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#1448033 - 08/01/2018 22:52 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: hickory]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2429
Loc: Chillagoe
Originally Posted By: hickory
Originally Posted By: scott12
..... about the only thing that amazes me with the weather up here anymore is that people still try to actually predict whats going to happen..

Tropical weather is super hard to predict,- and why the models are such a joke. They alter them daily,- so people are better off sticking their head out the window each morning.

You're definitely right about sticking your head out the window each morning. That's how I used to live til I got a computer, and got sucked into all the weather sites.

Bugs me that some locals see predictions for this town for the next few days, and don't understand it comes from 140km away in a different climate at a different altitude, no weather stations any closer, as far as I know. (Trying to find a decent clock app without the weather is difficult.)

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#1448041 - 09/01/2018 02:53 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: cold@28]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1364
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
Originally Posted By: cold@28
You're definitely right about sticking your head out the window each morning. That's how I used to live til I got a computer, and got sucked into all the weather sites.

Bugs me that some locals see predictions for this town for the next few days, and don't understand it comes from 140km away in a different climate at a different altitude, no weather stations any closer, as far as I know. (Trying to find a decent clock app without the weather is difficult.)

What's the location of the closest AWS or even Alert to you for reliable info to compare with your own ??

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#1448055 - 09/01/2018 07:26 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
slipperyfish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 1361
Loc: South Mission Beach QLD
9mm from some lovely coastal showers overnight.

Models have done OK. They predict the probabilities, not always the eventualities. As Scott said predicting tropical weather is difficult especially this time of year. Look down my way, models were recently predicting between 20-40mm two or three days in a row. I was lucky to receive 5mm yet Bingil Bay less than 20km away easily hit those targets.

I use the models as a guide not gospel. Just because they say it is going to rain, doesn't mean it will rain on you. I know this all too well.

I have lived in NQ for almost 30 years, spent at least a dozen wet seasons in the Daintree, and in that time the REAL wet season always seemed to be from February. Yes sometimes it started early, but then sometimes it started late. Unlike us humans the weather doesn't tend to base its days around a clock.

Rain is Coming( done in my best John Snow voice)

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#1448056 - 09/01/2018 07:33 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Weary Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 1069
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
5mm for me
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Love petrichor

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#1448090 - 09/01/2018 12:22 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Ronfishes Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 25/02/2013
Posts: 3627
Loc: Gordonvale

2.4mm here, looks like those pesky models possibly maybe predicting a wetter signal from about a week from now.
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#1448091 - 09/01/2018 12:32 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
cyclonic fun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/03/2010
Posts: 104
Loc: Bingil Bay
Been getting roughly 6mm a night for the last 2 or 3 nights however a nice shower this morning topped us up to 9mm. The Sun is out with vengeance now though... smile
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Whether the weather be fair, whether the weather be hot, we'll weather the weather whatever the weather, whether we like it or not!

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#1448095 - 09/01/2018 13:37 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: hickory]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2429
Loc: Chillagoe
Originally Posted By: hickory
Originally Posted By: cold@28
You're definitely right about sticking your head out the window each morning. That's how I used to live til I got a computer, and got sucked into all the weather sites.

Bugs me that some locals see predictions for this town for the next few days, and don't understand it comes from 140km away in a different climate at a different altitude, no weather stations any closer, as far as I know. (Trying to find a decent clock app without the weather is difficult.)

What's the location of the closest AWS or even Alert to you for reliable info to compare with your own ??


Nearest weather stations are at Mareeba or Atherton, both about 100km as the crow flies (according to Google Earth). Chillagoe is 360 metres, Mareeba is around 450M and Atherton is about 820M and entirely different to Mareeba.

If you click on Forecast Districts
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR192.loop.shtml#skip
you will see that we are at the corner of 3 districts.

I do get the EWN messages, but everything has usually fizzled by the time it gets here. The last one went over Dimbulah on the east side of the Featherbeds.

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#1448159 - 09/01/2018 18:36 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Hurricane force Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 4172
Loc: Cairns, Parramatta park.
5mm overnight.
_________________________
MTD: mm
YTD: 2269.6 mm

June- 55.5mm

2014- 2352.6mm
2015- 2635.1mm
2016- 1495.7mm
2017- 2190.0mm
________________________
"Some people feel the rain, others just get wet”

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#1448162 - 09/01/2018 18:38 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2429
Loc: Chillagoe
The sudden strong smell of rain this afternoon. An occasional tinkle on the roof. One splat on the green plastic chair. And that was it. frown

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#1448207 - 09/01/2018 21:11 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Brett Guy Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 5091
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
Just getting a nice shower now. Frogs are waking up again

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#1448208 - 09/01/2018 21:19 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Hurricane force Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 4172
Loc: Cairns, Parramatta park.
Same here BG. That rain heading towards us on radar is look pretty good.
_________________________
MTD: mm
YTD: 2269.6 mm

June- 55.5mm

2014- 2352.6mm
2015- 2635.1mm
2016- 1495.7mm
2017- 2190.0mm
________________________
"Some people feel the rain, others just get wet”

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#1448212 - 09/01/2018 21:52 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Ronfishes Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 25/02/2013
Posts: 3627
Loc: Gordonvale
Its just reaching gvale
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#1448233 - 10/01/2018 07:18 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Weary Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 1069
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
39mm for me
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Love petrichor

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#1448234 - 10/01/2018 07:47 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 1672
Loc: Mareeba
1mm overnight.
_________________________
MTD: 12.4mm
YTD: 1006.4mm
2018 Daily Obs

2017: 898.4mm
2016: 491.4mm
2015: 826.2mm

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#1448235 - 10/01/2018 07:52 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
dormant Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 638
Loc: near ferry, FNQ
52mm, still some rumbles but... no radar.

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#1448236 - 10/01/2018 07:54 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2429
Loc: Chillagoe
Nil

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#1448238 - 10/01/2018 08:33 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: dormant]
Weary Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 1069
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
Originally Posted By: dormant
52mm, still some rumbles but... no radar.

Just check the alternate Cairns airport radar, oh wait a minute, they decommissioned that one for no reason didn't they
_________________________
Love petrichor

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#1448240 - 10/01/2018 08:47 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12962
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
13mm at Bilyana, 91mm MTD.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1448245 - 10/01/2018 09:08 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Weary]
FNQ Bunyip Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2004
Posts: 1451
Loc: North bank river Daintree
Originally Posted By: Weary
Originally Posted By: dormant
52mm, still some rumbles but... no radar.

Just check the alternate Cairns airport radar, oh wait a minute, they decommissioned that one for no reason didn't they


Yeah surely it can't cost to much to keep an old radar as back up.
It just makes no sense at all to not have an eye on what is happening
around Cairns.


Same as Dormant with 52mm here, nice storm rain to grow grass..

Cheers
_________________________
2015 4060mm
2016 3112mm
2017 3892mm
2018 Rainfall


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#1448248 - 10/01/2018 09:19 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Cow Bay Bob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/05/2013
Posts: 120
Loc: Cow Bay QLD Australia
Must be our side of the hills turn 86.5 mm here at Cow Bay.

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