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#836658 - 19/02/2010 15:23 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Skysthelimit]
_Chris_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/03/2009
Posts: 1143
Loc: Marleston
No Timmy, get it right. It's a UFO........
http://player.video.news.com.au/adelaidenow/#1416399785 -according to Adelaide now today

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#836664 - 19/02/2010 15:31 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Skysthelimit]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14866
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Atm it doesn't look that great for good storms, trough is weak and moisture is average but higher based sfc ones should form NE of the trough that pushes down from the east and also when the weak trough moving in from the west joins up to the first trough, more should form. With the second trough, there is some instabilty aloft but not much, chance for Adelaide at night with a dash of mid-level Accas type stuff but not much. Better further inland, could be some good storms up there north of say Jamestown/Yunta/Gluepot.

TS cool

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#836674 - 19/02/2010 16:03 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9645
Loc: Mid North, SA
Hmmm, I better fill the car again. wink
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#836686 - 19/02/2010 16:34 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Helen]
Olaf Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/02/2010
Posts: 1851
Loc: Noarlunga, SA
Saturday no good near Adelaide...

Sunday, a thundery shower at best near Adelaide, the activity will be mainly near the coasts & the NE of the mid north / riverland, I'll most likely head towards Meninge in the evening Sunday as it's not far away hence wasting no petrol lol, there could make a strike or 2 for some great lightning pics but only for those living by the coast..

BOM agrees ...Sunday Possible thundery shower. Min 21 Max 31
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�I�d keep playing. I don�t think the heavy stuff�s gonna come down for quite awhile.� Bill Murray

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#836687 - 19/02/2010 16:40 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Unstable Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/01/2007
Posts: 3585
Loc: Adelaide
Thanks TE for posting that Cairns "mini-tornado" link - a strange beast - very narrow base as commented on by others but ferocious winds near the centre. Good thing it didn't go over the house.
Great pic Lord Gladstone - deserves a place in any good gallery of holepunch clouds smile
"Nice array of pics there Thorpey! By the way where have you been?" Huh - he's sitting out the summer on a shelf in his cellar "maturing" eek
_________________________
Website http://sasnows.com
Email: weather at internode.on.net

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#836744 - 19/02/2010 19:15 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Unstable]
-Deano- Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/10/2008
Posts: 2931
Loc: Melton VIC
I popped into Ted's again and bought the filter - Kenko circular polarising filter - and then placed an order for the adapter that needs to be purchased to allow me to add filters onto the camera. That will give me something to keep me entertained for a few days at least smile

I think we must all be getting used to the heat now because the temp got to nearly 37 today however no one at work seemed to think it felt remotely close to that hot. Not much longer now until it will be gone for the next 6 months poke

Also, I wish that the potential storm days would plan themselves around my movements for once, rather than it being the other way around poke I'm busy all this weekend, so IF anything does happen, I'll yet again miss out on it...

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#836767 - 19/02/2010 20:01 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Unstable]
---- Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/11/2002
Posts: 5786
Originally Posted By: Unstable
he's sitting out the summer on a shelf in his cellar "maturing" eek

crazy Ya kidding of course. Maturing? strewth no, hardly possible!
Where have I been? At home and work and in various parts of the state. Waiting for winter.
Lets face it summer has been wholly [censored] and boring as a tadpole with piles and no cream to ease the itch. Most especially down my way where nothing has happened of any significance for months. At least generally speaking its been cool. Summer doona has not come off yet. How you plains dwellers live down there in the oven is totally beyond me. wink

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#836777 - 19/02/2010 20:25 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: -Deano-]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9645
Loc: Mid North, SA
Congrats on the filter Dean and on the order for the adapter. Will make a big difference in the right circumstances.
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#836787 - 19/02/2010 21:09 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Helen]
Farm Weather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2009
Posts: 845
Loc: West Mallee SA
Deanos comment above heat will gone for the next six months.
I sort of agree that SA has almost 2 seasons now its either hot and dry late sept till mid april then its cool and wetter seems the autumn and spring changes have been diminished but i guess if i lived in the hills were trees chamnge colour etc id disagree.

what do reckon deano
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Average Rainfall 340mm

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#836805 - 19/02/2010 21:32 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Farm Weather]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 522
Loc: Chadstone Vic
I find that very true farm weather, we stay in the 30s till early April and after mid April dont see 30s again till mid late September and from October they stay with us till April next year and so on

and the cooler may to August a bit more rain cooler days and nights but still lots of fine weather in this period
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Bring on the STORMS

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#836850 - 19/02/2010 23:53 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Twister1]
-Deano- Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/10/2008
Posts: 2931
Loc: Melton VIC
Yeah, for sure farm weather. I think we do still kinda have a bit of a "transition period" of 3 or 4 weeks where you will get the mid 20s weather and a bit of rain, but still plenty of warm weather and a few hot days scattered here and there. And you still do get a few weeks of the characteristic transition season weather ie. storms in spring (although not so much last year!!) and windy in autumn. Apart from that though, I do feel like we are starting to go more towards a Darwin-esque type categorisation - a warm and 99% fine dry season and then a cooler, very wet season. Not quite as wet as Darwin of course, but if you look at the last two years of 08 and 09, the "wet season" has had 78% and 80% respectively of the year's rain and almost nothing falls in the "dry season" 6 months from October to March. The percentages during April to September should actually be around 65-60% in an "average" year. It will be interesting to see if the proportion of rain in the wet 6 months increases even further this year - at this stage it certainly looks like it may well do so. All these people going on about how we need to re-label our seasons into more of an "Aussie 6 season" system are certainly barking up the wrong tree, at least in the case of the Adelaide region! I don't know if others agree with those thoughts, but from my point of view, that is definately what is happening at the moment.

And with the trees comment, summer is so hot and dry at the moment that the trees are just dying off during the summer anyway and don't have any leaves left to lose during autumn! So you barely even notice that transition.


Edited by -Deano- (20/02/2010 00:01)

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#836854 - 20/02/2010 00:21 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: -Deano-]
-Deano- Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/10/2008
Posts: 2931
Loc: Melton VIC
By the way, it's nice to see the Notes on the Weather upgraded to reflect the very slight possibility of storms over the next couple of days. It predicts possible storms about the southern coasts tomorrow and then isolated thunderies north of Port Lincoln to Pinnaroo (which includes Adelaide). So even if it's just the slightest chance, I'll still take it!!

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#836885 - 20/02/2010 09:54 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: -Deano-]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17524
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Yer still chance along sth coasts tonight. If its reasonable I may even go for a drive down south...
Aviation:
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING SW OF HYDRA/YPOD AFTER 00Z, THEN EXTENDING TO YPLC/CAJE/YMTG AFTER 07Z.

Tomorrow looks a bit better in the Mid North. (Probably Clare-Orrorro) & Riverland. A chance I may head up there in the arvo if its more than just an isolated storm...

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#836891 - 20/02/2010 10:33 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: teckert]
Jack Frost Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/02/2010
Posts: 29
Loc: Cadell
Hi guys.I`ve been a long time reader of these forums and have finally got around to logging on as a member.I have enjoyed the ideas and chatter, and look forward to make my own observations.I`m situated at a little town called Cadell,just east of Morgan, so this summer has produced some great storms for me and I haven`t had to chase at all, they come to me.The newyears eve system being on of my favorites as i was sitting on the balcony looking out towards Brokenhill and getting the best lighting show nature could produce.Oh and 15 cans of beer!

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#836893 - 20/02/2010 10:42 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Jack Frost]
roves Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/02/2005
Posts: 1632
Loc: Paringa-Riverland
Welcome to the forum Jack, its great to have more riverlanders here and lets hope a much wetter year for all of us.
_________________________
YTD-74mm AVE-260mm

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#836899 - 20/02/2010 10:59 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: roves]
_Chris_ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/03/2009
Posts: 1143
Loc: Marleston
Welcome Jack, I went through Cadell last weekend. I think the amount of water still on the side of the roads and small "lakes" in the low lying fields where testament to your storms!

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#836900 - 20/02/2010 11:00 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: roves]
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1902
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Happy Birthday Roves.
Warm and windy down here! T31.7C with a very gusty N NW wind. Highest gust recorded home 28 knots. Sky overcast.

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#836904 - 20/02/2010 11:25 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: liz]
roves Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/02/2005
Posts: 1632
Loc: Paringa-Riverland
Thanks Liz I'm off for a few drinks (probally lots) down the river oh and maybe a barby aswell but the hot wind sucks a bit.
_________________________
YTD-74mm AVE-260mm

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#836907 - 20/02/2010 11:32 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: roves]
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1902
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Have a beer for me Roves! Nar, make it two. Cheers.

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#836916 - 20/02/2010 11:44 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: liz]
Weathergod Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/05/2007
Posts: 1675
Loc: Williamstown SA.
Welcome to the forums Jack frost, I look forward to your observations! smile

And happy birthday Roves! Here's to a wetter 2010 for you!

Looks like Adelaide could be piggy in the middle with these two troughs, slight chance a lone storm may venture further north tonight, and 50% chance of a thundery shower during the say tomorrow smile
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