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#1451629 - 05/02/2018 09:06 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6470
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
GFS is crazy saying 44-46 deg in Rocky Sunday- Tuesday..when was the last time temps like that ?

https://imgur.com/a/I6eJ6
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#1451630 - 05/02/2018 09:15 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
Probably unlikely. 40-41 perhaps.
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#1451635 - 05/02/2018 09:31 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
mysteriousbrad Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/10/2007
Posts: 1730
Loc: Rockhampton QLD
8mm to finish off the event. Donít see much rain for the next two weeks at least for rocky

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#1451730 - 06/02/2018 09:45 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
Totals for 3 days of the trough. Generally between 50 and 150mm along the CQ Coastal fringe.

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"When it comes to the weather, "occasionally" is better than "not at all".

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#1451737 - 06/02/2018 11:38 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2281
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
By now I would have thought you would have realised those BOM past rainfall maps are highly inaccurate. They are a very generalised map.

It is like taking an entire city, averaging out the income levels and saying everyone in that city makes x amount of dollars a year.

I just tipped out 26mm in one of our rain gauges, apparently I had between 50 and 100mm though.

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#1451749 - 06/02/2018 13:47 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
The obs from the AWS's along the coast support the map.They have a damned sight more credibilty than you do .You take the worst out of everything.

You quite clearly stated that the central Qld coast missed out and yet Vinnie managed 130mm. Go figure.

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"When it comes to the weather, "occasionally" is better than "not at all".

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#1451785 - 06/02/2018 21:58 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: ColdFront]
Hailin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/12/2010
Posts: 934
Loc: Moranbah/Glenella
Weather has been lovely the last couple of days out here in Moranbah. I've been working over at Dysart this week, driving back and forth every day. They had a bit more rain than Moranbah. Some areas had 100mm. It's greening up beautifully there.
Looks like the 40 degrees days are coming back early next week.

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#1451796 - 07/02/2018 00:30 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: RC]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: RC
By now I would have thought you would have realised those BOM past rainfall maps are highly inaccurate. They are a very generalised map.

It is like taking an entire city, averaging out the income levels and saying everyone in that city makes x amount of dollars a year.

I just tipped out 26mm in one of our rain gauges, apparently I had between 50 and 100mm though.


understand what you are saying RC, ive had 36mm so far this month, Townsville airport is on19mm but the monthly totals map shows the area with 50-100mm.

For the record, CF mentioned last month about the inaccuracy of these maps not showing totals properly.

Originally Posted By: ColdFront

For the record, I have had 3 times my monthly average but it won't show on THAT that map.
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Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1451798 - 07/02/2018 00:58 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
Indeed I did, and there is actually a very simple and logical reason why it didn't show with an isolated fall of 185 mm confined to just one area of the entire state over just 2 square kilometres but then logic has no place here clearly.

Particularly when a multitude of stations blew his claim that the central coast missed out right out of the water or are they all wrong too? But then this always occurs with every rain event he has so it's hardly surprising.

AWS data supports the maps above It may not suit your agenda here but over a broad scale they are fairly indicative. Maybe you should do some light reading on smoothing.

I see Copperlode is overflowing .That must be hard to watch.
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"When it comes to the weather, "occasionally" is better than "not at all".

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#1451800 - 07/02/2018 01:22 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
which backs up RCs comments that the maps are generalised. hence why they didn't pick up the falls you had, and they didn't pick up the falls RC had or the falls i had. So maybe, just maybe that logic is rather clear after all.

Originally Posted By: ColdFront

I see Copperlode is overflowing .That must be hard to watch.


and yet you claim others take the worst out of everything. crazy
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Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1451801 - 07/02/2018 01:28 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Mick10]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
Originally Posted By: Mick10


and yet you claim others take the worst out of everything. crazy


Worst? I think it's fantastic they got rain. I love seeing the wet in full swing up there. It's the best time of year.



RC cited a lack of rainfall figures in the area circled. Every site recorded rain. Those grey ones are always marked on the map and show the sparcity of stations in that region and today indicate ZERO rainfall. There simply are not as high a concentration of stations in that area as everywhere else down the coast .That is simply not an indication that no rain fell there as he tried to suggest.

The stations that are there down the coast recorded at least 40mm and up to and beyond 100mm so how exactly did the east coast of Central Queensland miss out? Vinnie scored 130mm in Yeppoon?
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"When it comes to the weather, "occasionally" is better than "not at all".

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#1451820 - 07/02/2018 10:06 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25275
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
don't play games with me CF, you are walking a fine line as it is.

My reply was in regards to RCs comments that the map on the previous page are 'generalised' and 'not accurate'. Which was a fair and valid comment. You can twist words and try push what ever logic you think you can, does not change the fact the maps do not always portray accuracy.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2018 total - 3.0mm (21mm)
July 2018 total - 14.0mm (15mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 814.8mm (1107mm)

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#1451825 - 07/02/2018 11:21 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Mick10]
bundybear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2230
Loc: Between Bundy and Gladstone
Originally Posted By: Mick10
does not change the fact the maps do not always portray accuracy.


They certainly don't. How often have I discussed the strange patterns of rain we get here.

Instances where my daughter who lived maybe 10k away as the crow flies got more than 4 inches in one evening and we got nothing. My son has had torrents of rain when at work maybe 5 k as the crow flies from home and we have had nothing.

I have watched the big hill over the road disappear in a curtain of rain and we got nothing.

I remember when I was a young child watching the rain go up the old bruce highway. It followed the white line in the middle of the road. Absolute downpour one side, nothing the other.

Rain happens where it wants to.

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#1451827 - 07/02/2018 11:31 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Mick10]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
Originally Posted By: Mick10
don't play games with me CF, you are walking a fine line as it is.

My reply was in regards to RCs comments that the map on the previous page are 'generalised' and 'not accurate'. Which was a fair and valid comment. You can twist words and try push what ever logic you think you can, does not change the fact the maps do not always portray accuracy.



His original comment stated that coastal Central QLD missed out which is simply not true . The localised AWS's confirm this.
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"When it comes to the weather, "occasionally" is better than "not at all".

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#1451837 - 07/02/2018 15:20 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6470
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Hot spell: CQ get ready to sweat (no exercise needed)
7th Feb 2018 10:45 AM
https://www.themorningbulletin.com.au/ne...needed/3328991/
Quote:

It's set to be hot across CQ in coming days.

A HOT spell is set to see temperatures soar beyond 40 degrees for large parts of Central Queensland in coming days.

A Bureau of Meteorology spokesman this morning confirmed Rockhampton's maximum is set to hit 39 degrees on Monday.

Elsewhere across the region, Emerald is tipped to reach 42 degrees, Biloela 40, Blackwater 42, Baralaba 42 and Yeppoon 36.

The BoM spokesman said the conditions, which will be about five or six degrees above February's average, were being caused by a high pressure system which will see winds blow from the north west.

The spokesman said despite the high temperatures, the weather event wasn't classified as a severe heatwave.

The hot temps are set to stay around for a few days, from Sunday to Wednesday.

The sun is set to be out in force.

Unfortunately, no follow-up rain is on the horizon.

Good falls have been recorded across much of Central Queensland in the past week.
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#1451874 - 08/02/2018 00:29 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 18406
Loc: Burnett Heads
Yep , it's just a question of how hot it is going to get. There is good agreement amongst the models regarding the hot north westerlies.

Not much promise of rain. If only the latest GFS would come off. Highly unlikely though. A coastal hugging Low/TC.
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"When it comes to the weather, "occasionally" is better than "not at all".

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#1451911 - 08/02/2018 15:05 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6470
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Yeah I do wonder if the BOM is more conservative with the coastal temps, though we could see mid 30's in Yeppoon.

Not sure if this is accurate but isn't the end of summer usually around March 21st the Autumn equinox? I always think of summer as Dec 21 to March 21 .
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#1451965 - 09/02/2018 09:50 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ifishcq Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2018
Posts: 77
Loc: Rockhampton
These are typical El Nino conditions, whats going on?

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#1452207 - 11/02/2018 18:10 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6470
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Wonder why the BOM has downgraded temps for Yeppoon , apart from tomorrow being 34, they've changed it to 31 for most of the week now.
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#1452227 - 11/02/2018 20:09 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6470
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
35 deg at 7pm in Rocky 30 in Yeppoon, ridiculous !
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