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#1446124 - 28/12/2017 12:02 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1936
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Not confident that this fairly fast moving front tonight will drop much here (Central Gippsland) unless we get lucky.

Meanwhile some mini showers that are barely enough to wet the concrete paths, cool, calm and cloudy today.
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN 53.4MM FEB 14MM MARCH 18MM APRIL-

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#1446126 - 28/12/2017 12:29 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2473
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Hurray up drop temperatures at night as hard sleep.

Looks very dry for Victoria as Cyclone in WA is hopeless not bring any moist to SE Australia.

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#1446129 - 28/12/2017 12:34 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6880
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
I think I'll side with local BOM forecast for possible storms later today, and into tonight, eastward movers - if Accr is correct:


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#1446133 - 28/12/2017 14:39 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Absolutely feral conditions outside! mad

Very hot night, with a minimum of only 22.2C; even at midnight it was still 28C no thanks to cloudcover and northerly winds. Thank goodness for the air-conditioning, which ensured I had a very comfortable night sleep. smile

Peaked at 36.3C here in Belgrave earlier this afternoon. It's around 31C atm, sweaty and overcast but only with light showers on radar at best. frown

A good soaking downpour or even a decent storm would be much appreciated right now.


Edited by aussiestormfreak (28/12/2017 14:42)

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#1446138 - 28/12/2017 16:31 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
BOM seems to be a little more keen for dangerous weather across the Central/Eastern two-thirds of Victoria tomorrow...

https://twitter.com/BOM_Vic/status/946245864183525376

Latest Melbourne forecast for tomorrow calls for the possibility of severe thunderstorms. smile

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#1446145 - 28/12/2017 17:22 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2473
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like storms in uppers but looks too dry as i believe more Virga is more bad luck...

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#1446149 - 28/12/2017 18:00 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6880
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Despite light rain at times this morning, no direct sunshine, we managed to get to 35C in muggy windless conditions.

It will be an oppressive night tonight here if we dont get a storm.

Nothing exciting looming out over the back fence atm, so better chance that I wont get distracted and burn the chops when I fire the barbasaurus up soon.

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#1446150 - 28/12/2017 18:04 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6298
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Fantastic looking shower just formed to my west and has now passed to my south without a drop here. 29.3 for a high today with DP in the mid teens and not much wind, a little bit of wind from the south as I type out the back of that cell.
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#1446152 - 28/12/2017 18:17 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Getting cooler now... thank goodness! Might need to open the windows soon. Currently around 22C and falling. smile

Still overcast and kinda hazy out there. But I wasn't paying attention to the radar until now; I gave up hope of seeing even a shower. But there's a cluster or showers and thunderstorms heading towards Melbourne from the Ballarat/Daylesford direction! smile

Hope they make it across the Bay into the Dandenongs! Just hoping it's not high-based nonsense with virga. frown

Maybe a sign of what's to come tomorrow? wink


Edited by aussiestormfreak (28/12/2017 18:17)

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#1446156 - 28/12/2017 18:45 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
That storm over Melbourne's northern and western suburbs looks like it's heading straight for us here in the Dandenong Ranges! Hope it strikes us head-on!! =D

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#1446159 - 28/12/2017 19:00 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1235
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Hope u get the cells ASF 👍
Looks like they could be showing signs
Of weakening ?

Be suprised if they make it out to me? Lol

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#1446160 - 28/12/2017 19:00 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1235
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Are they high based and fairly dry or
Plenty of juice ?

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#1446166 - 28/12/2017 19:33 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Too hard to say Doogasnow. The southerly winds that are coming up from Bass Strait have brought an ugly scudfest, so I can't get a visual on any storm structure. Even without it the view to my northwest wasn't great, it was too cloudy and hazy to get a good visual of the approaching storms, even though it did look somewhat dark. The storms are weakening on radar anyway. poke

We did get a few distant rumbles of thunder as the storms approached, but now all we're getting is light/moderate rain. It actually started spitting around 20 minutes before the storms arrived. They should be gone in the next 5-10 minutes or so.

On a somewhat more positive note, it's definitely getting cooler! Currently 19.6C and falling. smile


Edited by aussiestormfreak (28/12/2017 19:35)

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#1446172 - 28/12/2017 20:12 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6880
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Dead calm 27c here. Overcast but non inspiring gloom out to our West.

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#1446182 - 28/12/2017 20:35 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1936
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Nice bit of action over Licola at the mo, headed S/E towards us, just what we need grin

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR683.loop.shtml
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN 53.4MM FEB 14MM MARCH 18MM APRIL-

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#1446184 - 28/12/2017 20:51 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1235
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Hope u get that line of storms samboz!!
Looks impressive on radar!

Thought we were in judging by the radar tonight,
But that nice little band that hit Melb absolutely
Disiniagrated and didn't give a drop!!😨😨
Nothing at all this morning either lol

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#1446189 - 28/12/2017 21:08 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1936
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Really getting into it out there dooga, I was looking at opposing wind on the radar and wondered, guess it has generated some serious energy out that way.

It looks to be passing to the East of Sale/Maffra.

https://www.lightningmaps.org/

Have to be some fires out of this episode, including numerous strikes in Pine Plantations.


Edited by samboz (28/12/2017 21:16)
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN 53.4MM FEB 14MM MARCH 18MM APRIL-

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#1446199 - 28/12/2017 21:41 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1235
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Did u get much out of storm samboz?

U could be right regarding lightning strike
Trouble up in the bush!! Dosent look like
It's dropping a lot of rain, with moornapa
Only getting 3.6mm

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#1446202 - 28/12/2017 21:46 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1936
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Zero in Sale, clean miss which was probably a good thing given the hundreds of CG's whistling about.

Can't remember this much concentrated CG in recent years, pretty unique.

The front is on HOLLANDS LANDING at this stage, multiple strikes there and BENGWORDEN.
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN 53.4MM FEB 14MM MARCH 18MM APRIL-

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#1446228 - 29/12/2017 08:46 Re: Vic - warm and humid ahead of a (thundery?) change 27-30/12/17 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6298
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
0.4mm overnight from some pitter patter rain around midnight and fog. Real unstable looking sky atm, big fun day for parts of the east today
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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