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#1423259 - 14/05/2017 09:53 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Homer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 4924
Loc: Dural
Looks like parts of the northern beaches are about to cop it with a red cell pushing onshore.


Edited by Seabreeze (15/05/2017 20:39)
Edit Reason: replaced 'Rainfall' with 'Showers', and shortened date from 16th to 14th

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#1423268 - 14/05/2017 10:21 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Jimi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/03/2004
Posts: 743
Loc: Cammeray
Thought I heard a rumble from it too

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#1423269 - 14/05/2017 10:27 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 260
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Looks like mothers day plans could be very affected if one of those red blobs drops in.

Anytime we get some rumbles from the Nor east , its HEAVY rain.

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#1423272 - 14/05/2017 10:54 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2151
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
Just had torrential rain with hail and thunder, would have been flash flooding around the place.
Will be interesting to see how much fell on the BoM update at 11am

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#1423275 - 14/05/2017 11:48 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Donzah]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Originally Posted By: Donzah

Anytime we get some rumbles from the Nor east , its HEAVY rain.


Yeah some of the heaviest torrential downpours I can ever remember have been from the NE.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423276 - 14/05/2017 11:56 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3140
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Terry Hills had 31 millimetres this morning, including 25mm in half an hour between 11:00 and 11:30. Mona Vale had 27mm between 10:00 and 11:00.

Once the 'Rainfall and River Conditions' are updated afte 12:00 there'll be more big totals on the Northern Beaches.

Just light rain here.

EDIT: heavy showers are moving into the Hills district. Homer will be getting some heavy rain soon.


Edited by Steve777 (14/05/2017 11:58)

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#1423280 - 14/05/2017 12:16 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
1.5mm from some light overnight rain. Today its overcast and mild with just the odd spit here and there, nice and dark offshore atm, but its staying offshore for the moment.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423282 - 14/05/2017 12:26 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Thunder heard.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423286 - 14/05/2017 12:43 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
It's very unstable today, much more than I originally thought.

The 10 day models look very strange for this time of year. You could swear that we are going out of winter with this outlook. Nothing even remotely resembling winter for the next 10 days. I'm not complaining but geez it's unusual.


Edited by Wave Rider (14/05/2017 12:45)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423287 - 14/05/2017 12:52 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
eauetsoleil Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/01/2016
Posts: 163
Loc: Bexley North
Went to the Cronulla's Northern Beaches yesterday and the water felt a bit warmer than the forecast 21C Sea Temp. Maybe just the wetsuit effect.

Bucketing down rain for the last 5 minutes here at Bexley North.

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#1423291 - 14/05/2017 13:29 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
SWW now includes all of the Mid Nth Coast and northern part of the Hunter.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423293 - 14/05/2017 13:50 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Pouring down with rain here from the tiniest blip on radar.

Edit: Very loud thunder.


Edited by Wave Rider (14/05/2017 13:55)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423294 - 14/05/2017 14:06 NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Well with an trough currently just offshore and an approaching upper trough starting to make its way eastward we should see a small low develop, most likely off the Mid North Coast somewhere. The low is expected to move eastward quite quickly according to the BOM.

But anyway we are already seeing some decent falls along the coast in some places and even some embedded thunder too.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423296 - 14/05/2017 14:09 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Good stuff Eddy. I guess Seabreeze will have to move some posts from the DTD thread into this one.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423297 - 14/05/2017 14:15 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Yeah quite possibly. I was going to make this thread last night when I said I was, time snuck away from me as I had my Cricket Presentation on!!

Anyway its still dry here, overcast and calm. There is certainly some threatening clouds about.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423299 - 14/05/2017 15:11 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Grant]
DerekHV Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 651
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Surprisingly cool day.
The 24 hour graph shows we went over our forecast max to 22C after 1pm, then dropped dramatically as a SSE airflow has been in effect all afternoon since then.

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#1423300 - 14/05/2017 15:25 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Wave Rider]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 260
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Pouring down with rain here from the tiniest blip on radar.

Edit: Very loud thunder.


send it this way
Nothing here, just a fertile looking sky

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#1423301 - 14/05/2017 15:29 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
After nearly reaching 20c at lunch time, the temp has dropped considerably in the last 15 minutes or so as this gusty se breeze has come through.

Getting darker as the afternoon goes but still nothing falling here as yet.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423306 - 14/05/2017 16:06 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Well the BOM have cancelled their SWW.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423307 - 14/05/2017 16:48 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
We got more than an hour of rain here. The first part was heavy and then just light rain for the rest of it. Probably lasted an hour and a half at a guess. Roads are still wet. Very, very localised.


Edited by Wave Rider (14/05/2017 16:55)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423308 - 14/05/2017 17:01 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Crimson_Tide_ Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/06/2007
Posts: 478
Loc: Northern Sydney storm shield (...
Another heavy Shower for the past 15-20mins from nothing but blip on the Radar, following from the earlier Rain just after 11am.

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#1423309 - 14/05/2017 17:02 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Rapid development to my east and a random heavy shower just now.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423310 - 14/05/2017 17:57 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 431
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
Low looks to be over Nelson Bay on Newcastle radar?

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#1423311 - 14/05/2017 18:03 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1535
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Nuffing Burgers anyone. Fries with that. Not a drop all day. At home or in eastern Lake Macquarie area post midday. I noticed some coral trees still with a few leaves. Normally totally bare by now.

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#1423315 - 14/05/2017 18:23 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: Steve777]
Homer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 4924
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Steve777
EDIT: heavy showers are moving into the Hills district. Homer will be getting some heavy rain soon.


I wish it had panned out that way but unfortunately, it wasn't to be. Those heavy showers died very quickly as they approached and we only had a few minutes of a light shower.
Still a chance of some showers tonight though.

The metro force field was strong today, apart from the northern beaches and parts of the north shore.
There was decent precipitation to the west, south, east and north of the metro, but not really much inside that circle.
The sky looked spectacular at times and had potential, but in reality it all led to very little.

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#1423341 - 15/05/2017 08:54 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Only the 1.0mm overnight in the 24 hrs to 9am.
Currently its cloudy and breezy from the SW and judging by the radars south of here it looks like it could be a fairly wet day coming up.

So what happened to all the heavy rain? Sure there were some solid isolated falls about. Was it the upper trough too slow moving to interact with the offshore trough?
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423342 - 15/05/2017 10:27 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1345
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
EddyG,It looks like you are about to get pounded by heavy rains maybe a grumble as well but it is only just clipping you there with your area sticking out to sea more then Newcastle,us inland here it is clear and sunny.


Edited by Stormy3 (15/05/2017 10:29)

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#1423347 - 15/05/2017 10:44 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Yes Stormy3 its been raining steadily for about 20 minutes now, not overly heavy at this stage. Yeah I reckon if I drive towards the highway it will be dry and sunny, highway being about 7ks away as the crow flies!!
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1423350 - 15/05/2017 11:00 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3140
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Don't think I've had any rain here since early yesterday afternoon although it's been cloudy. Near Sydney, the showers have been marching North just off the coast after coming from the NE yesterday. It's been cloudy, with one or two sunny breaks yesterday aftenoon (but not today).

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#1423351 - 15/05/2017 11:16 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Its got cold too since it started raining near an hour ago the temp has dropped 2c from 17.3c to 15.3c
And throw in a bit of wind chill into as well. Heater is set to a pleasant and comfortable 32c grin
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1423352 - 15/05/2017 11:49 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9240
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
32!!!!!!

Hooley Dooley that's a little tropical smile

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#1423354 - 15/05/2017 13:01 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5443
Loc: Wollongong NSW
I would have to agree with that, even too much for me!!

Don't know what happened to the rain event Eddy. We had some heavy rain for a bit yesterday and last night on the coast, but skies were clear by midnight and even earlier. Today it is pleasant and mostly sunny.


Edited by Wave Rider (15/05/2017 13:03)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

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#1423355 - 15/05/2017 13:26 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: DaveM]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Originally Posted By: DaveM
32!!!!!!

Hooley Dooley that's a little tropical smile


Well that's as high as it will go!! grin

Yeah WR not sure what had happen to this event, hopefully someone will give us better insight to why?

Has warmed up a little since my last post, still some short showers passing through.



Edited by EddyG (15/05/2017 13:26)
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1423359 - 15/05/2017 14:14 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9240
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Sitting out here in about 14 degree outside temp, inside about 20 - no heater on smile

Dull out here, lots of good looking large clouds about but no real look of precip - just pretentious clouds smile

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#1423375 - 15/05/2017 20:05 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Oh well back to the DTD thread!!
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1423377 - 15/05/2017 20:44 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Andrew-A Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/10/2011
Posts: 159
Loc: Copacabana NSW
The past 5 hours the low has looked a lot like an organising cyclone
At least by mainstream media standards:p

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#1423381 - 15/05/2017 21:35 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 424
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Rain, what rain?

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#1423398 - 16/05/2017 08:49 Re: NSW Upper Trough - Heavy Showers 14th May 2017 [Re: EddyG]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
4.7mm to 9am, event total 7.2mm.
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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