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#1424466 - 28/05/2017 07:26 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3930
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
some follow up stream showers today but the coldpool with the
best of the coldies will be gone east by sunrise.
we'll remain in a general westerly with early showers on monday
for the duration until the next front monday night\tues morning
when winds will kick around to s-sw with an associated burst of
showers easing through tuesday.
after that things will fine up rapidly with the godzilla ridge
from hell moving in for the duration with a possible front
between highs around next weekend.

TH
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#1424474 - 28/05/2017 09:17 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1670
Loc: Bridgewater
22mm overnight.
i had a great sleep

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#1424494 - 28/05/2017 14:46 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Meh Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2016
Posts: 209
I think there'll be some badass frosts around Wed-Sat. Pretty much 100% chance the Renmark Airport frost hollow will be under the BOMs 0C forecast...

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#1424516 - 28/05/2017 19:10 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Markus Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/12/2010
Posts: 2230
Loc: Clare, SA
12mm in Clare from that front, pretty happy with that...don't however like the look of the coming weeks with these big bastard highs establishing.

A beautiful 8 degrees outside and dripping wet, finally feels like winter.
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#1424538 - 29/05/2017 03:43 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3930
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
14.0mm all up here.

***godzilla ridge from hell***
***big bastard highs***
***badass frosts***
hmmmm...... with all this official s.a. meteorological terminology
flying around i would think one would seem to be getting a bit
of a hint there might be something going on here.
by the time this is over we'll all be hanging out for cold
fronts and rain not for the wet but to simply warm things up
a bit.

TH
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#1424552 - 29/05/2017 09:45 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Werner K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 528
Loc: Flinders Park, SA
Woke up yesterday morning to find a surprising 15.7mm in the gauge. Maximum recorded temperature of 13C under the fig tree yesterday, brrr.

Another 1.6mm until 8am this morning.

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#1424555 - 29/05/2017 11:31 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17596
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Yer looking like some frosty mornings this week for sure...
Longer term, hopefully EC isnt correct with the ridge/high basically staying in the same spot for 2 weeks!
I favour a reasonable system early next week going by the other models, and dont look at GFS in 2 weeks time as its on drugs lol.... with a stupid NE infeed/inland low lol.... not gonna happen...

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#1424563 - 29/05/2017 14:22 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
PeteM Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/05/2012
Posts: 77
Loc: Redwood Park SA
Absolutely bucketing down at Athelstone at the moment - have had heavy drizzle up here since about 9am this morning, yet the radar barely shows a drop - can't wait for Buckland Park to come back online.

What time is the next front due through the GAA tonight?

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#1424564 - 29/05/2017 14:30 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 747
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Been raining pretty much all day long here :-)

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#1424569 - 29/05/2017 15:06 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
parklife Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2013
Posts: 104
Loc: Hazelwood Park
Yes seems as though the eastern burbs are experiencing heavy showers. 3.5mm shower at approx 1:45pm and another downpour working its way through at 2:30pm.

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#1424578 - 29/05/2017 16:51 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3930
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
another 7.8mm today, takes me to 21.8 all up. since the pre
frontal trough sat. morning.
coupla heavyish showers but mainly hardcore heavy duty drizzle.

tonight the actual front is due through between 1-3am depending
how far south or north you live in the GAA.
its a very laid back affair, from adelaide east running about
45and from adelaide west running about 30 off the horizontal
tending to almost zonal above the high.

TH
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#1424595 - 29/05/2017 19:17 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2083
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Saturday's weather was a real slobber knocker/ball tearer event even if it was only short lived still provided a temp cure for SDS this week looks alright for being outside apart from as you described Thunda ***badass frosts*** pretty much could say brass monkey balls mornings

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#1424641 - 30/05/2017 00:15 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 747
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Pitter patter - still raining - 25mm since it started last Saturday.

Sellicks seems to show it ok:



Edited by betsuin (30/05/2017 00:18)

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#1424643 - 30/05/2017 05:35 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3930
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
another 6.8mm from the front last night

Originally Posted By: ThD Ht

after that things will fine up rapidly with the godzilla ridge
from hell moving in for the duration with a possible front
between highs around next weekend.

models have the'possible front' on the weekend as something
a bit more substantial early to mid next week now. couple of
quite interesting progs from access and gfs, different from
each other but both quite droolable in their own right.
access has your bog standard garden variaty cold front but
the real rabbit out of the hat will be the retrograde
cyclogenesis and cut off cold pool pushing against and
overcoming an incoming ridge from the west. i'll believe
that when it happens and if it does it will certainly be
one for the books or at least its own thread.
gfs on the other hand has an already formed low bubbling
up from the deep south under w.a. against an incoming ridge
then heading west through the bight to t-bone us, the best
part of this one is as it gets to us it is progged to hook
up with a moisture infeed from the north coming down through
eastern n.t./western qld. if it does happen we should do
pretty well depending on the timing of the moisture hook up
but as usual with these setups the eastern states always do
much better.
all pie in the sky at the moment but at least something
interesting to watch and comment on rather than anticyclonoic
gloom and frosty mornings.
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#1424663 - 30/05/2017 09:13 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Werner K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 528
Loc: Flinders Park, SA
27/5 = 0.2mm
28/5 = 15.7mm
29/5 = 1.6mm
30/5 = 7.7mm

gives a total of 25.2mm, a good old fashioned inch.

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#1424711 - 30/05/2017 13:51 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 747
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
And another 6.5mm over-night.

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#1424721 - 30/05/2017 16:39 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Werner K]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3930
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: Werner K
gives a total of 25.2mm, a good old fashioned inch.

i'll take the bait, yer 0.2 short, but hey......who's counting. whistle

as far as the models go the weather systems are teflon
coated atm, come hell or high water gfs is still hanging onto
that cutoff low, be interesting to see how long it takes to
turn into a hot potato.

TH
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#1424725 - 30/05/2017 17:14 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2083
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
It will be interesting to see if the GFS can pull a rabbit out of its butt mid next week Thunda the prospect of said low hooking up with moisture from the Territory/Western QLD should be enough to have everyone frothing at the mouth however like you have mentioned it all comes down to timing and whether or not it happens

However it would be worth keeping an eye also on said rabbit in the hat retrograde cyclogenesis/cut off cold pool happens as well it would make for an interesting mid week weather event providing it doesn't poke its tongue out at us then go smash NSW


Edited by rstewart84 (30/05/2017 17:15)

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#1424752 - 30/05/2017 19:15 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 584
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
Buckland pk radar out till the end of june

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#1424759 - 30/05/2017 19:46 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: rstewart84]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3930
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
It will be interesting to see if the GFS can pull a rabbit out of its butt mid next week Thunda the prospect of said low hooking up with moisture from the Territory/Western QLD should be enough to have everyone frothing at the mouth however like you have mentioned it all comes down to timing and whether or not it happens

However it would be worth keeping an eye also on said rabbit in the hat retrograde cyclogenesis/cut off cold pool happens as well it would make for an interesting mid week weather event providing it doesn't poke its tongue out at us then go smash NSW


rofl RS, yer that second scenario is certainly droolable but
i think if it did happen the poking it's tongue out at us
and smashing NSW is the more likley scenario for sure.
we won't get too carried away, models are jumping all over
the place trying to get a handle on things, still a good
week away at the earliest, plenty of time to sit and chew
the fat.

TH
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