going and this one missed that opening.

Having said that there is so many factors that if not all aligned throw each other out and mess up the whole scenario.
Which is what happened this time.

Just like those lows earlier on in the season which just happen to be developing in the right place but in the wrong time.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1421464 - 12/04/2017 16:45 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: Popeye]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3170
Loc: Broome

Not much chance of TC status with too much dry air to the North and Western flanks of the system especially next couple of days even though it may have better integrity than it does now.

As a low though should bring some rain to the North Kimberley coastline and maybe the Pilbara in the longer outlook.

May be reduced to a trough by the time it comes towards the Pilbara coast though.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1421488 - 12/04/2017 23:09 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: Mick10]
gecko Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2007
Posts: 408
Loc: Coconut Grove, Darwin, NT.
Originally Posted By: Mick10

record max low for april is 24.6C, the temp has to stay below that until 9am tomorrow for the record to be broken.


Got there in the end.

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#1421532 - 13/04/2017 18:42 Re: Tropical Low (96S) NT-WA April 2017 [Re: Popeye]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3170
Loc: Broome
Says it all.....

Going, going ...gone...

Details of Tropical Low at 8:00 am AWST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 13.5 degrees South, 127.6 degrees East .
Movement: west at 25 kilometres per hour .

A tropical low lies close to the north Kimberley coast. The low will continue to move towards the west during the day and will be located offshore to the northwest of the Kimberley on Friday. The low is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone.



_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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