Page 1384 of 1388 < 1 2 ... 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 >
Topic Options
#1425944 - 14/06/2017 11:00 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
berga1987 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2010
Posts: 332
Loc: Malvern, Adelaide, Aus
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
your not kidding, the bool, cocky and mullinger as well.

TH


I used to love yabbying at mullinger, you'd always get a massive haul. Cocky was good for fishing... so sad. And obviously growing up with mosquito creek a couple hundred metres away and always full and flowing, just sad.
_________________________
I wish Mt Lofty was more lofty, another 2km or so would suffice.

Top
#1426021 - 15/06/2017 08:32 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
paisley Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/11/2001
Posts: 1121
Loc: Magill campus Uni SA (w) & Fir...
Record low June rainfall for most of the state on the way?

Half way through the month I cant see where more than a few mm is going to come from.

Not even any waffly winter upper cold pools with zombie convection about.

Ground is very hard...

P

Top
#1426050 - 15/06/2017 13:25 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14845
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Positive SAM in winter is bad = contraction.

Negative SAM in winter is good = expansion.

It's clearly the number one influence on our weather in winter and combined with a cold Indian we are left with nothing. Perth is having it even worse.

2006 all over again.

TS cool

Top
#1426059 - 15/06/2017 14:51 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1641
Loc: Uleybury
At least perth and the surroundings have had 15-30mm in the area, I'd love that drop but then again I want this record to be broken. Driest June is 1958, 6,0mm at West Terrace fell.

A mere 0.6mm here all from Dew. Already having to continue watering pot plants

Top
#1426070 - 15/06/2017 16:57 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: ThD Ht]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 6975
Loc: Adelaide Hills.
Originally Posted By: ThD Ht
gfs and access still both have a few crumbs of something around
the solstice and something of more significance around the 25th.
at 11 days out it's still well and truly in 'pie in the sky'
territory but at least there's something there to turn ones nose up at.

Yes, late June or thereabouts.

Top
#1426079 - 15/06/2017 21:30 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 545
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Oh .. something on the new Buckland park Radar



.. bit of cloud around but I guess that is noise.

Top
#1426089 - 16/06/2017 05:28 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
is it a spurious anomaly.....is it an arbitrary artifact.....nooooo iiiiit's super rain.

TH
_________________________



Top
#1426090 - 16/06/2017 06:20 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
interesting banding appears to be associated with an attempt to
punch through local blocking using computer software to generate
a distance composite.
so is it a result of tweaking to smooth it out or will it be an
ongoing anomaly associated with this new device?
for me it doesn't really matter, the interesting and important
part will be to the correlation and accuracy of perceived to
actual rainfall rates.
having said that quite a nice area of rain, albeit light,
slowly encroaching on us atm.
and a veritable sizzling 12 outside atm too.

TH
_________________________



Top
#1426093 - 16/06/2017 08:32 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9642
Loc: Mid North, SA
A trace of the wet stuff here this morning. Been drier than bark chips for weeks up here, though the cooler weather has allowed the subsoil to remain damp. Frosts have been a killer on the grasses though and there are plenty of "burnt" patches in the paddocks. Guess it'll rain proper eventually. wink
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



Top
#1426103 - 16/06/2017 10:57 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
berga1987 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2010
Posts: 332
Loc: Malvern, Adelaide, Aus
I woke up this morning, watered the garden... and then it started raining smile
_________________________
I wish Mt Lofty was more lofty, another 2km or so would suffice.

Top
#1426115 - 16/06/2017 12:13 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 523
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
Finally it rains and both radars have packed it in

Top
#1426119 - 16/06/2017 13:01 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: willitrainagain]
Werner K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 468
Loc: Flinders Park, SA
Originally Posted By: willitrainagain
Finally it rains and both radars have packed it in


They must have got wet, lol...

Top
#1426150 - 17/06/2017 00:24 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
barely enough to make the concrete damp here, my mate at bute
had 2.5 mils, enough to settle the dust and be rid of frosts
for a while he said. with the cold and damp pretty much settled
in it should pretty much all go to ground. he's in a bit of a
lee time atm. once the weeds get over the frost shock it will
be time to start spraying.

TH
_________________________



Top
#1426179 - 17/06/2017 14:32 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
paisley Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/11/2001
Posts: 1121
Loc: Magill campus Uni SA (w) & Fir...
Some convection over yorkes atm.

P

Top
#1426252 - 18/06/2017 23:01 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 545
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Well this ain't the tropics 32 Max 26 min.



Kind of similar .. :-/


Edited by betsuin (18/06/2017 23:03)

Top
#1426256 - 19/06/2017 02:10 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
similar?!...... yer like they both occur on the same planet.
although i'd even wonder about that.
consistent similarity combined with persistent monotony =
batsheet boring. still, i no complain, better than a blowing,
howling gale and pelting rain.
models are in high agreeance at the moment to have a w to nw
infeed of tropical origin coming in around the weekend, not
huge amounts of rain progged but interesting to see ec seems
to be giving the best prog. for totals atm.
everything is moving at two steps forward one step back atm.
its like were running after the rain/system but the rain/system
is runnning away from us at half the speed. so going by that we
should catch it by about mid to late next week.
threre y go trendsetters there's a bit of skew-wiff logic for
ya to chew on.

TH
_________________________



Top
#1426263 - 19/06/2017 09:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17478
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
tbh I think we will get diddly squat over next weekend. Really looks like carking it already. In fact EC doesnt even have it.
I'm favouring the following system to be better. Looks to be around the 27th-28th, with a bit of an NW infeed.

Top
#1426291 - 19/06/2017 18:04 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
parklife Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2013
Posts: 75
Loc: Hazelwood Park

Top
#1426296 - 19/06/2017 19:22 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3917
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
well seeing as i said not huge amounts of rain progged diddly
squat usually means nothing, where you get that from i have no
idea because access, gfs, ec and cmc all have something for
this weekend both in this mornings run hence my previous post
and this afternoons run where things haven't really changed
that much. ec is actually currently predicting 5-10 mm for
adelaide and environs up to 00z sat with the bulk after 12z fri.
at the moment with models in such good agreeance for something
to happen for me confidence is high for more than diddly squat.
but having gasbagged all of that i must admit diddly squat
pretty much relates to how much i know.

TH
_________________________



Top
#1426304 - 20/06/2017 00:11 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 545
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Well the Adelaide Force Field is now Australia Wide:


Top
Page 1384 of 1388 < 1 2 ... 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 >


Moderator:  Helen, Lindsay Knowles, Markus, teckert 
Who's Online
6 registered (Weary, HughJarse, rainiac, Kino, 2 invisible), 296 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
No Birthdays
Forum Stats
29346 Members
32 Forums
23664 Topics
1458998 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image