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#1442723 - 29/11/2017 14:41 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: TindraTim]
Alf_ Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 14/11/2017
Posts: 2
Originally Posted By: TindraTim
I smelt something in the air last night that I hadn't in a long time, a real freshness, it was like I could smell the moisture in the air, the compost living. I called my old friend KM who used to be a weather presenter, he suggested to me not to water anything and clean my gutters. He also mentioned scattered storms from tomorrow afternoon/evening were possible which could last 24 hours or more followed by pockets of torrential rain Thursday/Friday/Saturday. After I fell to the floor and had my wife pull me up, I said that is like classic opera through a powerful sound system, music to my ears.

I would be taking his advice, he's pretty good and rarely on the right side of wrong.


Oh boy!

Old Keith Mamtin, Absolutely loved his work back in the day!

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#1444091 - 07/12/2017 09:03 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1646
Loc: Bridgewater
radar has a fair bit of orange on it over the mid north

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#1444191 - 07/12/2017 22:52 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Markus Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/12/2010
Posts: 2186
Loc: Clare, SA
16mm in Clare today...makes it 68.5mm for the week!
_________________________
My Blogging site.

http://markdawsonphoto.wordpress.com/

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#1444585 - 11/12/2017 11:05 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
TindraTim Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 14/11/2017
Posts: 36
Loc: Flagstaff Hill, South Australi...
Hi all,

I've been told to watch Wednesday night and early morning Thursday for dry lightning storms.

And Monday/Tuesday next week for a big Low and cold front from the deep arctic.

Both just a watch *at this stage* and not to be taken with anything less than a pinch of salt :-)

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#1444707 - 13/12/2017 09:46 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17573
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
yes doesnt look bad at all late tonight and into the early hours. Should be some high based activity around - just depends exactly where.

Not convinced about next week though - certainly looks like a couple of hot days though.

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#1444713 - 13/12/2017 10:34 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17573
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
in fact, BOM have just revised forecast for Adelaide to include the Slight (20%) chance of a shower and possible thunder in the late afternoon and evening.

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#1444832 - 14/12/2017 14:18 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
TindraTim Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 14/11/2017
Posts: 36
Loc: Flagstaff Hill, South Australi...
Quoted "Hi all,

I've been told to watch Wednesday night and early morning Thursday for dry lightning storms."

The disappointment continues haha

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#1444963 - 16/12/2017 13:29 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: TindraTim]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7495
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Originally Posted By: TindraTim
And Monday/Tuesday next week for a big Low and cold front from the deep arctic.

I believe it's a question of magnitude [of rainfall].

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#1444988 - 16/12/2017 21:00 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7495
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Somewhere in SA seems likely to experience dewpoints of 18-22 deg C in the next 2-3 days, most probably moving west-to-east.

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#1444993 - 16/12/2017 23:33 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14950
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Monday night the next chance and prob a better chance than the others given this time we have stronger dynamics at play, better shear right through the profile providing huge lift, very intense uplift from the size of the jet through the mids and uppers and the upper trough behind. Often a hot day ends in a thundery change, definitely solid over west atm and later tomorrow sliding below us....monday seems to fire up as dark approaches and increases near us overnight before sunrise tuesday. Not a lot in it but something to be had and to look out for.

TS cool

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#1445618 - 23/12/2017 23:18 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17573
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
heads up.... chance the odd storm about overnight.... decent one over on EP atm around Streaky Bay, and now one just to the city's NW in the gulf..

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#1445726 - 25/12/2017 12:57 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
red earth Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2007
Posts: 372
Loc: Lockleys, Adelaide
Christmas greetings to all the SA Weatherzoners. Hope you all enjoy the break. Stay safe out on the roads and I look forward to sharing more weather events with you in 2018. Cheers.

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#1445818 - 26/12/2017 02:37 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
ThD Ht Offline
Weatherzone ratbag

Registered: 02/03/2002
Posts: 3923
Loc: Reynella, S.A.
hi Barb,
seasons greetings to you...and others, hope you had
a great chrissy, all the best for the future and a
happy, prosperous and safe new year.


regards
TH
_________________________



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#1446032 - 27/12/2017 15:30 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1646
Loc: Bridgewater
looks like BOM got the forecast wrong again.

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#1446336 - 30/12/2017 15:23 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7495
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Well, with 2018 fast approaching, I refuse to dwell on the disappointment - which is not how I see it - of past weather events, and refuse to be dragged down by others feeling disappointment in such...so let whatever comes to SA, including into the new year, come to SA smile .

Enjoy what remains of 2017!


Edited by Seira (30/12/2017 15:24)

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#1446430 - 31/12/2017 00:45 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2083
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
I know it's still at least 6 days out but it appears we will be on the verge of some extreme heat for a couple of days or more with some centres looking down the barrel at temperatures in the high 30's and low to mid 40's late in the first week of January 2018

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#1446648 - 01/01/2018 16:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: rstewart84]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7495
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Originally Posted By: rstewart84
I know it's still at least 6 days out but it appears we will be on the verge of some extreme heat for a couple of days or more with some centres looking down the barrel at temperatures in the high 30's and low to mid 40's late in the first week of January 2018

I believe it's imminent [within 6-8 days]. I think a question to ask would be which areas of the state are going to be most affected, given the winds will most likely be from the interior, in the absence of sufficient surface trough features.

I don't really follow maximum temperature records, but for those who do, with a relatively low dewpoint at the same time, it's capable of raising curiosity shocked .


Edited by Seira (01/01/2018 16:30)

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#1446798 - 02/01/2018 12:45 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17573
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Despite BOM's current forecast of 41C for Adelaide, I'm not totally confident the real extreme heat will make it this far. Certainly in the north it will be ridiculous.
And again temps drop straight back to the mid 20's following.... we just havent seen the usual blocking patterns with a week or so of real hot temps yet this summer.

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#1446810 - 02/01/2018 14:06 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7495
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Given that it's the first legitimate chance of high-end heat in a long time, I think that is enough to think of it as signficant in comparison to what we've experienced in recent weeks, and not just for the Adelaide Area. I'd rather not have high-end [extreme] heat though anyway.

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#1447046 - 03/01/2018 10:22 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: teckert]
Werner K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 509
Loc: Flinders Park, SA
Originally Posted By: teckert
Despite BOM's current forecast of 41C for Adelaide, I'm not totally confident the real extreme heat will make it this far. Certainly in the north it will be ridiculous.
And again temps drop straight back to the mid 20's following.... we just havent seen the usual blocking patterns with a week or so of real hot temps yet this summer.


I'm quite thankful we haven't seen the usual blocking patterns with a week of unbearable heat day & night. But they will probably still come as there are usually 1 or 2 of these events each summer.

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