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#1428103 - 15/07/2017 23:38 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 309
Loc: Penrith, NSW
I'm just gonna go ahead and understand without your authority that you didn't read a single word I said haha.

If you're gonna hit the king, you better kill the king.

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#1428178 - 17/07/2017 09:22 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9522
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hoping for some snowflakes around here tomorrow night/Wed - not enough precip for anything too exciting BUT some places are orographically gifted and will very likely see enough to look pretty smile

Shooters Hill up this way should get a little, it's always nice to watch snow fall. smile

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#1428180 - 17/07/2017 10:44 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3279
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Meteye has put snow back on the menu for the higher parts of the Central Tablelands for Wednesday morning between about Midnight and 10:00AM. Snow is also mentioned in the forecast for the Central Tablelands as being 'possible' above 1,100 metres. It doesn't look like a lot, judging by projected rainfall totals of 0-2 mm for Yetholme.

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#1428183 - 17/07/2017 11:12 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: WarrenTheSnowMan]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 301
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: WarrenTheSnowMan
I'm just gonna go ahead and understand without your authority that you didn't read a single word I said haha.

If you're gonna hit the king, you better kill the king.

I read it. It was incorrect. Most snowy weather doesn't occur in the month TO and FROM winter(May and September). If that isn't the case, I would appreciate you to explain why, rather than make a pointless remark.
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#1428184 - 17/07/2017 11:26 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 309
Loc: Penrith, NSW
You are a total tool.

As I quote "r the one we are currently experiencing. The Rain and Snow conditions usually sort themselves out in August and September."

It literally states under these conditions we are currently experiencing.

Maybe you need your eyes checked or something.

Have another stab at me though.

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#1428185 - 17/07/2017 11:30 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5850
Loc: Wollongong NSW
I must say though, some of the best snow events in recent history have occurred before and after winter. 27th-29th May 2000 and 12th October 2012 come to mind, and nothing has actually topped May 2000 so far, not even 17th July 2015.


Edited by Wave Rider (17/07/2017 11:33)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1428191 - 17/07/2017 12:37 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: WarrenTheSnowMan]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 301
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: WarrenTheSnowMan

As I quote "r the one we are currently experiencing. The Rain and Snow conditions usually sort themselves out in August and September."

It literally states under these conditions we are currently experiencing.

We haven't experienced August or September 2017 yet. And you can't experience conditions that haven't occurred. And given the BOM has forecast a dry August and September for SE Australia, it might not be sort out. So it might be a dry winter (just like all reliable winter forecasters said). But then again, it might be a late season. Who really knows?
_________________________
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#1428192 - 17/07/2017 12:44 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 301
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.




Looks like there will be snow in the BMs and CTs. GFS suggests chance of snow down to 700m on Thursday morning and better chance of snow to 1000m that afternoon. Even EC shows a dusting of snow up in the region. I would get up there!
_________________________
Long term forecaster
http://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com.au
Just ask, I'm more than happy to provide.

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#1428193 - 17/07/2017 12:50 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Snowy Hibbo]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5850
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Originally Posted By: Snowy Hibbo




Looks like there will be snow in the BMs and CTs. GFS suggests chance of snow down to 700m on Thursday morning and better chance of snow to 1000m that afternoon. Even EC shows a dusting of snow up in the region. I would get up there!


Yeah it's looking like an interesting system. The first main cold front on Wednesday and then a fluky little cold pool for Thursday. The 700 and 500mb temps are definitely low enough for that to be believable for the system in general IMO.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1428196 - 17/07/2017 12:58 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 309
Loc: Penrith, NSW
[censored] me you're a waste of energy talking to lol.

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#1428197 - 17/07/2017 13:10 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: WarrenTheSnowMan]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 301
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: WarrenTheSnowMan
[censored]me you're a waste of energy talking to lol.

Just giving you the facts. Now let's get back to the weather and leave behind ignorance and poor language.
_________________________
Long term forecaster
http://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com.au
Just ask, I'm more than happy to provide.

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#1428198 - 17/07/2017 13:19 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
slotmachine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/11/2007
Posts: 198
Loc: Newcastle
Will be cold enough for snow but think moisture will be an issue.

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#1428199 - 17/07/2017 13:27 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1696
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Love the system Chile just got clobbered by. Heaviest falls since 71. Hmm. Wasn't the word on the street back then that the ice-age cometh.
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The deep blue skies of youth are unlike any other.

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#1428200 - 17/07/2017 13:45 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1245
Loc: toowoomba
Geez this is the second time I've agreed with you in regards to the last few words grin

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#1428202 - 17/07/2017 14:10 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1696
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Jeez Pete. Can't have that. he he he
_________________________
The deep blue skies of youth are unlike any other.

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#1428218 - 17/07/2017 16:49 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 457
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Wowsers . Look at that line of flash bang on the vicco border.

She's inbound

PS its snowing at perisher.

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#1428219 - 17/07/2017 17:03 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5049
Loc: Dural
Me likey.

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#1428220 - 17/07/2017 17:05 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Donzah Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/02/2017
Posts: 457
Loc: Woonona NSW and JIndabyne NSW
Funny AXS R is throwing up some warm 500's , coolish 850's for Thursday. Odd.

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#1428221 - 17/07/2017 17:17 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5850
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Same with GFS Donzah. -3 @ 850 but then just -4 @ 700 and -17 @ 500 for Thursday morning. But yet it's shown cool lower temps on Thursday and warm uppers for days now so not like it's a model glitch or weird output.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1428224 - 17/07/2017 17:40 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5049
Loc: Dural
I'm old school and always just look at BOM forecasts for what "might" happen.
They ain't going for anything particularly unusual this week. Just a stock standard mid winter cold change.
Sure, this may change as the system approaches, but their forecasts to me at this stage appear to be on the money.

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