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#1424519 - 28/05/2017 19:53 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 929
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
We've had 9mm so far since it all started
Last night.
Max today was 10.1c and it's currently
A very breezy brisk 5.9c!!

Expecting a wild and wooly overnight here
With the coldest air still pushing up towards
Us.

Baw Baw had a nice cover of snow on it and
They should get plenty more overnight with the
Sw airstream

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#1424520 - 28/05/2017 20:05 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
ACCESS isn't showing much rain, dunno where the moisture is coming from to make the snow ?

Happy to be further advised how snow is formed etc.

One sites ideas on the snow - http://www.snowatch.com.au/1-7-day-forecast/

A more modest (is that realistic) approach grin to some other figures checked around in the last few days.

We have had about 0.5mm rain today with brief showers, a beaut cool day, to busy to feel cold.


Edited by samboz (28/05/2017 20:08)
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424528 - 28/05/2017 23:22 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5720
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
A few amendments to my previous post...

Peak rainfall rate and total rainfall collected from the burst of showers that struck between 1:45pm and 2:30pm was 6.9mm/hr and 4.2mm respectively. We also had a faint rainbow as a bonus treat when the sun came back out! smile

The rest of the afternoon and evening so far has been mostly dry, minus another 5-10 minute heavy shower that swept through around 4:45pm, accompanied by small hail! Another 1mm of rain collected, bringing the post-9am total to 5.2mm. smile

Since 2pm, the temperature has failed to inch back above 10C here in Belgrave, and right now it's around 6C, so a cold night ahead tonight! eek

New low pressure trough (embedded within the main storm system and cold pool) moving in from the southwest, bringing yet another burst of heavy showers, which should hit within the hour, yay!! =D


Edited by aussiestormfreak (28/05/2017 23:24)

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#1424544 - 29/05/2017 08:10 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Cool, calm and quite a lot of clear sky, some snow visible thru cloud on the eastern end of MtWellington ridge line. 3mm for last few days, 9mm for May.

The same site as posted y[day is stepping back more today.

http://www.snowatch.com.au/1-7-day-forecast/
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424556 - 29/05/2017 11:56 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2214
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Clear and sunny looks like big switch, now 13c

This month is under average rain of 26mm out of 57.8mm
May 2016 was over average of 92.5mm rain.

Hope next blast front bring more rain.

El Nio watch is correct.

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#1424583 - 29/05/2017 18:02 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Break out the champers, might get a bit better rain in the next couple of days, certainly every chance of bettering the forecast
0mm to 1.4mm Tue/Wed.on the BOM.

Mt. Well. cleared enough round 1200hrs to see scattered snow, a modest fall remaining on the ground.
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424584 - 29/05/2017 18:04 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6428
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
We got another 1.25mm in evening showers yest, taking us to 6.5mm for this thread.

Cloudy cold westerly day here today, 15.4 C max while Baro rose back up to 1017 hPa.

AccR moots cold and wet for Gippsland Tuesday into Wednesday morning for round #2 of this thread:



....but GFS moots cold and not-so-wet:


...either way, a bloody nice start to the snow s
eason smile


Edited by Petros (29/05/2017 18:06)

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#1424586 - 29/05/2017 18:13 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6428
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: samboz
ACCESS isn't showing much rain, dunno where the moisture is coming from to make the snow ?


I have faith in Dooga's prognosis! wink


Edited by Petros (29/05/2017 18:21)
Edit Reason: Post could have been mistaken as a flame

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#1424590 - 29/05/2017 18:26 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
ACCESS certainly improved out of sight today, nothing at all like this mornings meagre rainfall.

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424592 - 29/05/2017 18:56 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 929
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Thanks 'p' haha
Sounds like u have more faith than myself lol

We have had 12mm out of the first event😀
Hopefully access r comes off for u guys out
East and u get a good drink!

Another nice little snow fall to come tommoz
And night ❄️❄️
This front has def cleared out any lingering
Mildness left! Very chilly winter air feel up
Here now!
Max today of 9.8c and currently 7c

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#1424621 - 29/05/2017 21:09 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Originally Posted By: Petros
Originally Posted By: samboz
ACCESS isn't showing much rain, dunno where the moisture is coming from to make the snow ?


I have faith in Dooga's prognosis! wink


Agree with each and every post also, a snow sceptic re depth though until this evenings ACCESS showing much better rainfall., ie might even fluke 10mm with some luck grin
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424624 - 29/05/2017 21:30 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...


Edited by samboz (29/05/2017 21:36)
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424627 - 29/05/2017 21:56 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 301
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
10cm for the Victorian Alps. That's my opinion. Temperatures are very cold. Moisture is the lenient factor.
_________________________
Long term forecaster
http://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com.au
Just ask, I'm more than happy to provide.

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#1424637 - 29/05/2017 23:13 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5720
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 5.4C, reached a chilly 15.6C here in Belgrave today. A cold, breezy, mostly cloudy day, with another 1.1mm last night, which brought the 9am total to 6.3mm. smile

Currently around 10C. Becoming blustery as the next cold front approaches! smile

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#1424660 - 30/05/2017 08:55 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
This morning is warmer (11C) than @ dark last night (8C), calm and cloudy now with patchy snow visible on Mt. Wellington.

Our forecast max is 13C.

Just perusing ACCESS, authors of Australian "False News", and see the model has done another bldy backflip for this area, back to rain of two spits and a chin dribble as the whole lot appears to spear off madly southward.

East Gipp. will do OK smile

Maybe next Monday, in the meantime until then, more same'o, same'o horrible settled calm weather with the big High.....that sounds good grin , but dry cry
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424750 - 30/05/2017 18:53 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6428
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
We picked up another 2.5mm in wintery showers from the WSW today. Takes us to 8.75mm for this thread.

It's as cold as any winters evening out there atm!! frown

Re post ....584 above, GFS wins prognosis accuracy again for Gippsland region over the Acc models.


Edited by Petros (30/05/2017 18:56)

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#1424755 - 30/05/2017 19:38 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Just under 3mm here today, fairly fresh and stars above tonight!

Interesting re GFS & ACCESS, thanks P.
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424780 - 30/05/2017 22:21 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5720
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 9.2C, reached a top of only 12.0C here in Belgrave today, my coldest day for the year so far! eek

The cold front moved in just as I was getting ready for work around 7am, but thankfully most of the rain didn't affect my commute to Box Hill.

It stayed mostly dry in the Box Hill area until around 2pm, with gusty showers skimming through during the afternoon and early-evening when I was heading back home. Some of the showers were quite heavy (no hail, thunder or lightning though), but we had sunny periods as well and I noted a beautiful rainbow at 3:45pm, just a shame I couldn't go get photos because of work but ah well! smile

Back home, we've collected another 9.5mm of rain. Currently around 6C. Very cold outside, even without wind! crazy

My coldest May day on record is May 26th 2016, with a high of only 11.1C btw.


Edited by aussiestormfreak (30/05/2017 22:25)

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#1424796 - 31/05/2017 08:15 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1613
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Light frost here this AM, good enough to ice windscreen and patchy on grass.

Payoff is shiny blue sky and a good chance of a beaut day!!

Calm......no wind........... grin

Edit..dry as these fronts were, we doubled rainfall for the month from 6mm to 12mm.


Edited by samboz (31/05/2017 08:17)
_________________________
Rain 2016 - 753.5mm.
J-173mm F-5mm M-66mm A-32.5mm M-24mm J-88mm J-143mm A-17.5mm S-89.5mm O-53.5mm Nov-61.5mm Dec - 26mm TOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM
Rain 2017. Jan-9.5mm Feb-23mm March-49mm April-40mm May-12mm June-12mm July-14.5mm to 0900 28th

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#1424826 - 31/05/2017 11:42 Re: Two cold blasts with showers,hail and snow on the Rangers from 27/5-31/5 [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2214
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Interesting freezing cold nights and frost mornings to impact most of Australia inland until next week thanks to large High pressure.

This morning was 1.3c at 4,30am this morning.

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