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#1435746 - 02/10/2017 10:27 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2690
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Ye olde “it’s not raining on my roof” rubbish

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#1435747 - 02/10/2017 10:41 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3278
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Will see what happens just maybe hope for later today to allow for some warming on the surface.

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#1435748 - 02/10/2017 10:42 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Clearskies Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/02/2014
Posts: 318
Loc: Moorooka
Had 8mm over night here , I was surprised at that amount - thought it would have been alot less. Looks like today will turn out alright once that rainband comes down from the NW .

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#1435749 - 02/10/2017 10:45 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Warwick Eye2Sky Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/08/2010
Posts: 1061
Loc: Warwick, QLD
Hello Hopefull, well, not much has changed around here in over 25 years since you lived out this way. Were you in the town area? Or outside of town? That could make a huge difference in convective storm coverage.
Today we might see more of a steady, light to moderate rain area coming over later today or tonight, but overall, a big disappointment, especially for the farmers. I would be highly surprised to see over 15-20mm out this way.
But yes, everything seems to go around us out here. Ask anyone out here, and they will agree. Last 2 years have been a bit better, but overall, areas like Allora and Killarney seem to score a lot more than we do.
I live in west Warwick, and seem to do much better than they do in the middle of town. Must be topography? Will be interesting to see what this year brings.
Cheers,
Michael
_________________________
Michael - your eyes to the west.

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#1435751 - 02/10/2017 10:51 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18617
Loc: The Beach.
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Originally Posted By: Golden State
There is nothing on the radar to suggest any rain of any substance coming anywhere near the south east .. it's all a massive load of B.S.

Utter rubbish forecasting

Do we really have to go through this every single time there's a weather event that people want to talk about? Given the system is still to our west and north and that it was NOT expected to have peaked already, why do people always do this? If you don't have anything useful to contribute, why do you even bother posting here?


Here here.

53.6mm of beautiful liquid in the gauge so far at home after months of dry weather. Looking forward to see the place start to green up again

Originally Posted By: Blowin'
I'm going to make a call and bet on 50mm +- 5mm event total at the diamond valley rain gauge.
IW and wet dreams - what's your forcast?
Some nice looking rain coming down from the north.
Is Gympie undercooking or stapylton over cooking? I hope the former.


Gympie has been underdone pretty much since it went over to the doppler for some reason. I use Gladstone up here in Wide Bay as it gives a much better indication of intensity.
_________________________
"water has c.30x the heat capacity of air. Someone drop the penny please for those fixated on the notion that the atmosphere is the driver ( preferably in 3D)".

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#1435752 - 02/10/2017 10:53 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
TekBug Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 09/10/2010
Posts: 7
Loc: Holland Park West
Not much rain here in HPW over the past 24hrs. Enough to wet the ground. Nice to see something though.

I have been checking the ECMWF model on windy.com and it predicts about 20-40mm over the Brisbane area in the next three days. If a low pressure system is to form up near Fraser, we could potentially get a lot more rain depending on its movements.


(Original sized image: https://i.imgur.com/TFPiXzv.png)

I don't think this event is over by a long shot as yet.


Edited by Seabreeze (02/10/2017 13:56)
Edit Reason: Original image was bit big for the forum (1642 pixels longest border). But it's a helpful screenshot, so I've reuploaded it myself at a smaller size to be nearer to the forum's longest border maximum (though slightly flexible) limit of 1024 pixels :-)

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#1435753 - 02/10/2017 10:59 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1323
Loc: toowoomba
So far nothing recorded just a bit of very light drizzle.Might get a bit later hopefully but don't think it'll be what was forecast.Hopefull are you on the west or east side of Toowoomba?

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#1435754 - 02/10/2017 11:01 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1220
Loc: Toowoomba
Well Ken and Colfront when it comes to the Warwick area you have to have lived there for a few years to understand the doubt and frustration. The coast and Brisbane will do great but with parts of the Downs you just never know.
Cheers
Oh, sorry Michael I lived in the East side of Warwick and Pete I live I suppose, just SE of the Centre of town.


Edited by Hopefull (02/10/2017 11:05)

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#1435757 - 02/10/2017 11:06 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5476
Hopefull: I never said anything about the Warwick area, nor that people weren't frustrated. But considering the effort and time some people take to contribute towards discussion in here only to find that the place just turns into a whingefest so often, *that* in itself is frustrating.

No-one's saying forecasts should be praised all the time and critical discussion shouldn't occur but there comes a point when the inevitable "I didn't get 500mm of rain in my backyard" even when the event isn't even over yet, gets very tiring. It's called Weatherzone for a reason, not Whingezone.

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#1435758 - 02/10/2017 11:17 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1220
Loc: Toowoomba
I do not want 500 ml in my backyard Ken I just want to see the forecast falls for the Downs happen. If it occurs I'll be as happy as Larry(who ever he is).

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#1435759 - 02/10/2017 11:34 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Blowin' Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/08/2014
Posts: 944
Loc: Diamond Valley, Sunshine Coast
Gladstone radar is much better thanks.
Some interesting action coming onshore up near Bundy, can imagine why waterspouts are possible.
Interesting how you can see the train coming in from the Ne but the ovaching system aka Yeppoon is coming from the Nw.

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#1435762 - 02/10/2017 12:28 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
explorer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 554
Loc: Coolum Beach, Qld
Finally! we are getting nice rain here at the moment! Slowing down as I type this .... Hoping the big falls eventuate for the sake of our gardens and animals and to fill up all the tanks ... We have bore water too, but I prefer the rain water for my gardens ... smile So far since this even started (no counting this last downpour) the rain gauge has shown us only a few drops ... we get more from dew ... smile

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#1435763 - 02/10/2017 12:30 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
explorer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 554
Loc: Coolum Beach, Qld
Where do I find info about this low pressure system possible forming off Fraser island some of you are talking about?

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#1435765 - 02/10/2017 12:45 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Blowin']
justme Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/02/2011
Posts: 207
Loc: Pacific Haven QLD
Comparing the 256 radars Gladstone and Gympie, seems a lot different Gladstone has yellow and redish areas, Gympie just looks like some rain possible. do we just need to get used to that look or will they fine tune it ?

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#1435766 - 02/10/2017 12:46 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: justme]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18617
Loc: The Beach.
Originally Posted By: justme
Comparing the 256 radars Gladstone and Gympie, seems a lot different Gladstone has yellow and redish areas, Gympie just looks like some rain possible. do we just need to get used to that look or will they fine tune it ?


Good question. It seems to have been that way for quite a long while now Justme. They had a similar issue when the Cairns doppler went live but rectified it within a week.

Up to 88mm now at home. Rain rates up over 200mm per hour more than once today.
_________________________
"water has c.30x the heat capacity of air. Someone drop the penny please for those fixated on the notion that the atmosphere is the driver ( preferably in 3D)".

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#1435767 - 02/10/2017 12:57 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Mamma Tus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/12/2011
Posts: 345
Loc: NE NSW
A pleasant cool day at 17.3C and 98% humidity, wind N @ 15km/h, overcast with a just few teeny sprinkles. My hubby went out for a kayak and came back early as he was too cold! Just shows you how much the weather can vary over a few days. Hoping we get a good drenching. My pot plants are plonked out the front eagerly awaiting a drink:)
_________________________
"Clouds are the sky's imagination." ~Terri Guillemets

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#1435768 - 02/10/2017 13:01 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
ozone doug Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1874
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
Hi all. 24mm out here from yesterday so far so not too bad .Nice and cool too.
_________________________
Cheers Doug. 491 Doug/ uhf ch40 When severe weather
BOM Stormspotter G0388 Roma S W Queensland Formerly Redcliffe.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IQUEENSL852

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#1435769 - 02/10/2017 13:04 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Ken Kato]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7272
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Getting some heavier stuff now, but you wouldn't know it looking at the Gympie radar. Complete garbage, they had 6 months of dry to get it fixed.

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#1435770 - 02/10/2017 13:21 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: TekBug]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7616
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Originally Posted By: TekBug
I don't think this event is over by a long shot as yet.

Neither do I grin .

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#1435771 - 02/10/2017 13:32 Re: SE QLD/NE NSW - Enhanced rainfall - 1st to 4th Oct 2017 [Re: Mega]
wilyms Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2013
Posts: 153
Loc: Roma, Qld
Originally Posted By: Mega
Getting some heavier stuff now, but you wouldn't know it looking at the Gympie radar. Complete garbage, they had 6 months of dry to get it fixed.


Yeah frustrating stuff. Gladstone radar giving 'better' returns for Wide Bay than Gympie!!

I'm not an expert with weather radar by any means but i would have thought calibration / fine tuning would need something like this rain event to be able to occur and 6 months of dry would have meant it couldn't happen?

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