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#1423954 - 22/05/2017 18:08 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Of course because there is more evidence to back up global warming in the last 20-30 years than evidence leaning the other way.

Totally agree with your last paragraph though. Yes the current trend of warming is normal, BUT, we are enhancing that. There was a time about 3 million years ago where the CO2 concentrations and temperatures were higher than today as I learnt doing a report in Uni.

Anyway it's risky ground straying into this topic so this will be my last comment on this topic thereof we must not speak.


Edited by Wave Rider (22/05/2017 18:10)
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The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
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#1423957 - 22/05/2017 18:19 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Rsav]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4346
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Originally Posted By: Rsav
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Some nice structure around this morning, might be a chance of a spout offshore again, anyway got dinner cooking away in the slow cooker, so time to go to the beach and have a look at what I can find!!


How often do you see waterspouts off the coast in your part of the world? Are they more common at certain times of the year?


Hi Rsav
Waterspouts can be seen at anytime of the year with probably Autumn being the best time with warm sea surface temps.

I reckon over the last two weeks I've seen probably about 15 mid level funnels and maybe one or two of them may have disturbed the water surface, I was either too late getting to the beach or one of the headlands obscured my vision!!
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD 15.9mm
YTD 1110.3mm
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
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#1423959 - 22/05/2017 18:27 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
Do you know what happens when a volcano erupts lol? The more you research the more you will realise that weather patterns are more governed by volcanic eruptions rather than home brew co2 from cars/factories/construction etc. Co2 is cold, real cold.

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#1423960 - 22/05/2017 18:28 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1256
Loc: toowoomba


Edited by petethemoskeet (22/05/2017 18:30)

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#1423961 - 22/05/2017 18:29 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 313
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
The lake effect matters very little to Australia. Our lakes are small, and if they are big, they tend to be dry.

Yeah WR Small SSWs help bring big fat juicy lows North. But unfortunately they can't be predicted from more than a week away.

This shows North and South Pole 10hPa temperatures as you can see the Northern polar vortex changes more than the Southern polar vortex.
http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/
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#1423963 - 22/05/2017 18:37 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: WarrenTheSnowMan]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 313
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: WarrenTheSnowMan
Do you know what happens when a volcano erupts lol? The more you research the more you will realise that weather patterns are more governed by volcanic eruptions rather than home brew co2 from cars/factories/construction etc. Co2 is cold, real cold.


created by Gerg
Massive stratosphere volcano explosions create cooler weather and much more snow for us. That's been proven. But can we stop the global warming discussion? This isn't the time or the place.


Edited by Snowy Hibbo (22/05/2017 18:38)
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#1423965 - 22/05/2017 18:47 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1859
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
A nice equatorial eruption is great at anytime al la Pinatubo. But a really massive high sulfur content blow is good even if non equatorial. St Helens a case in point.

Yet another warmish night coming up.
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#1423967 - 22/05/2017 19:09 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Snowy Hibbo]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: Snowy Hibbo

Yeah WR Small SSWs help bring big fat juicy lows North. But unfortunately they can't be predicted from more than a week away.

This shows North and South Pole 10hPa temperatures as you can see the Northern polar vortex changes more than the Southern polar vortex.
http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/


Thanks Snowy Hibbo, that is a useful link.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1423970 - 22/05/2017 19:33 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
Everyones thinking it... I'll just say it.

http://i.imgur.com/bVxjNUc.jpg

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#1423972 - 22/05/2017 19:55 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Rather warm night coming up for this time of year, about 14C and don't think it will drop too much further. Might not need the extra blanket tonight.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1423973 - 22/05/2017 19:59 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: WarrenTheSnowMan]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 313
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: WarrenTheSnowMan
Everyones thinking it... I'll just say it.

http://i.imgur.com/bVxjNUc.jpg

Wait what does that mean? Did I miss something?
_________________________
Long term forecaster
http://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com.au
Just ask, I'm more than happy to provide.

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#1423974 - 22/05/2017 20:00 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Snowy Hibbo]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: Snowy Hibbo
Originally Posted By: WarrenTheSnowMan
Everyones thinking it... I'll just say it.

http://i.imgur.com/bVxjNUc.jpg

Wait what does that mean? Did I miss something?


It's a play on the "just waitin for a mate" video, but I have no idea what this means either.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1423975 - 22/05/2017 20:03 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: EddyG]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Rsav
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Some nice structure around this morning, might be a chance of a spout offshore again, anyway got dinner cooking away in the slow cooker, so time to go to the beach and have a look at what I can find!!


How often do you see waterspouts off the coast in your part of the world? Are they more common at certain times of the year?


Hi Rsav
Waterspouts can be seen at anytime of the year with probably Autumn being the best time with warm sea surface temps.

I reckon over the last two weeks I've seen probably about 15 mid level funnels and maybe one or two of them may have disturbed the water surface, I was either too late getting to the beach or one of the headlands obscured my vision!!



Lucky you, I've actually never seen a waterspout in real life but I bet there have been quite a few off the coast here as well.


Edited by Wave Rider (22/05/2017 20:04)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1423977 - 22/05/2017 20:29 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Wave Rider]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4346
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Originally Posted By: Rsav
Originally Posted By: EddyG
Some nice structure around this morning, might be a chance of a spout offshore again, anyway got dinner cooking away in the slow cooker, so time to go to the beach and have a look at what I can find!!


How often do you see waterspouts off the coast in your part of the world? Are they more common at certain times of the year?



Hi Rsav
Waterspouts can be seen at anytime of the year with probably Autumn being the best time with warm sea surface temps.

I reckon over the last two weeks I've seen probably about 15 mid level funnels and maybe one or two of them may have disturbed the water surface, I was either too late getting to the beach or one of the headlands obscured my vision!!



Lucky you, I've actually never seen a waterspout in real life but I bet there have been quite a few off the coast here as well.


Your turn will come and yeah I'm quite sure there have been plenty down your way.

Looking at tomorrow's marine forecast, looks like there could be a chance of some spouts again.
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD 15.9mm
YTD 1110.3mm
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423983 - 22/05/2017 20:44 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4346
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Some of the convection offshore this morning, check the red weed out in the surf.
IMG_1985 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

And some waves on Jimmy's beach.
IMG_2011 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD 15.9mm
YTD 1110.3mm
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1423986 - 22/05/2017 21:00 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Great pics Eddy, the Jimmy's Beach one is looking towards Corlette (right hand side) if I'm not mistaken. I miss that place.


Edited by Wave Rider (22/05/2017 21:00)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1423988 - 22/05/2017 21:10 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Wave Rider]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4346
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Great pics Eddy, the Jimmy's Beach one is looking towards Corlette (right hand side) if I'm not mistaken. I miss that place.


That's correct WR and if you look close enough you can see waves breaking there too!!
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD 15.9mm
YTD 1110.3mm
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1423989 - 22/05/2017 21:11 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
It means Yellowstones Volcano is well overdue.

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#1424018 - 23/05/2017 08:28 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
LWT looking to peak over SE NSW towards the end of this weeekend

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#1424019 - 23/05/2017 08:39 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DerekHV Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 838
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
15C now and heading for another 23C day today, after 3 in a row.
Certainly some nice "steady Eddie" weather for the next few days on the forecast (no reference to our good poster here), peaking at 24C tomorrow, before going back into the low 20s.

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