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#1445872 - 26/12/2017 14:44 Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017
desieboy Offline
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Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome

Tropical low 92S got a bit of circulation happeneing although not strong.

Feeding off the monsoonal trough and maintaining good wind shear around circulation .
Main problem in the short term will be how close it tracks towards to the coast.

Then basically how far out to sea it will go and get the energy it will need to be able to intensify into a weak TC before crossing the coast between Sandfire and south of Pt Hedland.

According to models dry air may wrap around from the west and northern edges and reduce further development of the system before it makes landfall.




Edited by Mick10 (27/12/2017 21:30)
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#1445874 - 26/12/2017 14:48 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

BOM warning 8.50am WST.

Details of Tropical Low at 8:00 am AWST:

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 35 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 165 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South 122.5 degrees East, estimated to be 430 kilometres north of Broome and 375 kilometres north northwest of Derby.

Movement: slow moving.


A low is developing off the west Kimberley coast. The low is likely to form into a tropical cyclone later on Wednesday as it moves towards the south southwest.

Hazards:

Gales may occur along the coast from Beagle Bay to Broome as early as Wednesday evening, or more likely on Thursday morning. Gales may extend down the coast during Thursday as the system approaches the east Pilbara coast. Gales are possible at Port Hedland on Thursday night if the system takes a more westerly track.
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#1445882 - 26/12/2017 15:27 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Kino Offline
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Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Cheers Desieboy - if it can ride out the ridge it could get interesting but itís way to weak atm - looks like a mid Cat 2

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#1445886 - 26/12/2017 15:55 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

Its doing a bit of spinning atm mainly being enhanced on the Eastern side though.

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#1445898 - 26/12/2017 17:12 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Popeye Offline
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Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
I reckon BOMs first track map was 130kms out. Which if it follows BOMs overall direction to the SSW will have it hitting just inside Cape Leveque/Cygnet Bay area which then would be down through The Dampier Peninsula and then struggling to get offshore and being named at all. Will Hilda live to see another day/month. Kind of hard to really determine exact location of the LOW though at this early stage but interesting to see what their next update will show. I certainly don't see the rotation originating in the place they did.
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#1445909 - 26/12/2017 18:10 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: Popeye]
Kino Offline
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Originally Posted By: Popeye
I reckon BOMs first track map was 130kms out. Which if it follows BOMs overall direction to the SSW will have it hitting just inside Cape Leveque/Cygnet Bay area which then would be down through The Dampier Peninsula and then struggling to get offshore and being named at all. Will Hilda live to see another day/month. Kind of hard to really determine exact location of the LOW though at this early stage but interesting to see what their next update will show. I certainly don't see the rotation originating in the place they did.


Agree, looks more like a monsoon flow arrival than a true tropical low atm.

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#1445922 - 26/12/2017 19:08 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Popeye Offline
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Latest BOM map has it in what seems to be a better place. Lots of deep convection in the Kimberley region. Now lets see if it can consolidate itself into something worthy of a WA TC.
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#1445933 - 26/12/2017 19:25 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Kino Offline
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Starting to really form a CDO so the LLCC is starting to align with the strongest convection - should really get going overnight Iíd think and we should wake up to. Cat 1 TC.

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#1445982 - 27/12/2017 10:20 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Ningergirl Offline
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Well it is a bit overcast today. The wind has just started to pick up, but nothing to get excited about. I am concerned that if the low travels to the east of us we won't even get much rain out of it. Lets see

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#1446004 - 27/12/2017 12:29 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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Wow this low really does look nice on Broome radar ATM. Seems more doubtful that it will push off the coast even though last few frames seem to show new bands wrapping around off coast around Beagle Bay.... By the way Woolies is still open at this stage but they are not sure when they will close.

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#1446008 - 27/12/2017 12:33 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Yes Sepo some good gust coming through from the East 60km/hr so far but will get stronger .Bands of rain coming from the North East is going to generate a nice drop or two...
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#1446012 - 27/12/2017 12:39 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Bom Warning

Cape Leveque to Wallal on Yellow alert ...includes Broome ofcourse..

Details of Tropical Low at 8:00 am AWST:

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 35 kilometres of 17.0 degrees South 122.6 degrees East, estimated to be 115 kilometres north northeast of Broome and 75 kilometres south southwest of Cape Leveque.

Movement: south southwest at 12 kilometres per hour.


A tropical low north of Broome is expected to move back over water during Wednesday and may develop into a tropical cyclone late on Wednesday or overnight into Thursday. On Thursday night the low is likely to be over land and weakening as it moves inland.

Hazards:

Gales may occur along the coast from Cape Leveque to Bidyadanga during Wednesday if the low develops into a tropical cyclone. Gales may extend down the coast towards De Grey during Thursday as the system approaches the east Pilbara coast.


Heavy rain is expected over parts of the west Kimberley during Wednesday, extending into the east Pilbara on Thursday.


Tides may be higher than expected between Cape Leveque and Broome during Wednesday.
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#1446014 - 27/12/2017 12:48 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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BOM track changed a bit, could be all over by this time tomorrow,after a brief existence as a Cat 1 and crossing just north of Sandfire.

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#1446015 - 27/12/2017 12:49 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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BOM MSLP chart now showing 988hpa! overland? I guess that's why we are on yellow alert - if it gets off the coast it will bomb...

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#1446016 - 27/12/2017 12:52 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Kino Offline
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One of those annoying coast huggers - but they can often deliver better rainfall totals than TC's. Satpic looks impressive though.

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#1446019 - 27/12/2017 13:02 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Popeye Offline
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Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Fun day ahead crew. Enjoy and hope it puts on some good rains and interesting weather.
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#1446022 - 27/12/2017 13:35 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: Kino]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome
Originally Posted By: Kino
One of those annoying coast huggers - but they can often deliver better rainfall totals than TC's. Satpic looks impressive though.

Rather have an annoying coast hugger than a Cat 3 plus at my doorstep Kino .After experiencing a few major TCs it aint much fun when you cop the brunt of it.
Especially the damage that can be sustained.

Nice incoming rain band heading our way in about an hour..
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#1446028 - 27/12/2017 14:39 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: Sepo]
Ningergirl Offline
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Woolies will be open till an early close. My son got called in to start at 3pm. smile

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#1446030 - 27/12/2017 15:16 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Bom Technical info from 10am WST.

REMARKS:
Low centre located using Broome radar. The system centre went over Lombadina
earlier this morning with a marked lull in winds followed by a change in wind
direction. Minimum pressure was around 986hPa. 135.8mm of rainfall was recorded
from 0900 Tuesday to 0809 Wednesday [AWST].

Model guidance is consistent in indicating a south southwest track, but with the
oblique angle of approach to the coastline a small deviation will make a
signficant difference to the amount of time spent over water. SSTs and shear are
favourable and the limiting factor is likely to be time over water.
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#1446031 - 27/12/2017 15:21 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Good old Woolies that's why there the fresh food people.... wink

Just went for a drive to Roebuck Roadhouse pissing down there ..

Had a big wind gust hit on the way back and pushed car to the side of the road.

Raining steady here now.
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#1446037 - 27/12/2017 16:24 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Ningergirl Offline
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Loc: Cable Beach
Couple of trees up rooted, 1 down near Matso's. Town beach sails still on the playground.

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#1446044 - 27/12/2017 16:55 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Ningergirl Offline
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Loc: Cable Beach
Haha, Son happy, they cancelled his shift as they are closing at 3pm now. Rain has all but stopped, a bit windier now. Hope we get some more rain. Fun times. House opened, love not having the air con on.

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#1446045 - 27/12/2017 16:58 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Kino Offline
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Surely time for a Doppler at Broome ffs? Would be some awesome images produced there.

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#1446047 - 27/12/2017 17:18 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Leelee Offline
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Decent rain band about to come through, wind should pick up quite a bit from there. Would like to see the LLC moving farther to the west to get over water and charge it up a bit.

Yep Ningergirl it is awesome, we feel very spoilt for our visit to Broome. Bet your son is happy he gets the day off smile

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#1446049 - 27/12/2017 17:21 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Leelee Offline
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Just looking at the past 6hrs of radar there is a clear turn for the south west though which is promising. Once it gets over water it should crank up quick.

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#1446055 - 27/12/2017 17:47 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

See the circulation and eye clearly on this run.


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#1446056 - 27/12/2017 17:51 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome


Broome port recorded gust of 96km/hr from the South East about an hour ago.

Pressure reading for Broome atm 996.3hPa.
She coming down the coast.
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#1446057 - 27/12/2017 17:53 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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Loc: Broome, WA
Town beach blowing hard. A couple of gusts shook the car.. small stuff down from trees, etc...

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#1446066 - 27/12/2017 18:55 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Technical info 3.30 from Bom

REMARKS:
Low centre located using Broome radar. Dvorak has been done despite the system
being overland but current intensity is based on surface obs. 135.8mm of
rainfall was recorded from 0900 Tuesday to 0809 Wednesday [AWST]. Close by at
Cygnet Bay a total of 292mm was recorded in the 24 hours to 9am Wednesday 27th.

Model guidance is consistent in indicating a south southwest track, swinging
southerly and then southeasterly. If the system maintains recent southerly
motion for the next few hours it will have limited opportunity to develop. SSTs
and shear are favourable and the limiting factor is likely to be time over
water.
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#1446067 - 27/12/2017 18:57 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

Port recorded 102km/hr .

Barometer 994.4hPa in Broome.

Getting a bit wooly out there.
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#1446076 - 27/12/2017 19:42 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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Registered: 19/10/2010
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Loc: Broome, WA
Yeah desie - rocken the car at entrance point...

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#1446083 - 27/12/2017 20:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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A lot of trees / branches down around town in last half hour, 2 huge palms outside Mercure down as well....

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#1446084 - 27/12/2017 20:46 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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Registered: 19/10/2010
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Loc: Broome, WA
988hpa in Broome now as she heads of the coast ...

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#1446087 - 27/12/2017 20:54 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Kino Offline
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Eye on satpic! Bizarre for a mere low!

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#1446091 - 27/12/2017 21:12 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Brett Guy Offline
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Broom obs recording 34 sustained and 50plus kt gusts. Gotta call it soon surely.

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#1446092 - 27/12/2017 21:14 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: Kino]
Blanched Offline
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Loc: Karratha, WA
Not really, I have seen some intense inland lows show great structure, there was one around Katherine in the NT years ago that was below 980hpa and looked amazing on sat.

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#1446093 - 27/12/2017 21:15 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Blanched Offline
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Registered: 18/12/2009
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Just got named, TC Hilda is born!


Edited by Blanched (27/12/2017 21:17)

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#1446096 - 27/12/2017 21:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Ningergirl Offline
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Loc: Cable Beach
Welcome Hilda, though your time will be short lived, I have enjoyed your presence in Broome even if you bought down a few trees I was rather fond of......Dead calm right now? In the eye?

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#1446097 - 27/12/2017 21:30 Re: Tropical Low 92S - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

128km/hr winds must have done it ...

Paddles from the kayak flew off the rafters and onto the car ..
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#1446099 - 27/12/2017 21:41 Re: Tropical Low 92S - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

Yes calm now but not for long me thinks .Nice rain heavy at times .

Definitely had a punch with strong gale force winds around here 115km/hr.
Wind now coming from the north and have feeling low very close,
pressure now 985.8 hAp.
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#1446100 - 27/12/2017 21:41 Re: Tropical Low 92S - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Flowin Offline
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Hilda seems to have an interesting environment. Strength from the tropics and mix of positive and negative dynamics in mid latitudes

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#1446101 - 27/12/2017 21:42 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Brett Guy Offline
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Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
Curious. Does this now count as a broome TC Crossing? grin I know it is going the wrong way but.......

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#1446103 - 27/12/2017 21:53 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

Crossing peninsular about 5pm to recharge ...
Nice tail showing on sat pic and outflow .
Certainly gathered its fair share of convection from around the area.

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#1446104 - 27/12/2017 22:02 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: Brett Guy]
Flowin Offline
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Registered: 15/10/2017
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Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Originally Posted By: Brett Guy
Curious. Does this now count as a broome TC Crossing? grin I know it is going the wrong way but.......


Well that is question for a TC that probably would not happen often

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#1446105 - 27/12/2017 22:08 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Seabreeze Offline
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Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10268
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
Broome Port AWS had a peak wind gust of 139km/h at 5:59pm WST.
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South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
January 2018 Rainfall: 67.6mm (Jan Avg. 146.7mm) // January 2018 Raindays: 7 (Jan Avg. 13.5 raindays)
2017 Yearly Rainfall: 1833.4mm (Yearly Avg. 1491.2mm)

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#1446110 - 27/12/2017 23:53 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome


Wind in the last 4 hours has almost gone around the clock...

Going from SE to ESE to E to ENE to NE to NNE to N to NNW .

Still definitely gale force winds .
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Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
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#1446123 - 28/12/2017 11:54 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

TC Hilda got very close to Broome and even closer to my place as I live further down in south Cable beach I'd say 15-20kms away from the eye.
Bloke next door had a tree branch land on his car out the front of his house.

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Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
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#1446125 - 28/12/2017 12:04 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome
Huge gusts of wind around with some strange noises during the height of it think there was a few things flying around up there.

Lots of beach sand plastered all over my car...

Besides a few broken branches and 9 million leaves in the carport and verandah not much damage here luckily..

Last night lost internet for an hour then power for about an hour then internet again ...

Luckily the one device that we have that you can almost always rely on was the mobile and after last night I realized the importance of my back up phone battery.

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Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
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#1446131 - 28/12/2017 12:58 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Ningergirl Offline
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Loc: Cable Beach
We are in Cable Beach also. We lost 5 trees to the storm, one on top of our car, but thankfully it was a very bushy tree without too much weight. Our gates broke. and our neighbours side fence flew off in to a storm drain. All in all was a good storm. Made me miss Hedland.

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#1446141 - 28/12/2017 17:10 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

Yes Ningergirl hope all good at yours ...Are u living in Broome now?

A lot more damage than expected ,trees mainly ...saw on Fb tree came right down on a parked car and smashed windscreen and the bonnet.
Shame to see those two big palms fallen outside the Mercure.

All I heard all morning is chainsaws going off.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
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#1446143 - 28/12/2017 17:15 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Loc: Broome

Still Cat 1



Details of Tropical Cyclone Hilda at 11:00 am AWST:

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 75 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 19.5 degrees South, 121.5 degrees East , 95 kilometres south southwest of Bidyadanga and 185 kilometres south southwest of Broome .
Movement: south southwest at 8 kilometres per hour .

The cyclone should gradually weaken over land as it moves on a general southerly track.


Hazards:

GALES with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are possible between Bidyadanga and Wallal and the adjacent inland areas until early to mid Thursday afternoon. Squally thunderstorms with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour are expected to persist over inland eastern Pilbara areas today and overnight as the system tracks to the south.

Heavy rain is occurring over the west Kimberley and adjacent east Pilbara, and should extend further south into the east Pilbara today.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446144 - 28/12/2017 17:18 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
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Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome

Personally though Hilda was the strongest Cat 1 TC I've ever experienced ..
Probably really more like a Cat2 with 139km/hr winds when close to Broome about 6.30pm.
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Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
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#1446146 - 28/12/2017 17:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
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Registered: 19/10/2010
Posts: 348
Loc: Broome, WA
Agee with you there Des. Just the structure and tight rain bands around the centre, apart from the fair bit of damage around town, must push it to about the limit of cat 1. Maybe BOM will do their end of season analysis and ramp it up. That has happened before...

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#1446147 - 28/12/2017 17:32 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome


Yer Ive seen Cat 1s that could hardly blow a leaf off a tree leave alone blow a tree over .Think theres probably room for improvement in classification between a Cat 1 weak and a strong Cat1 .Even though it says under 125km/hr winds anything over is supposed to be Cat 2 .

Yes very tight around eye when close to here.

But glad we didn't have too much more rain when the system was around otherwise the ground may of been so satuated lot more trees would be down now.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446148 - 28/12/2017 17:49 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome

Bom Definition :Tropical Cyclones are low pressure systems that form over warm tropical waters and have gale force winds (sustained winds of 63 km/h or greater and gusts in excess of 90 km/h) near the centre.

We didn't sustain winds over 63km/hr much more than an hour but the gust we sustained for four and a half hours between 80 to 100km/hr . Figure that out...

At my place 115km/hr strongest gust.

Any damage at yours Sepo?
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446158 - 28/12/2017 18:55 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/10/2010
Posts: 348
Loc: Broome, WA
Couple of trees down branches - thatís it....

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#1446163 - 28/12/2017 19:15 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7794
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Cat 2 according to bom now as it was near broome. Latest track map has it.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#1446169 - 28/12/2017 19:48 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome
Must of heard us whinging about it.
Better late than never they say....:-)
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446170 - 28/12/2017 19:51 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome
So we had our first TC crossing as a Cat2.
...Yay...I think
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446173 - 28/12/2017 20:14 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 222
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Originally Posted By: desieboy


Yer Ive seen Cat 1s that could hardly blow a leaf off a tree leave alone blow a tree over .Think theres probably room for improvement in classification between a Cat 1 weak and a strong Cat1 .Even though it says under 125km/hr winds anything over is supposed to be Cat 2 .

Yes very tight around eye when close to here.

But glad we didn't have too much more rain when the system was around otherwise the ground may of been so satuated lot more trees would be down now.



I was in a Cat 1 in Townsville in March 2000. TC Tessie.
Had a big tree come down on my day car while my precious older cars were under house. Flood then came thru. Some of Townsville without power up to 3 days. I was lucky being on elec feed to the hospital and only lost power for less than day

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#1446212 - 29/12/2017 00:38 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/10/2010
Posts: 348
Loc: Broome, WA
Haha.. Cat2 eh? Thatís interesting but makes sense based on what weíve been discussing the

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#1446214 - 29/12/2017 00:49 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome
Sounds like she all done.
From Bom Warning centre 4pm

REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Hilda is weakening over land south of Bidyadanga [between
Broome and Port Hedland]. The small tight circulation is just visible on Broome
radar.

Winds are estimated to have eased below gale force intensity although there is
some uncertainty given there remains an area of deep convection in the vicinity
south of the circulation.
Supporting the weakening are the conservative application of the standard decay
rate now that the centre has now been overland for 15 hours and the range of
surface wind model guidance showing the easing of surface winds. However strong
winds remain aloft so thunderstorms are likely to cause wind gusts to 100 km/h
and a severe weather warning is current for this as well as heavy rain near the
track.

The system will continue to move on a general southerly track over land for the
rest of today and tomorrow. It is likely that strong gusty winds will persist
especially in the southeast quadrant for the next 24-36 hours.

_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446215 - 29/12/2017 00:53 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: Sepo]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3385
Loc: Broome
Originally Posted By: Sepo
Haha.. Cat2 eh? Thatís interesting but makes sense based on what weíve been discussing the

Yes Sepo never thought they would change it though...
Must of been reviewed and decision made to change going on wind speeds.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1446259 - 29/12/2017 15:28 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3726
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
There's always a post-season review which sometimes leads to systems being downgraded or upgraded (there was one a few years ago which was upgraded post-season from a tropical low to a category 2). Less common to see it while an event is still ongoing, but the measured wind gusts are pretty solid evidence.

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#1446268 - 29/12/2017 16:33 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
Sepo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/10/2010
Posts: 348
Loc: Broome, WA
Yeah I knew they did that Blair but as you say unusual and I had never seen it done so quickly while the event was still underway... Also makes interesting considerations for recording for Broome town site as Des has been saying lately that Broome AP may have 3mm but Cable beach area or even old Broome area would have had at least 10mm from passing storms. For a TC where wind gusts on Peninsula or Cable Beach, (south), area can be greater then may need to look at upgrading measurement gear at Port or somewhere in southern area of town...

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#1446307 - 30/12/2017 09:00 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14167
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Tessie was a rarity Flowin. It stalled just north of Ingham for almost a full day brining torrential rain to Townsville and surrounding areas. 725mm in 27 hours. Wind wasn't all that great of a problem but it was the 2nd (TC Vaughn was a bust) or 3rd major rain event of the season and the ground was already saturated so flooding was the major cause of damage. I'm hoping that something similar happens this season as we are desperately in need of water or at least a cat 1 or 2 wanders close enough for us to get some decent rainfall.
To put a Cat 1 cyclone into perspective. I went through TC Mitchel protected only by the very best quality Australian Army Hutchie. Yes it was windy and wet. No it wasn't all that scary.

I like Mike Brunker's quote about cyclones. "I wouldn't bother getting out of bed for a Cat 1 cyclone" and basically neither would I.
_________________________
43mm Jan 2018
2018 Total 43mm
2017 Total 855mm
2016 Total 649mm
2015 Total 375mm
2014 Total 1032mm
2013 Total 715mm







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#1446468 - 31/12/2017 11:05 Re: Tropical Cyclone Hilda (92S) - December 2017 [Re: desieboy]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 533
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
WA has had a cat 2. Now time for QLD to get a cat 3 or 4 next month lol.cant have popeye bragging about lake of tcs in qld lol
_________________________
Nikko

Mutarnee, Southern Wet Tropics - 70km North of Townsville and 40km south of Ingham.

MTD (Jan 2018]: 149.9mm (Ave 465mm)
Dec 2017: 58.9mm (avg 205mm)
YTD 2018 65mmmm (Avg 1964.9mm)

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