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#1349574 - 21/11/2015 13:21 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Well it got to 41.8C at Albion Park yesterday. Hit a top of 41C (unsure to decimal place yet).

So that means the 40C milestone was broken well over a month early.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1355847 - 29/12/2015 07:50 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: yep]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 365
Loc: Hobart
My predictions:

Originally Posted By: yep

Hobart

20+......September 20
25+......October 13
30+......November 8
35+......December 29
40+......No real chance


and what happened:

20+......September 14
25+......September 14
30+......October 6
35+......December 25

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#1357786 - 09/01/2016 08:31 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
There's a small chance but I might get my 45C next Thursday which is just one day out from my prediction.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1384140 - 07/08/2016 00:01 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Wollongong Airport/Albion Park:

First 20C day- already happened
First 25C day- already happened
First 30C day- September 24th
First 35C day- November 10th
First 40C day- January 4th
First 45C day- won't happen
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1384306 - 09/08/2016 16:25 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 365
Loc: Hobart
We are back to playing this game, the year has gone so fast.

Hobart
20+....Sep 1
25+....Sep 19
30+....Oct 28
35+....Dec 28
40+....Nope

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#1384322 - 09/08/2016 22:28 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 684
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hobart
20+ August the 16th ( next Tuesday )
25+ Sep 03
30+ Oct 07
35+ Oct 28
40+ Jan 25th

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#1384452 - 12/08/2016 07:40 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
wet sky Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 628
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
For Murwillumbah NENSW:
20+ already happened
25+ already happened
30+ 12th of September
35+ 20th of November
40+ Won't happen

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#1384578 - 14/08/2016 19:18 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 684
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
A great chance now of the 20 c in Hobart this Tuesday . The BOM have been bumping up the forecast by 1 degree a day and now up to 19 c , in this late winter heat wave.

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#1384587 - 14/08/2016 23:00 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5865
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Melbourne:

First 20C+ day (this coming Thursday - August 18th)
First 25C+ day (September 10th)
First 30C+ day (October 12th)
First 35C+ day (November 18th)
First 40C+ day (December 16th)
First 45C+ day (hopefully won't happen, but January 21st)


Corryong, Northeast Victoria:

First 20C+ day (August 28th)
First 25C+ day (September 16th)
First 30C+ day (October 19th)
First 35C+ day (November 27th)
First 40C+ day (December 19th)
First 45C+ day (unlikely)


Merimbula, NSW South Coast

First 20C+ day (already happened - 21.1C on August 10th)
First 25C+ day (September 25th)
First 30C+ day (October 28th)
First 35C+ day (November 30th)
First 40C+ day (slim chance, but January 1st)
First 45C+ day (unlikely)

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#1389738 - 08/10/2016 09:30 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
HumphreyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Posts: 4167
Loc: Southern Sydney
Two milestones knocked off for Sydney (Observatory Hill):

30C: 7 October
First night >20C: 8 October

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#1390434 - 16/10/2016 14:58 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
First 30C day for Albion Park arrived nearly a month later than expected. Finally reached 31.0C today.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1397066 - 13/12/2016 12:45 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Again the next milestone arrived about a month later than expected. Has scraped 38C so far today so that's the 35C milestone.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1404534 - 30/01/2017 13:34 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
First 40 finally happened today, reaching 41.7C a bit later than expected.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

Top
#1429100 - 28/07/2017 17:52 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
wet sky Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 628
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
Here are my predictions for Murwillumbah, NENSW:
25C- Already reached
30C- 2nd of September
35C- 11th of November
40C- Won't happen

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#1429339 - 30/07/2017 22:22 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Winter_lover Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/01/2016
Posts: 71
Loc: Tasmania, Rokeby Hobart Easter...
Hobart, Tasmania

20c - September 11th
25c - September 27th
30c - December 9th
35c - January 14th
40c - February 20th

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#1429342 - 30/07/2017 23:57 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 365
Loc: Hobart
Hobart

20c...August 19
25c...October 5
30c...October 29
35c...January 6
40c...January 11

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#1429344 - 31/07/2017 01:57 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
Winter_lover Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/01/2016
Posts: 71
Loc: Tasmania, Rokeby Hobart Easter...
We didn't even reach 35c this summer past.
Could be a warm one this time though!

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#1429347 - 31/07/2017 07:17 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 365
Loc: Hobart
I reckon so too. Something a little bit cool seems to be followed by a massive extreme the other way these days.

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#1430445 - 11/08/2017 18:19 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: wet sky]
wet sky Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 628
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
Originally Posted By: rainiac
Here are my predictions for Murwillumbah, NENSW:
25C- Already reached
30C- 2nd of September
35C- 11th of November
40C- Won't happen

Reached 30 degrees here today, just a tad off my prediction wink

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#1434081 - 15/09/2017 10:27 Re: Predict/guess the dates that you think certaint temps will be reached. [Re: ...TOMMY...]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5865
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Melbourne:

First 20C+ day - (already happened - August 14th)
First 25C+ day - (September 21st)
First 30C+ day - (October 15th)
First 35C+ day - (November 13th)
First 40C+ day - (December 19th)
First 45C+ day - (unlikely... hopefully)

First 10C+ night - (already happened - July 5th)
First 15C+ night - (September 22nd)
First 20C+ night - (November 14th)
First 25C+ night - (December 21st)
First 30C+ night - (unlikely... hopefully)

Last below 0C night - (not applicable, as it hasn't even happened haha)
Last below 5C night - (October 10th)
Last below 10C day - (already happened - August 3rd)
Last below 15C day - (November 22nd)


Belgrave:

First 20C+ day - (already happened - August 14th)
First 25C+ day - (September 21st)
First 30C+ day - (October 15th)
First 35C+ day - (November 13th)
First 40C+ day - (December 19th)
First 45C+ day - (unlikely... hopefully)

First 10C+ night - (already happened - July 25th)
First 15C+ night - (already happened - September 3rd)
First 20C+ night - (November 14th)
First 25C+ night - (December 21st)
First 30C+ night - (unlikely... hopefully)

Last below 0C night - (not applicable, as it hasn't even happened haha)
Last below 5C night - (October 22nd)
Last below 10C day - (already happened - September 5th, based on my observations with a high of only 9.9C, making it my coldest September day on record)
Last below 15C day - (November 22nd)


Corryong, Northeast Victoria:

First 20C+ day (September 20th)
First 25C+ day (September 21st)
First 30C+ day (October 16th)
First 35C+ day (November 13th)
First 40C+ day (December 19th)
First 45C+ day (unlikely... hopefully)

First 10C+ night - (September 23rd)
First 15C+ night - (October 17th)
First 20C+ night - (December 19th)
First 25C+ night - (unlikely... hopefully)
First 30C+ night - (unlikely... hopefully)

Last below 0C night - (October 4th)
Last below 5C night - (October 22nd)
Last below 10C day - (already happened - September 6th, based on observations at nearby Khancoban, NSW Snowy Mountains)
Last below 15C day - (November 21st)


Merimbula, NSW South Coast:

First 20C+ day (already happened - July 30th)
First 25C+ day (already happened - September 3rd)
First 30C+ day (October 18th)
First 35C+ day (November 14th)
First 40C+ day (unlikely... hopefully)
First 45C+ day (unlikely... hopefully)

First 10C+ night - (already happened - August 17th)
First 15C+ night - (October 19th)
First 20C+ night - (November 20th)
First 25C+ night - (unlikely... hopefully)
First 30C+ night - (unlikely... hopefully)

Last below 0C night - (already happened - August 29th)
Last below 5C night - (November 6th)
Last below 10C day - (not applicable, as it hasn't even happened haha)
Last below 15C day - (already happened - August 29th)


No point trying Suva, Fiji, as it's a tropical climate, and observations are hard to come by lol poke

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