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#1441260 - 15/11/2017 18:17 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 681
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Another hellish day , played golf @ Richmond and 9 holes was all we could take . A good down poor around Rosny area on the way home . Can't seeing the rain totals adding to much and also have very grave doubts on how tomorrow is going to anywhere near 16c.
Well the phenomenal heat just continues to roll out now to Thursday next week. Looks like yet another record month with everyday being 25 c at least with a few near 30's thrown in.
By crikey if that happens and it doesn't make headlines i'll be stuffed why not ?

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#1441270 - 15/11/2017 21:46 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2068
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Some good thunder today but know lightning.
Only 1mm.
Hoping for good drizzle overnight.

The Soil dryness index has 21 places over 100 or more and up to 155mm.
This is extremely dry for this time of year and dryer than last summer at any point.

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#1441274 - 15/11/2017 22:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1906
Loc: Westbury
Wasn't that convinced we'd get much, the models were all over the place. Having said that, now that the models and the BOM have gone cold on the prospects of rain, I reckon we might pick up some showers/rain as it moves down from the mainland tonight - maybe not a lot in though.

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#1441386 - 16/11/2017 23:07 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2068
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Evening all,
12.8mm Till 9am with a further 8.6mm.
Total of 21.4mm for the event!
Happy with that!
I really feel for the farmers in the Dry East, midlands and South East with a week of hot weather ahead.
Fingers crossed it comes soon.


Edited by Stale fish (16/11/2017 23:08)

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#1441394 - 16/11/2017 23:55 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 681
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Evening all a much cooler day at work but alas Hobart 1 mm since 9:00 am . So much for the 50 - 100 mm LOL , was never going to get more that a drop in bucket.
Have a look at this for the forecast for the Northern Suburb of Moonah ( Hobart ) starting tomorrow 26 , 29 , 29 , 29 , 30 , 30 , 27 ,21 , 24 so far . I don't how much more worse it can get after what we have already been through last month and last week. A forecast that reads like something you would expect for Cairns or Perth this time of year. crazy
Like what the hell is happening ??? for goodness sake , did I not move nearly 4000 km South to escape this sort of climate . I hate Summer and this is the new look Spring makes me wonder what the hell we have ahead for the next 6 months. Medication NOW !! or connect the car hose up frown

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#1441401 - 17/11/2017 01:35 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 357
Loc: Hobart
Maybe they forgot to factor in the seabreese when they did the forecast for Hobart, sure looks out of wack for November. Had a look at the data; longest number of days in a row 25+ for November is 3 ( 10 times, most recently in 2007 ) the forecast doubles the record if its right... highest number of days over 25+ for the full month, 8 in 1945.

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#1441402 - 17/11/2017 06:02 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6438
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Move up to NSW lol, it's much cooler up here. Sydney has been under 25C for nearly 2 weeks and the cool weather is going to continue due to E/NE winds which will swing around to the north for Tassie so consistent hot weather will prevail until this pattern breaks.

Yep- I think this is just an unprecedented stagnant weather pattern so I think records could be smashed. It's like up here, we have had 7 days of NEers and there's a least 8 more to go which is very unusual as well and possibly a record number of consecutive days with NE winds if that kind of data was important.


Edited by Wave Rider (17/11/2017 06:06)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1441410 - 17/11/2017 09:05 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9833
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes it's a bit of a strange and persistent weather pattern we have underway. smile

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#1441415 - 17/11/2017 09:56 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1906
Loc: Westbury
Surprised in some ways its only 3 and 8 - guess that is still pretty warm for this time of year. Current forecast has 6 in a row starting today, I reckon the first couple will be marginal... timing of sea breeze will be everything. My little model suggests it'll top out short of 23.


Edited by Snowies (17/11/2017 10:00)

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#1441418 - 17/11/2017 10:57 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 357
Loc: Hobart
I am going to double check it in case I scanned things too fast..I was up late ( day free today ).

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#1441426 - 17/11/2017 11:36 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3699
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
3 days is indeed the record for a spell entirely in November, although there's been a 4-day one from 30 October - 2 November (1987).

Another one I'm watching is the statewide average maximum (which isn't so vulnerable to seabreezes). At the moment, the forecast for this is for 4 consecutive days over 24; there's no previous instance in November of more than 2.

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#1441428 - 17/11/2017 11:43 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 357
Loc: Hobart
As well as your correction Blair, there have been 13 occasions all up of three days in a row over 25+ in November ( inclusive of the 4 you mention in 1987 )...missed a couple of years out when I was scribbling it down on the paper, doing it the good ol' fashioned way over a coffee..

8 for the full month is all good ( 1945 ).



Edited by yep (17/11/2017 11:46)

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#1441437 - 17/11/2017 12:06 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9833
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hot record ad infinitum is getting a bit tedious.

Not many cool records threatened these days it seems. Sign of the times I guess.

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#1441453 - 17/11/2017 13:17 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3699
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
Up until the end of September, Tasmania had actually had a reasonably cool year by modern standards (only 0.06 degrees above the 1961-1990 average). Very different since then.

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#1441600 - 18/11/2017 14:26 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2068
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Afternoon all,
Sitting in the boat on Bronte Lagoon, reading all the interesting weather facts! I think it will break the record as Hobart has been up to 28.3 degrees all ready up on the forecast 27. Looks warm - hot again in the following 14 days.
We ended up with 12.8mm then 12.6mm so a lovely 25.4mm for the 2 days. With drizzle.
So glad I have a bore to fill my dam!

By the way 1 x 40cm Brown trout on a dun patten! Happy with that



Edited by Stale fish (18/11/2017 14:27)

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#1441649 - 18/11/2017 23:40 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 681
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi and late evening from Tropical Hobart , where it is still 21 degrees with the only capital warmer tonight being Darwin. eek
Another stinker and scorching dry 30 c today , yes looks like at least a 14 day run . Next Saturday forecast 25 c but that will surely change upwards with absolutely no cooling from now till then. There will many Hobartarians that would have never lived through this sort of constant day after day heat , bearing in mind houses down here have no cooling for the whole home and ceiling fans are rare . It's going to be a hellish season for most with only a pedestal fan and no air con.
This is a real game changer territory now , records are falling like lead balloons.


Edited by MOUNTAIN h2o (18/11/2017 23:43)

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#1441658 - 19/11/2017 09:49 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
BrightonBreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/07/2016
Posts: 168
Loc: Brighton, Tas 55m ASL
Morning all,

Hit a top of 29.4C yesterday at home, but seemed to sit around 28C for hours, constant breeze from the NNE kept things steady temp wise. Overnight low of 11.6C.

Would be good up there this weekend SF, nice to be on the water where its a bit cooler! though the suns got some sting in it, good effort with the trout! smile

MH2O, you're not wrong about this heat staying around, took forever to cool down last night with no seabreeze, but whats worse is its not a really dry heat either its got a bit more moisture in it with the nor'easter compared with just a northerly flow.. that being said it isn't as bad as fnq and the territory but it is noticeably more humid! smile

Not a usual thing either having the A/C on 24/7 which it will be for next week or so, best thing was putting in the central ac at home a few years ago when i got into the refrigeration industry, not going to be quiet this week at work with all this warm weather though..

Forecast tops out here at Brighton for the next week are, 30, 30, 31, 32, 26, then finally 23C on Friday, but back to 28C for the weekend! shocked

No rain in the foreseeable future has things looking bleak, paddocks are brown and some gums are starting to even brown now, 13.4mm MTD and 314mm YTD, we got just 3mm with the storms the other day! They looked so good on radar but it was all just evaporating before it hit the ground.. frown


Currently a warm 23.5C with a light WNW breeze.

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#1441666 - 19/11/2017 12:06 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2068
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Hi all,

Yes lovely on the lakes yesterday.

Currently 25.6 degrees and Hobart has made it to 27.1 degrees so now things look good for the record!!!
I did think the sea breeze could stuff up the record but looking good now!

At home it is a game of opening and closing the windows overnight to keep the house cool!
Will be an expert by the end of the week!

Cheers

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#1441677 - 19/11/2017 15:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
BrightonBreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/07/2016
Posts: 168
Loc: Brighton, Tas 55m ASL
Hi all,

The heat continues, currently a hot 31.0C at Brighton, i think that's the max for today as the breeze from the SSE has just blown in with gusts to 36 km/h. smile

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#1441693 - 19/11/2017 18:00 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2068
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
26.4 degrees here today!
Hobart made 27.5 degrees.
Bom have now made it hotter for longer!
M 27 T 29 W 30 and T now 29 then 24,25,24.
That is hot weather!

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