Trough and upper trough expected to influence our weather in the next few days. Better falls look like closer to the coast where converging onshore winds interact with a upper trough especially during Friday. Weather should ease or clear during Saturday.

It appears the weather is already deteriorating compared to last few days. Cloud Building etc

Lots of Mare's tails above us this morning.

Hope its a good sign
Had a truck load of flying ants yesterday

Ha, BOM possible forecast totals have now more than doubled for us, so I hope it comes off, media been beating it up madly.

Yea falls have beefed up a bit today. NSW BoM have even included possible heavy falls on Friday for northern NR.

Trying to decide if I head out to the Jandowae Races this weekend or not....Weatherzone site 7 day forecast for Dalby is 1 - 5mm on Friday and less then 1mm on Saturday, and BOM is saying 6 - 15mm on Friday and 1 - 4mm on Saturday. Watched the news before and their weather map for Friday looked to show more rain then those forecasts....hmmm, decisions decisions...don't want to have a miserable weekend whilst the family stays home warm and dry...lol

I vote you come out . . . . . We need the rain lol.

Yeah, go for it!
Nice drive out there.

reckon I'll make the call tomorrow night, after looking at more forecasts after I get home from work.

35 up to 80mm upgrade for Sunny Coast. I think someone may have suffered a head knock!

Tonight's EC run has falls of over 100mm+ for the Sunshine coast area from Late Thursday into Friday. Peaking sometime Friday Morning.

Wynnum Nth 24 hour rain 0.6mm. Showers in past hour.

Water Vapour Loop looks encouraging, 2 systems coming together soon, preferably over our place dumping buckets.

The fact that the southern part of the upper trough still looks like developing a negative tilt and sliding away to the SE (as expected) while relaxing taking the heavier rain with it and the northern component stays to our north with its own heavier rain... while we get stuck in the middle isn't helping my optimism with rainfall amounts for our region.
The exception being parts of our coast and islands which could still do well with that onshore flow, coastal convergence zone and upper support combined with moist backing winds with height profiles/upslide.

In saying that, if a small low forms along the coast (or slow-moving embedded thunderstorms occur), the risk of heavier rain with flash flooding near and to its south would become higher.

Yes! Heavy showers also expected for the weekend in my region! Stay dry and warm friend, its no good to get sick at this time. The EAC is definitely good at doing its job!

Nice little low over Emerald visible on the 512K Gympie radar at 1538.

Been thinking the same thing. I reckon we're more likely to end up in the middle than you guys down there though. The stuff along the CQ coast will eventually head east on the northern flank of the upper trough while the southern, tilted part should produce its own area of heavy rain through SEQ tomorrow as it heads rapidly SE. Not saying we won't get anything up here, just think southern SEQ has a better chance of bigger falls than we do.

Might be a damp night for us. Be interesting to see if that cloud coming in will build or fiz onshore.

Colin,
That low over Emerald is not a low, but the " Swept Gain " effect applied to the Emerald radar to equalize rainfall rates so they are not badly affected by distance from the radar, known as the range squared effect. With radar propagation, when the distance is doubled, only one quarter of the signal strength is received back into the radar receiver for an echo of the same intensity. The swept gain mechanism tries to equalize this somewhat, which can have the result of light rain being cut out close to the radar.

6.5mm o/night.

Thanks Retired Weather Man, I have to admit I didn't know that, very interesting to learn something new, Thanks for sharing, I enjoy your input greatly, you have so much experience and knowledge to share.

The same sentiments go out to Ken. I think I can say for all of us, that we greatly appreciate having 2 meteorologist on here and you both share so much with us.

Thanks RWM and Ken Kato.

32mm last night here at Bracken Ridge and still raining. Love this weather.

5.5mm overnight here at Salisbury, and another 0.8mm to that total this morning has us at 6.3mm so far.

Wynnum Nth rain since 0900 - 9.2mm.

Well said Colin. Here, here guys, very much appreciated.

Getting darker not lighter here, cloud thickening up.

Had 27mm overnight and through this morning, happy with what we have so far.

19mm in the last 24hrs here in the valley.

Had a small break this morning, but showers building again now.

Hi all 6.6 mm overnight . See if we can add to that today .Some heavy falls for north qld .

7.8mm last night. Murwillumbah had 36mm to 9AM

Its been a dark & gloomy morning with bugger all rain, just a bit of drizzle so far.

1.2mm since 9am. Enough to stop the social golf.

4mm here from a shower this morning. Hoping for at least 15mm today, probably a long shot though as the main rain areas look to be clearing SE and we were never forecast to get much from this event anyway. Still a pretty impressive system with patchy rain from Cape York right down to Tas.

Yes Himawari imagery looks amazing.

Can anyone give us a quick snapshot of the setup behind this east coast rain event?

Nice chunky 5mm wave showers coming into burrum vegas now , 15mm o'night

Bom has grossly over estimated for this region, unless it starts hammering down soon there won't be any 40-80mm falls

Heavy falls about 3am and constant rain since. Hasnt stopped all day. Be interesting to see how much rain we have had so far. Top temp 18.8C today.
(Feel sorry for the people going to the Gympie Show this weekend tho)

By far the heaviest rain of the event just moving through here now. Not much to go though by the look of it.

6mm today makes 12.5mm total so far, I could say that is a bit dissapointing but really didnt expect much but hoping for more, might have a few more hours to go by the Stapy radar. Any rain is good rain.

57.5mm to 5pm today (that includes yesterday). Pretty light rain mostly, although getting a bit heavier now.

18mm at Highvale for,the 24 hours to 9:00am this morning

Rain at times overnight brought 12.6mm in the 24hrs to 9am. 3.0mm since 9am from some light rain.

Wynnum Nth 24 hour 1.8mm.

Hi all ,I got 4.5 mm over night bring this event to 11.1 mm .My prediction was between 10 and 15 mm ,So not of the mark this time.
Just enough to green the place up.

6.2mm total here. A bit more would've been nice but you take what you get at this lean time of year.

38mm for Gympie, Great!

11mm yesterday, 17.5mm total, not bad for May.

my presence didn't seem to bring the rain sorry to say...lol. What rain (not talking the drizzle you got) was falling seemed to stop before we got to Dalby, I spent yesterday arvo and last night sitting around a fire drum drinking Bundy and looking at the stars we could see between broken cloud cover. Noticed Dalby got 3mm when I looked online last night, I doubt Jandowae got barely enough to register in a gauge from what I experienced from lunch time on, and today is looking great for the races.

Lovely evening blue sky & sunset.

Some of the lower lying areas could get decent fog again on multiple mornings over the next few days too but will post about it in the day to day thread.

12.6mm in the official gauge here. Close to what I received here in the west part of town.

7.6mm in the 24hrs to 9am, giving a two-day total of 20.2mm. No rain today. The cloud cleared to a sunny day by late morning.

Hi all.Nothing to report out here overnight .Starting to clear with blue sky now .

Got home this arvo and was disappointed to only see 8.6mm registered in the rain gauge for this event. Left home Friday morning at 8.00 a.m with 6.3mm already in the gauge, so only got another 2.3mm after that.