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#1446479 - 31/12/2017 12:55 North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Discussion continues.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1446492 - 31/12/2017 13:12 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
lets hope 2018 breaks our run of poor years.

early hope with a lot of moisture from a trough next week. got to be lucky to be under a storm though.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1446700 - 01/01/2018 19:03 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Looks promising for us. Not so much for the ville. But thats just the norm for you giuys. We need a cyclone for youse to have any decent rain.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446769 - 02/01/2018 00:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Nerd65 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 423
Loc: Cranbrook, Townsville
A bit more like genuine summer weather now: Coastal ridge has broken down, temperature and dew point up. Let's see if any decent convection is forthcoming...
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Linux is Star Trek; Windows is Star Wars.

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#1446785 - 02/01/2018 10:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Nice storms here this morning, some sporadic heavy falls up to 68mm but most of the city received 2-25mm.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1446787 - 02/01/2018 10:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14219
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
24mm at Castle Mayhem (My house) at Rasmussen. Lovely cracks of thunder and lightning as well. Wife has already started the aircons because it's so humid. Can't say I disagree with her.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1446820 - 02/01/2018 15:07 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
37c up here in ingham. Stupidly hot and humid. Somethings gotta give soon
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446858 - 02/01/2018 16:52 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Wowsers sky is exploding.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446876 - 02/01/2018 17:40 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
i had 33mm in kirwan this morning, was beautiful!! still cant believe it happened!!

excellent line to the west, looking good to make the coast.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1446881 - 02/01/2018 17:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2263
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Thank La Niña poke

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#1446882 - 02/01/2018 17:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
mitasol Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/12/2011
Posts: 880
Loc: Kirwan
34.5 mm at the Willows end of Kirwan, the dog went crazy with the thunder, but then he chases F18's too - not sure what he'd do if he caught one...

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#1446885 - 02/01/2018 17:50 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
You recon we got coast reacher Mick. Looks awesome. Really hope it makes it. Nice squal line forming. Surprised theres no STW.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446902 - 02/01/2018 18:24 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Bugger. Died off up my end. Still might be on for you guys down there.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446912 - 02/01/2018 18:45 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Kino]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: Kino
Thank La Niña poke


our second storm for the entire season in early January, and its all thanks to La Nina, party on! poke
btw it was and isolated cell, most of the city got 5mm.

surprised this line is dying as it approaches the coast, the models showing massive cape levels close to the coast.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1446913 - 02/01/2018 18:46 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Passed through that ripper storm at Mingela. WOW! Got smashed by lighting, rain & wind. Crazy stuff!

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#1446915 - 02/01/2018 18:49 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Yeah I saw the massive instability. Just not our day. Very weird but not unusual. Although could rebuild up. Never know.


Edited by rainthisway (02/01/2018 18:50)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446916 - 02/01/2018 18:54 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Still a good guster on it. Strong winds in kirwan
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1446925 - 02/01/2018 19:11 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Nothing up here. We have the force field today lol

Just hot and sticky like a b***h

Maybe our turn tomorrow. Good falls between folly and deeragan.


Edited by rainthisway (02/01/2018 19:16)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1446995 - 02/01/2018 22:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
mitasol Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/12/2011
Posts: 880
Loc: Kirwan
Round 2 just came through, another 9 mm

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#1446996 - 02/01/2018 22:33 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Kino]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: Kino
Thank La Niña poke


Getting third storm today, will now admit - this aint usual! Sadly still hit and miss around the area though.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447029 - 03/01/2018 08:35 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 94
Loc: Bushland Beach
43mm in totally after yesterday’s storms for us at bushy Beach 🙂

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#1447039 - 03/01/2018 09:33 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Absolutely loved the light show last night, very impressive indeed. There was a couple of particularly close bolts that gave the house a good shaking. The wind before the storm(s) was such a relief, like someone had turned an aircon on lol. I note that there was a 61km/h gust at the AP just after 6pm when one line moved through.

Please let there be more today!
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1447081 - 03/01/2018 13:24 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 94
Loc: Bushland Beach
Would be wonderful to have some more tonight. We have a good view from our place so we watched the lighting for hours. 🙂 so good

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#1447138 - 03/01/2018 16:59 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
mitasol Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/12/2011
Posts: 880
Loc: Kirwan
hmmm, not sure why Wunderground isn't showing my rain totals from yesterday, they were showing last night, but not now frown

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#1447157 - 03/01/2018 18:07 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
No storms today, looks like the trough is just to our NE. Should be in for a much better chance tomorrow.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1447162 - 03/01/2018 18:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
46mm from the activity yesterday in downtown Kirwan, most impressed
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447184 - 03/01/2018 20:58 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
dormant Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 638
Loc: near ferry, FNQ
Wow, Mick, and you've been so frustrated lately. And here we've had one millimetre only.
Happy for you.

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#1447220 - 04/01/2018 08:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
yes i was very lucky mate, thank you. sadly the rest of the district didnt do as well as me, still lacking a decent rain event.

we were forecast to get 20-30mm tomorrow, bom has scaled that back to 1-3mm tomorrow. still hopeful of some storms as the trough moves thru friday night, but again, we will have to be lucky
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447295 - 04/01/2018 19:10 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Total fail today weatherwise.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1447337 - 05/01/2018 03:34 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Making up for it this morning RD, awesome light show with these morning storms. raining heavily in parts of town
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447338 - 05/01/2018 03:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
PerryH Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2009
Posts: 82
Loc: Mount Louisa
Mount Louisa getting some of it now

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#1447342 - 05/01/2018 06:06 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7016
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Good to see some colour on your radar for a change, looks to continue until tonight before another northward building ridge blasts it all away.

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#1447347 - 05/01/2018 07:14 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yup, 7mm in BG, 32mm at the AP.

Certainly was a noisy storm!
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1447361 - 05/01/2018 10:28 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 94
Loc: Bushland Beach
51mm in gauge this morning in bushy beach after storm last night at 2:10am lost power for a short while.

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#1447364 - 05/01/2018 10:55 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Rick22 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/01/2015
Posts: 50
Loc: Home Hill
This weather is so frustrating. Always gets so close.


Edited by Rick22 (05/01/2018 10:57)
_________________________
2015 Rainfall: 385.5mm
2016 YTD: 36.5mm

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#1447369 - 05/01/2018 11:59 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Amazing these little thunderstorms popping up here and there. Says 21.3mm on my rain gauge but havnt check for frogs in side it...usually screws with my totals if my friendly brown tree frog has gone back home after the last time I removed him. 21.3mm seems reserved compared to actually rain that fell. Lucky I have a manual gauge as back up. Ill check later
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1447372 - 05/01/2018 12:08 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
hanksy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 24/01/2010
Posts: 404
Loc: Belgian Gardens, Townsville
Wow I am loving this cool blustery morning, lots of rumbles and now some drops starting to fall from the sky 🙂

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#1447377 - 05/01/2018 12:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Constant rain in the CBD, some very close strikes as well.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1447393 - 05/01/2018 14:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
had another 25mm in kirwan until 9am.

shame the flow has shifted NW, if that rain out to sea just off the coast moved south the whole area would be getting 50mm this arvo.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447434 - 05/01/2018 17:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
I've been saying it ever since they replaced the radar, but is accuracy is way off up here. its showing a green/yellow band north - north west of Ingham. I've just driven the road that goes directly under this band and its barley worth having the wipers on. It always seems to overdo the rain.

Edit - Just checked the BOM rainfall figure - most stations have recorded 0 or under 1mm in the area under the green band - backs up my argument.


Edited by ol mate (05/01/2018 17:39)
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1447435 - 05/01/2018 17:40 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14219
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Another 8mm overnight.
and 8mm the day before as well.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1447436 - 05/01/2018 17:43 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: ol mate]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: ol mate
I've been saying it ever since they replaced the radar, but is accuracy is way off up here. its showing a green/yellow band north - north west of Ingham. I've just driven the road that goes directly under this band and its barley worth having the wipers on. It always seems to overdo the rain.

Edit - Just checked the BOM rainfall figure - most stations have recorded 0 or under 1mm in the area under the green band - backs up my argument.


the choice of radar location was a total joke, it was moved due to the cost of hiring the space at mt stuart, but should have stayed. there is no easterly view, bowen is much better, the 60km radar is pathetic as the radar is too far inland and its crap reading to the north as you stated.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447437 - 05/01/2018 17:50 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Sometimes the radar is reserved to. Ive been under a light rain area and its pissing down. But yeah mostly its inaccurate. If its hardly raining up thete then that explains why its consistantly drying up as it comes south cos the fact is its not as heavy as it looks.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1447440 - 05/01/2018 17:58 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
I'm back home now - i can see all of the mountains clear as day. yes - its cloudy, but definitely no moderate rain anywhere as the radar indicates...
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1447541 - 06/01/2018 10:06 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23687
Loc: Townsville
60mm in 6 days

Better than nothing. At least it will be green for 2 weeks.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1447722 - 07/01/2018 09:42 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14219
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
3mm from a heavy shower around 1.30am.
43mm total to date.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1447771 - 07/01/2018 13:34 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
21mm last night from decent couple showers. 65mm this month.

Roll on the first monsoonal blust and or spinner.


Edited by rainthisway (07/01/2018 13:38)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1447951 - 08/01/2018 11:27 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
just spent the weekend at Wunjunga Beach, south of Home Hill with the kids. Good tides, good winds, but gee it was hot by day! kids had a great weekend though.

4mm from overnight showers here, monthly total now 98mm.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1447961 - 08/01/2018 14:01 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
So seems the rain in oct and nov was all we are gonna get, this is stupid, when is the real rains gonna hit ffs
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1447965 - 08/01/2018 15:33 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Still very early days yet. It's a frustrating wait, but the rains will come!
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1448053 - 09/01/2018 06:39 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
RD, you seem confident in that. I hope your right.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448070 - 09/01/2018 10:23 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Inghams biggest floods have occurred in March - plenty of time yet smile

i note today is 20 years since the infamous 'Nigh of Noah'. It does not seem like that long ago at all!
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1448096 - 09/01/2018 13:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Who remembers this warning from 20 years ago...

TOP PRIORITY
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING ISSUED BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
BRISBANE AT 4 am EST Saturday 10 January 1998

For coastal and island communities between Cardwell and Bowen.

At 4am a 999hPa low was located on the coast near Innisfail and a high pressure ridge is strengthening
along the Central Coast. Between these two systems a band of gales is intensifying between Cardwell and
Bowen.

LAND GALES
Wind gusts to 90 kilometres per hour are expected which may bring down power lines and damage weaker
structures.

Very heavy rain is falling with localised flash flooding expected.

Some road crossings are flooded and motorists should take care.

Water levels on the high tide this morning could reach the level of the highest tide of the year.

Residents and camper in low-lying seaside areas may experience some salt water flooding and should
consider moving to higher ground. Large waves are expected with beach erosion.

For further advice, contact your local police or SES.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued at 7 am.

This warning from the Weather Bureau is available from Telecom Dial-It in Townsville (077) 1196
Facsimile copies of this warning may be obtained by polling 019 725 278
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1448109 - 09/01/2018 15:18 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Wow - i love the line 'Telecom Dial-It in Townsville (077) 1196'...

i remember this day, i was 10. the rain was relentless - we had brought a rain gauge for xmas and it was my job to empty it. i tipped out 500mm over 2 days! In those days we never had a computer so we were all listening to the radio. As for the flooding, we lived near Gairloch, where up until a few years ago, was the main point of reference for Ingham flooding. Gairloch is a 120year+ old concrete bridge across the Herbert, and was part of the Bruce Highway up until the late 60's, and was still in use as a back road until 2015 when it was closed amid safety concerns. Everyone would drive down the steep cutting to see the river heights - and on this particular day, the river was rising that fast, you could see it creeping up the cutting and also see the indicators going under water. from memory we were there an hour and it rose nearly 3m. There was a huge crowd - 50+ - and some nearly got caught trying to get back into town as the water covered Halifax Rd.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1448221 - 09/01/2018 23:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
only 480 years until the next one!!
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1448222 - 09/01/2018 23:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Wish it would happen again
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448295 - 10/01/2018 16:03 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
PVW Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2404
Loc: Thuringowa, Townsville QLD
I’ve just returned to Townsville from holidaying around the Mackay area over the last few weeks.

Not very often you’d ever get to say this, but it actually got much greener the closer I got to Townsville.

Anyway, I’ve been keeping a daily log of the rainfall totals on the BOMs alert rain gauges around our area right through last year and thought a few here might be interested in the yearly totals from 2017.

1927 Paluma AL
1877 Paluma Dam
1132 Cungulla
1057 Annandale
1013 Mount Bohle
996 Picnic Bay
967 The Lakes
934 Pallarenda
933 Vincent
932 Aitkenvale
927 The Pinnacles
925 Deeragun
924 Dalrymple Road
905 Riverway (Black Weir)
899 Calcium
867 Aplin Weir
860 Upper Stuart Creek
854 Garbutt
854 Kirwan
854 Kirwan (Sandstone Drive)
843 South Townsville
842 Castle Hill
832 Nelly Bay
831 Stuart
829 Mysterton
827 Stuart Creek
824 Townsville Airport AL
823 North Ward
819 Bohle River AL
819 Bohle River TM
819 Little Bohle River
813 Woodlands
786 Louisa Creek
768 Townsville Airport AWS
758 Yabulu Nickel
746 Ross River Dam
522 Charters Towers

I’ve also made a page on my weather site with the daily totals for each station available in tables if anyone would like to take a look - http://bit.ly/2Es2os6

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#1448333 - 11/01/2018 01:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
thats awesome mate, appreciate the work put in that. I notice the two kirwan alerts are within an inch of what i totalled for the year. nice to know my totals are that far off.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1448346 - 11/01/2018 09:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
9mm in BG overnight.

Wouldn't this be nice!

_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1448350 - 11/01/2018 09:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
I have been looking at it. Its possible it may come off. I remember yasi was forecast 2 week out, just land crossing changed, so who knows we might be lucky. Something to watch but im not gonna stress yet.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448354 - 11/01/2018 10:28 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
gfs has a low moving SE from the GOC and off the coast near cardwell, perfect scenario, but the 18z run has dropped it already.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1448359 - 11/01/2018 11:54 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Something will happpen. With the monsoon strengthing and the MJO forecast to remain at a decent strength...i wouldnt be surprised if it pops up again in future runs...
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448379 - 11/01/2018 16:12 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Gfs 06z has a low in the coral sea moving to seqld. That is identical to what yasi was like 2 weeks out. Deffo something to watch over the next week or so

The latest bom 4 da6 charts have the monsoon trougj creeping our way...all ingrediantsnfor fun i am hoping


Edited by rainthisway (11/01/2018 16:22)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448380 - 11/01/2018 16:50 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: rainthisway]
KevD Offline
Occasional Visitor

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 5193
Loc: Bellingen NSW 2454
Originally Posted By: rainthisway
Gfs 06z has a low in the coral sea moving to seqld. That is identical to what yasi was like 2 weeks out. Deffo something to watch over the next week or so

The latest bom 4 da6 charts have the monsoon trougj creeping our way...all ingrediantsnfor fun i am hoping

Is 06Z out yet? The latest 00z run has a cyclone in the Coral Sea but way out east of Aus with an upper trough that looks like it will take it away. That's way out in 384 land with GFS, which is definitely FI territory....however saying all that it's great to have something to look at and it's a sign that patterns are changing smile

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#1448394 - 11/01/2018 20:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
The model I looked at said 06z...might have been a typo..prob was 00z

But as you say its long way out and will change multiple times and may not happen at all.but gfs has been lretty good with predicting systems just not there track.


Edited by rainthisway (11/01/2018 20:38)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448446 - 12/01/2018 11:09 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Certainly a dry year in Ingham for 2017. The only day we cracked over the 100mm mark was in October! 1,545mm annually - well below the long term average. Hopefully something will crack next week - models are looking the goods
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1448453 - 12/01/2018 12:18 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
A spinner is back on gfs. Its holding something happening for now. Only time will tell
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448455 - 12/01/2018 12:29 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
i dont want a cyclone, i want a broadscale monsoon system across the north. we all need rain, cyclone contract the rain and more than likely head SE anyway.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1448460 - 12/01/2018 13:29 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Nothing to show a broad scale monsoon system but I just want rain. However it comes, as long as its lots

But so far the charts show a good chance of that low making land fall...of course being so far out anytjing can happen. But as ive said before. Yasi was forecast 2 weeks out.


Edited by rainthisway (12/01/2018 13:32)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448463 - 12/01/2018 13:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
tsunami Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1151
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
I just hope its not another failed wet.
_________________________
Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1448492 - 12/01/2018 18:05 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Problem is its not a failed wet season, this is normal for Townsville. Thats a townsville wet season.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448548 - 13/01/2018 08:50 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Now we got 2 lows in the gfs runs lol
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448672 - 13/01/2018 21:13 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2282
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Originally Posted By: Raindammit
9mm in BG overnight.

Wouldn't this be nice!



Back to predicting nothing again.

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#1448779 - 14/01/2018 17:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
So whats peoples thoughts on tuesday set up.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448799 - 14/01/2018 20:21 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Also I remember seeing some say that the guys on central coast and wide bay seem to think they have water problems....its true. They honestly do I think.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448870 - 15/01/2018 15:57 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
gazza townsville Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2012
Posts: 438
Seems to be some nice cells building up towards the west are they going to do their usual trick and fall apart at our doorstep???? Perhaps not they do seem to be building closer than usual can they survive the trip over the range.........


Edited by gazza townsville (15/01/2018 15:58)

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#1448880 - 15/01/2018 16:43 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Seem to moving south west those cells. No good for us
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448882 - 15/01/2018 16:55 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
gazza townsville Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2012
Posts: 438
Should be used to seeing that by now but it still sucks lol

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#1448889 - 15/01/2018 18:04 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
They changed direction...these cells are like the cs low gfs runs, cant decide where to go lol
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448892 - 15/01/2018 18:09 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
gazza townsville Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2012
Posts: 438
Wow they must be getring some rain out under those storms they have just been sitting there for what seems to be hours. Im not familiar with how townaville works are they to far out for our catchment area???

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#1448894 - 15/01/2018 18:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
I believe there not in the catchment. I think the dam catchment is tiny. Unless it rains almost on top of it I dont think it gets much run off.

On a side note...check out the qld satellite. The cloud on the coast up to the tip of the penisula looks like smoke blowing in to the ocean...surreal.


Edited by rainthisway (15/01/2018 18:33)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448905 - 15/01/2018 19:55 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Copped a good storm in Charters Towers today, even got some hail. 36mm in the gauge so far & still raining. Happy camper here. smile

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#1448914 - 15/01/2018 21:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Round 2 was pretty good as well. grin Hopefully Townsville's turn soon.

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#1448916 - 15/01/2018 22:07 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Lucky for u. Nothing up my way. But systems coming from south i believe so maybe over night we will get rain.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448919 - 15/01/2018 22:39 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
I haven't seen it so active here for a while. Still thundering away, I wouldn't bet against round 3 overnight.

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#1448920 - 15/01/2018 22:55 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
A lot of low level cloud in Ingham - you can see the light of town reflecting pink in the sky, and also a lot of far off lighting to the west, south and east. Surely we can't miss out!
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1448921 - 16/01/2018 01:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Im in Cardwell at the moment, non stop ltng and thunder for past hour but not much rainfall.
SFA back home in kirwan according to family there.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1448925 - 16/01/2018 03:43 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Annnnnnd here's round 3 for us. Absolutely hammering down! Gonna be some good totals in the morning.

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#1448931 - 16/01/2018 04:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
adam17 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/01/2002
Posts: 3260
Loc: Townsville - Queensland



Ironically, Robin Hood was a thief, and someone stole Townsville's rain. If only we could swear on here...

Time to move the radar back to Mount Stuart, still haven't had a decent drop since its relocation.


Edited by boganation (16/01/2018 04:47)

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#1448936 - 16/01/2018 07:25 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
CuNimJim Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2005
Posts: 432
Loc: Whitfield, Cairns
100% spot on BN! Cairns just picked up some good patchy falls last night which was beautiful but as a long time former Townsvillian I share your pain and shear frustration and wonder when the dry run is going to end...it will happen and probably with a bang but when...
_________________________
2017 - 1809mm
MTD: - 891.0mm (Mar)
YTD: - 1843.5mm

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#1448937 - 16/01/2018 07:25 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Just checked my gauge, WOW! 100mmm in it! That's the best one day rainfall we've had for a very long time!

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#1448938 - 16/01/2018 07:29 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Is that it?!? I'm bone dry!
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1448940 - 16/01/2018 07:30 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
6.5mm in BG.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1448943 - 16/01/2018 07:45 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
IMG20180116062537 by Wezza, on Flickr
IMG20180116062814 by Wezza, on Flickr
Pool is a bit full! grin

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#1448945 - 16/01/2018 08:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 94
Loc: Bushland Beach
18mm in our gauge at bushy beach this morning 🙂

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#1448947 - 16/01/2018 08:32 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
I hope today bring more...6.6mm over night...disappointing.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1448979 - 16/01/2018 13:14 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Great light show in cardwell overnight, just 2.5mm reported to me back home. Very sad, will have to start watering again soon.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1448982 - 16/01/2018 13:35 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
PVW Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2404
Loc: Thuringowa, Townsville QLD
Amazing to see 82mm fall out at Charters Towers, while we’ve only had 5mm at my place in Thuringowa.

Wish it would just hurry up and rain.

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#1449026 - 16/01/2018 22:26 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Another failed event. It felt like it was gonna happen and yesterdays show looked promising..but nup pooped out...so over this.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449079 - 17/01/2018 10:57 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
BULK moisture between Tully / Port Douglas. Zip here. Oh how i long for the wet seasons of old...
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449080 - 17/01/2018 11:02 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
2mm at my place, 200mm in Cairns, same weather event just the conditions aligned for them. Shows how good a decent ENE flow can be.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449101 - 17/01/2018 15:49 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Quite perplexing isn't it.

Some scattered activity streaming in from the ENE, hopefully this picks up a bit into the evening. The models continue to play with weak Lows in both the Coral Sea and GOC, as always at this time of year I wouldn't trust any model more than a couple of days out.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449113 - 17/01/2018 17:15 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
So the event we should have got moved north.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449125 - 17/01/2018 19:11 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
No, they just got the best of it. I would have been happy with 50-60mm, Burdekin got that, Towers more, Tsv just once again unlucky.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449158 - 18/01/2018 08:39 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
I got 32mm. Still not that great.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449243 - 18/01/2018 19:55 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
had some excellent showers around cardwell last night and this morning, went to ingham late morning and again some heavy showers, north side of town had lots of flowing water in the gully;s
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449257 - 18/01/2018 21:35 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Norhing much here. Any decents events on the horizon. With the MJO strengthing and heading our way and the monsoon trough forecast to move over far north queensland...seems everything is lin8 ng up but nothing on the forecasts.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449264 - 19/01/2018 01:09 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Will start to become clearer in next few days. Gfs forecasting 100-300mm locally grading up to 1500mm in the goc while ec is forecasting about 30mm. CMC backs up gfs at present but forms a low further south off Rocky. Access doest want much bar a WA system.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449270 - 19/01/2018 07:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23687
Loc: Townsville
What happened to this place.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1449295 - 19/01/2018 09:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
GoC low looks good if that happened. Especially one this week and one next lol
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449314 - 19/01/2018 11:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Decent total up north. Drove to Cairns on Tuesday, and again yesterday. Tuesday everything, the creeks and gullys, were bone dry. Yesterday they had a good flow in them and some on the back-roads behind Innisfail were flooded. The Bilyana-Murray River area of the highway there was water everywhere. The Palmerston range was torrential - water was flowing down off the mountain across the road in places.

one can only hope we get some next week smile
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449323 - 19/01/2018 12:41 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Yeah lets hope. We need rain badly.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449370 - 19/01/2018 19:30 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Whats with the gfs showing over 300mm for this area....whats meant to happen. Nothing shows on the forecast to indicate that amount of water
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449476 - 20/01/2018 20:08 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Radar is lying again. Nice dark green/yellow blob apparently over Ingham. I can't see a drop of rain anywhere - and I'm on the roof!
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449477 - 20/01/2018 20:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
models tonight are taking it all away.....
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449546 - 21/01/2018 12:52 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
I have to say GFS has been quiet consistant with rain totals. Maybe eventually gfs will either drop that or maybe the other models will eventually follow suit. Hate the watching and waiting game cos frankly lets all agree, nature is unpredictable and the bom can get it wrong often, no fault of theres...just how nature works.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449587 - 21/01/2018 18:39 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Bom keep backing off any decent falls. Looks as if the gulf system will stay far enough away not to be of much impact, and if anything ends up forming in the CS it will bugger off east.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449601 - 21/01/2018 21:50 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
the GOC looks like having a decent inflow, our issue is a weak trough or low forms in the southern coral sea blocking that flow from the coral sea.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449632 - 22/01/2018 08:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Seems the monsoon is deepening so dont write anything off yet. As I have learnt, its all about positioning.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449642 - 22/01/2018 09:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
LOL - the rain dome in clear form on this rainfall map smile

QLD Rainfall week ending 21/01/18
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449650 - 22/01/2018 10:24 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Looks like Townsville might see 100mm in total this week, even less for Southern parts of the Herbie Burdie.

This time of year is a forecasting nightmare, even more so when the MT is hanging around.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449692 - 22/01/2018 15:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
GFS is now moving the heavier stuff north and west - in the last 3-4 runs the line of heavy rain has consistently crept further north. By the time Friday comes around i reckon i will show H-B receiving very little.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449694 - 22/01/2018 16:08 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
That's only one model though. OCF (which takes into account 8 computer models) is still forecasting 60mm for Townsville in the coming week, areas around Ingham significantly more.

http://www.australianweathernews.com/OCF/OCF_032.HTM

Still abysmal totals for Townsville taking into consideration how active the MT is. BUT given how unpredictible and volatile the effects of a strengthening MT can be, I wouldn't be crying into my beer just yet.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449697 - 22/01/2018 16:46 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
True this^^

last week is a prime example. 100-150mm was predicted in areas that got over 300mm.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449710 - 22/01/2018 18:04 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
That ocf forecast is disappointing. Not much rain forecast. I joked about that rain in oct and nov being all we will get. Sadly seems true so far. Although plenty time left yet for good falls. Just amnoying to waiting.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449736 - 22/01/2018 20:02 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Nah right off January too folks. Few showers this week, 20mm if lucky.

Be another year of below average January rainfall. My last above average January at home was 2011. Sickening really for our second wettest month of the year.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449767 - 23/01/2018 08:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Agreed Mick. Lets hope feb is better.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449778 - 23/01/2018 09:45 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
OCF has even backed off quite a bit now...

Next please
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449786 - 23/01/2018 10:34 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14219
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
OK almost 3 months in and I'm calling it for what it is, another failed wet season. Come on mother nature prove me wrong, again, I dare ya, I double dare ya.

FFS I need a cyclone like a red headed step child needs a friend.
_________________________
July 6mm
2018 Total 743mm






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#1449816 - 23/01/2018 16:36 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Looking good in radar down south...may not be heavy but least its something.

Also bit early to call it. Still got Feb, march and April left. Dont forget April is a player, granted not a big player but occasionally can be. Even May can be a player on the even rarer occasion. Come June if its more of the same then call it LMAO.


Edited by rainthisway (23/01/2018 16:42)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449880 - 23/01/2018 21:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
models not showing anything for February, in fact well below average. March average (just).
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449882 - 23/01/2018 21:53 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
What models predict accurately that far out though Mick?
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449884 - 23/01/2018 21:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
hey RD,

i look at the long range CFS on tropical tidbits -
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis...012212&fh=1
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449886 - 23/01/2018 22:06 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Based on that forecast, Feb in Townsville looks like it will be 30-50mm below average. That's a big chunk out of the mean average of 296.8mm, but even if we got 50mm less that's still 247mm for the month.

I think it's waaayy to early to write anything off just yet.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449894 - 23/01/2018 23:05 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
gazzatsv Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/03/2011
Posts: 661
Loc: Townsville
You don’t need a model RD. Once this mjo and monsoon burst passes we are in a supressed phase and the chances of getting meaningful rain are lower. And even if we get to 247mm for the month, that won’t put a dent in the dam.

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#1449898 - 23/01/2018 23:30 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
So much for La Niña!
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449904 - 24/01/2018 01:00 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23687
Loc: Townsville
I cant see us getting anymore than 100mm next month RD.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1449916 - 24/01/2018 08:19 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
7.5mm in BG overnight.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449917 - 24/01/2018 08:45 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
This sucks. So once this monsoon burst ends we prob wont get another till what march?
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449929 - 24/01/2018 10:04 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
looking likely mate, obviously we dont need an mjo to get rain events in February, decent coral sea trough moving west can do wonders, but with upper system not favourable, its unlikely that anything significant in the coral sea will move towards the coast. and i cant remember the last time we had a SE moving system from the GOC - been a long long time.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449943 - 24/01/2018 11:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Any indication as to when thge monsoon with go inactive. Although cant trust long range forecasting, as according to gfs 2 weeks ago we should be looking down the barrel of a cat 4 or 5 lol
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1449945 - 24/01/2018 12:01 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
I never look at anything over a week ahead when it comes to models. They NEVER (ok once - Yasi) get it right. Anyone who plans their lives/weekends around those models - dont waste your time!
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1449951 - 24/01/2018 12:22 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
We just need the predicted Low in the GOC to move further south as it moves towards the CS, and we should see some semi decent falls.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449952 - 24/01/2018 12:23 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: ol mate]
Red Watch Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 441
Loc: Cranbrook, Townsville
Originally Posted By: ol mate
I never look at anything over a week ahead when it comes to models. They NEVER (ok once - Yasi) get it right. Anyone who plans their lives/weekends around those models - dont waste your time!

Forecasting is less accurate the further out you go as the slightest variation compounds to become a larger variation.
The basic idea hasn’t changed in 100 years but our ability to do it has changed enormously with increasing amounts of data — from weather balloons, commercial aircraft as they fly along, satellite measurements, how fast cloud moves, how much the earth glows infra-red, radio waves the earth emits, and that has allowed us to create higher resolution and finer scale models.

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#1449958 - 24/01/2018 12:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: Raindammit
We just need the predicted Low in the GOC to move further south as it moves towards the CS, and we should see some semi decent falls.


Our problem isnt just the low being slightly too far north, but also that the models keep the CS low/tc further east in the area meaning the onshore flow is too SSE drying us out as the GOC low moves across the cape. obviously we usually get the east to north east flow with GOC low. we are getting screwed over by multiple variables!
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449959 - 24/01/2018 12:52 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yeah it's not an ideal setup. frown
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1449987 - 24/01/2018 16:07 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Nah sadly not mate, still what has gone our way this past few years? just the norm.

BOM giving the Coral Sea low a moderate chance by Saturday, as expected, going to go east to south east.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1449998 - 24/01/2018 17:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Bah...oh well next time.

Time to leave Townsville. Ive been here 2.5 years and Im over it....we get alot of rain up here but its still not reliable being too close to the dry tropics area, im seriously thinking of relocating to somewhere with a little more reliable rain. I nearly lost a lot of my yearling fruit trees last month/early Jan. As its been shocking. Seriously time to think.

Oh anf what a surprise the MJO is weakening too.


Edited by rainthisway (24/01/2018 17:48)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1450059 - 25/01/2018 09:42 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Rain doing its best to stay away, burdekin coast getting a drop but it dries up as it moves west. forecast for this arvo is ok, bom mentioning possibly heavy falls in the south and east. we just have to be lucky (i hope).
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450078 - 25/01/2018 13:14 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 721
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
CBD about to cop a heavy shower.

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#1450082 - 25/01/2018 13:35 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Bucketing in the CBD, water everywhere. grin
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1450083 - 25/01/2018 13:52 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
slipperyfish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 1361
Loc: South Mission Beach QLD
Currently at Lucinda house sitting for a few days. Been raining steadily all morning. The gauge has over 25mm in it and haven’t seen the jetty in over an hour, but the Lucinda alert has registered stuff all.

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#1450094 - 25/01/2018 15:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23687
Loc: Townsville
Incredible showers. [censored] yes.

How good is it that 10-20mm is all we look forward to these days.

Incredible wet season
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1450104 - 25/01/2018 16:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Late January and we arejumping up and down over 20mms - sad hey?

Should be getting this almost everyday this time of year. NTC will get smashex with 100-200mm falls tonight and tomorrow
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450211 - 26/01/2018 11:29 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
33mm from yesterdays rain.

once again, just one day of showers and thats it, all moves on and back to hardly anything. just no widespread rain, nothing exciting on the future either unless by some chance the GOC low moves back east which is about 40% split on the models. time is ticking.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450465 - 27/01/2018 16:40 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
I said in the cyclone room the same thing but we prob wont get any decent rains til march or april. Thats when a cyclone will cross this year I think.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1450581 - 28/01/2018 14:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Looks like a possiblity of showers for the ville if those keep building up to there SE.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1450597 - 28/01/2018 16:25 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Storm died on our door step. Another cell out there but too far south. Still more out there than i thought there would be today.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450610 - 28/01/2018 18:03 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
second storm in two hours, both split around and die at the last moment frown
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450612 - 28/01/2018 18:21 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Mick10]
mitasol Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/12/2011
Posts: 880
Loc: Kirwan
Originally Posted By: Mick10
second storm in two hours, both split around and die at the last moment frown


Hello, this is Townsville.

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#1450649 - 28/01/2018 22:59 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 807
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Storms seem to be really rare to hit the coast in the Queensland tropics...more so then down south...why is that? Multiple times they die before come off the ranges.


Edited by rainthisway (28/01/2018 22:59)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1450730 - 29/01/2018 15:36 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
usually they form too far inland or not enough shear and they struggle to make the coast. townsvilles best storms often come from the south, thought yesterday we were a shoe-in, but nope it died. Stuart guage picked up 90mm from it i thought it had miss reported, but reports of heaps of water on side of flinders highway, so could be right.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450802 - 29/01/2018 21:15 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
severe storm warning was issued for about 30min for that cell to our SE, now cancelled. 80mm near Millaroo, Stuart had 90mm in that storm in the arvo, just 1.6mm here! thanks mother nature, the continual tease is getting beyond a joke.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450809 - 29/01/2018 22:21 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23687
Loc: Townsville
Hopefully the dam runs out.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1450817 - 29/01/2018 23:21 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
watching a video of Darwin River Dam overflowing, dreaming of just one wet and rainy day, let alone a wet week, let alone making a monthly average.......

EC wants to drop some rain on us with a covergence zone moving thru the area on the weekend, in typical model fashion GFS wants nothing to do with it. keeps a new coral sea low in the central coral sea, stalls, develops a cat 3 system for a few days then scoots it off to the east. on the flip side, Access is with EC. Maybe for once the odds will fall in our favour, my head tells me GFS will be right for once.

If access and ec come off, one night of wet weather, 50-100mm then it moves on and nothing else again afterwards to back it up.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450825 - 30/01/2018 01:11 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1364
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Hopefully the dam runs out.

What level is the dam at Trav ?
If they're pumping daily I suppose it's staying fairly sort of steady.

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#1450826 - 30/01/2018 01:13 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
gazzatsv Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/03/2011
Posts: 661
Loc: Townsville
14 percent currently and yes it is remaining fairly level due to pumping but mostly due to some shower activity. When things dry out the consumption is higher than the amount pumped in and it does slowly reduce the levels.

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#1450844 - 30/01/2018 09:19 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
1.2mm backing up yesterdays 1.6mm, the wet rages on....
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450865 - 30/01/2018 12:22 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
A place just outside of Broome WA scored just under half a meter of rain overnight!

Well this wet-season start has certainly been boring. January failed. wonder what Feb will bring.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1450866 - 30/01/2018 12:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
if the current run of modelling is right, not much, a new coral sea low forming into a cyclone but remaining stationary in the central coral sea before heading east.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450889 - 30/01/2018 15:08 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1141
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
A scattering of storms to the west - wonder if they'll make the coast or die in the a before they get here
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1450891 - 30/01/2018 15:11 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
enough shear to make the coast, enough instability too, just have to be lucky to have one in line. ingham looking more scattered at this stage though
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450912 - 30/01/2018 17:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23687
Loc: Townsville
[censored] over again
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1450916 - 30/01/2018 18:08 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
*sigh*, Dome strikes again, dies right on our doorstep
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1450924 - 30/01/2018 19:01 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2018 [Re: Mick10]
drivenunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2010
Posts: 2063
Loc: Kewarra Beach, Cairns
Originally Posted By: Mick10
*sigh*, Dome strikes again, dies right on our doorstep


What is the name of this phenomena? Same in Cairns? Is this seen in other parts of the world? What are the mechanics of this? Why sometimes but not other times?
_________________________
Bring on the rain!!!

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