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#1428236 - 17/07/2017 19:17 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Long Road Home Offline
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Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8329
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Ext-GFS going for a reasonable inland warm-up once again. How nice that would be, just needs to be persistent. Either way, not long now til we really start warming up smile

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#1428239 - 17/07/2017 19:33 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Long Road Home]
Homer Offline
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Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5285
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
Ext-GFS going for a reasonable inland warm-up once again. How nice that would be, just needs to be persistent. Either way, not long now til we really start warming up smile


Piss off. smile

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#1428247 - 17/07/2017 21:51 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1859
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Was reading something interesting in a 2007 article in the SMH that states during the the younger Dryas period of the last ice age when dramatic cooling occured in the northern hemisphere, Australia and NZ appear to have gotten warmer. Fascinating. An excerpt 'Australia may be spared the brunt of a future Ice Age, a climate expert says.
Dr Timothy Burrows says in a report published in the journal Science that Australia may not be affected as much as northern hemisphere countries if and when the next Ice Age hits.
New data collected by Dr Burrows from the Franz Joseph Glacier in New Zealand shows that during a period known as the Younger Dryas event, towards the end of the last Ice Age, Australia and New Zealand actually got warmer.
The Younger Dryas event occurred around 12,900 years ago and was a period of rapid cooling when the mean annual temperature in the UK was only 5 degrees celsius.
Dr Burrows, from the Australian National University in Canberra, said that these periods of rapid cooling were associated with the rapid heating that occurred at the end of the last Ice Age also known as the Pleistocene epoch.
"The height of the last Ice Age was around 20,000 years ago and then progressively over the next 7-9,000 years you get the greatest global warming that we have seen in recent history, then right at the end of that warming it gets cold again," Dr Burrows said.'
What I find interesting is that this article is dated 2007 and in a fishwrap that now pledges full allegiance to climate doom saying, a researcher states at one point during the last ice age ,quote'you get the greatest global warming in recent history' unquote. But it gets better. No runaway descent into a Venusian type world ( al la Stephen Hawking's recent bizarre outburst). No it gets colder. I wonder if the Dr Burrows still has a job after such sacrilege.
Could this dry winter be a harbinger kf the slowing of heat transfer from the southern hemisphere to the north with heat build up.
Apologies if in wrong place to mention this article.
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#1428248 - 17/07/2017 22:05 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Knot Offline
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Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1859
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
P.s. Article here if anyone interested in reading
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#1428250 - 17/07/2017 22:12 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Homer]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4346
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
Ext-GFS going for a reasonable inland warm-up once again. How nice that would be, just needs to be persistent. Either way, not long now til we really start warming up smile


Piss off. smile


That hit a nerve!! grin
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#1428280 - 18/07/2017 09:53 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
Very interesting read Knot.

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#1428289 - 18/07/2017 11:20 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9829
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Good post Knotty smile

Also good post Homey smile

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#1428294 - 18/07/2017 12:13 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
rain gauge Offline
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Registered: 16/02/2006
Posts: 4441
Loc: Gorokan NSW 4klm West of the ...
Here we are thinking about warming up when it feels like we haven't even had a winter yet.


Edited by Seabreeze (18/07/2017 19:08)
Edit Reason: Insult removed. There have been multiple warnings not to bring up that incident.
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#1428296 - 18/07/2017 12:16 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1859
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Thanx Warren. Thanx Dave. I know my post strayed a little into the unmentionable but I just sat bolt upright when I read about the lessening of heat exchange from the southern hemisphere northwards due to the circulation changes in the northern hemisphere. Franz Josef Glacier is a wonderful place. I stayed for a considerable time at a little paradise called Okarito on the coast just north of the glacier. Beautiful
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#1428297 - 18/07/2017 12:20 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Knot]
Wave Rider Offline
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Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6438
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: Knot
Franz Josef Glacier is a wonderful place. I stayed for a considerable time at a little paradise called Okarito on the coast just north of the glacier. Beautiful


I envy you a just a little, Knot. smile Would've been absolutely beautiful, I would love to travel to NZ one day!!
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#1428298 - 18/07/2017 12:22 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: rain gauge]
Wave Rider Offline
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Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6438
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: rain gauge
Here we are thinking about warming up when it feels like we haven't even had a winter yet.


I agree that winter is still yet to arrive for the most part. But I'm not sure if the last sentence was really necessary??
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#1428299 - 18/07/2017 12:23 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
...


Edited by Seabreeze (18/07/2017 18:57)
Edit Reason: Response to insult removed

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#1428300 - 18/07/2017 12:26 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
rain gauge Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/02/2006
Posts: 4441
Loc: Gorokan NSW 4klm West of the ...
...


Edited by Seabreeze (18/07/2017 19:02)
Edit Reason: Insults continued
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#1428301 - 18/07/2017 12:27 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Wave Rider]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
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Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 314
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: rain gauge
Here we are thinking about warming up when it feels like we haven't even had a winter yet.


I agree that winter is still yet to arrive for the most part. But I'm not sure if the last sentence was really necessary??

This current system would be a good start to winter. Maybe August is going to be very cold and very wet.
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#1428302 - 18/07/2017 12:28 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
rain gauge Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/02/2006
Posts: 4441
Loc: Gorokan NSW 4klm West of the ...
Yeah its looking better Snowy
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#1428304 - 18/07/2017 12:31 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Snowy Hibbo]
Wave Rider Offline
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Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6438
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: Snowy Hibbo
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: rain gauge
Here we are thinking about warming up when it feels like we haven't even had a winter yet.


I agree that winter is still yet to arrive for the most part. But I'm not sure if the last sentence was really necessary??

This current system would be a good start to winter. Maybe August is going to be very cold and very wet.


I think it will be but that's based off gut feel and the fact that it's been dry for so long, so it has to tip the other way at some point.
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#1428306 - 18/07/2017 12:36 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
rain gauge Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/02/2006
Posts: 4441
Loc: Gorokan NSW 4klm West of the ...
It seems that years ago we had obvious winters and summers. Now the lines seem blurred. But that's just my perception. And perception can be frequently wrong.
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#1428308 - 18/07/2017 12:40 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
...


Edited by Seabreeze (18/07/2017 19:05)
Edit Reason: Continuation of previous

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#1428309 - 18/07/2017 12:41 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: rain gauge]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6438
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: rain gauge
It seems that years ago we had obvious winters and summers. Now the lines seem blurred. But that's just my perception. And perception can be frequently wrong.


Maybe it could be that you live on the Central Coast so summers in particular are more moderate. I think I remember you saying when all the heat in Feb was going on that you used to live in Penrith?
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2017-18 storm total= 5
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#1428310 - 18/07/2017 12:48 Re: NSW / ACT - Possible future events [Re: Steve777]
rain gauge Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/02/2006
Posts: 4441
Loc: Gorokan NSW 4klm West of the ...
I've only lived up here since 2013. But I know what you mean.

I was more thinking along the lines of what others have said in different areas. Yes here on the central coast winter and summers are only 8C/9C difference. In Penrith the cold mornings might have made winters seems colder ,and Penrith being one of the hottest suburbs in Sydney would make summer seem like a polar opposite (Pun)to winter.


Edited by rain gauge (18/07/2017 12:50)
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