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#1437914 - 18/10/2017 18:51 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6322
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Wow hotter than Mildura, amazing.

25.7c here at home for a high.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1437933 - 18/10/2017 21:29 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2536
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like beginning thundery activity cells in West of Victoria at moment seen on radar.

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#1437943 - 18/10/2017 23:22 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 561
Loc: Chadstone Vic
Yeah think you might be over reading tad there at 35c hottest in the state hmmm.

Petros sadly here long term atm lol, but the last 3 days have been magic though thats it for a few weeks maybe Nov we get another burst like this

Wet, Stormy, Warm, windy, 24 hours ahead.
East of a line Mildura Melb is gonna do well rain wise easy 15-30mm most and hills and NE more like 30-50mm isol 70mm in hills.
Gippy bit less with shadow still 10-20mm for most should be doable
Little in the NW sadly they need it there

Lots of storms in the next 18 hours most should get something

Winter like pattern next week but still 18-24c most days with SW flow

Enjoy the rain next 24 hours.



Edited by Twister1 (18/10/2017 23:23)
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#1437944 - 18/10/2017 23:40 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1028
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Looking like a very warm night state wide, most station still sitting in the low to mid 20s - (still 28 in Mildura) - Could be a couple of high min October records broken tonight.
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#1437945 - 18/10/2017 23:58 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6011
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
A rather warm, humid night here in Belgrave atm! For the past few hours, the temperature has been stagnating a little under 23C. crazy

While it won't be anywhere near my hottest October night ever (current record high October minimum is 25.1C on the morning of October 6th 2015), it's very likely to be my first 20C+ night for the season.

My last 20C+ night was 20.5C on March 15th.

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#1437990 - 19/10/2017 09:05 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2021
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Hot northerly here at the mo', 28C & saw just under 29C earlier, after hottish night min round 15C.

Mt Moornapa was warmer with a 19C+ min overnight.

We won't see rain until the wind swings to the W, and then probably <10mm by the look of it.

Now if the QLD'ers could send a little drop or two we'd be most grateful grin
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#1438013 - 19/10/2017 11:02 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2536
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
hard to sleep overnight of 18c and now at 11am 21.7c with heavy rain humdity of 78%.

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#1438025 - 19/10/2017 11:40 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 561
Loc: Chadstone Vic
Wow the moisture and dynamics havent really linked up as planed, but showers and thunderstorm should develop in the W NW in coming hours and move east this arvo evening and over night

Light rain here on and off last hour no wind
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Bring on the STORMS

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#1438037 - 19/10/2017 12:30 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6011
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Dipped to 20.5C last night, so my hottest night for the season so far, and my first 20C+ night since March 15th 2017 when we also dipped to 20.5C. Go figure! crazy

It was quite a stifling night, and like Chasers Addict I found it hard to sleep - at 3am it was around 24C with blustery northerly winds! eek

Been a humid, wet, mostly cloudy start to the day, with the temperature dropping to 19.0C around an hour ago and it's currently fluctuating around 19-20C. Collected 1.1mm of rain from this band of activity. smile

Now it's a waiting game... hope some good storms will start erupting high over the Western Plains and north into the Mallee and then rip across Melbourne this arvo! smile

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#1438038 - 19/10/2017 12:33 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2536
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Clear and sunny after 2mm rain drying up into humidity and temp has rise to 29c fast and hope something in West .

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#1438066 - 19/10/2017 15:02 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Twister1]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 786
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Originally Posted By: Twister1
Wow the moisture and dynamics havent really linked up as planed,


Think you're right Twister. Very dark around here most of the day but no rain. Radar shows thin band about to hit Bairnsdale but there doesn't seem to be much in prospect behind it. Maybe I'm just not understanding.

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#1438071 - 19/10/2017 15:18 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: ThunderBob]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 713
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
Originally Posted By: ThunderBob
Think you're right Twister. Very dark around here most of the day but no rain. Radar shows thin band about to hit Bairnsdale but there doesn't seem to be much in prospect behind it. Maybe I'm just not understanding.


It's really gone bang now in a North / South line from Melbourne up to Southern NSW, you may get something move East out of that?

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#1438076 - 19/10/2017 15:39 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 786
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Thanks Balmz. The rain band moved though producing beautiful rain/dust aroma but not much else.

Yes. Will have to wait to see what that next band will do.

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#1438079 - 19/10/2017 16:21 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2536
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like cool change moving in Bendigo now W to SW and humidity is gone to dryer cooler with low clouds.

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#1438083 - 19/10/2017 16:36 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6011
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Well that was a real treat! 30 minutes of fun - another direct-hit! wink

It was amazing how over the course of about an hour the radar literally exploded to the east and southeast of the City with a whole cluster of powerful storms taking shape. The cell that took aim at my area here in Belgrave erupted between St Kilda and Oakleigh around 2:30pm and sped east/southeast - straight at us, growing larger and intensifying as it did so!

At 2:45pm I noticed an enormous cumulonimbus towering just to our southwest; at 2:51pm I heard our first rumble of thunder.

Over the space of 10-15 minutes it got incredibly dark and the thunder increased in frequency to around once every 15-30 seconds, with angry, potentially dangerous lightning just to the south/southwest.

I noticed a rather flat, dark, rainfree base immediately to the west, with a few lowerings, but I cannot confirm whether it was a wall cloud (with the potential for tornado to form) or whether this was merely a shelf cloud ahead of the precipitation. The storm was moving towards me so quickly and the lightning was so close that it was far too dangerous to stay outside for long!

A severe thunderstorm warning for damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall was issued around this time btw.

At about 3pm the thunder and lightning abruptly ceased, but we had 20 minutes of torrential rain! Our driveway turned into a river, and the rain was coming in at a bit of an angle due to strong winds. smile

By 3:30pm the storm was gone.

Collected 8.4mm of rain during the storm, with the peak rainfall rate being 121.9mm/hr. And the temperature dropped from 24C to 21C as the storm swept through.

Peaked at 28.2C here in Belgrave this arvo. Currently around 22C.

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#1438088 - 19/10/2017 16:55 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2536
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Aussiestormfreak u had lucky day and nothing for me as storms started far East Bendigo. Now temptaure is 25c

We have wait next cut off upper low next Wednesday should be interesting for Victoria.

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#1438098 - 19/10/2017 18:25 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2021
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Sun was out 1/2hr ago but hugely black to the W and down S.

It started to "POUR" some foreign wet substance I read about in Primary School, (grade 4, best three yrs of my life), at 1813hrs and still coming down, can hear some thunder to the S or S/W.

Won't be more than 20 minutes off you TB, that bit to your N looks a little bit to far off ?
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#1438100 - 19/10/2017 18:39 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 786
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Good stuff Samboz. That stuff is probably what they call "rain".

Strange feel and light with rain band approaching. Sale had 11mm (approx) in about same number of minutes. Band seems to be dissipating as it approaches.

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#1438103 - 19/10/2017 18:55 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2021
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Moving slower TB, 8mm and dizzle here now.

Sale is up to 14mm now, it was certainly extremely black down that way while the sun was still shining here earlier.

RAAF Personnel were telling their neighbours in town about the approaching hail/thunderstorm expected to impact around 1730hrs'ish.

Calm, 20C and pretty much all over here now.

Good luck TB, hoping you do well and get a whisper of green in the place.
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN-53.4MM FEB-14MM MARCH-18MM APRIL-7.5MM MAY-28MM JUN-11MM to 0900 18th

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#1438105 - 19/10/2017 19:03 Re: Vic - stormy(??) change and much needed rain 18-20/10/17?? [Re: Petros]
Petros Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7048
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Got a handy 7mm of rain from a NE'ly surge out of a large storm travelling along the Strezleckiis towards Sale later afternoon. Getting rain from a storm to Maffra's south is very unusual, ....but welcome! smile

Here's what it looked like from the 6th fairway of Royal Maffra before I got drenched.......



...the hose in view is the only reason the fairway isnt as dry as the rough areas! - drought-like conditions in Nth Gippy atm.


Edited by Petros (19/10/2017 19:04)

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