Page 1357 of 1383 < 1 2 ... 1355 1356 1357 1358 1359 ... 1382 1383 >
Topic Options
#1428979 - 27/07/2017 09:13 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Knot]
slotmachine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/11/2007
Posts: 198
Loc: Newcastle
Originally Posted By: Knot
Whilst all that heat was raging the Snowies went on to have a very good depth after a below average July. Same in 1990 when Sydney got its July max record. I hope I am wrong about my 110cm season prediction.I will eat lashings of humble pie.


Struggled it's way to 98.7cm so far.

Top
#1428985 - 27/07/2017 09:49 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3676
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
The 1990 record was actually an aberration in an otherwise cold winter; the winter mean maximum temperature for NSW was the 10th lowest on record (and there hasn't been a colder one since). Canberra had its record run of consecutive sub-10 days in late June/early July (and Orange had a run of 16 consecutive days below 8).

Top
#1428989 - 27/07/2017 11:27 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6003
Loc: Wollongong, NSW
I can't wait for the 28C on Sunday or perhaps "only" 27.


Edited by Wave Rider (27/07/2017 11:27)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

Top
#1428990 - 27/07/2017 11:41 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 256
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
Just an observation from a southerner.

I was looking at July Average minimum temperatures around Sydney for this month, I was shocked to see places such as Bankstown with averages as low as 2.8C?

Even for a Melbournite that is damn chilly, a few others sites around Sydney have been tracking pretty low mins also.
_________________________
Wunderground

Top
#1428991 - 27/07/2017 11:53 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3350
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
It's already 15.4 at OH and will increase by 3 or 4 from whatever it reaches at Noon. I think it will be another 20+.

Top
#1428997 - 27/07/2017 12:20 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: slotmachine]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1820
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Originally Posted By: slotmachine
Originally Posted By: Knot
Whilst all that heat was raging the Snowies went on to have a very good depth after a below average July. Same in 1990 when Sydney got its July max record. I hope I am wrong about my 110cm season prediction.I will eat lashings of humble pie.


Struggled it's way to 98.7cm so far.


Better get some humble pie ready then. Should hit 110 by end of month.

Whats with the wind going nw in Sydney . Was meant to go SW to Se and then Nor east. I think the 19 (opticast) forecast was a tad low givin that Obs peaks around 3.30 in this wind stream. Was hoping it stayed as forecast so decreased the chances of a record July.
_________________________
The deep blue skies of youth are unlike any other.

Top
#1429000 - 27/07/2017 12:30 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Rob G Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/07/2003
Posts: 654
Loc: Porters Retreat NSW
Rainfall this winter resembles the 1982 drought. However in '82 there was a massive El Nino, whereas this year there isn't. Also, July '82 was cooler than this year, though August '82 stands as one of the warmest on record.

Top
#1429002 - 27/07/2017 12:35 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1820
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
Never mind. I keep forgetten Obs wind data is from the harbour.
_________________________
The deep blue skies of youth are unlike any other.

Top
#1429007 - 27/07/2017 14:37 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6003
Loc: Wollongong, NSW
Yes weather viewer, it has been cold because of the abundant highs with clear skies and light winds coupled with dry air allowing the temp to drop a lot on many nights.

Quite cold here today with a NEer. I thought the temp was about 18 when I stopped by the beach on the way home. Obviously once again, getting used to the colder conditions. High 20s in a few days will feel deadset warm.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

Top
#1429009 - 27/07/2017 15:17 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Rob G]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 652
Loc: Orange, NSW
Originally Posted By: Rob G
Rainfall this winter resembles the 1982 drought. However in '82 there was a massive El Nino, whereas this year there isn't. Also, July '82 was cooler than this year, though August '82 stands as one of the warmest on record.


Monthly Total Rainfall - Orange - 1982; 2017; 1972:

May June July Aug Sept
17 39.4 28.6 1.8 50.7
20.6 4.0 8.2 (mtd)
22.7 1.0 28.6 103.2 14.8

Our winter rainfall to date is actually shaping up worse than '82, RobG. Well below avge rainfall for June AND July is without precedent in the recorded data (since 1889). We might get 5mm from this next event to bring July up towards 15mm. Here's hoping we get an August like '72 and not '82! 1982 also had a +ve IOD to compound the effects of that peaking El Nino. BoM's latest seasonal progs for SEAus are for a drier than average August. Maybe some relief in September...?
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

Top
#1429010 - 27/07/2017 15:39 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9578
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Get out and do a rain dance OR grin

Do it for the CT's grin

That average min for Bankstown of about 2.8 for the month is indeed impressive to me as well. A lot cooler than the long term average of 5.2. Mind you I was actually surprised at the long term min as well - cooler than I expected smile

Camden has been fresh - actual about 0.6, LT Ave about 3

It's interesting looking at some of these places smile

Top
#1429011 - 27/07/2017 15:41 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: orangeroughy]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 652
Loc: Orange, NSW
Originally Posted By: orangeroughy
Originally Posted By: Rob G
Rainfall this winter resembles the 1982 drought. However in '82 there was a massive El Nino, whereas this year there isn't. Also, July '82 was cooler than this year, though August '82 stands as one of the warmest on record.


Monthly Total Rainfall - Orange - 1982; 2017; 1972:

May June July Aug Sept
17 39.4 28.6 1.8 50.7
20.6 4.0 8.2 (mtd)
22.7 1.0 28.6 103.2 14.8

Our winter rainfall to date is actually shaping up worse than '82, RobG. Well below avge rainfall for June AND July is without precedent in the recorded data (since 1889). We might get 5mm from this next event to bring July up towards 15mm. Here's hoping we get an August like '72 and not '82! 1982 also had a +ve IOD to compound the effects of that peaking El Nino. BoM's latest seasonal progs for SEAus are for a drier than average August. Maybe some relief in September...?


Just to add to the comparison....

Maxima are 3 deg warmer thus far this year in June/July than for those months in 1982:

May June July Aug
14.3 9.6 8.7 14.8 (1982)
14.4 12.7 11.7 (mtd)(2017)

Aug 1982 was well above average and I wouldn't be surprised to see the same again this year.


Edited by orangeroughy (27/07/2017 15:42)
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

Top
#1429012 - 27/07/2017 15:46 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: DaveM]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 652
Loc: Orange, NSW
Originally Posted By: DaveM
Get out and do a rain dance OR grin

Do it for the CT's grin


It'll take more than one idiot to dance up the rain Dave. Care to join me? poke ....on second thoughts, I'm just gonna move across the ditch. smile
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

Top
#1429015 - 27/07/2017 16:02 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6003
Loc: Wollongong, NSW
It only maxed out at 16.4 here today. I'm rather surprised tbh. The NEer started from morning and didn't stop. What I actually expected was westerly winds in the morning and then a SEer in the afternoon.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

Top
#1429017 - 27/07/2017 16:25 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9578
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
grin OR - lol - I can't dance for love nor money grin Let alone make it rain smile

Top
#1429019 - 27/07/2017 16:36 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4151
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Bom are going for a chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
Didn't see that one coming!!
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD 40.2mm
YTD 1037.5mm
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

Top
#1429020 - 27/07/2017 16:39 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3350
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Originally Posted By: Steve777
It's already 15.4 at OH and will increase by 3 or 4 from whatever it reaches at Noon. I think it will be another 20+.


I didn't reckon on the sea breeze keeping the max below 18. There must be some pretty chilly water onshore.

--------

Re snow depths, I read that prevailing Westerlies are good for snow in the Alpine areas. While not as cold as Southerlies, they tend to bring more precipitation, which falls as snow at higher levels.

This would only apply at high levels where the ski resorts are. Lower levels get rain and the winds are drier the further North you go. Snow on the mainland seems to have been virtually absent on the mainland below 1,000 meters and outside the Alps.

Top
#1429027 - 27/07/2017 19:38 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Ben Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/10/2002
Posts: 5296
Loc: Loganholme/Tweed Coast
It's going to be really interesting seeing how the end of the month turns out! OCF has been dropping the forecast maximum temperatures for Sydney recently.. for Saturday its gone from 22/23 now down to 20.4 (due to seabreeze coming in thanks to the front slowing). Likewise on Sunday its now from close to 26 down to 23.6. This may be due to cloud + a seabreeze chance. It's going to come down to margins.

Latest long term models have backed off August being overly dry, and temperatures should stay at least closer to average in southern Australia due to fronts (although central NSW it's hard to gauge how far these fronts will go north). However, I'm banking on a couple of cloudbands in August to boost rainfall across central NSW this August and maybe keep more of a lid on maximum temps than July.

Top
#1429028 - 27/07/2017 19:59 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6003
Loc: Wollongong, NSW
Good to hear your input Ben. Yeah I think Saturday could be a lot cooler than first thought.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

Top
#1429034 - 27/07/2017 20:38 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 1820
Loc: Blue Bay N.S.W
How is that 955 low off to the south west. Lowest pressure all winter is it not.

Great stuff Ben. Hope the damn breaks in August. Something has to give sooner or later.


Edited by Knot (27/07/2017 20:46)
_________________________
The deep blue skies of youth are unlike any other.

Top
Page 1357 of 1383 < 1 2 ... 1355 1356 1357 1358 1359 ... 1382 1383 >


Who's Online
6 registered (Hagrid, Chookie, Eevo, Mathew, 2 invisible), 274 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
colorado, Effrem, whitsunday
Forum Stats
29343 Members
32 Forums
23663 Topics
1458897 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image