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#1440142 - 02/11/2017 18:59 North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Been a good stormy buildup into November, alas no storms on the coast. been north, south and west, just no luck.
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Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#1440184 - 03/11/2017 11:52 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12616
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Has been a little different to last year though, storms seem to be teasing us a bit more at least.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1440863 - 09/11/2017 08:18 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 81
Loc: Bushland Beach
4mm in gauge this morning at bushy beach

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#1440869 - 09/11/2017 09:09 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12616
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
1mm in BG.

Looks like the city could get some of that shower activity approaching from the SE.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1440891 - 09/11/2017 16:31 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
missing us by that much........... as usual

excellent area of convergence has formed, just 15km too far north. cant win.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#1440920 - 10/11/2017 09:17 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 81
Loc: Bushland Beach
8.5mm in gauge this morning at bushy beach

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#1441104 - 13/11/2017 19:17 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4328
Loc: Wynnum
Some of you in Townsville maybe remember me - Retired Weather Man. I worked with BoM in Townsville from 1986 before retiring and then moving to Brisbane in late 2011.

A big reason for joining BoM in the 1960's was as a result of my Science teacher enlightening me on the work of the late Inigo Jones who passed away in 1953 but looked into a possible relationship between solar activity and Eastern Australian rainfall, particularly north of about 30 deg S.

From the early 1900's he made various seasonal predictions based on this theory to give the farming community some hope with the long running Federation Drought. A large percentage of his predictions came good and he was known as " The Farmers Friend ".

At the time BoM did not enhance his theory at all and made that clear to me should I wish to continue with that organization. However I continued to look into it " on the quiet ". Now in retirement I have continued to look into any possible relationship.

A couple of months ago I published a comparison between solar activity and rainfall district 40 which covers South East Qld in the ESNO thread. There were some "tie ups" but in general nothing too conclusive.

I have looked into a Townsville comparison, because Townsville is uniquely placed to be not influenced by stream showers which boosts annual totals as occurs to its north and south, due to the coastline orientation and proximity of ranges. Normally I would have looked at the whole district as I did with SEQ.

The "tie up" is a lot better than SEQ as can be seen from the graph. There are few large hiccups - namely 1913, 1933,1975,2008-10, but in general not bad. Month by month data comparisons were too unwieldy so I averaged data out over an annual basis. I looked into the SOI as well, but comparisons were all over the place. The PDO saw a better result but available data did not go back far enough.

I looked onto the Top End of the NT and NW WA too, but comparisons were not as good as the Townsville region.

Anyway have a look at the graph.






Edited by retired weather man (13/11/2017 19:19)
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Wyn Nth 2017-Jan107.6(158),Feb24.4(149),Mar410.2(123),Apr8.8(98),May32.2(101),Jun91.4(75),Jul16.6(57),Aug6.4(45),Sep4.2(33),Oct217.4(93),Nov61.8,YTD981.2(1043.4)

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#1441106 - 13/11/2017 19:54 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Weary Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 931
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
Correlation does not imply causation
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Love petrichor

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#1441107 - 13/11/2017 20:31 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
dormant Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 566
Loc: near ferry, FNQ
It does help to keep the thread active...whatever one postulates.

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#1441120 - 14/11/2017 00:12 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Nerd65 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 410
Loc: Cranbrook, Townsville
Rwm, it's good to see someone doing this kind of analysis. Thanks for posting.
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Linux is Star Trek; Windows is Star Wars.

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#1441121 - 14/11/2017 00:21 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
awesome effort RWM, great to hear from you too mate. hope all is well down there. great to see Junior excelling in his photography on FB.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#1441814 - 20/11/2017 23:00 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
everything from the west has died this evening, everything building from the east at the surface is getting blown back out to sea as it builds height.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#1441843 - 21/11/2017 09:06 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
all north of us yet again overnight. while everything to the west died. just another day.

looking very unstable today though, anything forming inland will fly east towards the coast. looking likely to get heavy showers off the coast too.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#1441880 - 21/11/2017 14:42 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 651
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Getting smashed with heavy rain in Charters Towers right now. My yard is flooded. smile

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#1441881 - 21/11/2017 14:43 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
could only be so lucky here Wezza, had 5min of light rain, gone now.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

Top
#1441882 - 21/11/2017 14:54 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 651
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Fingers crossed Townsville gets some in the next few days if not today mate. Still going here, hasn't let up yet. Looking like around 30mm in my gauge at a guess from distance.

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#1441887 - 21/11/2017 15:36 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 651
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Stopped here now, 35mm in the gauge. Happy with that!

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#1441890 - 21/11/2017 15:44 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24822
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
wow mate, that is awesome
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
October 2017 total - 101.4mm (26mm)
November 2017 total - 0.0mm (54mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 807.8mm (1122mm)

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#1441913 - 21/11/2017 19:15 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 651
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Some pics from the lovely rain from earlier:
IMG20171121134430 by Wezza, on Flickr
IMG20171121134903 by Wezza, on Flickr
IMG20171121134848 by Wezza, on Flickr
Maybe a bit more light rain on the way according to the radar.

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#1442022 - Yesterday at 22:46 Re: North Queensland Build Up - Cardwell to Bowen - November 2017 [Re: Mick10]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12616
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Pouring in BG!

Will be short lived though.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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