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#1440990 - 11/11/2017 17:12 Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Ok, seems our benign, but pleasant, weather will come to an end later this week, with a decent upper cold pool screaming in from the SE and combining with a surface thermal trough.

The cold pool gets to inland NSW and develops a low which deepens. The only model not really interested is GFS at this stage.

Widespread showers, periods of rain and severe storms are likely - with plenty of moisture around. The trough helps by dragging in long-fetch easterlies resulting in a very unstable onshore flow, which will produce stream showers from the Illawarra north, primarily heavier about the north coast.

Still too far out to be certain, but looks like a pretty unstable atmosphere is on the cards (TT's of 50 - 60 across a large swathe of NSW over next weekend)!

Here's the model spread:















Edited by Seabreeze (20/11/2017 22:35)
Edit Reason: shortened by a day

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#1441010 - 11/11/2017 21:13 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Looking forward to being in on the action in NSW/ACT at this time next week; I fly from Melbourne to Sydney on Friday for a few days, and I'll be based at Parramatta. Just hoping for at least some warm sunshine and blue skies, especially for any sightseeing I'll be doing (eg. the CBD, Sydney Harbour, the Blue Mountains, etc) and decent, photogenic, severe thunderstorm action instead of just overcast with heavy rain. smile

I'll be watching this thread and the models closely, and I'll be sure to contribute.


Edited by aussiestormfreak (11/11/2017 21:13)

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#1441024 - 12/11/2017 14:19 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Models up and down for this event, unlike the previous trough & low. Not giving me much confidence.

Latest EC only likes 18mm over the next 10 days for much of coast. Usual hotspots NE NSW however do very well. We'll see what the PM runs say.

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#1441027 - 12/11/2017 17:14 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Dunno how an OS model updates before Aussie models do....

Anyways - and just like that, GFS triggers it's "troughy" switch and bam it's very keen:




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#1441029 - 12/11/2017 18:04 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
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Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
10 mm's. 50 mm's.
I'll take either atm tbh.

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#1441033 - 12/11/2017 18:55 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
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Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
The BOM has scaled back the rain. Now just 3-10mm for Sydney (mostly on the weekend), a bit more for Wollongong, a bit less for Newcastle. Bathurst does better with 7-19.

It's early days yet. GFS certainly looks more bullish. It's also hinting at a repeat performance later next week.

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#1441039 - 12/11/2017 20:54 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Steve777]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Steve777
The BOM has scaled back the rain. Now just 3-10mm for Sydney (mostly on the weekend), a bit more for Wollongong, a bit less for Newcastle. Bathurst does better with 7-19.

It's early days yet. GFS certainly looks more bullish. It's also hinting at a repeat performance later next week.


GFS was the better permforming (gasp) model for the Tasman Low, so Im keen to see what it does now that its sort of onboard.

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#1441065 - 13/11/2017 12:17 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
GringosRain Offline
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Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
The inland will do better out this event I would imagine, which will make a lot of people happy. It looks like the upper low will have a diminishing impact on the coast as it moves north. Having said that, we are still a way off, so all the inputs are there to pay up some good rain anywhere in eastern NSW.

I note the patten at the end of Access latest run has the nice little horseshoe shaped trough setup that used to be so common. High in the bite, trough through WA and NSW. This could be a good storm summer!!

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#1441066 - 13/11/2017 12:23 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
GFS all over the shop again - 12z run not interested; 18z interested.



12z ACCESS certainly looks great for anywhere west of ranges; a real "drought-breaker" this could be.


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#1441073 - 13/11/2017 13:29 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
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Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
I hope so GringosRain,our creeks need a good flush,and the cattle dams need filling.
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#1441111 - 13/11/2017 21:05 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
ozthunder Offline
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Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3091
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
The less rain the better, as this will mean better storms and less of a cloud fest.

The main issue with this event that is preventing it going widespread severe is that the Tasman Sea ridges reluctance to budge, in fact the ridge strengthens again Sunday / Monday.

This ridge is keeping the low rather vertically stacked = lighter mid to upper winds than we would otherwise expect. EC is tad more encouraging with mid level winds.

None the less early storms and those working into clear air (which will be an issue ) may be decent hailers.

Got Friday off so all batteries will go on charge in prep.
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#1441135 - 14/11/2017 11:18 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Quick model update:

EC back with decent falls for most of NSW except Metro & Hunter



ACCESS R



WxZone's own model pretty bullish for southern highlands



CMC similar to EC



GFS pulling it back inland:



ACCESS G not too bad for most areas


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#1441138 - 14/11/2017 11:28 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
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Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Will be an interesting setup whatever does occur, I'm just going to wait until there's greater certainty in the models.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441205 - 15/11/2017 10:15 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
EC looking better overnight, going for up to 50mm for the Illawarra/Sholhaven for the next 3 days and up to 75mm for the event.



Access G looks amazing


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#1441208 - 15/11/2017 10:21 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Even GFS looks ok, pretty stormy looking at the chicken pox rainfall prog


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#1441220 - 15/11/2017 12:55 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Moisture looking great - DP's steady at 16; nice and warm. Trough sure is sucking in those easterlies.

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#1441224 - 15/11/2017 13:18 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
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Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: WxZone
Stormy end to the week in eastern Australia
Ben Domensino, Wednesday November 15, 2017 - 12:50 EDT
A prolonged spell of stormy weather will affect Australia's eastern states during the second half of this week.

A slow moving low pressure trough that has produced daily showers and storms in western and central Australia during the past week will start to move across eastern Australia from today.

The eastward-moving trough will interact with a feed of tropical moisture and an upper level low pressure system to generate widespread showers and thunderstorms in parts of Queensland, NSW, the ACT, Victoria and SA between now and Sunday.

On Wednesday, most of the showers and storms will occur near the trough in western parts of Queensland, NSW and Victoria and eastern districts of SA.

The heaviest falls are likely to occur near the upper low in western Victoria during the afternoon and overnight. The impending deluge has prompted a severe weather warning for flash flooding in Victoria's Mallee, Wimmera and South West Districts.

During Thursday and Friday, the near-stationary upper low will continue to produce rain in western Victoria as the slow-moving trough causes showers and storms to spread across NSW, the ACT and Queensland.

There is potential for parts of western Victoria to amass more than 100mm of rain by Friday night, although most of this will fall by Thursday evening.

On the weekend, the upper low will move towards the northeast, causing showers and thunderstorms to continue over a large swathe of NSW and Queensland, while conditions start to ease in Victoria.

Rainfall totals from this system are difficult to predict for Australia's eastern states as they will be heavily dependent on the location and intensity of storms. Many areas in the eastern half of NSW and central/southern Queensland should pick up more than 30mm of rain by Sunday night and some areas could see 50-100mm during this time.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to affect multiple states during the next five days, so be sure to keep up to date with the latest warnings here: http://www.weatherzone.com.au/warnings.jsp


Edited by Kino (15/11/2017 13:18)

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#1441234 - 15/11/2017 14:19 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
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Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
A day before the topic - BUT some good storms underway in the NW of the state. Especially around the Warrumbungle & Kaputar regions.

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#1441301 - 16/11/2017 10:07 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
aussiestormfreak Offline
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Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Looking forward to this event guys, even though it's already well underway here in Victoria lol. Hoping for some great storm action this weekend in Sydney, can't wait for my flight out of Melbourne tomorrow morning!! grin

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#1441302 - 16/11/2017 10:25 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Big slab of ACCA's around this morning - great sign! Action progged to start later tonight, wouldn't surprise me if we had an overnight storm tbh.

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#1441303 - 16/11/2017 10:26 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
GringosRain Offline
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Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
DaveM, looks like rain is getting close to you....?

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#1441310 - 16/11/2017 11:25 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Radar looks great to the NW - hopefully we will see some sparks soon. I think we may see rain well before night.

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#1441312 - 16/11/2017 12:28 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hi GR - just really really light stuff. Still it feels nice smile

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#1441313 - 16/11/2017 12:38 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
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Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Light rain forming to the west of the Southern Highlands in front of the main band that Dave is getting.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441314 - 16/11/2017 12:40 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Afternoon all, been raining steadily here at Cooks Gap on and off all day smile

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#1441315 - 16/11/2017 12:48 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hope it keeps up Max

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#1441321 - 16/11/2017 14:03 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Actually up to 2.2mm now and the rain is heavier.

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#1441325 - 16/11/2017 14:45 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: DaveM]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Originally Posted By: DaveM
Actually up to 2.2mm now and the rain is heavier.


We're up to just over 12mm so far for today, and there is some lightning starting to show up on the tracker just to the West of Dubbo. Hopefully that storm activity will also move this way as well smile

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#1441326 - 16/11/2017 15:04 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
12mm - niiiice smile

About 4 here but showers backing right off now. Hopefully a storm later this evening.

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#1441328 - 16/11/2017 15:12 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
You have nearly 6mm now Dave.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441329 - 16/11/2017 15:25 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yep WR but stopped now. nothing more forseeable unless we get a storm.

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#1441331 - 16/11/2017 15:44 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
The rain has stopped here for now and the sun is out. Nice line of storms visible just to the West, so hopefully this heating helps. BoM is saying we're an even higher chance of rain tomorrow. Still at 12mm and holding, but hopefully plenty more to come smile

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#1441333 - 16/11/2017 16:08 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Good stuff Max.
It's about time you started pulling your weight and getting some wet stuff!! smile
Some very light stuff has started falling here now, with some moderate stuff following up soon I hope.

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#1441335 - 16/11/2017 16:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
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Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Rainfall totals for Sydney upgraded just a little for tomorrow. That's a good sign.

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#1441337 - 16/11/2017 16:35 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Shoulda left for the highlands earlier, now I will have to drive up the pass in the rain which means I have to drive slower. frown

But the benefit of the rain in general greatly outweighs this inconvenience.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441339 - 16/11/2017 16:52 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Spitting here now, hopefully fattens up later.

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#1441340 - 16/11/2017 16:56 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Shoulda left for the highlands earlier, now I will have to drive up the pass in the rain which means I have to drive slower. frown

But the benefit of the rain in general greatly outweighs this inconvenience.


Couldn't agree more.
Rain for anyone is a good thing at this stage. Pity you're up for a drive in the rain. Can actually be enjoyable if you drive carefully.
Rain a bit steadier here now.

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#1441342 - 16/11/2017 17:16 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 554
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Well so far it has been a light sprinkle at best for today, and the radar is showing the rain clouds breaking up for now. Fingers crossed for tomorrow.

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#1441343 - 16/11/2017 17:20 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
A deluge here and thunder no hail as yet
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#1441346 - 16/11/2017 17:51 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Great looking storm just to my West here now, wish I knew how to get a photo off my phone onto here! The thunder sounds like bombs going off poke

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#1441349 - 16/11/2017 18:29 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Just measured 22 mms in half an hour about 5pm,it dropped heavy for a while,no wind,a few booms of thunder now and again.
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441353 - 16/11/2017 19:03 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Homer]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Shoulda left for the highlands earlier, now I will have to drive up the pass in the rain which means I have to drive slower. frown

But the benefit of the rain in general greatly outweighs this inconvenience.


Couldn't agree more.
Rain for anyone is a good thing at this stage. Pity you're up for a drive in the rain. Can actually be enjoyable if you drive carefully.
Rain a bit steadier here now.


I don't mind driving the rain (which was light anyway) but I can't corner as fast on Mac Pass as I can in dry. But I was stuck behind a truck most of the way anyway so doesn't matter.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441355 - 16/11/2017 19:54 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
52 MMS at Cessnock airport it must have pounded down there,
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441358 - 16/11/2017 20:28 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
GR,Anything over at Quorrobolong.mate
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441360 - 16/11/2017 20:41 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Geez, some good totals up there Stormy.
Hopefully, it runs off into the right places.

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#1441361 - 16/11/2017 20:52 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Yes heavy rain in a slow moving storm from west,Homer,it kept back building to the NW then moved over us.


Edited by Stormy3 (16/11/2017 20:53)
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441363 - 16/11/2017 21:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Ant B Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 26
Loc: East Maitland, NSW, Australia
3mm in East Maitland. Amazing little cell must have smashed Cessnock!Whats going on over there?. Roofs and trees down the other week in Kurri!
Need more rain NW. Very Dry. Wybong, Goulburn and Merriwa rivers almost stopped.
_________________________
Ant B

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#1441371 - 16/11/2017 22:20 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
yes we had 24mm here, very nice. 40mm a bit further west along the range. Wasnt expecting much today so that is an excellent start. Really hoping a very slow moving convergence area can setup like this again tomorrow. Need a 75mm+ event across the whole area like cessnock airport today to really put a fresh down the creeks and into the dams. Little bits are nice but is doing nothing so far for the storages. Its lovely and fresh though so grateful for our little turn today.... Frogs alive!

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#1441372 - 16/11/2017 22:22 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Need more rain NW. Very Dry. Wybong, Goulburn and Merriwa rivers almost stopped.Yes that is the trouble, these storms are hit and miss,we need wide spread rain.
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441392 - 16/11/2017 23:47 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8465
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Parkes getting smashed by a slow moving complex, which is forecast to progress east. This is usually how droughts break, isolated storms at first followed by widespread rain. Bits and pieces every day will add up anyway, the troughs are here to stay for a while and the models look wet.

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#1441399 - 17/11/2017 00:32 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Long Road Home,Good I love this humid thundery weather.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441404 - 17/11/2017 06:23 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Duane Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 25/11/2005
Posts: 1409
Loc: Lake Albert, Wagga Wagga, NSW.
Been a bit of a dud here. Nothing to report.
Duane

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#1441407 - 17/11/2017 08:10 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Jimi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/03/2004
Posts: 885
Loc: Cammeray
A bit more sun than I was expecting. Hopefully it can enhance whatever is to come. Hopefully it has cleared by the time the cricket starts tonight.

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#1441409 - 17/11/2017 08:39 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
It was sunny early but soon closed in. The NE'er is barrelling away, having done so all night. We got a bit of light rain late yesterday afternoon - nowhere in Sydney has had more than a millimeter so far.

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#1441411 - 17/11/2017 09:15 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
22/17 here - hopefully should allow something to happen.

Massive tornado reported near Wagga yesterday - amazing pics.

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#1441412 - 17/11/2017 09:19 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
We had a big storm that came here about 3 am it was an absolute cracker!!

Lot's of big bangs and solid precip. About 12mm in the storm. The storm was quite large in area and rained over us for a good hour or 2.

Not surprised we got it - was so very sticky at tennis with a lot of people sweating madly.

Still sticky today - hoping we all get to see some rain/storm action today.

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#1441419 - 17/11/2017 11:01 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Sydney radar is starting to look interesting.

Just getting a shower now from a small cell that popped up nearby. Mostly blue sky around except directly overhead.

The cell near Oberon looks lightning-active. Hopefully there will be more development, and closer to home, as the day wears on.


Edited by Steve777 (17/11/2017 11:02)

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#1441424 - 17/11/2017 11:26 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Quick heavy shower here now - and looking black as towards the west. Radar shows storms building - hoping this muck doesn't kill them off.

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#1441425 - 17/11/2017 11:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
The sky in Bathurst looks very bubbly atm!!

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#1441438 - 17/11/2017 12:08 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...


Edited by Stormy3 (17/11/2017 12:09)
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441440 - 17/11/2017 12:09 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes Homer it quite that. smile

MSI is way up today. Long time posters in here know what that is grin

Showers forming immediately to my eastish at the moment - VERY close to here but developing and moving eastwards. I see showers very near me but not actually here.

Might work a tiny bit more westy later I hope.

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#1441441 - 17/11/2017 12:10 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 554
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
The big question about the developing storms is will they make it over the ranges, and down into the Sydney Basin today?

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#1441443 - 17/11/2017 12:16 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Rainbow Spirit]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Rainbow Spirit
The big question about the developing storms is will they make it over the ranges, and down into the Sydney Basin today?


Well a heavy shower just popped up west of Homebush so I guess it's possible that storms might form anywhere today.

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#1441447 - 17/11/2017 13:04 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Homer]
Jon77 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/04/2012
Posts: 447
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Rainbow Spirit
The big question about the developing storms is will they make it over the ranges, and down into the Sydney Basin today?


Well a heavy shower just popped up west of Homebush so I guess it's possible that storms might form anywhere today.


I just watched that drift past in the distance on my lunch break. No shortage of convective looking clouds around out there, feels like we should get something, we shall see.

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#1441449 - 17/11/2017 13:08 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Jon77]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Jon77
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Rainbow Spirit
The big question about the developing storms is will they make it over the ranges, and down into the Sydney Basin today?


Well a heavy shower just popped up west of Homebush so I guess it's possible that storms might form anywhere today.


I just watched that drift past in the distance on my lunch break. No shortage of convective looking clouds around out there, feels like we should get something, we shall see.


At least we don't have to worry about rain at the game tomorrow night now! frown

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#1441450 - 17/11/2017 13:10 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
I can tell you - this cluster of storms off the coast are MASSIVE!


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#1441451 - 17/11/2017 13:13 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 390
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Just noticed that cell off the coast of kiama is still there. Saw it this morning at about 9am. Looks like it barely moved.

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#1441454 - 17/11/2017 13:24 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 554
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
A storm chase into the Blue Mountains looks the go today, but it won't be me, unfortunately.

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#1441455 - 17/11/2017 13:34 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Yes there is some rippers out there,they are moving down from the NW but there is some moving all directions.very humid here I am watching the storm on Putty,if it back builds a little further north I might be in line.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441457 - 17/11/2017 13:42 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
We had another 16mm here fom a storm just after 1am this morning

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#1441462 - 17/11/2017 14:06 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 390
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
So when will the storms start forming in the metro? Showers seem to pop up then ease and dissipate immediately.

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#1441463 - 17/11/2017 14:13 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Green Cape has had almost 100 mm's since 6 am!!

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#1441466 - 17/11/2017 14:52 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
that might be why it is called Green Cape,the grass would be green there at the moment.
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441468 - 17/11/2017 15:13 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
slotmachine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/11/2007
Posts: 206
Loc: Newcastle
Noreaster looks to be killing action as it nears the coast.

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#1441469 - 17/11/2017 15:14 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: slotmachine]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: slotmachine
Noreaster looks to be killing action as it nears the coast.


Yep.

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#1441470 - 17/11/2017 15:17 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
shear is struggling to push them through. Instability is there. Could be some good turning in some of those storms....

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#1441471 - 17/11/2017 15:23 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 554
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Knowing our luck here, we won't see a drop of rain today. We sit on the letter w in the word Bankstown on the Terry Hills 128km radar scan. One could assume we have a hidden laser beam here that zaps any rain clouds headed our way.

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#1441472 - 17/11/2017 15:24 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8465
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Anyone around Kiama looking east? Might see a waterspout in that beast, and it's slowly moving ashore too

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#1441473 - 17/11/2017 15:33 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Long Road Home]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
Anyone around Kiama looking east? Might see a waterspout in that beast, and it's slowly moving ashore too


That storm has been there all day basically. There must have been some incredible rainfall totals under that, considering what Green Cape has recorded.

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#1441475 - 17/11/2017 15:49 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Those persistent strong NE'ers mean that beachgoers will be in for a chilly surprise if they go in the water: MHL Sea temps

Didn't see it drop below the current level of 17.0 during Winter.


Edited by Steve777 (17/11/2017 15:49)

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#1441476 - 17/11/2017 15:50 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Ugh - everything going around us here - can hear thunder and it's black to the west but NADDA here frown

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#1441478 - 17/11/2017 16:01 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Jaeger Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/02/2011
Posts: 82
Loc: Canberra/Brisbane
Sideways rain then a solid dump of small hail at Woden, ACT from that black-cored cell. Lots of shredded leaves, bark and small branches on the road, and drifts of hail on the grass verge of the road afterwards.


Edited by Jaeger (17/11/2017 16:02)

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#1441480 - 17/11/2017 16:14 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
A storm has popped up in the Sydney basin near Windsor.

Nothing much here. It's a rather unpleasant, overcast, windy day and actually feels a bit chilly in the wind.

Storms that do form don't seem to be moving much. To get a storm, I think you need to have one pop up nearby.

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#1441481 - 17/11/2017 16:18 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Steve777]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Steve777
A storm has popped up in the Sydney basin near Windsor.



Yeh. And it died in the amount of time it took you to type that post.

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#1441484 - 17/11/2017 16:23 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
A severe thunderstorm warning was issued at 3:20PM which takes in a large swathe of NSW including most of the Tablelands and slopes and the Western parts of the Hunter, Metro and Illawarra, for LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WINDS.

A detailed warning has been issued for the area between Oberon and Taralga and the Taralga district (north of Goulburn).


Edited by Steve777 (17/11/2017 16:32)
Edit Reason: Typo

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#1441487 - 17/11/2017 16:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8465
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
The N inland of the state is firing away, sat pic very explosive amazing to watch on loop.

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#1441488 - 17/11/2017 16:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
You would think the coast for Hunter and Met will be no chop.....but yesterday a storm just brewed up here when it seemed fairly unlikely.

Sense that I should write the arvo off up here, but we may just get a surprise.....

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#1441491 - 17/11/2017 16:34 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
The low retrograding and staying put is killing our chances on the coast - we're getting the wafty leftovers. Hopefully that will change overnight.

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#1441492 - 17/11/2017 16:56 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4440
Loc: Brisbane
Could be some flash flooding if that heavy rainfall offshore on the South Coast moves inland. It looks like its already dropped in excess of 200mm just offshore.
_________________________
This post and any other post by Locke is NOT an official forecast & should not be used as such. It's just my opinion & may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, refer to Australian Bureau of Meteorology products.

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#1441493 - 17/11/2017 17:52 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Crimson_Tide_ Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/06/2007
Posts: 493
Loc: Northern Sydney storm shield (...
Sydney Storm Shield in full force today, everything looks so promising until it hits the Basin.

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#1441495 - 17/11/2017 17:54 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Steady fat drops here but not much else. Hopefully that area of convergence off the coast drifts over us tonight.

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#1441496 - 17/11/2017 17:57 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Locke]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Locke
Could be some flash flooding if that heavy rainfall offshore on the South Coast moves inland. It looks like its already dropped in excess of 200mm just offshore.


nice pick up!

It is drifting slowly west - may even hit us. LFC is lowering suggesting something driving lift.

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#1441497 - 17/11/2017 18:02 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
There were some nice storms in the Highlands today, accompanied with torrential rain and tiny hail at one point.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441498 - 17/11/2017 18:07 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
There were some nice storms in the Highlands today, accompanied with torrential rain and tiny hail at one point.


Did you see the Blue Mountains hail pics? Huge suff.

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#1441501 - 17/11/2017 18:18 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Nah I didn't, can you send a link?
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441502 - 17/11/2017 18:23 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Huge core of red just exploded over coast to south and moving w/n/nw. We may see some substantial falls shortly or nothing lol.

THUNDER! Fresh cell developing.


Edited by Kino (17/11/2017 18:23)

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#1441504 - 17/11/2017 18:29 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Nothing here still, but it's torrential at Shellharbour and Oak Flats. Hope it smashes the Airport gauge.

DANG nice bright flash then and deep thunder. C'monnnnnn.

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#1441506 - 17/11/2017 18:42 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
The beast down off Kiama is coming on shore there will be a huge rainfall in it.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1441508 - 17/11/2017 18:42 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Evening all, just thought I'd let you know that we're currently having a pearler of a hailstorm here at the farm. Not big hail, but lots of it. Once I can get outside I'll get some figures out of the rain gauge for you smile

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#1441510 - 17/11/2017 18:57 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Max744]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Originally Posted By: Max744
Evening all, just thought I'd let you know that we're currently having a pearler of a hailstorm here at the farm. Not big hail, but lots of it. Once I can get outside I'll get some figures out of the rain gauge for you smile


Maybe share some photos too? grin
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441512 - 17/11/2017 19:28 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
There are going to be some massive falls along the escarpment tonight if this continues....been red over there for almost an hour.

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#1441513 - 17/11/2017 19:37 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Really firing up across the Illawarra now grin plenty of thunder and lightning and RED radar.

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#1441514 - 17/11/2017 19:38 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Max744
Evening all, just thought I'd let you know that we're currently having a pearler of a hailstorm here at the farm. Not big hail, but lots of it. Once I can get outside I'll get some figures out of the rain gauge for you smile


Maybe share some photos too? grin



Mate, you're gonna have to teach me how to do that poke

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#1441515 - 17/11/2017 19:38 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Wow it's smashing down back at home! Think I can safely put another storm on the signature.

Hey Max you have to put it onto a photo hosting website like Flickr for example.


Edited by Wave Rider (17/11/2017 19:41)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441516 - 17/11/2017 19:40 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Wow it's smashing down back at home!

Hey Max you have to put it onto a photo hosting website like Flickr for example.


Still doing pretty well here too

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#1441517 - 17/11/2017 19:41 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Awesome! Only 5mm on my part of the highlands that I am at now.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441518 - 17/11/2017 19:43 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Yeh, some really interesting development over the Illawarra now!
So jealous.

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#1441521 - 17/11/2017 19:52 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
31mm in one hour at Kiama.

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#1441523 - 17/11/2017 19:59 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698


Edited by Wave Rider (17/11/2017 20:05)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441524 - 17/11/2017 20:10 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 390
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Princess motorway would be insane to drive on right now near the Wollongong area based on that radar!

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#1441525 - 17/11/2017 20:18 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
I really wish I went down there this arvo.

I can see the lightning from up here!


Edited by Wave Rider (17/11/2017 20:23)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441526 - 17/11/2017 20:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Been storming now for over 2 hours - will be some massive falls around, hopefully no landslides.

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#1441533 - 17/11/2017 21:45 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Originally Posted By: Kino
Been storming now for over 2 hours - will be some massive falls around, hopefully no landslides.


Been going constantly here at the farm for nearly 4 hours!!!! Be interesting to see the totals in the morning.

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#1441542 - 17/11/2017 23:24 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Hey g'day guys! Reporting from Parramatta, having arrived safely in Sydney from Melbourne. And I was able to get in amongst the storm action that's been impacting Victoria and NSW/ACT. Here's my story; associated BOM observations will come soon. smile

I left my home in Belgrave in Melbourne's Dandenong Ranges at about 6:45am, and reached Melbourne Airport - via train to the City and then the Skybus from Southern Cross - just before 9am.

The flight to Sydney departed at about 11am and arrived just before 12:30pm. Following lunch at Kingsford-Smith I then proceeded by train to Circular Quay and then by ferry to Parramatta. I finally reached my accommodation at about 4:45pm, roughly 10 hours after leaving home. smile

Weatherwise it wasn't my best storm day, but it was my BEST day in terms of watching and photographing storms from the air!! And it was my best storm day to date here in Sydney! =D

Temperatures in both Melbourne and Sydney ranged from the mid/high teens in the morning to the mid/high twenties in the afternoon, with humidity to boot; the muggy conditions were offset by cool breezes. Based on current BOM observations it ranged from 16.4C to 26.5C in Melbourne, and from 19.1C to 23.5C in Sydney.

Apart from misty fog in Belgrave, it was a mostly sunny morning in Melbourne. But with such high humidity and with the atmosphere highly unstable, showers and thunderstorms began developing to Melbourne's north during the journey to Tullamarine!

Convection increased dramatically while I waited at Melbourne Airport for my flight. It got very dark towards Wallan as a thunderstorm approached after 10:30am; I didn't see any lightning, but it was detected on this cell on the Weatherzone tracker.

The cell weakened at about 11am, dropping only light spitting rain (while I waited on the tarmac for the plane to leave), but another thunderstorm suddenly erupted around the same time. Thankfully this new storm cell didn't break lose over the Melbourne metropolitan area until it was well south of the airport.

Once the plane finally took off, the fun really began! Firstly we dodged an intense storm over Yan Yean (very heavy rain and possible hail cascading from the cell's belly, with a bit of a gutter and a possible microburst associated with it).

As soon as the plane made it around the northern side of this storm and over the Great Dividing Range, I was treated to an incredible demonstration of nature's power! The view from the plane window during the remainder of the flight showed extensive cloudcover with dozens of cumulus congestus and enormous cumulonimbus towers; the biggest and most violent thunderstorms punched high into the stratosphere!! I even got to literally see some storms forming before my very eyes, within minutes!

The flight was diverted somewhat due to all this convective activity, and because of all the cloudcover I had little visual reference of where I was; I couldn't even see Corryong or Canberra! crazy

The most visually spectacular thunderstorm I saw during the flight was of course the very same storm cell that has raging almost non-stop for many hours just offshore in the Tasman Sea/South Pacific Ocean from Wollongong and Kiama. I first sighted the storm between about Tumut and Canberra (at about 11:45am), and from afar it was MASSIVE and INTENSE!!! I even got to see the base of this stubborn beast during the final approach into Sydney Airport after flying over the northern Illawarra region, and I was wondering to myself if there were any waterspouts churning underneath it! wink

The flight was mostly smooth, although the plane flew into thick cumulus cloud between Campbelltown and the Royal National Park, making the decent into Sydney bumpy for a couple of minutes.

Once I finally made it into Sydney, the weather was mostly sunny for a couple of hours. But by the time I boarded the ferry from Circular Quay to Parramatta at 2pm, it turned cloudy and got dark to the west as severe thunderstorms approached Sydney and the Blue Mountains from the Central Tablelands.

These storms dissipated well before reaching Sydney unfortunately. Plenty of storms kept forming or at least trying to form to the west, northwest and southwest throughout the afternoon and into the evening, but very few of these cells survived long enough to make it even into Western Sydney sadly, so yes it seems the Sydney Storm Shield was online.

So I was left with a humid, breezy, mostly cloudy afternoon and evening with only one or two spots of rain. No beautiful sunset this evening btw. frown

But at least my journey on the Parramatta River Ferry was still enjoyable, all the more by the sight of the powerful storm that was and STILL IS holding together and refusing to die near Wollongong to the south! And I even got to see a few lightning flashes after 9pm as the storm finally moved into the Illawarra. smile

Currently around 21C here in Parramatta, and 20C in the City. Happy to be back in Sydney for the sixth time. smile

Lots of pics to come in coming days via Instagram. wink


Edited by aussiestormfreak (17/11/2017 23:26)

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#1441547 - 18/11/2017 06:00 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
61mm of rain at home since 9am with Dombarton Loop getting 116mm, they are some big totals!
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441552 - 18/11/2017 07:23 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Some pretty impressive totals there in the Illawarra. Some big totals in the NW slopes & plains also, e.g. Narrabri and Gunnedah 60 & 59.

Sydney missed out. There seems to have been no rain overnight, with totals from yesterday afternoon all a millimetre or less. If a cell didn't develop over your head or at least nearby, you missed out.

There's a chain of showers marching just off the coast from the NE, coming ashore near Port Kembla.

------

Mostly cloudy (mid to high level) with patches of blue sky and some sunny breaks. Windy and about 20-21.


Edited by Steve777 (18/11/2017 07:24)

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#1441556 - 18/11/2017 08:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Asf excellent report. smile also max, kino n Reilly good to read smile
Sadly here bugger all last night storms I was hoping for from NW yesterday just fizzed. We did get some thunder n lighting from about 8pm but only light rain from about 9 or 10.

This morning though we are under that huge cloud band running down the GDR and for about an hour now its been just the loveliest rain. Just RAIN nice!!

Steve those nws&p numbers are good too smile

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#1441557 - 18/11/2017 08:27 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW

Morning folks, just letting you know we've had no power since 10 o'clock last night and it's still out. The transformer across the road took a hit, and of course the power company, that charges extortionate rates, refuses point blank to despatch a repair crew, as usual. But that's a rant for the local members. Once I get a chance I'll check the gauges and get some rainfall figues happening.

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#1441558 - 18/11/2017 08:46 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Likely to break the 100mm at home before 9am! Flogging down!


Edited by Kino (18/11/2017 08:49)

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#1441559 - 18/11/2017 09:06 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 554
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Originally Posted By: Kino
Likely to break the 100mm at home before 9am! Flogging down!

A tale of two cities, Wollongong has been right in the path of that rain train for ages, meanwhile 'back at the ranch' ie Sydney, we have had next to nothing, grrr.

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#1441561 - 18/11/2017 09:13 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
So here at the farm 55mm overnight. Down at the mates place on Cope Road about 10km away they had 100mm. It's been patchy here, but widespread falls above 25mm. Very useful indeed!

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#1441562 - 18/11/2017 09:22 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
One difference from yesterday: the shower cells are moving, both in the coastal band and the one over the Tablelands and slopes, roughly NNE to SSW. This means the rain will be shared around a bit more.


Edited by Steve777 (18/11/2017 09:22)

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#1441566 - 18/11/2017 09:41 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Perfect Storm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/10/2005
Posts: 939
Loc: Carramar, Sydney, NSW
BoM have downgraded the forecast to a shower or two.

Combined total of 54.2 mm for the month of October and so far in November since the dry spell ended last month for the Bankstown AWS from small accumulations.

Highest daily fall so far since October was 13 mm on the 21st October. Total so far for 2017 is 595.0 mm. Average rainfall to November is 814.9mm.

Definitely room for improvement in this area.


Edited by Perfect Storm (18/11/2017 09:44)
_________________________
If life was a synoptic map it would probably be full of highs and lows.

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#1441578 - 18/11/2017 11:09 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
We got our whole monthly rainfall in just over 12 hours. Now above averagw for the first time in 6 months!

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#1441590 - 18/11/2017 12:55 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
One fall of rain - and we're now above average for Nov and also for the year. Very La Nina'ish despite the fact that the BoM haven't ticked it off as yet.

Bellambi and Kiama not quite there as yet.


Edited by Kino (18/11/2017 12:56)

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#1441603 - 18/11/2017 14:36 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Absolutely bucketing down a little while ago in the Kurrajong district. Almost whiteout conditions for a little while. I'd have pulled over to the side of the road except that there was nowhere going up Bellbird Hill to stop. Thunder and lightning to go with it.

It's eased off and brightened up now. 14 degrees on the car thermometer.


Edited by Steve777 (18/11/2017 14:43)

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#1441604 - 18/11/2017 14:43 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 390
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Just drove thru the bells line of road. Surprised there is still piles of hail 24hrs after the event

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#1441607 - 18/11/2017 15:10 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
This has been an eventful past two days for me.
There's been heavy rain 30 km's to my south east and 20 km's to my west. Falls of over 100 mm's not far south in the Illawarra as well. I have not received one single drop at all. Not one!!

Anyway, I'm really happy for those in the Central West/Tablelands who have had some decent falls, like Dave, Max, and all our Orange and Lithgow friends. Good stuff!!

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#1441610 - 18/11/2017 15:35 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Homer]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Originally Posted By: Homer
I have not received one single drop at all. Not one!!


Well hopefully you make up for it next event. smile

Sure was a drenching down here at home, drains are still audibly flowing with water and the usual floodplains are very much flooded. Also the creek down the road is a raging torrent. All this suggests to me we had more than 100mm in this local area. There's a PWS near me that reported 168mm but I'm slightly suspicious about that.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441614 - 18/11/2017 16:01 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Homer
I have not received one single drop at all. Not one!!


Well hopefully you make up for it next event. smile

Sure was a drenching down here at home, drains are still audibly flowing with water and the usual floodplains are very much flooded. Also the creek down the road is a raging torrent. All this suggests to me we had more than 100mm in this local area. There's a PWS near me that reported 168mm but I'm slightly suspicious about that.

Cheers WR. Swings and roundabouts I suppose.
Disappointed I didn't get anything as I said, but the more pertinent point was how localised the heavy falls have been, and how it can be so hit and miss in events like these.
Not complaining though. I'll get my good times for sure.
Definitely some decent falls down your way!!!
Half ya luck!!

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#1441619 - 18/11/2017 16:37 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Yay! I've just received my first 20 drops of rain.

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#1441621 - 18/11/2017 17:07 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Careful if you're out and about in Sydney tonight. It might get a bit windy:


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#1441628 - 18/11/2017 17:56 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Perfect Storm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/10/2005
Posts: 939
Loc: Carramar, Sydney, NSW
First light shower of the day here. Hopefully get a couple more. Didn't last long just enough to wet the concrete.
_________________________
If life was a synoptic map it would probably be full of highs and lows.

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#1441629 - 18/11/2017 18:14 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
There seems to have been no rain over Sydney.

Here's a view near Kurrajong just before the storm I mentioned earlier hit. There was some rumbling thunder and it was just starting to rain. It was pretty dark for early afternoon. Unfortunatey messy low- and mid-level cloud blocked any view of structure:



Nearby Kurrajong Heights has had 27mm since 9:00 today, most of which probably fell in a short time in that storm.

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#1441632 - 18/11/2017 18:29 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 554
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
It bucketed down here for about a minute 20 minutes ago, Woo Hoo...then nothing. No sign of anymore atm I'm afraid.

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#1441636 - 18/11/2017 19:38 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1582
Loc: Cooks Gap - Kingsgrove NSW
Just looking at the satpic and NSW composite radar again. VERY interesting. I'm wondering if we're in for another round in the early hours of the morning.

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#1441648 - 18/11/2017 23:24 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Cheers DaveM. Great reports all around gang, keep 'em comin'. smile

I spent the whole day up in the Blue Mountains. Or should I say the "Grey Mountains" lol. My story for today... wink

I left my accommodation in Parramatta at about 9am, and boarded the City-Mount Victoria train at 9:45am. From there it was a roughly 2-hour train ride through the urban sprawl of Western Sydney (including Blacktown, Penrith and across the Nepean River to Emu Plains) and over the Blue Mountains to Katoomba and Leura.

After spending roughly 4 hours aboard the Explorer Bus and doing all four attractions at Scenic World (Rainforest Walkway, Cableway, Skyway and Railway), I returned to Sydney at 4pm and arrived back at my accommodation in Parramatta at about 6:45pm.

The weather was even worse than yesterday, but that made the day all the more special and exciting! grin

All day long it was a cloudy, gloomy day; the only glimpses of sun and blue sky I caught were earlier this morning and again later this arvo here in the Sydney metropolitan area. Temperatures ranged from about 19-20C this morning to 22-23C this arvo. It was humid, but a fresh easterly/northeasterly breeze made conditions a tad more pleasant.

Up in the Blue Mountains it was totally dark and overcast, and much, much cooler than in Sydney. Temperatures stayed between about 10-16C, so good thing I rugged up! And during much of my time at Katoomba and Leura thick ghostly fog filled the Jamieson Valley, sometimes blowing up onto the higher plateau. crazy

Showers and thunderstorms began developing soon after 10:30am, by which time I was already up on the Blue Mountains plateau and making my way towards Katoomba and Leura.

Shortly after reaching Scenic World at midday the weather began taking a nasty turn. Showers and thunderstorms swept down from the northeast, dropping torrential rain! Despite my best attempts while out bushwalking (particularly down in the lush rainforests of the Jamieson Valley, and near Katoomba Falls) I got wet. but at least I had a wind-cheater and raincoat so wasn't soaked. And the rain wasn't constant, just very heavy with the passing of each shower or storm, but punctuated by drier spells. smile

I did hear one rumble of thunder btw, and that was at about 3pm at Narrow Neck Lookout, just 20 minutes before another heavy thunderstorm moved in. I didn't see any lightning though, just more dark clouds and more heavy rain. The only gusts of wind I witnessed in the Blue Mountains btw were just as this particular storm was about to hit, while I was on the bus at Echo Point. Otherwise it was virtually windless.

I had fantabulous views of the Jamieson Valley in-between rounds of fog and torrential downpours. And because of the recent heavy rainfall, the Katoomba Falls were a gushing torrent. And before anyone asks, yes I got to see the famous Three Sisters, albeit briefly!! grin

This was my third trip up to the Blue Mountains, the other two being in July 2010 and January 2012. Sadly, I am yet to experience a beautiful sunny day in the region. It seems that every time I go there, the weather is poor. Hence the nickname "Grey Mountains" lol but hopefully that will change during future trips to Sydney. smile

As a side note, I am eager to see more of the Blue Mountains. Clearly a day is nowhere near enough time to see what this beautiful region has to offer! Aside from exploring more of Katoomba and Leura, I'd so love to visit other places such as Wentworth Falls, the Megalong Valley, Warragamba Dam and the Grose River Valley. smile

Currently around 19-20C in the City and nearby Homebush. I wonder whether those showers blowing in from the Tasman Sea/South Pacific Ocean will make it far enough inland to give Parramatta a burst of rain this evening? smile


Edited by aussiestormfreak (18/11/2017 23:25)

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#1441664 - 19/11/2017 11:06 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Steve777]
Jon77 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/04/2012
Posts: 447
Originally Posted By: Steve777
There seems to have been no rain over Sydney.

Here's a view near Kurrajong just before the storm I mentioned earlier hit. There was some rumbling thunder and it was just starting to rain. It was pretty dark for early afternoon. Unfortunatey messy low- and mid-level cloud blocked any view of structure:



Nearby Kurrajong Heights has had 27mm since 9:00 today, most of which probably fell in a short time in that storm.


For those of us in Western Sydney (near Parramatta in my case) and not in a position to go too far this weekend this has been a total non event and sitting here looking at the reports from other areas like it is a different country lol

I have not seen even one spot of rain where I live over this event. Low level gloom and clouds for a few days, the sun has finally returned today but at no point has it ever even really looked like spitting here. The bom back tracked and down graded the chance of storms and rain for most of Sydney on a rolling basis.

Storms to the west, south and on the coast...ah well....

Great for all those that got some action. We are actually quite dry here again believe it or not!


Edited by Jon77 (19/11/2017 11:11)

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#1441676 - 19/11/2017 15:00 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Got a heavy shower earlier today as well.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441682 - 19/11/2017 16:41 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Got a heavy shower earlier today as well.


Now you're just rubbing it in!! grin

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#1441683 - 19/11/2017 16:57 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Anyway, there's a few showers entering the basin from the east.
Hopefully, I get a drop from one of those, as I planted all my summer vegetable seedlings this morning (yeh, I know..... a little late).
Even though I watered them in, it would be nice if they actually got a little drink of mother nature's juice.

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#1441684 - 19/11/2017 17:08 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 1934
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
My vegie/herb garden was dry as today. I was anticipating some rain, so kept holding off with the hose. As a result the seedlings were wilting. Gave up waiting today and had the sprinkler on it all afternoon. Geeze those little buggers perk up quickly with a little soaking!

Anyways, finally seeing some persistent thirties appearing at the end of the forecast period for some Sydney locations. About time.

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#1441685 - 19/11/2017 17:25 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Good report ASF.
You should spend a bit more time in the Blue Mountains if you get the chance. Lots of nice walks and drives. One place you can get to by car is Narrow Neck, a few km from Katoomba, a 'peninsula' between the Jameson and Kanimbla valleys, only tens of metres wide in places. You can drive along a dirt road for about 5km then walk for a further 10. Great views on both sides. The drive to Jenolan Caves (esp Jenolan Road) is beautiful. The Caves are about a 78km drive from Katoomba.

---------

This event was a bit of a fizzer in Sydney, but the Tablelands, Illawarra and South Coast did very well. OH got a grand total of 3 mm from the event, typical of the rest of Sydney except the Eastern beaches.

Today was a very pleasant, sunny day. It's still having trouble getting much past 23 on the coast and hasn't reached 25 at OH in nearly a fortnight.

It's clouded over now and it looks like there may be some light showers overnight - just stuff blowing in off the Tasman in the E-SE'er.


Edited by Steve777 (19/11/2017 17:29)
Edit Reason: Tidy up

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#1441687 - 19/11/2017 17:32 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
* I too am also enjoying ASF's reports. I was going to suggest a trip to Jenolan (as Steve just suggested) with a side trip to Oberon (preferably done in winter) if he was ever visiting here then. It would however require the use of a hire car.

** Kizz - yeh, I get like that sometimes throughout summer. I hold off watering if there is rain in the forecast, but in reality, vegies need water every day, whether from the hose or from the sky. Sometimes in the past I have been guilty of neglect by placing too much hope in the BOM.

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#1441690 - 19/11/2017 17:44 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Never been to Narrow Neck but have heard it's really nice.

Yes I liked reading your report ASF, it's a shame that you haven't been to the BM's on a nice day.

I went there a few weeks ago on a partly cloudy 13 degree day. It was beautiful.



Haha Homer I guess it would be inferred that I was rubbing it in... poke

But overall it was a pleasant day.


Edited by Wave Rider (19/11/2017 17:45)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441696 - 19/11/2017 18:07 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Crimson_Tide_ Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/06/2007
Posts: 493
Loc: Northern Sydney storm shield (...
A few Showers here tracking in from the SE, better than nothing I guess.

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#1441699 - 19/11/2017 18:17 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Never been to Narrow Neck but have heard it's really nice.

Yes I liked reading your report ASF, it's a shame that you haven't been to the BM's on a nice day.

I went there a few weeks ago on a partly cloudy 13 degree day. It was beautiful.



Haha Homer I guess it would be inferred that I was rubbing it in... poke

But overall it was a pleasant day.


Lol. Yeh, was joking haha but geez mate!! grin
I just went out and watered the vegies again, and guess what....... there was a bit of drizzle!!!
Funny thing is about the Blue Mountains......unless it is completely fogged in, it always looks spectacular in all types of weather.

**Edit.......Getting quite a heavy shower here now.


Edited by Homer (19/11/2017 18:25)

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#1441703 - 19/11/2017 18:38 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Thick drizzle in Chatswood. Roads and paths are wet, umbrellas out.

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#1441707 - 19/11/2017 18:54 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Homer]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6698
Originally Posted By: Homer

Lol. Yeh, was joking haha but geez mate!! grin


We just got another shower here about 15 mins ago, for about 30 seconds!! Quite interesting clouds down here actually, plenty of blue sky but some big cumulus clouds scattered around giving some localised showers.


Edited by Wave Rider (19/11/2017 18:54)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1441711 - 19/11/2017 19:09 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Homer

Lol. Yeh, was joking haha but geez mate!! grin


We just got another shower here about 15 mins ago, for about 30 seconds!! Quite interesting clouds down here actually, plenty of blue sky but some big cumulus clouds scattered around giving some localised showers.


Was the same here mate all afternoon, but now the sky has got that fully overcast/drizzly look.

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#1441733 - 19/11/2017 23:08 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Evening gang! My report for today from here in Parramatta. smile

Little to report, but unlike yesterday the weather in Sydney today was absolutely beautiful! Except for a couple of nice showers that blew in from the Tasman Sea/South Pacific Ocean at about 7pm, it was a gloriously fine, mild to warm and mostly sunny day! A bit humid, but the easterly/southeasterly winds were very refreshing. smile

There was also a bit of leftover high cloud from the trough which has now weakened over NSW/ACT.

Perfect for spending the day here in Parramatta and later up in Baulkham Hills and Bella Vista.

Temperatures ranged between about 17C and 23C in the City, and between about 16C and 24C here in Parramatta. This evening's showers dumped about 5mm of rain out at Terry Hills btw.

Currently around 19C in the City and at Sydney's Olympic Park.

Thanks Steve, Homer and WR! Yes I want to spend more time in the Blue Mountains, the area reminds me a bit of the Dandenong Ranges area in Melbourne where I come from. I'd love to visit in all four seasons and in a variety of weather conditions (including sunshine, snow, and thunderstorms). Narrow Neck, Jenolan Caves and Oberon have now been added to the list btw! wink

PS great shot of the Three Sisters and Jamieson Valley in sunshine WR. smile

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#1441737 - 20/11/2017 00:05 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
I actually spent some time myself today in Parra checking out the rebuild of the new Parramatta stadium, and then walking to Westfield for lunch.
It was a lovely afternoon.

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#1441747 - 20/11/2017 09:25 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Well it was indeed wonderful to have decent and real rain. Something I've not seen for a long time.

We were stuck under that persistent cloud band travelling down the GDR all Saturday - and it was very good.

Certainly a good 40mm or more in the event. Much of it slow and soaking although there were heavier bursts as well.

Can't see a lot about in the near future but it's still a bit humid even today out here.

Homer - shame you largely missed out. Another drink would have helped Sydney for sure. Coastal suburbs seemed to get a bit yesterday.

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#1441749 - 20/11/2017 09:32 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Kino Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1901
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
All-in-all large part of NSW did very well except Metro and far north coast.

smile

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#1441753 - 20/11/2017 10:28 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Checking it more carefully, the airport had about 55mm for the whole event from Thursday morning.

Really nice, everything had begun drying out badly again - this will help it keep going a few more weeks.

River even had a little brown fresh in it.

North West Slopes & Plains had some ok numbers too - 20 odd mm around Tamworth but 60 odd mm for Gunnedah, NT's some readings around 20mm too.

Even Walgett about 20mm.

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#1441759 - 20/11/2017 12:46 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3091
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Friday I chased all around the place. Most of the day was spent out west of Goulburn in the Gunning area. Small storms were popping on wind convergence in the Crookwell area and drifting south. I did get some small hail and torrential rain, but overall it was a non-photogenic mess of short lived cells.

I was at the same watching on tracker that storm parked off Kiama for several hours. When it started to show signs of backbuilding I bailed on the southern highlands and headed to the coast.

I got to Kiama to torrential rain. As the rain eased there was barrage of 10-15 mins of numerous CG's all within 1km of Kiama Downs area. I even saw one smooth channel near Bombo. I believe the area lost power for 3 hours.

Around the Shell Cover area I recorded a power flash and the street lights went out.

Lawns will take off like anything now.
_________________________
Michael Thompson
http://ozthunder.com

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#1441773 - 20/11/2017 14:29 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes my lawn was going brown again.

All of a sudden I will be mowing.

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#1441779 - 20/11/2017 16:01 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4028
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Much of Sydney has had more rain from showers that have blown in as the wind has shifted to the SE than it did for the 'main event'. OH received 4.4mm since 6:00PM last night. I woke to a brigt sunshine early, but it soon closed in to a dreary, drizzly morning. It cleared in the early afternoon, it's now fine, coolish and partly cloudy.

EDIT: re erlier discussions of the Blue Mountains, here is a picture I took from Narrow Neck several years ago, looking SE. It features Mount Solitary and, in the distance, glimpses of Lake Burragorang:

Mount Solitary by Steve, on Flickr


Edited by Steve777 (20/11/2017 16:07)

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#1441781 - 20/11/2017 16:18 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Nice colours Steve smile

Might have been after precip too - leaves not dull n dusty smile

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#1441875 - 21/11/2017 14:11 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
J Pabo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/10/2012
Posts: 392
Loc: Clydesdale NSW
Here is my report for that event for my place, and it is a very small report indeed. And here it is:

0

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#1441889 - 21/11/2017 15:39 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
That was a humourous comment except it's not - missed out completely is a real shame.

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#1441896 - 21/11/2017 16:47 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: J Pabo]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: J Pabo
Here is my report for that event for my place, and it is a very small report indeed. And here it is:

0


Excellent report Mr Pabo! Thanks for taking the time and effort to let us all know how it panned out in your area.
If I had done a report for the same event, it would have been as equally full of detail and excitement.

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#1441897 - 21/11/2017 16:52 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
From experience I know too well what it's like when all that lovely rain completely sidesteps where you are.

As you too experienced homey it was more hit and miss than first thought. At least the patterns are more conducive the last month or 2 than they were previously.

Hopefully as each "event" occurs we all end up getting soaked smile

At some point down the track I hope everyone is sick of the rain grin

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#1441901 - 21/11/2017 17:09 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: DaveM]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5611
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: DaveM
From experience I know too well what it's like when all that lovely rain completely sidesteps where you are.

As you too experienced homey it was more hit and miss than first thought. At least the patterns are more conducive the last month or 2 than they were previously.

Hopefully as each "event" occurs we all end up getting soaked smile

At some point down the track I hope everyone is sick of the rain grin


Absolutely Dave.
It's just mother nature going through her cycles. (Am I allowed to say that)?
We'll all get rain eventually. Sometimes they are hit and miss and sometimes it's widespread. Luck of the draw. I don't take it too seriously until people's livelihoods come into play.

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#1441924 - 21/11/2017 21:06 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3091
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Very short video of some of the close lightning in Kiama / Shellharbour area. Only one bolt actually on camera, but you will see many flashes and very short flash to bang times. Turn up the volume as camera audio is poor.



Best to watch in full HD on YT site, rather than the embedded video.
_________________________
Michael Thompson
http://ozthunder.com

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#1441981 - 22/11/2017 12:38 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Homer]
J Pabo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/10/2012
Posts: 392
Loc: Clydesdale NSW
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: J Pabo
Here is my report for that event for my place, and it is a very small report indeed. And here it is:

0


Excellent report Mr Pabo! Thanks for taking the time and effort to let us all know how it panned out in your area.
If I had done a report for the same event, it would have been as equally full of detail and excitement.


My mother always said "If you have nothing nice to say, don't say anything at all".

Otherwise, I could have done a Clark Griswald version of what he said about his boss in the National Lampoons Xmas Vacation (still a classic movie to this day).

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#1441989 - 22/11/2017 14:57 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10095
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
And surely guaranteed to be broadcast again on TV in the next few weeks smile

I always remember the cat smile

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#1442332 - 25/11/2017 22:48 Re: Surface Trough/Upper Cold Pool/Low, Thurs 16/11 - 20/11/2017 - Severe storms, showers and rain [Re: Kino]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Hey gang, sadly I'm back home in Melbourne. Here's my report for the last day of my epic weekend Sydney, which was last Monday. frown

I left my accommodation in Parramatta at 10am and caught the bus through Carlingford to Epping. From there I took the train to the City via Macquarie University, Macquarie Park, Chatswood, Artarmon, St Leonards, North Sydney and the Sydney Harbour Bridge, reaching Central Station by about midday.

I then spent my final five hours in Sydney aboard the Explorer Big Buses, firstly doing the Bondi & Bays Tour (including Bondi Beach, Vaucuse and Rose Bay) and then the Sydney Tour (including the City, Pyrmont, Kings Cross, Wolloomooloo, Darling Harbour, the Opera House and the Harbour Bridge). smile

By the time I returned to Central station about 4:30pm it was time to grab my baggage and catch the train the Sydney Airport for my flight home to Melbourne. frown

I reached Kingsford-Smith shortly before 5pm, in time for my flight which was scheduled to depart for Melbourne at about 6:30pm. But because the plane was late in reaching Sydney from Hobart I had to wait about an hour for take-off. poke

The flight back to Melbourne took just under 1.5 hours. After resting a bit at Tullamarine, I then took the Skybus to Southern Cross and then the train to Belgrave. I reached home at about 11:30pm.

Weatherwise it was a mixed bag. A coolish, overcast, damp and rainy start to the day in Sydney, with the rain ruining any initial plans I had of taking the Parramatta River ferry from Meadowbank to Circular Quay (after getting on the relevant train at Epping if this scenario were to happen lol). But at least that decision saved time and kept me dry.

Thankfully the weather started improving while I was on the Explorer Big Bus heading for Bondi, and by the time I reached there the Sun finally came out! Apart from one last straggling spitting shower that blew ashore from the Tasman Sea/South Pacific Ocean while at Bondi, the rest of the afternoon was gloriously fine, mild to warm and mostly sunny, albeit humid but with a refreshing easterly/southeasterly breeze. Perfect for enjoying what Sydney has to offer! grin

The delayed flight home to Melbourne worked well to my advantage in terms of weather, much like my flight to Sydney in June 2015 when it was delayed long enough for me to catch a magnificent sunset over Parramatta River, Western Sydney and the Blue Mountains during the final decent into Sydney Airport! This time around the flight was delayed long enough for me to witness a beautiful sunset the whole way back to Melbourne!! grin

Extensive low cloud hugged the Wollongong region of the Illawarra and up onto the Southern Highlands, with cumulus scattered offshore. Skies were mostly clear over the Southern Tablelands and Murrumbidgee River Valley south of Canberra, as well as over the Snowy Mountains, down to the South Coast and across the Murray River near Corryong into Northeast Victoria;. The only exception was for some high cloud tinged pink and orange by the setting sun over the Lake Eucumbene and Lake Jindabyne region. The plane left NSW/ACT at about 8:10pm, whereas I flew into NSW/ACT last Friday week at about 11:10am

Plenty of bubbly cumulus congestus cloud scattered along the Victorian High Country, with one lone massive cumulonimbus thunderstorm cloud over Mount Buller near Mansfield! The storm was towering up to a good 35-40,000 feet, with the false-cirrus anvil drifting off towards the northwest; the plane actually flew straight into this cloud during its decent into Melbourne, but with only very slight turbulence. No lightning was visible from the main storm tower though, even though it was getting very dark by this time. Still, what a treat! I had never flown this close to a thunderstorm before!! grin

The flight concluded with high cloud to the west of Melbourne splashed with fire as the Sun disappeared. By the time I disembarked from the plane at Melbourne Airport, the twilight was vanishing and darkness was closing in rapidly.

It was actually hotter and noticeably more humid in Melbourne than in Sydney, but at least I had a good nights sleep by the time I finally reached home. smile

As stated earlier this was my sixth trip to Sydney, and its also one of the few times Ive travelled two or more times to the same Australian capital city away from Melbourne within 12 months haha! grin

I have to admit I love NSW/ACT almost as much as Victoria, and I love Sydney almost as much as Melbourne. The more I explore whenever I'm in NSW/ACT the more I want to keep exploring. smile

Full BOM stats from my trip to come in the next couple of days, but otherwise that sums up my latest adventure in NSW/ACT. Looking forward to my next trip north across the Murray River. Cheers guys! wink

PS Great shot from the Blue Mountains Steve! smile


Edited by aussiestormfreak (25/11/2017 22:55)

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