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#1443077 - 01/12/2017 11:46 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Ironic in the current circumstances ... but the Cann River fire is really doing a runner!
_____________________________________

This Watch & Act message is being issued for Point Hicks, Furnell, Peachtree Creek Campsite, Choof Choof, and Tamboon

There is a bushfire at 16KM SE CANN RIVER that is not yet under control
This fire is over 2500 ha's in size
The bushfire is travelling rapidly in a south westerly direction towards Point Hicks Road
______________________________________

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#1443078 - 01/12/2017 11:51 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: ThunderBob]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Originally Posted By: ThunderBob
Ironic in the current circumstances ... but the Cann River fire is really doing a runner!
_____________________________________

This Watch & Act message is being issued for Point Hicks, Furnell, Peachtree Creek Campsite, Choof Choof, and Tamboon

There is a bushfire at 16KM SE CANN RIVER that is not yet under control
This fire is over 2500 ha's in size
The bushfire is travelling rapidly in a south westerly direction towards Point Hicks Road
______________________________________


Yep quote from the ground is its going like hell and spotting up to 1.8km ahead of the front. Sounds like its close to 4000ha now

Most aircraft are now grounded due to the weather to the west. Smoke ironically is clearly showing up on radar and satellite





Edited by logansi (01/12/2017 11:54)
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#1443080 - 01/12/2017 12:03 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Thanks Logansi. At this rate, it'll probably get to the coast this arvo. Current conditions at Orbost: 32C 35RH N 24/43kph

I spent a few beautiful days camped at Thurra River just two weeks ago. Will probably burn out this arvo!

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#1443082 - 01/12/2017 12:10 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: ThunderBob]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Originally Posted By: ThunderBob
Thanks Logansi. At this rate, it'll probably get to the coast this arvo. Current conditions at Orbost: 32C 35RH N 24/43kph

I spent a few beautiful days camped at Thurra River just two weeks ago. Will probably burn out this arvo!


Crews are trying to protect some of the camp site areas, but overall sounds like they will just let it burn until the rain comes - no property in the way.
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#1443084 - 01/12/2017 12:20 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
"no property in the way." No, that's right.

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#1443085 - 01/12/2017 12:27 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Interesting ... WZ Radar is showing CGs and CC in smoke plume from the Cann River fire!

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#1443086 - 01/12/2017 12:29 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: ThunderBob]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Originally Posted By: ThunderBob
Interesting ... WZ Radar is showing CGs and CC in smoke plume from the Cann River fire!


Sure is! Currently the most lightning-active storm in Victoria.... Is a smoke plume
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1443136 - 01/12/2017 16:44 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
talking around 8000ha now although rain has arrived so doubt it will grow much if any more
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1443142 - 01/12/2017 16:57 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Also NOORINBEE NORTH fire at 510ha
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#1443145 - 01/12/2017 17:13 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Thanks Logansi. Was going to post that Cann River had exceeded 5K but obviously much bigger than that now. Yes, the rain will definitely stop or slow their spread now.

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#1444661 - 12/12/2017 17:01 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
TFB tomorrow in Wimmera and Mallee
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#1444662 - 12/12/2017 17:23 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1303
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah, I just checked the local bom
Forecast for the Gippsland area and there
Is a very warm dry stretch over the next
7 days with a 36c tommoz and finishes
With 39c next Monday!!

So it's a big drying out period over the next
Week, things will be as dry as before we
Had the big rain event, if not dryer?
Makes next Tuesday's front very important
For another good dose of rain!

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#1444739 - 13/12/2017 15:23 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
2 Major fires going in the states west

his Emergency Warning is being issued for Balmoral.

There is a bushfire at the Recreation Reserve on HARROW RD, BALMORAL that is not yet under control.
The bushfire is travelling in a southerly direction and may impact Balmoral.
You are in danger, act now to protect yourself. It is too late to leave. The safest option is to take shelter indoors immediately.
What you should do:

A Neighbourhood Safer Place is located at Balmoral Memorial Hall and Bowls Club Grounds corner of Stirling Street (Natimuk Hamilton Road) an Glendinning Street, Balmoral.


and

his Watch & Act message is being issued for Mooralla, Mona Park.

There is a bushfire in Blue Gum Plantation near Craigs Road and CARTERS RD, MOORALLA that is not yet under control.
The bushfire is travelling in a south-easterly direction towards Henty Highway.
This fire will come out of the Blue Gum Plantation and may become a fast running grass fire.


Large air tankers (first day of operation) and 30 other aircraft are currently in use.
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#1444769 - 13/12/2017 20:42 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7354
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Ta Logansi

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#1444773 - 13/12/2017 21:27 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
The main fire is still the Mooralla fire, which is now up to 800ha which is still at Watch and Act level, about 14 aircraft worked right up until last light including the 2 large air tankers. Had a quick look at least years thread and for the second year in a row the LAT's were used on their first day of contract -although it may have been brought forward 1 day this year as normal they start on the 14th.

I am starting to grow more a more worried about this season, the La Nina may bring a little more or at least average rainfall but it also increases the risk of extended hot spells and most importantly spike days with very strong NW winds followed by the wind change. Also much of the state had a wettish start to winter but dry end and dry spring meaning both longer than normal grass and a very dry bush - its normally one of the other.


Edited by logansi (13/12/2017 21:28)
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#1444775 - 13/12/2017 21:43 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Originally Posted By: logansi
Also much of the state had a wettish start to winter but dry end and dry spring meaning both longer than normal grass and a very dry bush - its normally one of the other.


Agree Logansi. I concur with Dooga re the recent rain seeming to make surprisingly small difference - bush around here is "dry as" already. But we don't have the longer than normal grass - still short though with a touch now of green but I think will very quickly brown off with little added growth.

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#1444777 - 13/12/2017 21:58 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Photo of the Mooralla Fire



By Wayne Rigg (Air Attack Supervisor Birdog 376)/CFA
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1444836 - 14/12/2017 14:35 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Thanks Logansi. Folks might like to note there are maps now for the Mooralla fire and for the two fires near Cann River on emergency.vic.gov.au site.

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#1444901 - 14/12/2017 23:15 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Next Tuesday (19/12) has the potential of a very bad day: temperature and wind. It might be that the timing is a positive factor with peak wind and the front crossing most of Victoria before peak potential heat.

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#1445257 - 19/12/2017 18:32 Re: 2017/18 Victorian Bushfire News and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1104
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Numerous lightning strike fires nothing big atm. Storms causing serious issues for aircraft reponding to fires with multiple aircraft being forced to return and divert
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