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#1424207 - 25/05/2017 08:03 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
I think the MCG did YNWA a bit better

cold here this morning , blustery winds.
Once it settles down though I'd expect it to be quite pleasant.

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#1424209 - 25/05/2017 08:53 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6289
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
No wind here though which is surprising.
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The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

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#1424211 - 25/05/2017 09:06 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
No frost here, breeze and cloud cover came in about 10pm. Stopped the chill.

Mostly sunny and quite mild this morning, currently 8 after a min of about 6.

Yes Donzah - I really like the look of Sunday and next few days.

I also like the look of the following weekend. smile

Might be some decent frosts out here next week with some good neg temps after the passage of the front.

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#1424213 - 25/05/2017 09:22 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Wave Rider]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
No wind here though which is surprising.


Stopped now.
Really nice day.

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#1424214 - 25/05/2017 09:57 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1859
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Its going to be a dud ski season. Talk of a few paltry centimetres from here to mid June. Some snow making if conditions allow. Sell your gear on gumtree. You wont need it. You can scratch around amongst the rocks on QB long weekend


Edited by Knot (25/05/2017 09:59)
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#1424215 - 25/05/2017 10:11 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Well QB weekend is a bust most years anyway - so no surprises there smile

I think this weekend and the following might just be better than first thought. Plus get some snowmaking going with cold overnight temps finally getting consistent, I reckon next week will have COLD nights and perhaps snowmaking for quite a few hours at a time.

Especially the higher resorts.

My suspicion is that Winter weather (out here & Snowies etc) might just get a half decent start roughly in line with the calendar date for once. Not often that happens.

June is almost always scrappy for snow, to me July is when the season really gets underway. I'd never book to ski in June personally.

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#1424217 - 25/05/2017 10:24 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Knot]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: Knot
Its going to be a dud ski season. Talk of a few paltry centimetres from here to mid June. Some snow making if conditions allow. Sell your gear on gumtree. You wont need it. You can scratch around amongst the rocks on QB long weekend

I'm seeing around 80cm of snow between now and QBW

With snowmaking conditions ideal
I'd be suprised if less than ten lifts were open at Perisher over the weekend.

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#1424218 - 25/05/2017 10:30 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes Donzah - I like what you say smile

I'm not as deep in my "forecasting" as you are (at all) but as you know I've been watching this weekend for a while now, same as you smile

I think things are definitely changing for the better season wise at the moment smile

The following weekend looks really interesting to me too.

At least we should have another step down point in seasonal temps, away from Autumnal temps towards winter temps. smile

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#1424221 - 25/05/2017 10:43 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Cheers for the compliment.

Re ski seasons i'll post my thoughts in general terms here.
There are a few wild cards for getting Perisher up and running.

- cloud seeding . If the conditions are ideal I feel it does have an impact. The next two weeks have some good prolonged conditions for seeding.
- snowmaking - the conditions look ideal for snowmaking non stop for periods approaching 5 days or more. Perisher has quite a large budget now for snowmaking. As well as just investing in the newest TA fans.

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#1424227 - 25/05/2017 11:54 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes I always took a LOT of notice to your thoughts in Ski.com. smile

I like the fact that at least for a while, the grip of the highs has loosened slightly. Seems to be more of a punchable gap between them at the moment.

I think the snow making is a major key to it over this next week or more for sure. Plenty of neg temps coming up will indeed help that.

No real "other" precip around either nor much general cloud cover to inhibit cold temps.

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#1424229 - 25/05/2017 12:20 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: DaveM]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: DaveM
Yes I always took a LOT of notice to your thoughts in Ski.com. smile

I like the fact that at least for a while, the grip of the highs has loosened slightly. Seems to be more of a punchable gap between them at the moment.

I think the snow making is a major key to it over this next week or more for sure. Plenty of neg temps coming up will indeed help that.

No real "other" precip around either nor much general cloud cover to inhibit cold temps.

I'm trying to remember a season with a similar setup in early june..
Ummm was 2011 (i think)


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#1424231 - 25/05/2017 12:30 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Yeah the BOM archives show a bunch of simularities.

Even the date range and intervals.

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#1424236 - 25/05/2017 12:53 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Good memory there smile

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#1424237 - 25/05/2017 12:54 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Knot]
Mr Buzle Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/09/2014
Posts: 59
Loc: Lake Macquarie NSW
I'd like to think Knot was trying a bit of reverse psychology wink

Donzah, great to see you posting regularly in here. Was a fan at the other forum.

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#1424239 - 25/05/2017 12:57 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: DaveM]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: DaveM
Good memory there smile


Every ski season from 94...I could tell you opening conditions LOL.

I used to collect BOM charts from the Herald. Cut out in a black folder .
Then it was the "snowfax"...man that cost $$$ after awhile.

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#1424244 - 25/05/2017 13:11 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
I remember Snowfax and also getting the ag weather by fax every day in the 90's.

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#1424250 - 25/05/2017 13:34 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: DaveM]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 469
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Originally Posted By: DaveM
I remember Snowfax and also getting the ag weather by fax every day in the 90's.


Yeah was pretty funny. Faxes , sheesh.

I also used to listen to Mike Perry on waveline alot.

Very interesting.

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#1424252 - 25/05/2017 13:53 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Mr Buzle]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1859
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Originally Posted By: Mr Buzle
I'd like to think Knot was trying a bit of reverse psychology wink

Donzah, great to see you posting regularly in here. Was a fan at the other forum.


I'm deadset serious. Whats been happening in sw corner of W.A is predictive of the snow season east. Signs point to a winter with few cold fronts. Some frosty nights. Stillness. Hear your neighbours fart in there houses kind of weather. Above average May temps in Perth and Sydney have sealed the Alps fate. If I am proved wrong I will eat my hat. I got my first attempt at snow depth predicting just about desd on in 2015. Its in the snow section of this site. I didnt have a go predicting last year as I took a sabbatical from this place. But my preduction for this year is in this thread quite a few pages back. I have a nautical background. I aint no prima donna when it comes to weather and reading the tea leaves. I will stand by my prediction of 110 cm at Spencer by the time this season is done and dusted
_________________________
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#1424255 - 25/05/2017 14:17 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1256
Loc: toowoomba
Lets hope you have to eat that hat. wink

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#1424256 - 25/05/2017 14:19 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6289
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
I could be completely wrong but I have noticed that when western Australia is doing bad for cold fronts, we often do good in the SE and vice versa. I guess there is usually one big high at higher latitudes (ie towards the poles) and if it is to the west predominantly than we get SW/SE winds and cold fronts on our side of the continent. Just my very amateur obs in a very short time weather watching compared to most here. smile
Maybe in the good old days fronts were good everywhere back when the highs were further north in general.

Fantastic day, I'm sitting in the sun in the Botanic Gardens (it's across the road from Uni) and it's great. Light easterly wind, 19C. Wonderful.


Edited by Wave Rider (25/05/2017 14:22)
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