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#1448439 - 12/01/2018 09:39 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: gleno71]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5103
Originally Posted By: gleno71
So will there be storms over the weekend or not? Weather pages, media and the BOM seem to think so? Nothing said here?

A few of us actually made posts about it earlier this week but no-one else seemed interested.

I'll start a new thread for it shortly if no-one else does in the meantime.

P.S. Remarkable photos LightningGus... the 1st one reminds me of what many of the trees in some southside suburbs of Brisbane STILL look like after the big 2014 hailstorm and the extent of defoliation in the 2nd pic is remarkable.


Edited by Ken Kato (12/01/2018 09:41)
Edit Reason: added stuff

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#1448440 - 12/01/2018 09:45 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1467
Loc: Australia
Cheers Ken smile

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#1448442 - 12/01/2018 09:59 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Befour Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2015
Posts: 207
Loc: Kingsford (Sydney)
That is pretty crazy to see all those trees looking like that.

Thanks for posting them up!

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#1448451 - 12/01/2018 11:34 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
LightningGus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1175
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
Thanks seabreeze, ken and befour smile
_________________________
2016 Rainfall: 604mm
2017 Rainfall: 715mm
2018 Rainfall: 315mm ytd

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#1448461 - 12/01/2018 13:42 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3279
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Onya Ken, lots of red for your maps please, thanks :-)
Awesone oics L.G., reminds me of Fernvale a couple of years ago. Place looked like it got hit by a bomb.


Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (12/01/2018 13:43)

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#1448462 - 12/01/2018 13:46 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
tsunami Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1133
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
Yes thanks ken
I feel sunday will be a big day. Due to southerly front comming through in afternoon
Hoping for one of those wide spread storm front situation. Not saying they will be severe but just wide spread
_________________________
Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1448466 - 12/01/2018 14:26 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: tsunami]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2081
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
Sunday hasn't looked that great all week. Surface trough pretty much off the coast by mid-morning. Southerly arrives early and pushes the trough back a little inland. It does strengthen in the afternoon but it's still very dry upstairs. I can't see this being a big storm front or spawning supercells, but there could be some isolated activity.

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#1448481 - 12/01/2018 16:31 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
gberg Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2015
Posts: 67
Loc: noosaville
Hey guys, i know this gets asked a lot but i have just joined flickr and i can't for the life of me work out how to share pics on here.. Can someone please point me in the right direction (thread wise)for some instructions on how to.

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#1448486 - 12/01/2018 17:50 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: gberg]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 591
Loc: Bardon 4065
Originally Posted By: gberg
Hey guys, i know this gets asked a lot but i have just joined flickr and i can't for the life of me work out how to share pics on here.. Can someone please point me in the right direction (thread wise)for some instructions on how to.


Hi Gberg

I sent these to someone awhile ago.

1. Upload your photo to Flickr in the usual manner.
2. When ready to upload to Weatherzone. In Flick go to Your photostream and click on the photo that you want to upload.
3. The individual photo that you want to upload will come up. In the bottom right corner of the screen are three icons hit the one that says Share Photo (second from the right)
4. Another dialog box will come up which says "Share 1 photo to"
5. Click on BBCode
6. Another dialog box appears - you can select the size of the image here to comply with WZ requirements.
7.Copy the entire URL in the small window above (make sure you have the entire URL or it wont work).
8. You can just past the entire URL into the Message box on WZ. You can have a quick look in the Preview window to make sure it displays ok.
9. From memory Flickr requires you to add that the photo is on Flickr which is why the title of your photo and name will then appear in the WZ post. (You can actually edit this out if you want to my removing the last part of the URL - but probably easier to leave it in)
10. You can hit return a couple of time and type in any message you want to accompany the photo or do that at the start.
11. Any dramas send me a post.

Cheers

Greg
_________________________
My Flickr Page

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#1448487 - 12/01/2018 17:51 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Golden State]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5103
Originally Posted By: Golden State
Something better get going soon if this seasonal outlook is to stand up

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/rainfall/median/seasonal/0


Meanwhile, below are the rainfall outlooks for Feb and averaged across Feb-Mar-Apr generated by an ensemble of several models and calibrated to past outcomes:




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#1448488 - 12/01/2018 17:52 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5103
I've created a new thread for this weekend's thunderstorm possibilities: http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea...rms#Post1448484

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#1448507 - 12/01/2018 21:02 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Foehn Correspondent]
gberg Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2015
Posts: 67
Loc: noosaville
Originally Posted By: Foehn Correspondent
Originally Posted By: gberg
Hey guys, i know this gets asked a lot but i have just joined flickr and i can't for the life of me work out how to share pics on here.. Can someone please point me in the right direction (thread wise)for some instructions on how to.


Hi Gberg

I sent these to someone awhile ago.

1. Upload your photo to Flickr in the usual manner.
2. When ready to upload to Weatherzone. In Flick go to Your photostream and click on the photo that you want to upload.
3. The individual photo that you want to upload will come up. In the bottom right corner of the screen are three icons hit the one that says Share Photo (second from the right)
4. Another dialog box will come up which says "Share 1 photo to"
5. Click on BBCode
6. Another dialog box appears - you can select the size of the image here to comply with WZ requirements.
7.Copy the entire URL in the small window above (make sure you have the entire URL or it wont work).
8. You can just past the entire URL into the Message box on WZ. You can have a quick look in the Preview window to make sure it displays ok.
9. From memory Flickr requires you to add that the photo is on Flickr which is why the title of your photo and name will then appear in the WZ post. (You can actually edit this out if you want to my removing the last part of the URL - but probably easier to leave it in)
10. You can hit return a couple of time and type in any message you want to accompany the photo or do that at the start.
11. Any dramas send me a post.

Cheers

Greg



Thanks heaps Greg i will try uploading some again over the weekend. Very much appreciate you helping me out!

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#1448516 - 12/01/2018 21:43 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
BIG T Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/01/2012
Posts: 1070
Loc: Albany Creek , QLD
I donít know much , but Iím a pessimist this wknd. Not confident at all. Garden browning off , needs a drink but I doubt it will come from above. Love to be wrong.

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#1448555 - 13/01/2018 10:19 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Golden State Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 202
Loc: Buderim
Yep, Iím highly sceptical of the supposedly wetter than ave forecast for the next couple of months too.. or if it does eventuate, itíll be via a gigantic one-off rain event or two then just hot, dry, drought for other two months and 26 days
_________________________
Just rain FFS

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#1448585 - 13/01/2018 14:05 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Blowin' Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/08/2014
Posts: 884
Loc: Diamond Valley, Sunshine Coast
Happy new year all.
I find it interesting we have reverted to hot and dry again.
Feels like a giant spring winding up. When it turns south east thereís going to be a lot of latent heat in the ocean.
When it gives itíll probably go bang. In some way.
Prob late jan - feb by the looks of it.

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#1448587 - 13/01/2018 14:27 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5103
Speaking of heat, the big area of hotter than normal temps that's been appearing in the 7-14 day timeframe from now for the SE quarter of Australia in NAEFS is even bigger in its latest run and has expanded into inland southern QLD/inland northern NSW (although you'd naturally expect it to shift from run to run given the forecast timeframe is constantly advancing forwards with each run).

Although the map technically just shows the probabilities of *significantly* warmer or cooler than normal temps, the probabilities often correlate with the magnitude of the temperature anomalies as well. I wonder if some places will challenge heat records again:



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#1448589 - 13/01/2018 14:34 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
ozone doug Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/11/2006
Posts: 1770
Loc: Roma SW QLD Eye to the West...
Hi all, Looks like some rain heading my way from the south .No storms in it yet ,
Grass is dead so will take this with open arms.Temps got to 41.6 and is on the way down now.
_________________________
Cheers Doug. 491 Doug/ uhf ch40 When severe weather
BOM Stormspotter G0388 Roma S W Queensland Formerly Redcliffe.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IQUEENSL852

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#1448681 - 13/01/2018 21:49 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Blowin' Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/08/2014
Posts: 884
Loc: Diamond Valley, Sunshine Coast
Thanks Ken,
Itís like weíve reverted to late spring/early summer!

Love the lanina cool streaming of nw South America.
Btw my point about rain in feb relates to the bom rainfall outlook for increased likelihood of above average rainfall in feb in SEQ.


Edited by Blowin' (13/01/2018 21:57)

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#1448763 - 14/01/2018 16:23 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Blowin']
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2081
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
Why does GFS tease us every year...


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#1448849 - 15/01/2018 12:32 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Nature's Fury]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2081
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
Since when do we get clear skies and no wind the day after a big southerly has come through? Very strange.

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