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#1440199 - 03/11/2017 16:56 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4263
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
A cell just popped up near Blacktown, with another on the Central Coast.

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#1440201 - 03/11/2017 17:58 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2305
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Plenty of high based stuff out to sea - 5 drops here frown and itís gone

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#1440202 - 03/11/2017 18:17 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 566
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
NSW SES is on alert for Monday morning, lets see what happens.

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#1440204 - 03/11/2017 18:25 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1724
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Steve777.Those cells moved off shore quick then intencifyed.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1440205 - 03/11/2017 18:32 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Grant]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1143
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Still over 30C now, anyone know where the cool change is now?

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#1440206 - 03/11/2017 18:36 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: DerekHV]
ashestoashes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 375
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
I live in south-western Sydney and the change hit about 10-15 mins ago.

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#1440207 - 03/11/2017 18:41 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: ashestoashes]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1143
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Originally Posted By: ashestoashes
I live in south-western Sydney and the change hit about 10-15 mins ago.


Thanks for that, so probably a couple of hours away here.
I just had a look at some other coastal spots, SSE winds are yet to hit the Central Coast.

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#1440209 - 03/11/2017 18:44 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2305
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
No major change in temp here, just an increase in wind.

Looking ahead Iím still liking the look of Sunday night thru to tues morn.

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#1440213 - 03/11/2017 19:41 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2305
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
LOL at the vagaries of the models - this is the BoM's own ACCESS model (G, C & T versions).

No wonder it's a tough game most days! 3 differing scenarios:






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#1440214 - 03/11/2017 19:41 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 441
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Raining some big fat drops right now.

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#1440215 - 03/11/2017 19:53 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2305
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
More model updates:

WxZone WRF model is very excited:



EC 10D & 15D determinate models also keen:





Seems all dependant on where the Low exactly forms:

GFS bored frown



Edited by Kino (03/11/2017 19:55)

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#1440216 - 03/11/2017 21:34 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Grant]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5881
Loc: Dural
It's cooler here now though still quite humid.
Clearly the change has passed through, and some light rain is currently falling.

I'm looking forward to hearing some heavier showers tonight, and temps feeling much cooler tomorrow. The radar is looking nice at the moment.

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#1440217 - 03/11/2017 21:52 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6899
Just had a rather heavy shower pass through here.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1440218 - 03/11/2017 21:55 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5881
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Just had a rather heavy shower pass through here.


I've got heavier showers passing to my north atm. Just light stuff here now.
With tomorrow's projected rain totals, I'm hoping that showers will increase overnight.

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#1440219 - 03/11/2017 22:00 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Homer]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6899
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Just had a rather heavy shower pass through here.


I've got heavier showers passing to my north atm. Just light stuff here now.
With tomorrow's projected rain totals, I'm hoping that showers will increase overnight.


There are mainly light showers around but that heavier blip that passed to the NW of Bowral hit us (I'm in the highlands atm).

The BoM forecast for tomorrow in the Illawarra doesn't seem too optimistic about decent rain with "high chance of showers in the north but medium chance elsewhere" but we shall see. Sure will be cold either way.


Edited by Wave Rider (03/11/2017 22:03)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1440220 - 03/11/2017 22:32 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Grant]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1724
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
A brief heavy shower here now and another one coming A lot cooler here now the southerly has come through.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1440222 - 03/11/2017 23:08 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Grant]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5881
Loc: Dural
I'm quite surprised how quickly showers are developing to the south west of the metro and heading north easterly.
And no, this is no comment about south westerly showers in a southerly air stream. I'm just reporting on what's happening, and am quite happy about the pending showers.


Edited by Seabreeze (03/11/2017 23:47)
Edit Reason: merged posts into existing event thread

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#1440227 - 04/11/2017 08:24 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 566
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Something strange is going on with the BoM radars atm.

Terry Hills, as usual, is over reading and showing heavy showers across the Hunter, Newcastle is showing virtually nothing, and Namoi and Appin show light showers through the Hunter, what is going on?

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#1440228 - 04/11/2017 10:08 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 566
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
OK, Newcastle radar is now down for repairs, so I guess that was why it wasn't showing any rain earlier this morning.

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#1440230 - 04/11/2017 11:50 Re: Trough + Upper Cold Pool - widespread rain & storms 3/11 - 7/11/2017 [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1724
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
There looks like a heavy shower moving down towards me from the NW,there might be a grumble in it,maybe.I hardly use the Newcastle radar anyway I would rather Sydney.


Edited by Stormy3 (04/11/2017 11:59)
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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