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#1424397 - 26/05/2017 11:25 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Should get a bit cool down there this week smile

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#1424412 - 26/05/2017 20:24 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi all ,
Have seen a very mild week , and no end of it yet with Sat 17 c
Got some nice rain on Tuesday and rained off the golf course at Tea Tree ( what's that about BB I thought it never rained at Brighton much smile
I know as Dave reminds me every year that the real cold stuff and snow doesn't start down here for another month , so not giving up yet. But geez it'seems like a long wait and this warm weather just keeps on popping up for one last hurrah .

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#1424430 - 27/05/2017 13:09 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 343
Loc: Hobart
Nice and chilly today, but I have done some math, Hobart will end up with its fifth warmest autumn on record for average maximum, I have factored in the cold end to this month.

Warmer autumns were 2016 and 2010 ( joint warmest ), then 2013 and 2014.

Records since 1883.


Edited by yep (27/05/2017 13:10)

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#1424478 - 28/05/2017 10:34 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
23.5mm yesterday and last night, gone past 100mm for the month for the first time since December, 272mm ytd or 1 weeks rainfall on the west coast.

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#1424514 - 28/05/2017 18:48 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2055
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Thanks Yep nice work.

We have had great growth in the Nursery this Autumn, I have been able to pot up plants for the whole month.
Normally way too frosty and wet by now.

Has been very little wind lately!
No Severe weather warnings at all!

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#1424545 - 29/05/2017 08:52 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
10th frost of the month this morning, with a low of -0.7. Forecast suggests Wednesday morning will be the 11th frost and possibly the coldest morning of the year to date. Not sure we'll see much in the way of rain/showers tonight.

Hobart travelling ok this month, had far worse in recent years...

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#1424549 - 29/05/2017 09:24 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
grin MH grin And I say it again grin

Same as up this way too, "real" or snowy winter generally doesn't get going until July in my book smile

Obviously some years are earlier or you can get early fronts of course. But PERSISTENT winter weather seems to come later.

June down there in my (faulty) memory was often nice and sunny. It was generally June that I had the best frosts at Ridgeway. smile

Anyhow - enjoy your lovely fresh air down there smile

Snowies - that's a heap of frosts smile

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#1424550 - 29/05/2017 09:30 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
Yeah DM, usually last couple of weeks of July and the first couple in August are the best bets for snow, but still tends to be more opportunity later in the winter and through mid-spring than there is in May or early winter. I think we are headed for an average to slightly below average snow year - better than 2014 or 2016, not as good as 2015, on par with 2010 or 2012.

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#1424554 - 29/05/2017 10:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
I used to feel that September could sometimes bring us some of the HEAVIEST snowfalls, possibly more moisture available later in the season was my twisted thought process smile Perhaps wrong but it SEEMED to me that some Sept falls were quite heavy.

In my mind, August is probably the best month down Hobart region for snow frequency. smile

Like the ski resorts up in NSW - don't book before July, best times usually mid July to mid August - pretty much in line with what you said above smile

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#1424633 - 29/05/2017 22:59 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: Stale fish]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Originally Posted By: Stale fish
Thanks Yep nice work.

We have had great growth in the Nursery this Autumn, I have been able to pot up plants for the whole month.
Normally way too frosty and wet by now.

Has been very little wind lately!
No Severe weather warnings at all!

Yes for sure second that , looking at the first week of Winter you may be potting for some time yet with the good old High pressure making it's presence felt. The forecast is very Spring like with temps around 15 to 16 c for the next 6 days. BTW love the new adverts smile
Also here I never seen those damm Portuguese millipedes hang around so long into this time of year , plus the buggers are actually getting bigger . I saw two today in the garage that I thought where leaches they were that big and fat..
Anyways off to the Goldy for 7 days to see some Winter smile

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#1424658 - 30/05/2017 08:36 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
An early min of 2.4 just before 10pm last night, warmed up during the night before 10mm of rain between 3 and 6am this morning. 118.6mm for the month. Averaging 4.1 to 14.7.

One of the advantages of living inland a bit is that it feels like more winter than it does in Hobart. Although I was down there last week and it was fresh on Saturday morning.

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#1424665 - 30/05/2017 09:37 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Enjoy the GC MH smile

Exactly Snowies - that bit further inland makes a HUGE difference down there.

A prime example is say New Norfolk vs Hobart or Brighton etc.

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#1424749 - 30/05/2017 18:47 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2055
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Thanks H2o, lots of fun doing the tv ads.

Yes looking mild later in the week, should help to confuse the plants a little more.

No hail or storms today but had another 4mm or so after 9am and 4.2mm till 9am. All helps the tanks.

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#1424797 - 31/05/2017 08:18 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
Coldest morning of the year so far at -2.4 (at last check), nearby Cressy reached -2.5 at 7:30am after being warmer than we were for most of the night. Only Mount Wellington was colder at 11pm last night, but a number of places between -1 and -2.

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#1424811 - 31/05/2017 10:06 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
You a TV star SF? smile

At least it would be drier at Westbury than Burnie Dan? Let alone Waratah!!

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#1424819 - 31/05/2017 10:42 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
Differences aren't that great in rainfall for the most part. Westbury averages 840mm, Burnie 960, Wynyard 990, Stanley 940. Definitely drier than Waratah (2200) or Savage River (2000).

At least the sun is out in full today, felt cool yesterday under cloud.

His ads are the highlight of most reality TV shows.


Edited by Snowies (31/05/2017 10:47)

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#1424824 - 31/05/2017 11:07 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Better google Dave D and his ads then. Strangely enough we don't see them up here grin

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#1424825 - 31/05/2017 11:16 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Winter_lover Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/01/2016
Posts: 61
Loc: Tasmania, Rokeby Hobart Easter...
Anyone done the Overland Track (Cradle Mt) in winter?

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#1424830 - 31/05/2017 12:01 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9740
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Late autumn for the full track, otherwise, other times - I have been into The big waterfalls (D'Alton etc) from Lake St Clair side in about 30cm of fresh snow and also been in the Pine Valley/Labyrinth area in snow. Does that help?

Hardest this is finding the track in fresh falls.

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#1424981 - 02/06/2017 09:27 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1890
Loc: Westbury
The forecast models suggest that the winter storm is unlikely to impact Tasmania as it looks to be forming too far to the east to be of concern. But a brief burst of colder air from the south on Monday/Tuesday should make for a very frosty week for us in the central north. Reached an overnight low of exactly 0.0 last night - despite being quite warm last evening. Doesn't look like we'll get many min temps >3 in the next 10 days or so.

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