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#1447571 - 06/01/2018 13:49 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
dknever Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/11/2016
Posts: 53
Loc: Liverpool, NSW
It's hot but not humid, thank god.

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#1447572 - 06/01/2018 13:58 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
which model is going to win out next week for some precipitation? Access looks a lot better then GFS right now. GFS back to only very light totals along most of the coast and ranges. Same pattern for the last few months. Puts something in at the end of the runs, holds it till close to the event, then dissolves it in favour of the groundhog ridging pattern. Lets hope we can see some widespread storms with this heat as a consolation... and lets hope we get an upgrade for a change. All this La nina moisture is amazing!

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#1447574 - 06/01/2018 14:05 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 1902
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
No heat here - 25/20 with all this lovely La Nina moist Ne'ers keeping everything lovely.

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#1447579 - 06/01/2018 14:33 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
NE seabreeze


Edited by Seabreeze (15/01/2018 23:26)
Edit Reason: removed insult

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#1447584 - 06/01/2018 15:00 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4031
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Very warm, humid and not much wind here. Car thermometer was thowing 33 in North Ryde, down to 30 at home.

Penrith and Richmond have just topped 40.

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#1447600 - 06/01/2018 15:32 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
GringosRain,I think our area is stuffed,the only way we are going to get out of this dry,we have to get the same amount of rain we got in 2007 in the big ECL event,and there is no way that is going to happen,these storms that have been around are useless.they might green the grass up a bit if under one that is it,but I have been missing them,all my grass to brown as,all the dams and creeks around the area are all dry now and only the big dams have any water in them, people on tank water have been buying water now for ages,I am pleased I live in town on town water and not on a property,it is terrible.


Edited by Stormy3 (06/01/2018 15:38)
_________________________
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1447613 - 06/01/2018 16:23 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Rob G Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/07/2003
Posts: 697
Loc: Porters Retreat NSW
It reached 31C here - 8C above normal. Has dropped back to 29C, but we often see the temperature peak after 5pm in summer.

It's partly cloudy with a tinder dry WNW wind.

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#1447615 - 06/01/2018 16:33 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1527
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
Yes stormy it is an extreme worry, especially with a farm. Gave up on the lawns month ago....nothing but dust. One dam empty and 3 more just weeks away from being done. All the fish will die in those dams. Our main dam reached a new record low on New years day......and it now has the very real possibility of running dry too. At that point 20 years of hardwork is in jeopardy as we would lose all our gardens and orchards. Local springs have stopped, never seen that before. The last remaining pools in Quorrobolong creek are quickly disappearing.
There has been few events or storms and when there has, we have missed every single bit of it. So we are literally in the worst of the worst part of what I have to describe as an evil drought. Some areas of the Hunter around Kurri or Maitland look ok because they have collected storms, but the dams are still dropping there too. More dry to come with little promise of even a storm. Critical and dangerous times for us around here ahead. We need a 350-400mm event to or multiple 100mm events in succession to shift this situation as you say. There is no guarantee of anything. Could change tomorrow or it could stay dry for years....

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#1447620 - 06/01/2018 16:55 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4031
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
A "courageous" forecast from the BOM for tomorrow: 40 at OH. Still going for 42 at Parramatta and 45 at Penrith. Going for 43-44 for inland areas in the Hunter, but only low to mid 30's in the Illawarra (early Southerly).

----

Sydney's looking a bit dry too. We've had thunderstorms that deliver a few millimetres plus some hit or miss heavy falls, plus a few dull overcast days delivering a few drops, but it's been a while since we've had 10mm in one day (Dec 3).

----

Penrith has reached 42.3.


Edited by Steve777 (06/01/2018 16:56)

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#1447634 - 06/01/2018 17:44 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Hey g'day guys! Reporting from Corryong, Northeast Victoria, having arrived from Melbourne last night. Here's yesterday's report. smile

My family and I left home in Belgrave a little after 12:30pm, stopping for lunch in nearby Monbulk around 1pm, and for fuel in Lilydale at about 1:30pm.

From there we departed Melbourne and travelled north up the Melba Highway, reaching Yea by 2:30pm. Then after a 20-minute drive northwest along the Goulburn Valley Highway, we stopped in Seymour for a snack.

Shortly after 3:30pm we joined the M31 Hume Freeway (Melbourne-Sydney), reaching Albury/Wodonga at 5:30pm; it was good to be able to cross the Murray River into NSW/ACT yet again! After about 90 minutes of shopping and dinner, we continued east along the Murray Valley Highway, arriving in Corryong just on sunset! smile

Weatherwise it was true mid-summer conditions during the entire road trip! No trace whatsoever of last winters freezing chill, or the chilly nights and mild to warm afternoons of last autumn or spring. crazy

The whole day it was mostly clear skies (except for some fair-weather cumulus, and high-level cirrus later in the day), scorching sunshine, a slight breeze, and low humidity. It looked a little hazy towards Tumbarumba and the NSW Snowy Mountains once we arrived in the Upper Murray. There was also a bit of mushy/bubbly stuff along the Australian Alps (mostly about the Victorian High Country), but no showers or thunderstorms resulted.

Up until we reached Glenburn in the Yea River Valley temperatures stayed in the mid/high-twenties, making conditions feel very pleasant for being outside whenever possible. As we continued northwards into the Murray-Darling Basin it became progressively hotter, breaching the 32C/90F mark by the time we arrived in Yea. poke

Beyond Seymour, temperatures soared to over 35C across the Northern Plains and over the Murray River into the NSW Riverina; it peaked at about 36C in Wangaratta and Albury/Wodonga btw. eek

The mercury was still around 34C by the time we left the Border region after dinner and it stayed that way until we had past Bullioh, not far beyond Tallangatta. But it dropped about 10C as we climbed up to Koetong and Shelley! And after descending into the Upper Murray at Berringama, it remained around 24C right through to Corryong. smile

Northern Victoria looks noticeably drier already (as opposed to the Melbourne area), but thanks to the recent heavy rainfall so far this summer its still relatively green in places, particularly here in the Corryong area.

And Lake Hume is just under 71% capacity, according to Goulburn-Murray Water. smile

Back home in Belgrave, it ranged from a minimum of 11.9C to a maximum of 23.4C at midday (around the time I had to switch off my weather station). Nearby Scoresby ranged from about 12C to about 32C.

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#1447635 - 06/01/2018 17:44 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 6006
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
And as for today here in Corryong, it's been a very, VERY hot, dry, mostly sunny day, peaking at about 38C on my thermometer! Quite gusty winds too; the breeze itself has a bite to it. Thank goodness for the air-con. eek

It was a very comfortable night though, dipping to around 14C this morning.

Still around 37C at nearby Khancoban, NSW. Looking forward to hitting the local swimming pool for a dip. smile

Going for 41C tomorrow! frown

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#1447654 - 06/01/2018 19:31 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Nick Sykes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2001
Posts: 670
Loc: Franklin, ACT
GFS has tounge of 28-30 850 temps over SE inland NSW tomorrow, with Canberra a chance of 40C.

Some lower elevations will approach 45C.





Edited by Nick Sykes (06/01/2018 19:33)

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#1447683 - 06/01/2018 22:00 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Simon James Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/03/2007
Posts: 89
Loc: Waverton
Can anyone explain what's going on with the Terrey Hills radar image? Is that genuine precipitation or just extreme clutter, and why is there a sharp circular boundary concentric with the radar location?



Thanks in advance!

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#1447688 - 06/01/2018 22:47 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Morham Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2017
Posts: 95
Loc: Penrith, NSW
That is weird. I think that happened with some melbourne imaging last year. Looked like concentric circles. Was due to some equipment fault.

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#1447691 - 07/01/2018 00:33 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Petar @ Sdny Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/03/2007
Posts: 570
Loc: South West Sydney
I'm ready for winter. Full stop. Dead End.
_________________________
Latest Earthquake data contributions - Updated as they come in: http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/seismologist.php

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#1447693 - 07/01/2018 01:59 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
eauetsoleil Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/01/2016
Posts: 235
Loc: Bexley North
Katoomba maxed at 33.3C at 5:51pm yesterday
A couple of degrees higher than most of the more coastal areas.
Some hot winds up their.

Just saw Penrith max of 42.3C yesterday

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#1447695 - 07/01/2018 03:11 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1658
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
I wish that radar image was true,but only 40kms inland would be great.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1447696 - 07/01/2018 06:22 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Simon James]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4031
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Originally Posted By: Simon James
Can anyone explain what's going on with the Terrey Hills radar image? Is that genuine precipitation or just extreme clutter, and why is there a sharp circular boundary concentric with the radar location

It's fake rain. There was no cloud in the area where "precipitation" appeared. There are still faint echoes now. The circular boundary and the fact that the 'rain' isn't moving is the giveaway. People have noticed this a number of times in recent weeks when there are strong sea breezes about.

From the info on the radar site (link Terry Hills notes): "During strong winds and very rough seas, sea clutter may be visible off the coast out to a range of about 30 km. This sea clutter tends to remain in the same area and can therefore be distinguished from rain echoes, which generally move with the wind."

-----

EDIT: the NE'er barely stopped all night during the night, although there are light Westerlies now. It's about 22 across the Sydney Basin, but there's hot air about. It's nearly 25 at Mt Boyce, equivalent to about 32 at sea level. Mangrove Mountain (300m) and Terrey Hills (200m) are on 25 degrees.

There's no sign of any change on teh South coast.



Edited by Steve777 (07/01/2018 06:28)

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#1447701 - 07/01/2018 07:59 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
eauetsoleil Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/01/2016
Posts: 235
Loc: Bexley North
Katoomba minimum of 24.1C was way above that of Penrith, and considerably higher than much of Sydney Metro last night or this morning.

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#1447702 - 07/01/2018 08:20 Re: NSW/ACT - Intense heat burst, then storms - January 5 to 9th 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Jimi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/03/2004
Posts: 885
Loc: Cammeray
Yesterdays 9am temp will ensure it never appears in the records. Still a great indication of whats aloft

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