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#1428269 - 18/07/2017 08:32 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: Twister1]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Originally Posted By: Twister1
Cause they only warn for SEVERE Thunderstorms which is.
Large hail that is greater than 2cms
Damaging winds 90/km or greater
Heavy rainfall leading to major Flash Flooding

General thunderstorms do not get a warning

The cold and dry continues shaping up as one of the worst winter for N Vic and inlad SA and NSW one of driest ever and next 10 days or so show nothing.


Definitely getting to the skinny end of the need for rain T1, could be one of the those wet Dec thru' Jan seasons.

Re warnings, constantly amazed at Sheep Grazier warnings from the BOM, 99% of which are inapplicable to weather on the day or the effect it could have on sheep, even those off shears & lambs.

Very dry near Maffra, haven't added it up lately but < 50% rainfall.

Just recorded 0.5mm to my stats for here, first recorded fall in 13 days. Been other shows less that 0.25mm scattered through that time.


Edited by samboz (18/07/2017 08:35)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428303 - 18/07/2017 12:29 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Marong West Bendigo property had big Trees up rooted, damage, looks like mini tornado..





A Fast wind change in less 10mins can whip up damage..

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#1428386 - 18/07/2017 23:04 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 9.2C, reached a top of 14.4C here in Belgrave today.

A blustery, mostly cloudy, unsettled and rather stormy day across Melbourne, just a pity I was stuck at work in Box Hill.

I noticed it got very dark and threatening around mid-afternoon, I heard a loud booming noise around this time which might've been thunder but I cannot confirm lol! smile

Quite heavy rain for a time as the storm brushed past, then after about 30 minutes it was gone, with sunnier weather to follow; the same storm dropped 2.1mm of rain here at home btw.

Collected another 1.1mm of rain since then, so 3.2mm in total. The main cold front itself is marching northeast towards Melbourne, so hopefully a rainy night ahead! Currently around 8C. smile

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#1428390 - 19/07/2017 00:16 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 519
Loc: Chadstone Vic
Wow great photos Chasers addict solid damage in that first pic.

Chilly 48 hours with odd shower

Warmish weekend and early next week, could be low 20s in N vic for couple days crazy for mid winter.
If this pattern continues Nlys come Sept-Nov gonna be warm to hot ad dry for sure.

Prob be a wet humid summer lol
_________________________
Bring on the STORMS

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#1428391 - 19/07/2017 00:17 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 519
Loc: Chadstone Vic
NO such thing as mini tor ALWAYS ALWAYS a Tor even if only 50m across

Most Tors only 50-250m across anyway
_________________________
Bring on the STORMS

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#1428392 - 19/07/2017 01:29 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: Twister1]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14865
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Originally Posted By: Twister1
NO such thing as mini tor ALWAYS ALWAYS a Tor even if only 50m across

Most Tors only 50-250m across anyway


I echo Twisters' sentiments regarding the 'min-tornado'. A false and misleading term so often used to describe damage that one conceives to be too strong to be normal 'wind' but not strong enough to be caused by the stereotype wizard of oz style USA tornado.

Cold air tornadoes or quasi linear tornadic events are very, very hard to see and almost always embedded within rain at the time. Usually a big whoosh or jet sound, stuff flying round and she's gone. Still a tornado all the same!

Another one likely near Bethany in the Adelaide Hills today as well.

TS cool

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#1428404 - 19/07/2017 08:46 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Eucalypts, hate them anywhere near a building !

Tomorrow cool with 532 air overhead, with only 2-6mm of rain snowfall will be limited - the MT BAW BAW forecast -

"Thursday 20 July

SummaryMin -2Max -2Snow showers clearing. Windy.Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm Chance of any rain: 80%

West and South Gippsland area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres. Winds westerly 25 to 40 km/h tending southwesterly in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 5 and 12."
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428422 - 19/07/2017 11:03 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Petros Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6590
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
I tipped out 1mm last evening.

Looks to be a windy arvo looming for golf here.

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#1428445 - 19/07/2017 16:08 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1015
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah samboz, looking like a short sharp
Cold snap coming straight up from below
Tassie!
532 thickness def floating around the
Place into tommoz morning so hopefully
Snow down to that 800mt mark or maybe
A fraction lower??❄️❄️Hopefully see
A bit of sleet first thing in the morning, usually
Do when it falls down to that 7-800m mark 😀

Gun be a cold windy showery day that's for
Sure👍
Tipped 7mm out just now from today and
Overnight rainfall which was handy!

That wind is really starting to blow from the
South west now and the temp is dropping
Steadily from max of 11c to current 8c

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#1428490 - 20/07/2017 08:52 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Coolish morning, plenty of blue sky to the West, round 8C with gusty W light breeze, positively beach weather compared to...

MILDURA - 0.7C @ 0800 and 2.4C @ 0830HRS, wind Westerly 7kph & 1024hPa.

BENDIGO (ca's country) 2.2C @ 0830hrs.

Haven't got a look at the Alpine area yet, plenty happening up there in the clouds.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428495 - 20/07/2017 10:52 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Petros Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6590
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
I eked 0.25mm from my gauge last night, had several light showers over night, just cold cloudy and windy atm.

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#1428510 - 20/07/2017 15:44 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: Twister1]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Yes i agree what Twister said "If this pattern continues Nlys come Sept-Nov gonna be warm to hot ad dry for sure".

As i had said that in last few weeks ago...

When Sun move closer and pattern stay like this then warm air will hit SE Australia when outback surface cooks up.


Edited by chasers addict (20/07/2017 15:46)

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#1428518 - 20/07/2017 17:32 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Petros Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6590
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Picked up a total of 1.25mm overnight and today - a real winters day here with a persistent cold WSW'ly.

....and now we'll probably go straight to another frost frown

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#1428532 - 20/07/2017 18:32 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
1.5mm here Petros since yesterday morning, saw up to 11C but mainly cooler.

Bright sunshine between dark blustery showers coming thru' from W.

Were f'cast for frost here, but 2C new AM temp tomorrow.

Alpine area still in cloud, some snow no doubt but with about 6mm of rain on Wellington in last two days won't be heaps.

Need plenty for irrigators later in year.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428537 - 20/07/2017 18:56 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Thanks to Kev in Bello for this graph, the R/H side is not duplicated very well but is all good -

Originally Posted By: Kev in Bello
With warmer weather being forecast it could be looking gloomy for the snow - but with the AAO looking like it does below then we could well see some bigger southern ocean storms coming through over the coming weeks:



Fingers crossed for an awesome end to the season, and perhaps even a stronger front bringing some snow up to N NSW too smile


Edited by samboz (20/07/2017 18:57)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428540 - 20/07/2017 19:13 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1015
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Cold old day on the hill today with plenty
Of weather about😀
After an overnight low of 4c, we rise
To 7c and currently 5c!!

Rain started about 3am this morning
And was on and off until late this arvo.
This all included hail in just about every
Shower we received and at lunch time
We had a nice sleety shower go through.
Also very strong icy sw wind blowing.

13mm all up which was a great little drop

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#1428541 - 20/07/2017 19:14 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1015
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Thanks for the above chart Kev!
Hopefully your right regarding more
Winter storms moving through over
Coming weeks

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#1428552 - 20/07/2017 20:51 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Ahem, (blush), at the bottom of that AAO/SAM graph is a "thingummy" to move & reveal the R/H side which is the bit we're interested in..duh!!

blush

1/2" + dooga', nice to hear.


Edited by samboz (20/07/2017 20:51)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428557 - 20/07/2017 21:48 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: Petros]
samboz Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Originally Posted By: Petros

....and now we'll probably go straight to another frost frown


Sky clearing, cold air, no wind, presently 5.8C in Sale and 6.2C here, frost is in with a good chance at this rate P.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1428573 - 21/07/2017 11:25 Re: VIC - Cold Fronts, Troughs & Lows - Wet, Windy & Stormy With Possible Low-Level Snow - July 11th 2017 Onwards... [Re: aussiestormfreak]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Lovely sunny spring Today of 14c at 11am....

Wish the stubborn High Pressure move more North to let more frontal or Westerly wind over inland SE Australia.

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