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#1426114 - 16/06/2017 12:12 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 324
Loc: Hobart
Dave may be down to whether they have the time to confirm the stats I gave them with the BOM and do a report, and whether they have the space to put it in I suppose. Once before I did this and they used the information I gave them ( may have just been a coincidence )

Anyway I spent a bit of time looking at the rainfall database yesterday and wrote down Hobart's longest dry spells ( over 16 days ). There's quite a lot, but nothing in winter.
Here's the major ones for anyone's interest :

16.....Current winter dry spell record ( 2017, 1979 and 1949 )
18.....Longest dry spell this decade ( April 2016 )
21.....Longest dry spell this century ( Nov/Dec 2003 )

Top 10:

26 days.....Dec/Jan 1906
25 days.....Dec/Jan 1898
24 days.....Mar/Apr 1988
23 days.....Feb/Jan 1975
23 days.....March 1953
22 days.....Jan/Feb 1912
21 days.....Nov/Dec 2003
21 days.....September 1900
21 days.....January 1895

20 days.....Four times, most recently in Mar/Apr 2002



Edited by yep (16/06/2017 12:14)

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#1426118 - 16/06/2017 12:36 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9584
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Interesting stuff Yep, lovely work smile

Some reasonably "old" dates in there, bit surprising really smile

Maybe re the winter one, Hobart might just have been overdue for a dry one?

I look forward to a time when you guys are sick to death of wet rainy weather smile

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#1426137 - 16/06/2017 16:39 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 324
Loc: Hobart
Yep, there are a fair few old dates in there but I did notice that the lowest daily rainfall measurement before metrication was a conversion to 0.3mm, they use 0.2mm today, so maybe what counts as a 0.2mm rain or dew reading today was occasionally marked down as a 0 back then. May as well just include it all though as we do when we look back at old temperatures that are reliably recorded.

I see on the latest BOM forecast only a slight chance of a shower on Sunday morning, then dry, then a high chance of showers on Tuesday afternoon. So we could get up to 20 rain free days in Hobart which would be smashing the winter record.

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#1426148 - 16/06/2017 22:48 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Fantastic work Yep , always appreciated by all forum followers for sure. Well I sent an email off to the ABC news section to see if they could cover the climate story unfolding , they always seem to show interest in climate stories so here's hoping.
Hard to believe but 17 c now forecast in Hobart tomorrow , so the record will top up a few more points towards history.
So many customers today are saying today what wonderful weather we are having , I see this as an indication of the modern life. We have become so out of touch and out of step with nature and the way we interact with nature now days.
We look for comfort not cold forgetting that if it doesn't rain and seasons don't change we will suffer the consequences down the road at some stage.

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#1426201 - 17/06/2017 17:57 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1851
Loc: Westbury
At least there are 2 reasonably cold changes forecast to arrive this week, both bringing -5 850TMPs. May not bring much rain or snow, but should take away some of these above average days and introduce some decent frosts in their wake.

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#1426208 - 17/06/2017 23:18 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
17 c in Hobart today , a bit cooler tomorrow then another 2 days of 16 c. Sitting at 14.9 c average and it's that outside night at 11:00 PM ruddy hell !!!

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#1426224 - 18/06/2017 10:38 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 324
Loc: Hobart
Dry spell officially over with a light shower early today, 17 days all up, bit of a pity about that really.

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#1426226 - 18/06/2017 11:17 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2031
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Agree Yep,
We had 0.3mm rounded up to 0.4mm officially in the Bom Gauge for Leslie Vale.

Not looking so snowy this week any more!
Not happy every front seems to be weakening before it gets to us!

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#1426246 - 18/06/2017 21:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1851
Loc: Westbury
Yes, looks to have ended for Hobart City after recording 0.2mm.

One of these fronts over the next week or so has a better chance of sticking its head up given the peaking long wave. If it's not Fridays front, it could be the following one.

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#1426248 - 18/06/2017 21:34 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Thank goodness the big dry is over . LOL I would say we are getting closer now to this being the normal weather down here , we have all seen it coming in recent years. We are basically having 9 months of Summer and 3 months of Spring and the other 2 cooler seasons have gone.
Maybe we will see the odd front poke it's head through ? I know I whine on but here we sit waiting through the hottest Summers and Springs on record to rewarded with this as well. I hold no hope what so ever that things will ever be the way they used to be in the past , the tipping point has been reached. Anyways I'm looking forward to the 3rd 35 c plus X-mas in a row tired

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#1426249 - 18/06/2017 22:16 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2031
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
3.7 degrees here and a light frost on the cars.

Yes it has been warm and dry, normally the nursery is to wet at this time of year but we are flat out watering. The dam has dropped 30cm in the past week to 10 days. Looks like the chance of something but every time it looks ok it backs away!
May get some Snow at Great Lake for my Birthday on Sunday then fingers crossed.

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#1426254 - 18/06/2017 23:11 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1851
Loc: Westbury
Trying to be optimistic... sitting on 0.1 at 10 past 11. Going to be a cold morning unless some cloud comes in.

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#1426265 - 19/06/2017 09:49 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9584
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
What a shame to ruin a potential record with only 0.2!!!

Up here farmers all worried as to whether to plant wheat etc - no soil moisture and no rain.

We have a similar issue to the south of Tassie, we have had 0.4mm mtd and MANY areas around here are the same.

Somewhere though we will get several decent snowy changes, sometime there will surely be some half ok precip (hopefully).
It's just horrible waiting for it smile

MH - agree 100% about people only wanting the comfort and not wanting any "bad" weather when it's the BAD weather we actually need. No water - no anything!!! Modern society is all about feel good - no pain. We are soft now. You've got it in one. smile

Dan we had a nice little -2 or -3 this morning - good frost, no fog (for a change) how did you go?

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#1426313 - 20/06/2017 09:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Morning all, already 13 c in Hobart at 9:00 am

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#1426321 - 20/06/2017 09:44 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9584
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hopefully some cooling down and high level snow flicking through several times over the next week or so down there.

Today you're getting warmer NW winds ahead of a change on it's way to you.

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#1426322 - 20/06/2017 09:46 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1851
Loc: Westbury
Mild everywhere this morning, even wet in Devonport. Bit of drizzle and a few showers.

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#1426338 - 20/06/2017 14:22 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Wow , 17.5 c in Hobart now , the warmest day so far and it's the 20th ! Blowing a gale now to around 75 kmr gust here on the hill. That should push over the 15 c average for the month which is mind blowing for this time of year.
Dave you deserve a medal for your optimism , but I think all we see is more of the same old High pressure belts crushing everything in sight of pushing North.
Edit looks like September figures and averages frown


Edited by MOUNTAIN h2o (20/06/2017 14:25)

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#1426341 - 20/06/2017 15:05 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
BrightonBreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/07/2016
Posts: 151
Loc: Brighton, Tas 55m ASL
Hi all, back again after being pretty busy.

Yes MH20 very warm today which is surprising! Reached a maximum of 18.1C out here today, Campania looks to have just been shy of 19C! Great day for doing the washing shocked

Fairly breezy for once, ever since I put the new anemometer up on the mast we havent had any decent fronts or what not! but hey that's murphy's law for you! poke

Rainfall has been below average out this way much like the rest of the state, a total of 23.8mm for April and 23.8mm for May! Never would have thought you could have two exact monthly totals in a row! grin

June has been very dry, however we had 1.6mm on the 5th... still going to be a low monthly total! frown

Will be interesting to see what rain we get over the next couple days!

Currently a partly cloudy 16.2C with a Northwesterly at 34 km/h, gusts 62 km/h. smile

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#1426342 - 20/06/2017 15:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9584
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Nice symmetry of rainfall in those 2 months - well organised BB smile

Hotter than me today - 16.6 max so far.

You have more June rain than me sadly. We are at 0.4mm - how pathetic is that!!!

We had 9.4 in April but more than you with 27.8 in May.

Our weather is actually often reasonably similar (well in Winter mainly) smile Except you guys get a better sea breeze than me smile

We get colder overnight from about April through to September than Hobart. Inland areas of Tassie though much colder overnight than Hobart of course.

Your Sat pic looks really pretty today - lots of mountain waves. Hope you get some shower activity over the coming days. I don't it would be much though sadly.

Day temps there and here in the cooler months quite similar but we get hotter in Summer.

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#1426349 - 20/06/2017 16:29 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 324
Loc: Hobart
June heat record looking a bit shaky now, likely to finish the month between 13.9-14.1c.

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