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#1428917 - 26/07/2017 10:56 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
payshense Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2013
Posts: 892
Loc: West Coast, TAS, 310m ASL / Bu...
41mm here shocked

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#1428918 - 26/07/2017 11:06 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
June looking more like an aberration, May was just over 100mm and July will be similar. We'll see how August and September pan out, but things are looking up for rain generally.

I saw Bathurst reached -8 the other day? I do read some of the NSW day to day thread. Shaping as a very dry winter up there. Summer could be very average for the farming community if it doesn't break soon. But the cold fronts just don't have the penetration they used to have, Tasmania and southern Victoria at times are the only places to really feel the effects these days. Another 15 years of change and it could look really grim. Maybe the summer rains will push down from the north instead.

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#1428919 - 26/07/2017 11:10 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
Ben Lomond keeps getting light falls, another 5cm this morning, but the conditions are marginal with all these changes at the moment, just cold enough for snow on the upper slopes. Be interesting to see how it fairs tomorrow and sat. Rain forecast for sat, but snow showers all the remaining days in the forecast. Field still holding a reasonable cover - not a lot of new snow, but little rain or warm weather.

The mainland heat spell this week not really affecting us.

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#1428925 - 26/07/2017 12:23 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Well at least your dams should have been freshened up over the last couple of months, that's good news smile

Yep -8 here, we've had a VERY frosty winter but very warm days as an offset.

July here is averaging about -2.2, about 2.5 degrees colder than average.

However the days are running at around 13.4 which is almost 2 degrees above average.

Rain is non existent!!! frown

Actually we might just get 10 or 20mm Sunday/Monday however no broad agreement on that yet.

HEAT - yes we will go close to a new hot weather record for here on the weekend for July. If we miss it won't be by much.

As with all things - it will do what it will do.

So are they skiing on Ben currently?

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#1428941 - 26/07/2017 14:00 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
Yes, 3 or 4 tows running most of the time for the past couple of weeks.

I think we are averaging what you are meant to average, 0.7 to 11. Although if I took the 9am reset mins where appropriate it would be more like 0 or just below.

Locally dams are still low, but just on the way up.

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#1429045 - 28/07/2017 08:43 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
Bizzare old 24hrs hours, a low of -3 yesterday gave way to an overcast and cold day. The daytime max of 6.7 would have been the coldest day I've recorded in Westbury, but the approaching front pushed temperatures up to 9.9 by 10pm before the rain set in. Heavy falls just after midnight pushed the total to 13mm. Temperature was back down to 2.2 and clear conditions (with thin fog) this morning.

Just as the official max temp occurred after 6pm last night, the offical min would be the 9am reset yesterday at -0.3. Recording temps is largely what conditions you wish to reflect.

We might get 20-30mm over the weekend to end the month. Which would put the month comfortable ahead of average (currently 92mm month to date).

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#1429048 - 28/07/2017 09:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
That is an "interesting" day smile

We had a ginormous 1.4mm this morning - wowsers!!! smile

Should take our July precip to about 5 or 6mm.

However we have the 3 main models telling us that we may actually get an inland low in NSW late next week and it may give us "precipitation" maybe even 10 or 20mm - shock horror smile

Your 92mm is eye watering for un mainlanders smile

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#1429051 - 28/07/2017 09:17 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
Yes, just reading the NSW thread and the comparisons to '82. August could be off to a reasonable start. That same low is currently projected to impact Tasmania in some way as well. Mind you, looks ugly if you're heading to the ski slopes in August. Heavy rains on only a so-so base.

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#1429061 - 28/07/2017 09:51 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes the initial position and path of that low will be critical for us and also Tassie. I imagine the east coast of Tassie is quite dry.

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#1429156 - 29/07/2017 13:17 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
BrightonBreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/07/2016
Posts: 153
Loc: Brighton, Tas 55m ASL
Afternoon all,

Cold start this morning dipping to -2C, at least we haven't had to many frosts the past week!

Has been pretty windy this morning which has pushed the temp up to 15.2C, Tunnack in the Midlands was having gusts earlier to 95 km/h with mean speeds of 65 km/h! would've been a bit dusty about the place up there with the little rain theres been!

Current Brighton Obs: 14.9C, Baro 997.1 and falling rapidly, NNW 41 km/h, gusting 70 km/h. grin

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#1429254 - 30/07/2017 11:34 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
16.8mm, including 6.1mm since 9am this morning, fell in 90 minutes after 9am. 108.4mm for the month and closing quickly on 400m ytd. Brilliant sunshine now.

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#1429314 - 30/07/2017 18:35 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Winter_lover Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/01/2016
Posts: 61
Loc: Tasmania, Rokeby Hobart Easter...
The weather has really stabilized lately.
No significant cold fronts in Hobart.

Sometimes August can be cold hopefully we don't start seeing 20 degree days already smile

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#1429351 - 31/07/2017 08:48 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 669
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Stabilized has been the weather pattern down here for the last 5 months. Absolutely no Winter consistency at all , and now it seems Spring is here a month ahead . We are in for one hellish fire season I'd say .

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#1429380 - 31/07/2017 14:18 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
Ended up with 18.5mm over the weekend. Frosty start this morning at -1.8. Temp really dropped after 9pm when the wind dropped off.

Almost final obs for July, 110.2mm of rain. 12 rainy days all recorded greater than 4mm each. It was the wettest month since last October (124mm), we had 5 months last year that exceeded 120mm. December and May both just crack 100mm.

23 nights out of 31 under 2 degrees, 13 under 0. Av. Min was 0.8. Min temps don't include 9am reset temps - which this month would make a pretty big difference to the average min given the changes from frost to wet and back again.

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#1429385 - 31/07/2017 14:41 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Given how many rain days you had - those min averages are pretty spectacular!!

Nearly as cold as us (-1.5) you were VERY close to our long term July min avge of 0.3 Pretty frosty place there!!

What about average max there? We had about 14 which is 2.4 above the long term of 11.6

We had 9mm rain today which will take the month to a whopping 15 or so mm. And that takes us to about 17mm total for June/July - The June figure was more or less dew/frost.

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#1429388 - 31/07/2017 15:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Actually - SILLY ME - the rain here started after 9am so that 9mm will be August rain not July.

My comments above are incorrect and meteorologically June/July had bugger all precip - worse than I said above!! shocked

I note scattered showers in the NW of Tassie atm but not much.

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#1429394 - 31/07/2017 15:41 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
We had a number of days where we had both, i.e. it rained after 9am yesterday (7.8mm) but still reached a min of -1.8 last night. Or earlier in the month it was an early min at 9or 10pm, followed by rain later in the night/next morning. The average min on mornings where rain was recorded was 3.2.

The average max (without counting today) has been 11.2. Highest was 14.5 the other day (Friday).

8mm in two months really is bugger all. Mind you we had 7mm in Feb and 4mm in June. You must have had close to 50 days frost in two months? on the plus side, day 1 of august beats June and July on its own... can't say that often.

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#1429397 - 31/07/2017 16:09 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
47 mornings of 2 or lower, the great majority of those mornings were actually a neg temp.

Certainly our frostiest June/July in many years.

Love the comment re Day 1 August smile

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#1429515 - 01/08/2017 21:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1869
Loc: Westbury
Looks like a really wet weekend in the north, Something in the order of 50-75mm from Friday. Models broadly agreed. Probably a pretty serious blizzard on the ski fields in NSW and Vic as well. Could also be a pretty mega dump on Ben Lomond.

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#1429546 - 02/08/2017 09:38 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9667
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
The Ben will be good if that happens smile

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