#1423511 - 17/05/2017 12:36
SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
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Weather Freak
Registered: 23/09/2005
Posts: 454
Loc: Elimbah 4516
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Trough and upper trough expected to influence our weather in the next few days. Better falls look like closer to the coast where converging onshore winds interact with a upper trough especially during Friday. Weather should ease or clear during Saturday.
Edited by Seabreeze (20/05/2017 21:14) Edit Reason: shortened by a day. Rain cleared off the coast early this morning
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Records are MEANT to be broken.
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#1423512 - 17/05/2017 12:43
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1136
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
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It appears the weather is already deteriorating compared to last few days. Cloud Building etc
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Wynnum SE Brisbane
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#1423516 - 17/05/2017 12:51
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Lots of Mare's tails above us this morning.
Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (17/05/2017 12:51)
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#1423517 - 17/05/2017 12:52
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1136
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
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Hope its a good sign Had a truck load of flying ants yesterday
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Wynnum SE Brisbane
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#1423542 - 17/05/2017 17:00
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Ha, BOM possible forecast totals have now more than doubled for us, so I hope it comes off, media been beating it up madly.
Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (17/05/2017 17:02)
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#1423545 - 17/05/2017 18:16
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 650
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
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Yea falls have beefed up a bit today. NSW BoM have even included possible heavy falls on Friday for northern NR.
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#1423549 - 17/05/2017 19:17
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 399
Loc: Salisbury
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Trying to decide if I head out to the Jandowae Races this weekend or not....Weatherzone site 7 day forecast for Dalby is 1 - 5mm on Friday and less then 1mm on Saturday, and BOM is saying 6 - 15mm on Friday and 1 - 4mm on Saturday. Watched the news before and their weather map for Friday looked to show more rain then those forecasts....hmmm, decisions decisions...don't want to have a miserable weekend whilst the family stays home warm and dry...lol
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#1423553 - 17/05/2017 19:36
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 1123
Loc: Jimbour, QLD
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I vote you come out . . . . . We need the rain lol.
_________________________
Jimbour rain: 2018-122, Jan-4, Feb-100, Mar-12, Apr-6
2017-559, Jan-103.5, Feb-67.5, Mar-118.5, April-0, May-7, June-21.5, July 33.5, Aug-2.5, September-1, Oct-112, Nov-21, December-98
2016 - 563.5 2015 - 702.5 2014 - 418.5
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#1423554 - 17/05/2017 19:57
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Yeah, go for it! Nice drive out there.
Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (17/05/2017 20:01)
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#1423555 - 17/05/2017 19:58
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Lani]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 399
Loc: Salisbury
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I vote you come out . . . . . We need the rain lol. reckon I'll make the call tomorrow night, after looking at more forecasts after I get home from work.
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#1423568 - 17/05/2017 21:46
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/02/2015
Posts: 266
Loc: Golden Beach
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35 up to 80mm upgrade for Sunny Coast. I think someone may have suffered a head knock!
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#1423571 - 17/05/2017 22:01
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Snapper22lb]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 23/09/2005
Posts: 454
Loc: Elimbah 4516
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35 up to 80mm upgrade for Sunny Coast. I think someone may have suffered a head knock! Tonight's EC run has falls of over 100mm+ for the Sunshine coast area from Late Thursday into Friday. Peaking sometime Friday Morning.
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Records are MEANT to be broken.
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#1423589 - 18/05/2017 08:01
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4486
Loc: Wynnum
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Wynnum Nth 24 hour rain 0.6mm. Showers in past hour.
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Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96)YTD558.4(527.3),
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#1423592 - 18/05/2017 09:46
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Water Vapour Loop looks encouraging, 2 systems coming together soon, preferably over our place dumping buckets.
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#1423593 - 18/05/2017 09:59
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5111
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The fact that the southern part of the upper trough still looks like developing a negative tilt and sliding away to the SE (as expected) while relaxing taking the heavier rain with it and the northern component stays to our north with its own heavier rain... while we get stuck in the middle isn't helping my optimism with rainfall amounts for our region. The exception being parts of our coast and islands which could still do well with that onshore flow, coastal convergence zone and upper support combined with moist backing winds with height profiles/upslide.
In saying that, if a small low forms along the coast (or slow-moving embedded thunderstorms occur), the risk of heavier rain with flash flooding near and to its south would become higher.
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#1423606 - 18/05/2017 12:11
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: wet sky]
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Cloud Gazer
Registered: 02/04/2017
Posts: 3
Loc: QLD
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Yea falls have beefed up a bit today. NSW BoM have even included possible heavy falls on Friday for northern NR. Yes! Heavy showers also expected for the weekend in my region! Stay dry and warm friend, its no good to get sick at this time. The EAC is definitely good at doing its job!
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#1423629 - 18/05/2017 15:58
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/09/2009
Posts: 2421
Loc: North Brisbane ( Bracken Ridge...
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Nice little low over Emerald visible on the 512K Gympie radar at 1538. 
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VK4FCDM (Amateur radio call sign)
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#1423634 - 18/05/2017 16:29
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Ken Kato]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6946
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
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The fact that the southern part of the upper trough still looks like developing a negative tilt and sliding away to the SE (as expected) while relaxing taking the heavier rain with it and the northern component stays to our north with its own heavier rain... while we get stuck in the middle isn't helping my optimism with rainfall amounts for our region. The exception being parts of our coast and islands which could still do well with that onshore flow, coastal convergence zone and upper support combined with moist backing winds with height profiles/upslide. Been thinking the same thing. I reckon we're more likely to end up in the middle than you guys down there though. The stuff along the CQ coast will eventually head east on the northern flank of the upper trough while the southern, tilted part should produce its own area of heavy rain through SEQ tomorrow as it heads rapidly SE. Not saying we won't get anything up here, just think southern SEQ has a better chance of bigger falls than we do.
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#1423645 - 18/05/2017 18:16
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 23/08/2014
Posts: 896
Loc: Diamond Valley, Sunshine Coast
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Might be a damp night for us. Be interesting to see if that cloud coming in will build or fiz onshore.
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#1423653 - 18/05/2017 19:50
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4486
Loc: Wynnum
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Colin, That low over Emerald is not a low, but the " Swept Gain " effect applied to the Emerald radar to equalize rainfall rates so they are not badly affected by distance from the radar, known as the range squared effect. With radar propagation, when the distance is doubled, only one quarter of the signal strength is received back into the radar receiver for an echo of the same intensity. The swept gain mechanism tries to equalize this somewhat, which can have the result of light rain being cut out close to the radar.
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Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96)YTD558.4(527.3),
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#1423681 - 19/05/2017 07:22
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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#1423682 - 19/05/2017 07:27
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/09/2009
Posts: 2421
Loc: North Brisbane ( Bracken Ridge...
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Thanks Retired Weather Man, I have to admit I didn't know that, very interesting to learn something new, Thanks for sharing, I enjoy your input greatly, you have so much experience and knowledge to share. The same sentiments go out to Ken. I think I can say for all of us, that we greatly appreciate having 2 meteorologist on here and you both share so much with us.
Thanks RWM and Ken Kato.
32mm last night here at Bracken Ridge and still raining. Love this weather.
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(coltan)
VK4FCDM (Amateur radio call sign)
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#1423685 - 19/05/2017 07:36
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 399
Loc: Salisbury
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5.5mm overnight here at Salisbury, and another 0.8mm to that total this morning has us at 6.3mm so far.
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#1423687 - 19/05/2017 07:49
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4486
Loc: Wynnum
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Wynnum Nth rain since 0900 - 9.2mm.
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Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96)YTD558.4(527.3),
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#1423688 - 19/05/2017 07:53
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 13/05/2010
Posts: 232
Loc: Tallai, QLD
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Well said Colin. Here, here guys, very much appreciated.
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We don't just do odd jobs, we do jobs that are odd
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#1423692 - 19/05/2017 08:22
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Getting darker not lighter here, cloud thickening up.
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#1423700 - 19/05/2017 08:57
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/09/2015
Posts: 354
Loc: Strathpine, QLD
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Had 27mm overnight and through this morning, happy with what we have so far.
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Wunderground station ID: IQUEENSL296
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#1423704 - 19/05/2017 09:22
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 25/10/2010
Posts: 88
Loc: Mooloolah Valley QLD
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19mm in the last 24hrs here in the valley.
Had a small break this morning, but showers building again now.
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Going to sleep with heavy rain on a tin roof always makes for ‘wetdreams’….
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#1423705 - 19/05/2017 09:26
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1771
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
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Hi all 6.6 mm overnight . See if we can add to that today .Some heavy falls for north qld .
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#1423710 - 19/05/2017 10:03
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 650
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
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7.8mm last night. Murwillumbah had 36mm to 9AM
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#1423717 - 19/05/2017 10:30
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Its been a dark & gloomy morning with bugger all rain, just a bit of drizzle so far.
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#1423739 - 19/05/2017 12:41
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 10/01/2013
Posts: 338
Loc: Hervey Bay 48m,Tuross Head
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1.2mm since 9am. Enough to stop the social golf.
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#1423742 - 19/05/2017 12:52
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1178
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
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4mm here from a shower this morning. Hoping for at least 15mm today, probably a long shot though as the main rain areas look to be clearing SE and we were never forecast to get much from this event anyway. Still a pretty impressive system with patchy rain from Cape York right down to Tas.
Edited by LightningGus (19/05/2017 12:55)
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2016 Rainfall: 604mm 2017 Rainfall: 715mm 2018 Rainfall: 315mm ytd
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#1423751 - 19/05/2017 13:29
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 28/03/2017
Posts: 76
Loc: Brisbane Inner West
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Yes Himawari imagery looks amazing.
Can anyone give us a quick snapshot of the setup behind this east coast rain event?
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Science is the only answer
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#1423758 - 19/05/2017 13:57
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 27/01/2013
Posts: 143
Loc: Burrum Heads
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Nice chunky 5mm wave showers coming into burrum vegas now , 15mm o'night
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#1423761 - 19/05/2017 14:59
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 16/11/2009
Posts: 2851
Loc: collingwood park
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Bom has grossly over estimated for this region, unless it starts hammering down soon there won't be any 40-80mm falls
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I hate winter
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#1423762 - 19/05/2017 15:23
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 193
Loc: Gympie
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Heavy falls about 3am and constant rain since. Hasnt stopped all day. Be interesting to see how much rain we have had so far. Top temp 18.8C today. (Feel sorry for the people going to the Gympie Show this weekend tho)
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#1423769 - 19/05/2017 16:28
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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6mm today makes 12.5mm total so far, I could say that is a bit dissapointing but really didnt expect much but hoping for more, might have a few more hours to go by the Stapy radar. Any rain is good rain.
Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (19/05/2017 16:29)
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#1423779 - 19/05/2017 17:52
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 04/03/2010
Posts: 1079
Loc: Murwillumbah, NE NSW
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57.5mm to 5pm today (that includes yesterday). Pretty light rain mostly, although getting a bit heavier now.
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#1423780 - 19/05/2017 18:03
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 01/02/2003
Posts: 303
Loc: Highvale
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18mm at Highvale for,the 24 hours to 9:00am this morning
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The mind is everything. What you think you become.
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#1423792 - 19/05/2017 20:13
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Moderator
Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10335
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
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Rain at times overnight brought 12.6mm in the 24hrs to 9am. 3.0mm since 9am from some light rain.
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast: April 2018 Rainfall: 104.4mm (Apr Avg. 169.9mm) // April 2018 Raindays: 12 (Apr Avg. 12.9 raindays) Year-to-date Rainfall: 762.2mm (Jan-Apr Avg. 670.4mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 51 (Jan-Apr Avg. 55.8 raindays)
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#1423803 - 20/05/2017 07:32
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4486
Loc: Wynnum
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Wynnum Nth 24 hour 1.8mm.
_________________________
Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96)YTD558.4(527.3),
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#1423806 - 20/05/2017 08:40
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1771
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
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Hi all ,I got 4.5 mm over night bring this event to 11.1 mm .My prediction was between 10 and 15 mm ,So not of the mark this time. Just enough to green the place up.
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#1423807 - 20/05/2017 08:43
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1178
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
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6.2mm total here. A bit more would've been nice but you take what you get at this lean time of year.
_________________________
2016 Rainfall: 604mm 2017 Rainfall: 715mm 2018 Rainfall: 315mm ytd
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#1423810 - 20/05/2017 09:38
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 193
Loc: Gympie
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#1423811 - 20/05/2017 09:43
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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11mm yesterday, 17.5mm total, not bad for May.
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#1423812 - 20/05/2017 09:46
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Lani]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 399
Loc: Salisbury
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I vote you come out . . . . . We need the rain lol. my presence didn't seem to bring the rain sorry to say...lol. What rain (not talking the drizzle you got) was falling seemed to stop before we got to Dalby, I spent yesterday arvo and last night sitting around a fire drum drinking Bundy and looking at the stars we could see between broken cloud cover. Noticed Dalby got 3mm when I looked online last night, I doubt Jandowae got barely enough to register in a gauge from what I experienced from lunch time on, and today is looking great for the races.
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#1423840 - 20/05/2017 16:54
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3289
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
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Lovely evening blue sky & sunset.
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#1423841 - 20/05/2017 16:57
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5111
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Some of the lower lying areas could get decent fog again on multiple mornings over the next few days too but will post about it in the day to day thread.
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#1423847 - 20/05/2017 17:49
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 31/08/2010
Posts: 891
Loc: Warwick, QLD
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12.6mm in the official gauge here. Close to what I received here in the west part of town.
_________________________
Michael - your eyes to the west.
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#1423861 - 20/05/2017 21:14
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Moderator
Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10335
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
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7.6mm in the 24hrs to 9am, giving a two-day total of 20.2mm. No rain today. The cloud cleared to a sunny day by late morning.
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South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast: April 2018 Rainfall: 104.4mm (Apr Avg. 169.9mm) // April 2018 Raindays: 12 (Apr Avg. 12.9 raindays) Year-to-date Rainfall: 762.2mm (Jan-Apr Avg. 670.4mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 51 (Jan-Apr Avg. 55.8 raindays)
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#1423866 - 21/05/2017 11:07
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1771
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
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Hi all.Nothing to report out here overnight .Starting to clear with blue sky now .
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#1423904 - 21/05/2017 21:38
Re: SE QLD/ NE NSW Showers/Rain possible storms. 18th & 19th May 2017
[Re: Squeako_88]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 399
Loc: Salisbury
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Got home this arvo and was disappointed to only see 8.6mm registered in the rain gauge for this event. Left home Friday morning at 8.00 a.m with 6.3mm already in the gauge, so only got another 2.3mm after that.
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